Stats Bench

🔥🏀 THE NBA IS BACK🏀🔥 Every bucket. Every possession. Every dime. From opening night to the final buzzer, StatsBench is covering the season from start to finish. 📊 167+ player props on the board today 🎯 First Basket analysis 📈 L5 / L10 / L20 trends 🧠 Player efficiency metrics 🛡️ Matchup + defensive breakdowns 💰 Live sportsbook odds 📉 Historical results, fully tracked And the First Basket engine is back after finishing last season at: +118.7u +36.7% ROI 15.9% hit rate 271 graded picks Long odds. Small hit rate required. Every pick tracked. 🔥 Season launch discounts are still live: FOREVER25 → 25% off monthly YEARLY40 → 40% off yearly The season is here. Bench the guesswork. statsbench.com #NBA #NBAPicks #Gambling𝕏 #PlayerProps

Saturday recap: 8-17 across 9 posters, 32% hit, -9.6u 📊 NCAAF 3-5 · NHL 3-6 · NBA 2-6 Best hits: ✅ Brandon Montour OVER 0.5 points (+115): finished with 1 ✅ Mark Jankowski OVER 1.5 shots on goal (+100): finished with 3 ✅ Luke Kennard OVER 8.5 pts + reb + ast (-105): finished with 14 ✅ JC French IV OVER 23.5 rushing yards (-109): finished with 24 ✅ Peyton Watson OVER 6.5 reb + ast (-114): finished with 8 Every pick we post gets graded in public, wins and misses. Which one did you ride? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NCAAF #NHL #NBA #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Sunday Part #3 1️⃣ Jeremiah Fears OVER 7.5 reb + ast (-110) 8 rebounds plus assists is the target for Fears. He has hit that in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 9.7. His most recent results in the sample include 12, 11, 8 and 10, though there are lows of 1 and 4. Yves Missi is out today. In the 10 games Missi missed, Fears averaged 11.2 rebounds plus assists, against 8.8 across all games in that span, a +2.4 difference. His minutes are up to 33.4 over the last 5 games from 29.7 over the last 10. The Clippers are the opponent. They rank 28th in REB+AST allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games and 28th in opponent FG% over the last 10 games. They also rank 21st in points allowed over the last 10 games. Their 10th rank in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games is the one that cuts the other way. The 7 of 10 hit rate is good, but the lows of 1 and 4 show the volatility in the sample. 2️⃣ Keegan Murray OVER 8.5 field goal attempts (-105) 9 field goal attempts is the target for Murray. He has cleared that in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 11.4. His most recent results in the sample include 10, 2, 8 and 9, so the 8 and 9 are close to the line. The Heat are the opponent. Miami ranks 25th in FGA allowed to power forwards over the last 10 games, 28th in points allowed over the last 10 games, and 26th in opponent FG% over the last 10 games. That profile supports the attempt volume. The 8 of 10 hit rate is strong, but the 2 and 8 in the sample show the risk if his attempts dip. 3️⃣ Jaime Jaquez Jr. OVER 4.5 rebounds (-112) 5 rebounds is the target for Jaquez. He has hit that in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 6.2. His recent results in the sample include 7, 8, 2 and 3, and the 2 and 3 are the most recent values. The Celtics are the opponent. Boston ranks 4th in points allowed over the last 10 games and 3rd in opponent FG% over the last 10 games, so this is a tough defense overall. The rank that cuts the other way is 30th in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games, which is the angle for Jaquez. Boston also ranks 16th in rebounds allowed over the last 10 games. The 7 of 10 hit rate is solid, but the recent 2 and 3 mean this one relies on his rebounding volume. 3 overs with very different profiles: Fears brings rebound and assist volume, Murray brings field goal attempt volume, and Jaquez brings the lowest requirement. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Pelicans #Kings #Bucks #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Sunday Part #2 1️⃣ Jaden McDaniels OVER 5.5 rebounds (-110) Jaden McDaniels needs 6 rebounds to clear 5.5 against Utah. He has hit this in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 6.2 rebounds. His most recent values in the sample are 3, 6, 8 and 6. Utah ranks 24th in points allowed, 25th in rebounds allowed, 4th in assists allowed, 12th in 3PM allowed, 16th in Opp FG% and 22nd in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. The 4th rank in assists allowed cuts the other way, while the 25th and 22nd ranks support the rebound angle. His hit rate is strong at 9 of the last 10 games shown, but the line still asks for 6, so a normal rebounding night matters. 