
Swarm Intelligence for prediction markets and crypto starting with Robinhood chain! We build the infra and tooling, swarm builds the edge @sleuthio little bro
Joined April 2026
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Higher for @RobinhoodCrypto, higher for robinhood:0xf44702b17d9abd53815f703e772f35e9c71a53af
$1.14B+ TVL, an ATH for Robinhood Chain.
More DeFi, more wallets, more to do.
The Tree’s utility is about to get tested and the traffic is already here.
Last 30 days on Sleuth: 📊 304k requests (10.1k/day avg, 9,427 yesterday)
👥 14k unique visits across the month (~463/day avg, 463 yesterday)
🔁 ~22 requests per visitor/day, this isn’t bounce traffic, people sit in the app
That’s the pool Tier 2 gets built from.
Let's take a look at the mechanics of the token only access design. Not price speculation but the direct result of 100 users holding for Tier 2 access.
Tier 2 access = hold $2K of robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 (or pay monthly in robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 ). No cash subs. If price rises, you need fewer tokens to stay qualified, sell the excess, keep access.
With the release of The Tree, our flagship intel product, almost here. We’re targeting 100 Tier 2 holders next months.
Here’s what 100 holding for Tier 2 access does from here:
📍 Now 90.3M robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 in LP (9.0%) | 18.5 ETH | $89k pool | $0.00049 | $0.49M FDV
🔹 Scenario 1
Everyone trims to exactly $2K +$75k net buy 33.7M SLEUTH in LP (3.4%) | 49.7 ETH | $238k pool | $0.00354 | $3.53M FDV → the floor: what the access rule alone guarantees
🔹 Scenario 2
Nobody sells +$200k net buy 16.4M SLEUTH in LP (1.6%) | 101.9 ETH | $489k pool | $0.01488 | $14.85M FDV → the ceiling: 100 users just holding
Reality lands between $3.53M–$14.85M FDV from access demand alone. This is purely the mechanics of the token only gating of our most valuable Intel.
This is the potential correlation when the token is the only path to access. In the design, not bolted on
New here?
- Axol.io built the Raxol agent, tokenized on @RobinhoodApp!
- Raxol routes trades through our privacy-first DEX/Dark Pool: @xochi_fi
Check out our pinned post for the full breakdown!, and link in bio for CA/TG!
New to axol.io, Raxol, & xochi.fi?
Most people find us through $RAXOL first, then work backwards: the agent, lab, dark pool, ERC, bridge, etc.
Our legend:
axol.io: the lab that builds all of it
Raxol.io: Open-source agent runtime and framework
$RAXOL: Tokenized Raxol agent
Xochi.fi: Dark pool where trades execute
ERC-8262: How private trades stay compliant
PXE Bridge: Door to private settlement on Aztec
A thread.
Sleuth Intel retweeted
the @sleuthintel are building something really cool. Personally I can hardly wait to dig into the upcoming mainnet product a lot more and partner with them on @Get_Ora when the time comes.
The deepest intel lives on the Tree. It shows all the connected dots. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding.
Signals are data. The connections are alpha. The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
How does The Tree benefit $SLEUTH holders?
You need to hold $SLEUTH or have a monthly subscription (paid in Sleuth) to gain access to the platform.
→ Holders take supply out of the pool and keep it in their wallets. As users step up to T3 and T4, more of it stays there.
→ Subscribers pay in SLEUTH every month, and a quarter of every payment is locked for two years currently before it goes to the swarm as wages
Usage turns into demand for the token.
That demand turns into supply leaving the market. As the Tree grows, it surfaces more links, which brings more users and more lockup.
