"Data driven stories and analysis on politics, culture, technology, and world events." | AI & Data Science | Research + Mathematician - Neurodivergent (Autism)
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Joined January 2022
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๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ค ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐๐๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ
Yesterday, I showed the highest risk groups for job displacement GLOBALLY, but what happens when we disaggregate the data and focus on the US only?ย
Which jobs and STATES are at high risk?
Interestingly enoughโฆ6 states are at the HIGHEST risk and 3-4 of those states are already rated as high poverty areas.
High risk automation jobs with over 60% task exposure in the US will include legal assistants and paralegals, data entry keyers and transcriptionists, telemarketers, customer service representatives, and bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks.
Medium risk automation jobs, with 30-50% task exposure, include insurance underwriters, market research analysts, technical writers, and CNC operators.
Low risk automation jobs in the US, with under 20% task exposure, include healthcare providers such as surgeons, registered nurses, physical therapists, mental health counselors, and psychologists.
This group also includes tradespeople such as plumbers, electricians, and HVAC technicians, along with senior corporate executives and strategists.
The low risk group is one of the reasons I believe everyone should learn a tradeโฆ
As shown in my second chart, approximately 30-35% of jobs across these high risk states could be lost by AI automation.
Kentucky has a slightly higher risk of job displacement percentage compared to other high risk states at 680,000 jobs.ย The second chart shows the potential total number of job losses per state.
This raises an important questionโฆ
How would a potential 30-35% loss of jobs across states that already have high poverty rates impact the quality of life of individuals living in these communities?
As stated earlier, Mississippi, Kentucky, and Alabama are a few of the states facing extremely high risks of AI job displacement that ALSO already have high official poverty rates.
I have another model that shows these states are high crime areas.ย Poverty isnโt causal to crime, it has a correlation to it.ย ย
Predictions models would need to suggest the potential increase of crime and poverty due to job displacement.
I will eventually cover job growth, education, salaries, and other projections, but I wanted to focus on potential job displacement first.
What are your thoughts?.
#ai #jobmarket #samglover_data
Would you like a slice and dice data analysis on voter behavior? Iโm not sure if I should cover immigration first.
Keep in mind, I work with data science and build mathematical models.
My ENTIRE purpose and hope on this platform is to share technical data analysis.
My goal is to help give others tools to look at these events differently and outside of pure emotion.
There really isnโt much of that on this platformโฆ
๐๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง & ๐๐๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ (๐๐๐๐-๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ)
For the top layer, letโs first gather data from pre Obama, starting with George W Bush through the present day.ย
What is the total number of immigrants, and what share of the population did they make up during each term?
Who deported more immigrants?
๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐กโ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ, ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ๐ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง.
From the start of the Bush administration in 2001 to the present day, the US foreign born population experienced an absolute growth of 20.8 million people, representing a 61-69% increase.
The percentage share grew from 11% to 15%, meaning the portion of the US population made up of immigrants.
In another post, I can break down the demographics of the foreign born population, crime, job loss, etc... I canโt put everything in one postโฆ
๐๐๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ (๐๐จ๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ)
Higher totals donโt necessarily mean a higher proportion. However, from this view, how many total deportations were there per presidency?
Bush โ 2.02 million
Obama โ 2.75 million (Term 1: 1.57M; Term 2: 1.18M)
Donald Trump, 1st term โ 1.16 million
Joe Biden โ 1.59 million
Donald Trump, 2nd term โ 675K (thus far)
Contrary to popular belief, the comparison isnโt as simple as saying Obama deported more immigrants, because some are combining his two terms. Per term, Obama deported around 1.18Mโ1.57M.
However, he HAS deported more than Trump even if we look at it term by term.
Next, Iโll go over deportations as a share of the immigrant population, and even under those calculations, Obama still deported MOREโฆ
Even Bidenโs administration deported more individuals than Trump in his term, slightly more than Obama in his first term at 1.59, and the slightly highest single term total among the terms listed above.
๐๐ก๐๐ญ ๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ?
George W. Bush administration: 0.73% per year
Barack Obama administration: 0.82% per year
Donald Trump administration (1st term): 0.65% per year
Joe Biden administration: 0.80% per year
From this view, as a proportion of the immigrant population, Obamaโs administration deported more per year.ย
Joe Biden in second placeโฆ
My question at the moment, is if Obama and Biden, deported more immigrants, there appears to have been a different public perception to Trump?
(๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ก ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฉ ๐ ๐จ๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐๐จ๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐๐ฉ๐ ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐จ, ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ก๐๐ช๐ก๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ, ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ก ๐๐ฃ๐๐ก๐ช๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ค๐จ๐ ๐๐จ ๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ก. ๐โ๐ข ๐๐ก๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐จ ๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ , ๐๐ช๐ฉ ๐ ๐๐ข ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐ข๐ค๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ช๐จ๐.)
