aaron (@runzki) header
aaron (@runzki) profile picture

trade thoughts daily 15 years of market entanglement rigid rules, flexible expectations amor fati

Joined April 2014
Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)Photo by aaron (@runzki)
$NVDA trimmed partial 178s trail on remainder
👍 wipeout / reclaim $NVDA
15
👍 wipeout / reclaim $NVDA
Replying to @runzki
closed this early long basically flat opening wipeout / reclaim setup? will be on watch low 170s, 169s $NVDA
1
26
$NVDA took a starter size long 174s 7am flush play only add if it flips in my favor
1
82
$NVDA trimmed 176s risk managed, see how it plays out
1
34
closed this early long basically flat opening wipeout / reclaim setup? will be on watch low 170s, 169s $NVDA
1
22
at 27' Dalio explains the link between power, military and reserve currency if USA plays this next decade wrong if the pendulum swings from hyper-capitalist to.. ?? Dalio says the US reserve currency could be in question power > all
A billionaire literally explained how the entire economy works in 42 minutes better than most $200,000 MBA programs ever could.
22
$NVDA headline is hilarious too early to build a plan but in favor of opening weakness for possible reversal play
Replying to @DeItaone
nobody in congress cared about export controls until the story had an affair in it
64
Did @ericjackson ever figure out who @InvestorsLive is? Or did he leave the door $OPEN on this?
$OPEN what a dumpster fire. I watched the two “Town Hall Meetings,” or whatever @nejatian calls them and based on the preceding price action I've since added this proprietary indicator to my library. EDGE LEAK: If the CEO of a company refers to their earnings call as anything other than an earnings call run.
55
$MTUM weekly fwiw
The US momentum trade is facing a historic unwind: The MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF, $MTUM, fell -8.2% on Thursday, posting its largest daily decline since March 16, 2020. This also marks its 3rd-largest daily decline since its inception in April 2013. $MTUM has dropped -16% over the last 5 trading sessions, to its lowest level since April 7th. From its June peak, the fund is now down -27%, even exceeding the February-April 2025 drawdown of -25%. This follows a +38% gain from the beginning of 2026 to its June 22nd peak. The momentum trade is experiencing historic volatility.
1
42
there is no amount of caffeine that can save me this morning so curious if early pops gets stuffed but ill be in bed
21
shew lower rates.. never?
US JOBS REPORT SMASHES EXPECTATIONS US employers added 165,000 jobs in October, nearly triple the 59,000 expected. 🔸 Nonfarm payrolls: +165K vs. +59K expected 🔸 Unemployment: 4.1% vs. 4.2% expected 🔸 Private payrolls: +159K 🔸 Wage growth: +0.37% monthly, +3.12% annually 🔸 September payrolls revised: +60K
1
28
$SNDK covered 2/3 of this idea 884s
$SNDK interested if this 9ema (900 area) acts as resistance
1
40
fully covered 880s let's see how 8:30 data acts
6
8:30 employment data becomes much more important will likely have this retrace idea closed by then
$SNDK interested if this 9ema (900 area) acts as resistance
1
24
$SNDK interested if this 9ema (900 area) acts as resistance
1
128
Show me another account that offered this clarity and strength of WARN, which was repeated daily, since Oct 27th I doubt there is one.
$QQQ IF YOU'VE ENJOYED MASSIVE PROFITS THIS PAST DECADE KEEP THIS IN MIND: TRUMP SPARKED IT AND IN THE NEAR FUTURE, HIS INFLUENCE MAY PERMENANTLY DIMINISH KNOW YOUR TECHNICAL WARNING SIGNS -NEW HIGHS FAIL -BEARISH ENGULFING SECURE THE BAG
1
16
Put/Call Ratio 1yr average. There's enough fuel here for a bear market.
8
15
3
142
15,057
everything toasted $VIX hod into the close... it's bad
30
closed my bounce trades see how mid day sets up
15
locked in half on various bounce plays many names, plus qqq, retesting vwap area protection trim
$VIX tagged the second peak-out area of interest (28s) $EWY testing major trendline support $DRAM sub-40
24