14 yrs in finance. 7 at a HF. Stocks gambler
Madrid, Spain
Joined October 2014
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- Likes787
$CKX has zero dilutive instruments outstanding and has never filed a registration statement for capital raising.
With the transaction dilution is real but cannot hit the tape before the closing, which is expected early 2027..
On another note, existing holders get over $10 in cash dividends prior to the closing, but not formally declared yet.
$CMTG if there is a long today, should be CMTG. Trading at 0.2x BV at $8.50. ALthough it does not come free, there is a S3 of $250m. No baby shelf rule.
Catalyst is much better results than expected, loss -0.1 eps vs. -0.39 estimates.
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$AIOK no option for stock dividends from today. Little upside from here fundamentally speaking.
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A tod@s, mañana empieza a las 18:00 (hora española) - 12pm (Easter Time).
Las sesiones quedaran grabadas durante 3 meses para que los que se inscriban puedan acceder a ellas.
Abrazo grande,
Rafa
xvntrading.com/curso-rafael/…
CURSO DE FUNDAMENTALES Y DILUCIÓN EN SMALL CAPS.
7 SESIONES FORMATIVAS + 7 SESIONES DE Q&A.
290€ EN TOTAL: MENOS DE 21€ POR SESIÓN.
200€ PARA MIEMBROS DE LA XAVINETA.
CAJA, CAPACIDAD DE EMISIÓN, WARRANTS, CONVERTIBLES, S1, S3...
Informacion: xvntrading.com/curso-rafael/…
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I think I may buy another house with this..
This is when you get the thesis right but the execution wrong..
What a missed opp
$BRAI a proper roundtrip of the price, back at almost $5. PR is a launch with no dollar value, no customers names. This has no 6-K, so we could say this is immaterial.
No financing machinery here at sight.
The supply story is not for today, 86% of the shares are locked for 12 months, until 12 Feb. 2027.
Here whats to watch is the 4M advisory shares of
Maxim, we just do not know if they are locked.. they may hit the tape. Note that they got the shares at $0.
The 20F 2026 is due today. If there is a delay, the F-3 eligilbility of Jan. 27, would be pushed, so they better file.
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$BRAI a proper roundtrip of the price, back at almost $5. PR is a launch with no dollar value, no customers names. This has no 6-K, so we could say this is immaterial.
No financing machinery here at sight.
The supply story is not for today, 86% of the shares are locked for 12 months, until 12 Feb. 2027.
Here whats to watch is the 4M advisory shares of
Maxim, we just do not know if they are locked.. they may hit the tape. Note that they got the shares at $0.
The 20F 2026 is due today. If there is a delay, the F-3 eligilbility of Jan. 27, would be pushed, so they better file.
Rafael Serrano, CFA retweeted
BREAKING: Brazil's -19.8% stock market crash on Monday was one of the rarest market events in the last two decades, according to our analysis.
Brazil's EWZ ETF plunged -19.8% on October 26th, marking an 8.4 standard deviation move.
For context, the ETF's average daily move over the last 20 years has been just +0.04%, with a standard deviation of 2.36%.
Under a normal distribution, the probability of a decline this extreme is approximately 1 in 58 quadrillion.
In other words, this event should be virtually impossible under conventional statistical models.
What just happened in Brazil was *almost* impossible.
CURSO DE FUNDAMENTALES Y DILUCIÓN EN SMALL CAPS.
7 SESIONES FORMATIVAS + 7 SESIONES DE Q&A.
290€ EN TOTAL: MENOS DE 21€ POR SESIÓN.
200€ PARA MIEMBROS DE LA XAVINETA.
CAJA, CAPACIDAD DE EMISIÓN, WARRANTS, CONVERTIBLES, S1, S3...
Informacion: xvntrading.com/curso-rafael/…
$CLRO pending reverse merger with Cortigent.
zero contractual or registered supply live today.
The beraish assymetry is the $3.5 unit price and 2.5M resale shares landing on the S1...
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A las 18:00 (horario Europe CET) los lunes. Empezamos el dia 2/11.
Las sesiones quedaran grabadas para que los usuarios puedan acceder a ellas si no pudieran conectarse.
Hemos recibido algunas dudas sobre el curso de @rserrano89. Aclaramos:
🔴 7 sesiones en directo de 45 min: lunes 12pm EST
❓ Q&A de cada sesión: miércoles 12pm EST
🎥 Grabación durante 3 meses
📅 Empieza el 2/11
Más dudas: [email protected]
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I really enjoyed this one
Eight years at #1. Fifteen straight in the top ten. Then one massive loss ends it all.
Meet The Dark Lord: a mysterious prop trading legend.
churningandburning.com/2026/…
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Rafael Serrano, CFA retweeted
Yo declararía Cataluña "comunidad santuario" y trasladaría allí de inmediato a los 20.000 de Ceuta.
No podemos ya evitar el destino francés, pero sí podemos hacer control de daños y concentrar las consecuencias en una o dos regiones. Las que han votado ser como Francia.
📍Estimación (📊electodatos) - 🗳️Elecciones Generales:
⚡️AVANCES:
🔵Derecha: 191 (💧🥦🌰)
🔴Izquierda: 127 (🌹🟣🍆)
⚪️Otros: 32 (🍋🥝🍈🌳🐟💐🍌)
‼️🏆Ganador por CCAA:
💧PP: Andalucía, Murcia, C.Valenciana, Baleares, Ceuta, Melilla, Castilla-La Mancha, Castilla y León, Madrid, Extremadura, Aragón, La Rioja, Cantabria, Asturias, Galicia y Navarra (💧PP + 🌰UPN).
🌹PSOE: Cataluña y Canarias.
🥝BILDU: País Vasco.
$WORX lets watch closely WORX today.
The company has over 6M legacy warrants which should be exercised as they are well ITM at around $2.56 strike, they are more than 6 months old so they can now sell under Rule 144.
Note that any new dificiency gets immiediate delisting determination.. $1M market value of public float (This is not the $5M of listed securities) deficiency has a 20th Jan. deadline. In other words, at current float, the floor is around $1.35. Last Friday it closed below that.
That is why exercising the warrants should be their first priority as it would raise the share could to over 7M.
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