
#RepBX #BillsMafia #BigBlue #AlwaysKnicks | NBA 🏀 | MLB ⚾️ | NFL 🏈 | | 2023 +212u | 2024 +99u | 2025 +62u | https://nitter.gq/t.co/IOr8xPsp16
Joined November 2013
- Tweets3.9K
- Following762
- Followers1.6K
- Likes8.5K
🚨 ANNOUNCEMENT 🚨
Introducing Sacs University 🗽
Tonight I’ll officially be launching on @Winible 📚
winible.com/sacstim
This is not a MANDATORY PAID PREMIUM rather a platform where I offer a FREE subscription which allows everyone access to my *Signals* and *Writeups* while having another platform to grow my space even further
NOTHING will change on my X / Twitter page I will still be posting here for FREE but the last weeks have been a prime example of how valuable Line Movement can be 📈
Anyone subscribed for FREE on Winible will have access to my *Signals* and *Writeups* well before Twitter / X but the best part is
ALL PLAYS can be send via
📲 TEXT and 📧 EMAIL if opted in rather waiting potentially hours for my plays here
I spend an insane amount of time throughout the day on my page ensuring every write up is accurate and aesthetically pleasing to anyone who comes across all WITHOUT a Paywall backing me
In the future if I do decide to go Premium those services will be offered at Winible as well and anyone who had already subscribed to the FREE signals will be eligible for potential Free Trials, Discounts, Promos, and etc
Once again I remain dedicated to Transparency NOTHING at all will change with my FREE content here
Thank You to everyone who’s followed up to this point I’m looking forward to building an even larger community full of profitable bettors 🤝
There is a PREMIUM section but is NOT MANDATORY to access all my FREE content it is simply there as a future option
NBA Cup Friday Play #2 🏀
Isaiah Hartenstein u8.5 Points
( +101 CZRs ) #ThunderUp
Every ❤️ = 1 Personal Foul Tmr 😭
Jaylin Williams is OUT which brings in Aday Mara into the lineup another big that can stretch the floor but doesn’t run the PnR like Hartenstein does allowing him to roam and score
Minutes just aren’t there for Hartenstein averaging just around 26 minutes despite the injuries to this OKC lineup
Mark Daigneault is still opting for that guard heavy lineup with Alex Caruso, Micah Peavy, Jared McCain, and Bennett Stirtz who all played 20+ minutes last game without Jaylin Williams
Grizzlies rank FIRST defensively against the PnR man which as I mentioned is Hartenstein but rank 28th against the PnR ball handler and 29th against handoffs benefiting all the guards
Hartenstein takes virtually all his shots in the restricted area where Grizzlies rank 6th and also 4th in opponent putback
This Grizzlies team is a great rebounding team that don’t allow second chance points or even many points at all ranking 3rd lowest to Bigs
Doesn’t shoot high volume or see high minutes with this many guards in this OKC lineup he’ll have to convert over 75% of his FGAs to cover and with any potential free throws I’ll take my chance at plus money
Can grab Isaiah Hartenstein u9.5 Points on DraftKings at -125 rn
Obviously way better you get the chance of 4 FGM and potential misses FTs
NBA Cup Friday Play #2 🏀
Isaiah Hartenstein u8.5 Points
( +101 CZRs ) #ThunderUp
Every ❤️ = 1 Personal Foul Tmr 😭
Jaylin Williams is OUT which brings in Aday Mara into the lineup another big that can stretch the floor but doesn’t run the PnR like Hartenstein does allowing him to roam and score
Minutes just aren’t there for Hartenstein averaging just around 26 minutes despite the injuries to this OKC lineup
Mark Daigneault is still opting for that guard heavy lineup with Alex Caruso, Micah Peavy, Jared McCain, and Bennett Stirtz who all played 20+ minutes last game without Jaylin Williams
Grizzlies rank FIRST defensively against the PnR man which as I mentioned is Hartenstein but rank 28th against the PnR ball handler and 29th against handoffs benefiting all the guards
Hartenstein takes virtually all his shots in the restricted area where Grizzlies rank 6th and also 4th in opponent putback
