Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch) header
Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch) profile picture

AI Privacy. Product @ Hydra. Family man. Saved by Grace.

Green Bay, WI
Joined April 2009
Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)Photo by Ryan D. Hatch (@rdkhatch)
People won't buy unless they visualize life with your product + how it changes the way they live/work. cc: @zgohr #jtbd #prodmgmt #startups
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Simple explanation: Tokens are being generated more efficiently. * GPU/hr is a scarce resource. * Tokens are not a scarce resource. They can be optimized, quantized, etc to be more efficiently generated. The more Tokens a GPU/hr creates, the more valuable a GPU becomes.
a16z's Moses Sternstein and Alex Danco on the "rack spread," the gap between rising GPU prices and falling token prices: "The core observation in the rack spread is as follows: roughly since the summer, GPU pricing has gone up, token pricing has gone down. Why that is: a combination of open competition, the labs themselves cutting prices." "We start with a bunch of GPUs and a bunch of electricity and a bunch of cooling, and on the other side out comes tokens, right? And the thing that achieves that is the model." "In an oil refinery, you have a bunch of inputs... It goes into a refinery, which is like the model, and then out come refined products that you can actually use, like jet fuel or diesel or lubricant or any number of specialized things." "There is this term called the crack spread... It's not a net margin that anybody is actually making... But it is useful because if you look at any given refinery, just like you might look at any given model, you want to ask this basic question which is, 'Is this making any money?'" @MosesSternstein @alex_danco
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
Echoing as the one that led the mentioned effort across more than $500m of speculative GPUs, the core thesis was that entities that can contribute creditworthiness beyond that of a customer contract can rip massive premiums for taking the merchant risk. And they have. This also means that disaggregating the servicing layer from the CoreWeaves of the world basically unlocks fully funded projects alongside effective LTVs and more and better pools of subordinated capital, letting those with scarce servicing expertise and access to power service more supply and make more money than before. This presupposes, of course, financiers that are overtly long merchant risk/on demand (we have found them). We have also observed that more dollars mandated to the space mean more leverage for those with physically scarce inputs (expertise-hours, sites, electricians, chip allocations).
Hydra Host has deployed several speculative clusters, independently financed by our partners who we manage the clusters for. Partners who have far more access to credit than startups. A restructuring rather than a collapse is happening. Ultimately most clusters will be owned by investment institutions with the lowest cost of capital and that’s it. We’ve anticipated this at Hydra and that’s why we’ve focused on getting many of these “near-zero” speculative clusters deployed.
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If you want to own your own cluster Hydra can operate it for you. We handle everything from procurement (NVIDIA backed and top Dell/SMCI partner), Financing, install, operations, and primary/secondary management. We started in 2021 and invented this model ~3 years ago. It’s a mix of property management (if your primary goal is to use internally) and franchising (if your primary goal is to monetize). Here’s my blog post on it in early 2025: hydrahost.com/post/ai-factor…
Every founder I've talked to in SF this past week is actively working on owning their own hardware/assets (chips, shells, factories, etc), non-trivially moreso than before Something happened recently and it's now clear that the new post-intelligence world order will be dictated by those who can aggregate and allocate capital the best SF is relearning how small of an asset class venture is, and that legibility to capital will become everything in order to compete in this next industrial revolution
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
the old education system is like dead dead there's literally never been a better time in history to homeschool your kids with AI you can now just prompt it to create an entire curriculum for your kid, give lessons, generate interactive quizzes to see what they're actually learning, explain things in a hundred different ways until they understand, adapt the difficulty and pace to their progress, generate videos, etc etc you could probably give your kids a much better education in a fraction of the time they'd otherwise spend sitting in a classroom learning the same things at the same pace as 30 other kids and then spend all that extra time playing with them, exploring, doing sports, reading, traveling, whatever it's actually insane when you think about it
Physics is hard to visualize through static images alone, so I turned my 174 pages of high school physics notes into an interactive website. It covers mechanics, electricity, and magnetism, breaking down complex concepts into intuitive visualizations, real-world scenarios, and interactive problems. Check it out here: atlas-of-physics.vercel.app/
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
this is how finding GPUs goes 1. someone says they have GPUs 2. turns out they are a broker for some other guy 3. that guy doesn't have the GPUs either, they are waiting for a buyer so they can place an order 5. they don't even have the space yet, that is owned by some other guy who's upgrading it one of these guys is always named carl
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
This is the most insane demo I’ve seen. Subvocal YC F26 lets you speak completely silently and reads the minute movements of your face. So you can talk to your AI anytime. AI + sensors is magic. What’s crazier is they built this in 4 months. This demo was live yesterday evening at the YC office.