2️⃣ Matas Buzelis OVER 4.5 rebounds (-110) Matas Buzelis needs 5 rebounds to clear 4.5 against Philadelphia. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 4.9 rebounds. His home average is 6, against an away average of 4.4. His most recent values in the sample are 5, 5, 3 and 5. Philadelphia ranks 5th in points allowed, 29th in rebounds allowed, 3rd in assists allowed, 3rd in 3PM allowed, 7th in Opp FG% and 28th in rebounds allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. The 5th, 3rd and 7th ranks cut the other way, while the 29th and 28th ranks support the rebound angle. His hit rate is strong at 8 of the last 10 games shown, but the average of 4.9 is close to 4.5 and the most recent value is 5, so he needs a typical rebounding game rather than a big outlier. 3️⃣ VJ Edgecombe OVER 9.5 field goal attempts (-160) VJ Edgecombe needs 10 field goal attempts to clear 9.5 against Chicago. He has hit this in 10 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 11.7 field goal attempts. His most recent values in the sample are 12, 11 and 13, with 13 at the end. Chicago ranks 30th in points allowed, 30th in rebounds allowed, 29th in assists allowed, 27th in 3PM allowed, 30th in Opp FG% and 19th in FGA allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games. The 19th rank in FGA allowed to shooting guards cuts the other way, while the other ranks point to a soft defense. Adem Bona is out, and in the 2 games Bona missed VJ Edgecombe averaged 15 field goal attempts, against 12.4 across all games in that span (+2.6). His hit rate is strong, but this is a volume prop, and the 19th rank in FGA allowed to shooting guards means the matchup is not as soft as Chicago's overall profile. McDaniels brings the strong hit rate, Buzelis brings the home split and rebound matchup, and Edgecombe brings volume plus the Bona absence. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Timberwolves #Bulls #76ers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Sunday Part #1 1️⃣ Davion Mitchell OVER 20.5 pts + ast (-111) Davion Mitchell needs 21 PTS+AST against the Sacramento Kings. He has hit 9 of the last 10 games shown, and his average is 25.3. His most recent results in the sample are 26, 22, 21 and 30. Sacramento ranks 29th in points allowed and 29th in opponent FG% over the last 10 games, and 24th in PTS+AST allowed to point guards. The strong hit rate still includes a 20, so he has to finish above 20.5. 2️⃣ Naji Marshall OVER 8.5 field goal attempts (-120) Naji Marshall needs 9 FGA against the Brooklyn Nets. He has hit 9 of the last 10 games shown, and his average is 11.2. His most recent results in the sample are 8, 9, 12 and 10. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in FGA allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games, while its 6th-ranked rebounds allowed over the last 10 games is a tougher mark. The strong hit rate still includes an 8, so this pick relies on his attempts holding near that 11.2 average. 3️⃣ Dejounte Murray OVER 1.5 steals (-110) Dejounte Murray needs 2 steals against the LA Clippers. He has hit 6 of the last 10 games shown, and his average is 2. His most recent results in the sample are 2, 1, 4 and 1. The LA Clippers rank 30th in steals allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games, while their 10th-ranked rebounds allowed over the last 10 games is a tougher mark. Yves Missi is out today. In the 4 games Missi missed, Murray averaged 2 steals, against 1.7 across all games in that span (+0.3). At 6 of the last 10 games shown, this is the weakest hit rate here, and his most recent result is 1, so this is volatile despite the matchup. The profiles differ: Mitchell brings scoring and assists, Marshall brings shot volume, and Murray brings defensive-event upside. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Heat #Mavericks #Pelicans #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Sunday Part #3 1️⃣ Seth Jones OVER 0.5 power play points (+190) Seth Jones needs 1 power play point against Boston. He's cleared this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.8 power play points. He closed the sample with 2, 2, 0, 0 and 1. Boston ranks 3rd in goals allowed, 12th in shots allowed, 3rd in points allowed, 17th in PP points allowed and 20th in PP points allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games. The 17th in PP points allowed and 20th in PP points allowed to defensemen cut the other way against the tough 3rd ranks. The 6 of the last 10 games shown is not overwhelming, so he still needs a power-play point to actually land rather than just his 0.8 average. 