This Grizzlies team is a great rebounding team that don’t allow second chance points or even many points at all ranking 3rd lowest to Bigs
Doesn’t shoot high volume or see high minutes with this many guards in this OKC lineup he’ll have to convert over 75% of his FGAs to cover and with any potential free throws I’ll take my chance at plus money
NBA Cup Friday Play #3 🏀
Donovan Mitchell o24.5 Points
( -102 FanDuel ) #LetEmKnow
Cavs riddled with injuries with multiple guys who can potentially sit in Peyton Watson, Jarrett Allen, Tyrese Proctor and Jaylon Tyson who has already been ruled OUT
NBA Cup game so minutes and usage will be maximized as point differential matters but regardless we get a close spread here
Faced the 76ers in season opener where he dropped 32 points with a healthy roster
Biggest takeaway from that game was the 76ers taking away the deep ball forcing everything inside the arc where Mitchell shot an efficient 9 for 15
Should be the same here as 76ers so far rank 21st against the PnR Ball Handler where he generates 42% of his Points and 26th in transition where he generates 19% of his Points
76ers restricted area defense has been pretty shot as well ranking 23rd where Mitchell takes 24% of his FGAs he could be driving to the rim all night
Them ranking #1 in Spot Up shots hurts production from Guys like Mobley at 22% and Harden at 19% whereas Mitchell generates just 9% of his Points from that range
We just need one of these guys to sit and we’ll see production come up for Mitchell he’s one of the best scorers in the game I’ll take this near plus money
Cashed out Donovan Mitchell o24.5 on FanDuel and took o23.5 on MGM at -115
NBA Cup Friday Play #3 🏀
Donovan Mitchell o24.5 Points
( -102 FanDuel ) #LetEmKnow
Cavs riddled with injuries with multiple guys who can potentially sit in Peyton Watson, Jarrett Allen, Tyrese Proctor and Jaylon Tyson who has already been ruled OUT
NBA Cup game so minutes and usage will be maximized as point differential matters but regardless we get a close spread here
Faced the 76ers in season opener where he dropped 32 points with a healthy roster
Biggest takeaway from that game was the 76ers taking away the deep ball forcing everything inside the arc where Mitchell shot an efficient 9 for 15
Should be the same here as 76ers so far rank 21st against the PnR Ball Handler where he generates 42% of his Points and 26th in transition where he generates 19% of his Points
76ers restricted area defense has been pretty shot as well ranking 23rd where Mitchell takes 24% of his FGAs he could be driving to the rim all night
Them ranking #1 in Spot Up shots hurts production from Guys like Mobley at 22% and Harden at 19% whereas Mitchell generates just 9% of his Points from that range
We just need one of these guys to sit and we’ll see production come up for Mitchell he’s one of the best scorers in the game I’ll take this near plus money
NBA Cup Friday Play #1 🏀
Kyrie Irving o4.5 Assists
( -118 FanDuel ) #MFFL
❤️ if you’re tailing let’s cash out
Safe to say Irving is off minutes restriction as he’s played 35+ minutes in B2B games and his usage has been skyrocketing
NBA Cup game so point differential matters I’m not worried about blowout as much
When playing 33+ minutes this season he’s o4.5 Assists in 3/3 games averaging 10.3 Potentials
Over the L4 games coming off that minutes restriction he’s second in Passes Made, Passes Received and in Potentials only behind Cooper Flagg
Usage sits at 28.3% behind Flag while nobody else in the starting lineup is seeing over 20% it’s clear them two run the offense
Jazz are a tough matchup for Assists ranking 2nd Lowest allowed but so were the Rockets who ranked 3rd lowest still racking up 9 assists and the Spurs ranking 8th lowest still putting up 5 assists
Restricted area defense also good for the Jazz ranking 4th but Kyrie has faced 4 straight defenses ranked in the Top 11 and still covered it just seems he finds quality passes every time