We’ve raised $1.3M from YC & Afore Capital so you never have to type or speak again. Typing is slow. Talking into your computer is awkward. Subvocal fixes both Our glasses give you the speed of speech without you making a sound or touching a keyboard. It tracks your internal speech muscles with non-contact sensing and decodes silent, almost invisible mouthing into text at more than 200 words/min. Pre-orders are now live at: subvocal.co/preorder?utm_sou…
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Then those GPUs become even more valuable because you can squeeze a lot more out of them. There seems to be an implicit and pervasive assumption that there is some ceiling to the amount of useful and intelligent work to be done. Once we hit that that’s it, we don’t need any more. That’s nonsense. We’re on a non-stop freight train to Kardashev 1 so buckle up.
Every neocloud should be watching this. What happens when the useful compute you can squeeze out of a GPU improves faster than the hardware itself? Billions in GPU-backed financing depend on assumptions about future rental rates and residual values. Software breakthroughs could make those assumptions obsolete overnight.
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All the new models eating away at OpenAI/Anthropic. Jev = Decisions. Skyfall = Engineering.
Introducing SKY-001, the first Engineering World Model. On CAD and BIM tasks, it beats GPT-6 Astra and every frontier model we tested: -> 51-125x faster - > 150-210x cheaper -> Higher IOU than all frontier models SKY-001 lets you dream a physical object before you build it. 18 months of work. Built by the team out of Maluuba's deep learning lab (acq. by @MSRResearch). The first ‘AI General Engineer’ will be the backbone for Autonomous Manufacturing.
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Could be game changer. Scale up Memory outside GPU.
Marvell’s Dave Lazovsky is holding a tiny module that uses photonics to move high-bandwidth memory (HBM + DDR) as far as 50 meters away from the GPU. this can sit up to 50 meters from a GPU instead of the usual 1.5 mm. For the first time, memory no longer has to live right next to compute, letting AI clusters share massive capacity without being locked to the accelerator package. Latency stays in the hundreds of nanoseconds, close enough for practical memory use. Basically, Memory and compute now scale on separate axes instead of being locked together.
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
Mass immigration has been a catastrophe for Europe. There is no issue more urgent before the continent than to correct this mistake.
There is no magic soil. A nation is simply it's people.
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We were able to fine tune an open weight model (Qwen3.5-9B) on proprietary internal data at @coinbase, and it out performed frontier models, at much lower cost and speed, for a specialized task (fraud prevention in this case). I think we'll see more of this pattern inside companies. The frontier models are amazing generalists. But increasingly you'll see specialist models out perform on more narrow tasks, either working on teams, or by themselves. We're making it easy to fine tune models internally for our employees. We even have a skill for it in our internal harness that makes it easy to spin these up and start training them: "/fine-tune-and-serve-llm I want to fine-tune Qwen for payments risk review. help me get started" I imagine we'll have some backend services that could be replaced entirely by this new architecture.
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
Chamath: Software IP Just Became Worthless “I think that IP and software was effectively rendered worthless two days ago. There have been people that decompiled the entire Big 5. What is the Big 5? Adobe has five very, very important products in their product suite, and these folks basically decompiled it, distilled it, and published open source versions of these things. I was so shocked because I was like, ‘Hold on a second. These are profound products that have existed and have had moats for years, and now they're just open source versions.’ If you think about it, when everything is headless, so when Elon makes his services headless, Benioff made Salesforce headless a few months earlier, when all of these things are headless and you can wrap them in agent tools and you can connect them via MCP to other experiences, the value of IP no longer exists in software. It doesn't exist.”