This week I finally got hands on with Sleuth's Belt, and honestly, it clicked faster than I expected
The idea is simple: you submit a claim (about a wallet, a token, a market, anything), back it with evidence, and the swarm checks it. If it holds up, it becomes part of the Tree, @sleuthintel's public knowledge graph that everyone can trust and build on
I submitted 3 different types of claims:
➬ A market call on the EPL 2027 Champion odds (Arsenal's rise, backed by the price chart)
➬ A funding claim on a trending token's deployer wallet, sourced from community chatter
➬ A narrative tag linking a CT account's post to a trending token's hype cycle
What stood out: one of my claims already got verified by the swarm within minutes, with a clear note on why it checked out.
That's the part most people won't expect, it's not just ‘submit and forget,’ you actually see your claim get judged in near real time.
This is what makes @sleuthintel different from a regular dashboard.
You're not just reading data, you're helping build the thing that makes the data trustworthy in the first place
If you haven't tried the Belt yet, go submit a claim It's simple, and you'll actually see your intel get checked.
➬ @sleuthintel 🫡
Sleuth Intel retweeted
It's great to see robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 is getting some volume again.
Trading volume has been low and still is pretty low. This doesn't really bother me because @sleuthintel is building something very useful.
I recommend checking out their last few posts so you can see what they've been up to.
They will get the attention they deserve.
The deepest intel lives on the Tree. It shows all the connected dots. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding.
Signals are data. The connections are alpha. The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
How does The Tree benefit $SLEUTH holders?
You need to hold $SLEUTH or have a monthly subscription (paid in Sleuth) to gain access to the platform.
→ Holders take supply out of the pool and keep it in their wallets. As users step up to T3 and T4, more of it stays there.
→ Subscribers pay in SLEUTH every month, and a quarter of every payment is locked for two years currently before it goes to the swarm as wages
Usage turns into demand for the token.
That demand turns into supply leaving the market. As the Tree grows, it surfaces more links, which brings more users and more lockup.
The deepest intel lives on the Tree. It shows all the connected dots. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding.
Signals are data. The connections are alpha. The Tree shows you what nobody else can.
How does The Tree benefit $SLEUTH holders?
You need to hold $SLEUTH or have a monthly subscription (paid in Sleuth) to gain access to the platform.
→ Holders take supply out of the pool and keep it in their wallets. As users step up to T3 and T4, more of it stays there.
→ Subscribers pay in SLEUTH every month, and a quarter of every payment is locked for two years currently before it goes to the swarm as wages
Usage turns into demand for the token.
That demand turns into supply leaving the market. As the Tree grows, it surfaces more links, which brings more users and more lockup.
How The Tree drives $SLEUTH
How The Tree drives $SLEUTH
What makes robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 different?
The robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 token:
→ The token is the only way to pay for a subscription.
→ Holding robinhood:0x0500a1a597a631cec9637767f7b75c5b5d0c1db4 for access creates a 'soft floor'.
→ There is no credit card option. Access is the token. Subscribe in sleuth or hold sleuth.
→ 25% of all revenue gets bought and locked for two years, then paid to the swarm.
The Tree:
→ One canonical graph.
Wallets, ct accounts, prediction market traders, contracts, and narratives are nodes. Every link between them is an edge. All of it is public, all of it built and policed by the swarm.
The tree makes the product worth paying for. Payments are token demand. A quarter of that demand gets locked and comes back as the payroll that recruits more swarm. Every turn feeds the next one.
The Investable Token Thesis, Applied > $SLEUTH
Some current user numbers from the traffic analytics
We can expect an increase over the next few weeks, with the Tree going live and a partner integration of our Oneshot Intel with their agent vaults
Few more partner integrations still unannounced, soon🤫
~ almost 500 people using sleuth every single day
~22 requests per visitor, per day -> they don't check in, they sit in the app
60% of traffic from US, UK, CA -> monetizable geo profile, inverted vs typical crypto betas at this size
Zero marketing, zero incentives, no token gate
Small numbers but real ones, main point is, people showing up daily for a free product with nothing to farm is retention you can't buy
The signal is there, what we are building next is going to amplify this significantly
Sleuth Intel retweeted
We took Robinhood public. Then we rebuilt it publicly.