My apologies if any typos or errors.
#immigration #donaldtrump #obama .
๐๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง & ๐๐๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ (๐๐๐๐-๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ)
For the top layer, letโs first gather data from pre Obama, starting with George W Bush through the present day.ย
What is the total number of immigrants, and what share of the population did they make up during each term?
Who deported more immigrants?
๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐กโ๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ, ๐ญ๐ก๐๐ซ๐ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฆ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง.
From the start of the Bush administration in 2001 to the present day, the US foreign born population experienced an absolute growth of 20.8 million people, representing a 61-69% increase.
The percentage share grew from 11% to 15%, meaning the portion of the US population made up of immigrants.
In another post, I can break down the demographics of the foreign born population, crime, job loss, etc... I canโt put everything in one postโฆ
๐๐๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ (๐๐จ๐ญ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ)
Higher totals donโt necessarily mean a higher proportion. However, from this view, how many total deportations were there per presidency?
Bush โ 2.02 million
Obama โ 2.75 million (Term 1: 1.57M; Term 2: 1.18M)
Donald Trump, 1st term โ 1.16 million
Joe Biden โ 1.59 million
Donald Trump, 2nd term โ 675K (thus far)
Contrary to popular belief, the comparison isnโt as simple as saying Obama deported more immigrants, because some are combining his two terms. Per term, Obama deported around 1.18Mโ1.57M.
However, he HAS deported more than Trump even if we look at it term by term.
Next, Iโll go over deportations as a share of the immigrant population, and even under those calculations, Obama still deported MOREโฆ
Even Bidenโs administration deported more individuals than Trump in his term, slightly more than Obama in his first term at 1.59, and the slightly highest single term total among the terms listed above.
๐๐ก๐๐ญ ๐๐๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐๐ฅ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ข๐๐๐ง๐๐ฒ?
George W. Bush administration: 0.73% per year
Barack Obama administration: 0.82% per year
Donald Trump administration (1st term): 0.65% per year
Joe Biden administration: 0.80% per year
From this view, as a proportion of the immigrant population, Obamaโs administration deported more per year.ย
Joe Biden in second placeโฆ
My question at the moment, is if Obama and Biden, deported more immigrants, there appears to have been a different public perception to Trump?
(๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ก ๐ฅ๐ช๐ฉ ๐ ๐จ๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐๐จ๐๐๐๐ฉ ๐ฌ๐๐ฉ๐ ๐จ๐ค๐ช๐ง๐๐๐จ ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐ข๐๐ฃ๐ฉ๐จ, ๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ก๐๐ช๐ก๐๐ฉ๐๐ค๐ฃ๐จ, ๐ ๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ก ๐๐ฃ๐๐ก๐ช๐๐ ๐ฉ๐๐ค๐จ๐ ๐๐จ ๐ฌ๐๐ก๐ก. ๐โ๐ข ๐๐ก๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐จ ๐ค๐ฅ๐๐ฃ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ , ๐๐ช๐ฉ ๐ ๐๐ข ๐ฃ๐ค๐ฉ ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ค ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ฃ๐ฎ ๐ข๐ค๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ช๐จ๐.)
My apologies if any typos or errors.
#immigration #donaldtrump #obama .
Samantha Glover retweeted
You are too nice, too kind, you have a victim complex, you give too much, youโre too patient, you expect too much from people, you take less and scraps and celebrate bare minimum, you talk too much, you complain and cry too much, NOBODY cares โฆ they will do it again to you.
Samantha Glover retweeted
Would you like a slice and dice data analysis on voter behavior? Iโm not sure if I should cover immigration first.
Keep in mind, I work with data science and build mathematical models.
My ENTIRE purpose and hope on this platform is to share technical data analysis.
My goal is to help give others tools to look at these events differently and outside of pure emotion.
There really isnโt much of that on this platformโฆ
Samantha Glover retweeted
Instead of saying "this person, place or thing is against me"
Remove resistance.
Everything that appears in front of you - is for you.
Samantha Glover retweeted
NOTED: Alicia Keys The Untold Stories
I study to this often. It's so serene for me. I know their background story isn't the greatest, but we're here and everyone has forgiven, so who am I to hold a grudge?
If you want to watch the full version, this is the one.
Samantha Glover retweeted
Not every struggling person is humble, some are just waiting for money to expose their arrogance.
Samantha Glover retweeted
Iโd like to see the data. Also, Iโd like to add climate migration. Are we sensing a large wave coming? And also could we be sensing a future where with changes coming from AI we need to decrease population? Weโve always operated under the assumption that we need to grow, but what if thatโs all about to change?