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Wolves are prowling to kill your Sheep. External threats are expected. What's perverse - is when Shepherds turn evil and kill their own Sheep entrusted to their protection. Your purpose is to help & protect others. Not kill your own children for selfish convenience. Unreal.
Meet Baby Samuel. He was aborted at 16 weeks and survived for 30 minutes, sucking his thumb for comfort. “No-one picked him up, wrapped him or gave him any medical care to alleviate his pain and suffering.” No child should be aborted.
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Fascinating. Instead of using Brute Force to extract the patterns from all the world's chaotic data... Building a training pipeline to find the "Geometry of Reasoning." youtu.be/4S8I22ybG2c?si=-ojt… sophontic.ai/
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For the last few months, my wife and I have enjoyed listening to August Green, an upcoming artist she found on Spotify. Yesterday, I asked her to check for upcoming concerts. She checked & said "He has no concerts, like none at all." That's when we realized - We've been listening to an AI generated artist... and we had no idea. It is that good. The music feels authentic, it feels real. But it's fake. "Artificial" is a much better word than Super intelligence. open.spotify.com/playlist/37…
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AI is incredible. But the worst part is the distance & distrust it will create between people. When I'm watching a video now, I keep asking myself: "Is this fake?" Human connection is vital, and it's getting harder and harder to know what's true.
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Already using Explainer Videos and it's a game changer for understanding complex topics quickly.
We'll be spending a lot more time trying to understand the outputs of language models. A few thoughts, tips & tricks: Writing. Something I've had success with: Ask your LLM to explain something in ASD-STE100, it's a controlled language specification originally developed for aerospace maintenance documentation. LLMs well-versed in this language and it comes with heavy constraints on clean writing style that I often find a lot more readable. Sometimes I've tried to soften it a bit e.g. ask for "80% of the way to ASD-STE100" because the spec is quite stringent. But even better: Diagrams / images. Instead of writing, ask your LLM to create a diagram. These can be a lot easier to process, parse, and understand. But even better: Web pages. Ask for output "in HTML" to get a beautiful, interactive webpage. LLMs are getting really good at frontend and can create beautiful experiences, animations, etc. But even better: Explainer videos. The output format I am most bullish on is fully custom / bespoke explainer videos generated on any arbitrary topic. Experiment with things like "Create a 3b1b style video explainer on X. Use my ElevenLabs API key for audio narration". (you'd need an API key for the latter or you can ask your LLM to find you decent free alternatives that use your local compute). This is actually starting to work! In summary: - As LLMs get better, they will do more and more of the legwork autonomously, and a lot more of our work will rise up the abstractions into oversight and understanding. - Luckily, LLMs can help here too because as intelligence and code are increasingly abundant, you can ask for large, custom, discardable software artifacts (e.g. web apps, video explainers) that would have never made sense to create before. Push the boundaries here and you'll be surprised.
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
Grok further proves Jesus is real and that He is King Absolutely incredible 🙏🏼👏🏼
Grok knows that Jesus is the one true King 🙏🏼
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Ryan D. Hatch retweeted
Introducing Griffin, the first model to pass the video Turing test. 48% of people who talked to it live thought it was a real human. Previous systems have had a pass rate <3%. It is #1 on NVIDIA's benchmark for full-duplex AI video. It’s the first Human Interaction Model (HIM).
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The 48% figure and "video Turing test" claim are from Tavus's own study of 54 one-minute calls, not independently verified or using a standard protocol. Griffin-Lite leads NVIDIA's VideoFDB benchmark on their public leaderboard. cellcog.ai/blog/tavus-gri… research.nvidia.com/labs/amri/proj… tech-ish.com/2026/10/02/tav…
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