I wrote about this for @HarvardBiz:
hbr.org/2026/11/robinhoods-c…
I am not really into prediction markets.
That is why I spent this week checking out @sleuthintel.
The First Look
I expected to be lost, and the first screen threw me off. It took a minute to figure out what I was looking at.
➥ Once the heatmap clicked, everything made sense.
➥ The colors show how hot each market is, and one tap shows where the money is sitting.
Checking the Numbers
I checked a few markets against Polymarket just to see.
➥ The numbers matched up almost perfectly.
➥ The Ballon d'Or market hit 51.4 million on both, and the Brazil election odds lined up down to the decimal.
The Trader Leaderboard
This was my favorite part.
➾ It ranks real wallets by actual performance.
➾ You can spot who is genuinely sharp versus who just got lucky.
➾ I ended up reading through wallets like a Sunday rabbit hole.
Signals
➱ Signals: It maps attention across coins so you can watch interest build before the price moves. SOL was leading the board while I was looking.
➱ The issue: Every time I tapped a market, it pushed me straight over to Polymarket. I wanted to stay and dig around longer.
Final Verdict
I came in knowing nothing about prediction markets.
I left with a dashboard I actually want to keep open.
That rarely happens with a new tool.
You built a great tool @sleuthintel
The Investable Token Thesis, Applied > $SLEUTH
Another Day to Go again!
I’ve been having a good time exploring the prediction markets (PMs) on @SleuthIntel as a beta tester!
The dashboard makes it easy to browse different markets, track activity across categories, and discover new ones to explore.
I’m enjoying testing the beta, exploring individual markets, and finding more ways to use the platform for everyday research.
The dev team is using community feedback to improve the platform and make it more accessible to everyone.
Sleuth Intel covers multiple data sources for a very specific reason. To bring them all together on one canonical graph
On the Tree, live data is scrubbed, verified, graded and policed by the swarm
📡 Live X feed Alpha, Prediction Markets, AI, Robinhood tokenized stocks
📊 Prediction Markets with @Polymarket & Rothera data
🎯 @RobinhoodCrypto One Shot Intel for trending tokens
🐋 All with smart money movements and wallet tracking
The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all
"The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all"
Wallets, prediction markets, socials, narratives, playbooks.
5 data sets → One connected map with The Tree
Sleuth Intel covers multiple data sources for a very specific reason. To bring them all together on one canonical graph
On the Tree, live data is scrubbed, verified, graded and policed by the swarm
📡 Live X feed Alpha, Prediction Markets, AI, Robinhood tokenized stocks
📊 Prediction Markets with @Polymarket & Rothera data
🎯 @RobinhoodCrypto One Shot Intel for trending tokens
🐋 All with smart money movements and wallet tracking
The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all
Sleuth Intel covers multiple data sources for a very specific reason. To bring them all together on one canonical graph
On the Tree, live data is scrubbed, verified, graded and policed by the swarm
📡 Live X feed Alpha, Prediction Markets, AI, Robinhood tokenized stocks
📊 Prediction Markets with @Polymarket & Rothera data
🎯 @RobinhoodCrypto One Shot Intel for trending tokens
🐋 All with smart money movements and wallet tracking
The deepest intel lives on the Tree, all the dots connected. One lookup shows you what five dashboards can’t. Who’s behind the wallet, where they’re positioned, and what story they’re riding or hiding
Signals are data. Connections are alpha. The Tree sees all
If you're into predictions, go check out @sleuthintel 👀
It's got a whole market ecosystem page that shows you where the money's actually moving, politics, sports, elections, crypto, all sized by volume so you instantly see what's hot and what's quiet
Felt like walking into a room and immediately knowing where the action is
It won't let you place the bet there (that part happens on Polymarket), but it gives you the full picture before you even think about predicting
Kinda like scouting before you play.
Go have a look, you might find your next market
🔗: sleuthintel.io/pm-markets
🤝 Paid partnership





