Jazz flood the paint leaving open shooters behind the arc and that’s where Irving can benefit as he drives to the rim 2nd highest behind Flagg
Jazz rank Top 5 in 3PTM and 3PT% from above the break where Max Christie takes virtually all his shots and where P.J. Washington takes 50% of his FGAs
Love the volume and price here
NFL Sunday Week 9 Play #3 🏈
Ladd McConkey o3.5 Receptions
( -124 #DraftKings ) #BoltUp
Run it back as Ladd cashed in the first half last week with a legacy bomb downfield which wasn’t even for him lol
Two screens behind the line of scrimmage early it’s clear they are scheming for their WR1
This Houston secondary has been exploited through this season ranking FIRST in Targets Allowed, 2nd Highest in Receptions allowed per game and the 2nd Highest Fantasy Points allowed to WRs this season
Logged 90.2% of snaps while running 94.6% of routes the volume is undeniably back and I’ll say it again that when Ladd is healthy he’s consistently seen a line at O/U 4.5 here’s his updated log when healthy
5 - 7 - 82 vs Cardinals
3 - 3 - 35 vs Raiders
4 - 5 - 66 at Bills
4 - 6 - 86 at Rams
Getting this line at this price is a no brainer I’ll keep playing it until it moves to juice
NFL Sunday Week 9 Play #1 & #2 🏈
Omarion Hampton o29.5 Rush Yards
( -125 MGM ) #BoltUp
Kimani Vidal u7.5 Rushing Attempts
( -142 #DraftKings )
Moved quite a bit since posting inside Winible so figured I’d just get this out if anyone wants to play Hampton with bumps
Chargers clearly a dumpster fire so not leaning much here but yeah the offense needs change and them finally addressing it publicly and with Mike McDaniel moving to the booth I have to assume they are finally pulling out all the magic
From @CoachspeakIndex
“on Jim Harbaugh saying that we might see more of Omarion Hampton than we have in the last few games, and is that the plan of attack, going forward [Harbaugh did not actually name Hampton, in particular - he simply stated that the Chargers are looking at giving more work to a single back]: No, I think there's varied skill sets of all of our backs. Our starting running back is someone we absolutely believe in. We've had some strong consideration conversation about adjusting the exact flow. But I think that is one of our strengths of our team, is the running back position. They're all doing a great job.
I'm excited about someone dictating the rotation - they do that by play and preparation. O's had a great week of prep, and I can tell he's hungry for the ball and wants the opportunities.”
This might be the most winnable game for the Chargers as Houston rank 6th Highest in Rush EPA allowed and 10th Highest in Success Rate allowed
Secondary hasn’t been great as well they’ve allowed the HIGHEST targets per game and 3rd Highest Receptions per game
With a healthy receiving and backfield core maybe they finally keep a game close or potentially win
To be fair I was extremely tempted to take Zay Flowers o3.5 Receptions a few days ago when it was around -130 it would’ve lost anyways and I would’ve been pissed at that CLV loss
Genuinely what is this stat line
Obviously knew the risk going into this game just didn’t think it would be this bad lol
Joe Fagnano lined up at WR with Derick Henry taking the direct snap like 20 times maybe Henry would’ve played better at QB idk
Zay Flowers ran the ball behind the line of scrimmage more times than Cuevas saw the field and somehow has triple his receiving yards off those rushes ???
Fumble on kick return and Fagnano threw two picks. 3 combined fumbles actually
Clearly had no intention of winning this game the play calling was genuinely questionable
Had one schemed target that got blown up but I doubt he would’ve gotten 15+ on that
Obviously knew the risk going into this game just didn’t think it would be this bad lol
Joe Fagnano lined up at WR with Derick Henry taking the direct snap like 20 times maybe Henry would’ve played better at QB idk
Zay Flowers ran the ball behind the line of scrimmage more times than Cuevas saw the field and somehow has triple his receiving yards off those rushes ???
