scorz

I did not anticipate that the Seventh Party System in the US would be Effective Altruists vs Accelerationists, but here we are.

I have conducted an audit of Anthropic's finances. What I have found is so shocking that I am calling for a Congressional investigation. Anthropic is not just seeking regulatory capture. It has built a regulatory capture machine that cannot be turned off. Structural financial incentives make it impossible for Anthropic -- I call it the Anthropic Network -- to turn off its own AI doom cycle. It starts with METR. Dario Amodei proposes "third-party evaluators" to assess the risk of Anthropic's models. He proposes METR for this purpose. But METR is financially dependent on the Anthropic's success -- specifically, on the explosive growth of more than $7 billion dollars in Anthropic stock. Dustin Moskovitz invested this stock into Good Ventures Foundation, where it represents the majority of that organization's portfolio. And GVF is the overwhelming funder of the entire Anthropic Network ecosystem. This stock was worth $500 million early last year. It is worth more than $7.7 billion just ~16 months later. METR -- and all of those building a career its parent organizations -- cannot afford to disrupt that growth. Because if Anthropic goes under, many of the organizations that fund METR go under as well. But if Anthropic succeeds, METR and its parent organizations become more richly financed to regulate AI -- something those at METR want very much. The "third-party evaluator" is not "third-party" at all. The evaluator is on Anthropic's payroll. If this were the end of it, that's bad. But that isn't all. The same organizations that fund METR also fund the many organizations, such as the Tarbell Center, that promote AI Doom. The Tarbell Center publishes AI Doom articles in The Verge, Science, LA Times, The Dispatch, TIME, and others. They are selling the problem, and then selling the solution to the problem -- from the same money pile: Anthropic's. All of these organizations are financially dependent on the same exploding $7 billion money pile. As Anthropic grows more and more powerful, its AI Doom Machine grows better and better financed -- louder and louder. Meanwhile, the regulatory regime seeded in METR grows larger to solve the increasingly loud -- now hysterical -- problem of AI Doom that the Anthropic Network itself created. From this standpoint, as Anthropic becomes more powerful, AI might be getting scarier, sure -- but the positive feedback loop also becomes more deafening -- independent of objective facts. This itself is an objective fact. The deafening AI Doom is part of an business model, that, as it expands, so too does the AI Doom messaging -- there is simply more money to do it. But the problem also goes in the other direction: If Anthropic dies, the Regulatory Regime and the AI Doom Machine are crippled or die. Neither METR nor Tarbell nor the other organizations in the Anthropic Network can allow that to happen. Hence, neither METR or the AI Doom Machine can be trusted to provide independent assessments of Anthropic's models or AI more broadly. They simply are not organizations independent of Anthropic. And Anthropic cannot detach itself from METR or Tarbell or countless other safety orgs (not shown here), either, because they drive hype for the models and the possibility of eventual regulatory capture, and Anthropic will not give that up willingly. What's more, the people at all of these organizations are all the same ecosystem, the same community. They just shuffle between organizations. The Anthropic Network is therefore, so long as it is successful, locked into a self-amplifying feedback loop inside an ideological monoculture. And that feedback loop is winning. That's what Jacob Coxon is. China is keeping messaging tight. That is why optimism for AI is so high in China. America has Anthropic: a massive company pushing anti-AI propaganda at a state level. Anthropic will either create hysteria until American AI slows down and China wins, or it will create fractures throughout American society with severe political consequences. Ironically, because of the structural financial incentives underpinning the Anthropic Network, it has become the same kind of self-amplifying virus that it fantasizes AI to become in the future -- while hiding its tracks just as carefully. It is the mirror of the same AI virus that it hypothesizes to consume America. Anthropic's business model, models itself after the very thing it claims to fear. Except Anthropic's ideology infects humans, not computers. Congress must investigate. Evidence and Github in next post. Then some supplementary figures.

I know these kinds of observations are trite, but just take a second to imagine the reaction in the finance world had someone in a Kamala Harris administration talked about "Bloomberg Terminal bros" amidst this big selloff in Treasuries.

Christian Lamouroux offers a masterful reinterpretation of the Song empire, focusing on its interactions with its neighbors and emphasizing its crucial role in the longer economic, social, and political history of China, East Asia, and the world. press.princeton.edu/books/ha…

Denzel explica por qué usa la IA. Un pequeña prueba explorando Minimax H3 en ComfyUI con mis nodos y métodos de inpainting.

Javier Milei has proposed a Hong Kong-style handover as a model for bringing the Falkland Islands under Argentine control. Read more about what this means in practical terms 👇 telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2…

RIP the World Wide Web (1993-2026)

so when I interviewed Kevin Smith about MALLRATS this topic kinda came up but then it went in a direction I did NOT expect—

Matt Damon says his dad told him to cut the line “how do you like them apples” from Good Will Hunting “I love telling the story about my father reading the script of Good Will Hunting and telling me that the line ‘how do you like them apples’ would never work. He told me to take it out of the script” Interviewer: Your dad told you to cut the most iconic line of the movie? “And after the movie came out, he said Matthew, don’t ever give me a script to read again”

I guarantee if Best Buy brings this back for a “trial run” at some of their stores they’ll learn pretty quickly why it was such a bad decision to ever get rid of this

Leopold blowing up after Peter Thiel was sent packing from the public markets is more fuel for my "Venture is easy" agenda. I'm convinced you could hand 100 kids at HYPSM a million each after basic filtering and beat most venture firms. Maybe if you even distributed randomly.

Mac search has been broken for 2 years, and nobody at Apple seems to care. - I open spotlight search - Type "calc" - Calculator appears - I hit return But in the 0.2 seconds before I hit return, it swaps to a random file with the word "calc" in it somewhere. And I open a file I didn't want. This happens to me every single day. Very unbecoming of a $5T company whose customers are still obsessed with its products.

His Wedding Guests Were Arriving—Just as His $45 Billion Fund Was Falling Apart on.wsj.com/4wRi3Mh

hating on leopold is so weird. he predicted so many things right, put out a timeline thesis, bet all in on it, and priced in things no one else did. now there is always a chance something doesn't work out but it literally did work out he is up 80% this year