Want to do an introduction for myself on X. My name is Cade, I am 20, and I live in NY-24. I have been following CON ET for a while, but it was under my mom's account she never used. I would only like posts with it and follow accounts. Finally, I wanted to get involved so I....

KATIE HOBBS THE ELECTION DENIER!!

Lol, what? Spaz Nuttycomb should not be taken seriously.

Siena's final poll overestimated Hochul by 4.5% in 22. If you apply that here, she wins by 9.5%. I think its closer than that personally.

With vow good she's been campaigning and performing in the debates, Saritha will be mich closer and may outrun Blakeman.

Siena's final poll had DeSantis winning by 12. They were off by about 7%. Honestly, if you applied that to this poll, that's roughly where I might have Donald's winning by. He's significantly weaker than DeSantis and Jolly is much better than Crist, but it's Florida. I wouldn't be surprised to see Donald's win by 11-14%.

It wasn't with NYT then, but Siena's final poll has Marco Rubio winning by 8. He won in the end by 16.5%. So doubling Moody's lead with that in mind, and considering Florida's crazy trend to the right canceling out any blue wave, Ashley Moody should win by 14-16, and thats not even considering the horrible candidate quality of Nixon.

Ridiculously contradictory to every poll that has come out showing Flanagan leading by a few. Polling is such a joke.

I have legit just stopped paying attention to most polls. Anyone remember 2020 Senate? Lindsay Graham was tied in one of the final polls, RCP moved it to tossup. Anyone remember the final result? Yeah, Lindsay +10. Darline is not a skilled politician and hasn't been the smoothest out there, but she's not tied and she's not losing.

I see most people commenting under this that it's a fundraising poll. And yes, it likely is. But how many fundraising polls have you seen Dems release this year? Infinite. How many have you seen Republicans release? 5, maybe 10? Dems are strapped for cash and have to keep begging for money. I think I remember seeing that Taylor is outspending Wittman by $7 million. If she is outspending him by that much and she still needs to release fundraising polls, that should tell you all you need to know.

I am so glad that Texas is an overall fast state when it comes to counting votes, and we will also start to get data in before the poll closing. Same thing for Ohio, it's a relatively quick state. These races will still be closer, but thank god they don't count like Nevada or Arizona, or even worse, California.

I missed this earlier, but we have a 4.6% advantage in AZ-1, compared to a 1.2% in 2022. Huge numbers for us.

😂😂😂

GROUNDBREAKING

Everyone give @thejonathan1776 a follow. He had reached out to me the other day looking for advice on how to grow his page. I knew the feeling of posting but not gaining followers, and now that I have, it feels great. I like his analysis so far, so go follow this fellow patriot.

I would SO approve of this! Many senators have good policy and just bad optics and media relations. Cruz is the definition of that. He is always very good on policy, but he gets annoying in front of a camera and microphone. No one can deny he is an extremely smart guy and would make a great justice. And it would keep him away from Presidential aspirations.