Fumble on kick return and Fagnano threw two picks. 3 combined fumbles actually
Clearly had no intention of winning this game the play calling was genuinely questionable
Had one schemed target that got blown up but I doubt he would’ve gotten 15+ on that
Thursday Night Football POTD 🏈
Josh Cuevas o6.5 Receiving Yards
( -117 DraftKings ) #RavensFlock
🪜 15+ Receiving Yards +189
Won’t be fun with Joe Fagnano at QB but it’s a pretty obvious passing script here. Only went .75u and .25u as I’m expecting this to be a nasty sweat
Jaguars have an ELITE run defense they rank LAST in Success Rate Allowed, 2nd LOWEST in Rush EPA Allowed, and LOWEST in Yards Per Game Allowed
Pretty obvious game plan going into TNF onna short week which is to limit their best weapon in Derrick Henry and to force Fagnano to throw
Fair to point out Jaguars also have been great against TEs in general ranking bottom 10 in Receptions, Targets and Average allowed
Josh Cuevas is by far the Ravens best catching TE. Started seeing volume Week 3 logging 25% of snaps and since then has not dipped below 22% while maxing at 40%
This season amongst qualified TEs with 50 routes, Cuevas ranks 4th in YPRR only behind Kincaid, Bowers, and Kittle and his TPRR sits at 9th Highest
Short week in expecting more reps here to give Fagnano easier completions as he is still banged up unable to be mobile in the pocket or scrambling
When seeing at least ONE Target this season he’s over in 4/5 games with his only loss being a hook at 14 yards
Has already had schemed targets so the upside is worth it here which is why I laddered to 15+ while taking o6.5 at lower units
Exact script that we want heading into 2H down two scores
Had a schemed target earlier but got blown up so Fagnano just threw it to the ground
Thursday Night Football POTD 🏈
Josh Cuevas o6.5 Receiving Yards
( -117 DraftKings ) #RavensFlock
🪜 15+ Receiving Yards +189
Won’t be fun with Joe Fagnano at QB but it’s a pretty obvious passing script here. Only went .75u and .25u as I’m expecting this to be a nasty sweat
Jaguars have an ELITE run defense they rank LAST in Success Rate Allowed, 2nd LOWEST in Rush EPA Allowed, and LOWEST in Yards Per Game Allowed
Pretty obvious game plan going into TNF onna short week which is to limit their best weapon in Derrick Henry and to force Fagnano to throw
Fair to point out Jaguars also have been great against TEs in general ranking bottom 10 in Receptions, Targets and Average allowed
Josh Cuevas is by far the Ravens best catching TE. Started seeing volume Week 3 logging 25% of snaps and since then has not dipped below 22% while maxing at 40%
This season amongst qualified TEs with 50 routes, Cuevas ranks 4th in YPRR only behind Kincaid, Bowers, and Kittle and his TPRR sits at 9th Highest
Short week in expecting more reps here to give Fagnano easier completions as he is still banged up unable to be mobile in the pocket or scrambling
When seeing at least ONE Target this season he’s over in 4/5 games with his only loss being a hook at 14 yards
Has already had schemed targets so the upside is worth it here which is why I laddered to 15+ while taking o6.5 at lower units
NBA Wednesday Recap 🏀💎
Jalen Green o15.5 Points ✅
Andre Drummond o5.5 Rebounds ✅
Kon Knueppel u2.5 Assists ✅
3 - 0 SWEEP HERE ON X 🧹
24 - 9 on the NBASZN 🔥
Full transparency we lost our first -EV Parlay of the szn inside Winible but X gets fed with a sweep. Of course that loss is reflected on the record
Thursday Night Football POTD 🏈
Josh Cuevas o6.5 Receiving Yards
( -117 DraftKings ) #RavensFlock
🪜 15+ Receiving Yards +189
Won’t be fun with Joe Fagnano at QB but it’s a pretty obvious passing script here. Only went .75u and .25u as I’m expecting this to be a nasty sweat
Jaguars have an ELITE run defense they rank LAST in Success Rate Allowed, 2nd LOWEST in Rush EPA Allowed, and LOWEST in Yards Per Game Allowed
Pretty obvious game plan going into TNF onna short week which is to limit their best weapon in Derrick Henry and to force Fagnano to throw
Fair to point out Jaguars also have been great against TEs in general ranking bottom 10 in Receptions, Targets and Average allowed
Josh Cuevas is by far the Ravens best catching TE. Started seeing volume Week 3 logging 25% of snaps and since then has not dipped below 22% while maxing at 40%
This season amongst qualified TEs with 50 routes, Cuevas ranks 4th in YPRR only behind Kincaid, Bowers, and Kittle and his TPRR sits at 9th Highest
Short week in expecting more reps here to give Fagnano easier completions as he is still banged up unable to be mobile in the pocket or scrambling
When seeing at least ONE Target this season he’s over in 4/5 games with his only loss being a hook at 14 yards
Has already had schemed targets so the upside is worth it here which is why I laddered to 15+ while taking o6.5 at lower units
Show some f*cking love on the recap we’ve been rolling lately all posted on X & Winible for FREE ❤️
Most likely no NBA action from me as there’s only two games but I’ll have my TNF POTD out soon
NBA Wednesday Recap 🏀💎
Jalen Green o15.5 Points ✅
Andre Drummond o5.5 Rebounds ✅
Kon Knueppel u2.5 Assists ✅
3 - 0 SWEEP HERE ON X 🧹
24 - 9 on the NBASZN 🔥
Full transparency we lost our first -EV Parlay of the szn inside Winible but X gets fed with a sweep. Of course that loss is reflected on the record
Jalen Green o15.5 Points ✅✅
( -125 MGM ) #SunsUp
CASH ALL BUMPS AS WELL 🤝
GREEN BRINGS HOME THE SWEEP ON X WHO TAILED ❤️🧹
NBA Wednesday Play #3 🏀
Jalen Green o15.5 Points
( -125 MGM .75u ) #SunsUp
Projecting Jordan Goodwin to be OUT here who left early with a calf injury as Green saw massive bump last game with 21 second half minutes which led the team
Saw the 25 - 31 minute range in four games so this volume increase could be beneficial for someone struggling
We get another close game spread at +3.5 so realistically expecting closer to the 30 - 34 minute range
Struggles are real so I sized down but this is by far the best matchup he’ll have to get on ball as Portland rank 24th against Guards meanwhile 2nd against forwards where Miles Bridges and Dillon Brooks will draw tougher matchups in Deni and Toumani. Book should draw the Damian matchup leaving Green on Scoot
Usage bumped to 28.6% in the 2H only second behind Book which is also encouraging considering he sat at 21.4% behind Brooks on lower minutes
Here are his opening lines and point totals this year
At Portland O/U 19.5 - 10 Points
Vs Warriors O/U 18.5 - 12 Points
At OKC O/U 14.5 - 20 Points
Vs Denver O/U 15.5 - 2 Points
At Warriors O/U 15.5 - 11 Points
O/U 15.5 just seems like the floor Books are willing to offer even with his struggles I’ll try my luck here
Andre Drummond o5.5 Rebounds ✅✅
( -140 #DraftKings )
#SeeRed vs #NewYorkForever
HUSTLE KING HIMSELF WHO TAILED ❤️
NBA Wednesday Play #2 🏀
Andre Drummond o5.5 Rebounds
( -140 #DraftKings )
#SeeRed vs #NewYorkForever
Love backing a hustler like Drummond who absolutely cares about his stats but also knowing KAT could get into foul trouble any second to give Drummond more minutes
When playing 12+ minutes this season he’s o5.5 Rebounds in 5/5 games averaging 9.6 Per Game
Chicago Bulls rank 28th in Rebounds Allowed, 25th in Offensive Rebounds Allowed, and 29th defensively in the Restricted Area where Drummond takes 100% of his FGAs which is where Drummond thrives often hustling on the offensive glass
Faces the Bulls last week and saw 13 rebound chances converting 10 of those in 15 minutes of playtime
Starting to realize how small the bench is for the Knicks featuring 4 guards in Jordan Clarkson, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, and Tyler Kolek who simply don’t possess the rebounding ability like Drummond
As long as Drummond sees 12 minutes I have full confidence he’ll make the most of his playtime