2️⃣ Chris Tanev OVER 2.5 blocked shots (+138) Chris Tanev needs 3 blocked shots against New Jersey. He's cleared this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.3 blocked shots. He closed the sample with 4, 1 and 0. New Jersey ranks 8th in goals allowed, 5th in shots allowed, 13th in points allowed, 10th in PP points allowed, 24th in blocks allowed and 23rd in blocks allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games. The 24th in blocks allowed and 23rd in blocks allowed to defensemen cut the other way against the tough 8th and 5th ranks. The 6 of the last 10 games shown and the 0 results in the sample make this volatile; he needs 3 blocks, and the 2.3 average says it is not automatic. 3️⃣ Leo Carlsson OVER 0.5 assists (-125) Leo Carlsson needs 1 assist against Pittsburgh. He's cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.3 assists. He closed the sample with 3, 0, 2 and 1, and his ice time is up to 22.1 over the last 5 games from 20.2 over the last 10. Pittsburgh ranks 26th in goals allowed, 11th in shots allowed, 25th in points allowed, 9th in PP points allowed and 29th in assists allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 11th in shots allowed and 9th in PP points allowed are tougher ranks, but 26th in goals allowed, 25th in points allowed and 29th in assists allowed to forwards cut the other way. The 7 of the last 10 games shown is the best hit rate of the 3 picks, but an assist still depends on his teammates finishing the chance. Seth Jones brings the power-play requirement, Chris Tanev brings the blocked-shot volatility and Leo Carlsson brings the assist upside with the best hit rate of the 3. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Panthers #MapleLeafs #Ducks #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NFL Sunday Part #2 1️⃣ Darnell Mooney OVER 1.5 receptions (+140) Darnell Mooney needs 2 receptions for the New York Giants against the Philadelphia Eagles. He has hit in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.6 receptions, and his most recent four results are 0, 2, 0 and 1. His away average is 1.8 receptions. Philadelphia's defense ranks 30th in total yards allowed, 29th in pass yards allowed, 26th in rush yards allowed, 27th in points allowed, 21st in pass TDs allowed and 26th in receptions allowed to WRs over the last 5 games. Jonathan Jones and Tucker Large are out. The 0 and 1 in the recent sample show the volatility, and this one needs Mooney to reach 2 receptions. 2️⃣ Marvin Mims Jr. OVER 1.5 receptions (+120) Marvin Mims Jr. needs 2 receptions for the Denver Broncos against the Carolina Panthers. He has hit in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.6 receptions, and his most recent four results are 2, 2, 2 and 2. His away average is 1.6 receptions. Carolina's defense ranks 14th in total yards allowed, 10th in pass yards allowed, 16th in rush yards allowed, 24th in points allowed, 16th in pass TDs allowed and 18th in receptions allowed to WRs over the last 5 games. Bobby Okereke and Jaelan Phillips are out. The pass yards allowed rank of 10th and total yards allowed rank of 14th are tough, while the points allowed rank of 24th cuts the other way. The caveat is the 1.6 away average, so he needs the recent results to hold rather than a big target day. 3️⃣ Jaxon Smith-Njigba OVER 94.5 receiving yards (-112) Jaxon Smith-Njigba needs 95 receiving yards for the Seattle Seahawks against the Arizona Cardinals. He has hit in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 116.5 receiving yards, and his most recent four results are 102, 134, 150 and 118. His home average is 120.2 receiving yards. Arizona's defense ranks 18th in total yards allowed, 12th in pass yards allowed, 20th in rush yards allowed, 31st in points allowed, 28th in pass TDs allowed and 16th in rec yds allowed to WRs over the last 5 games. The pass yards allowed rank of 12th is tough, but the points allowed rank of 31st and pass TDs allowed rank of 28th cut the other way. No opposing defenders are listed as out. Rashid Shaheed is out today. In the 6 games Shaheed missed, Smith-Njigba averaged 123.8 receiving yards, against 106.2 across all games in that span, a +17.6 difference. The last 10 games shown include 27 and 76, so the volume is strong but the volatility is real. Mooney brings a short reception need, Mims brings recent steadiness, and Smith-Njigba brings receiving-yard volume. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, while usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NFL #Giants #Broncos #Seahawks #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Sunday Part #2 1️⃣ Brayden Point OVER 0.5 assists (+110) Brayden Point needs 1 assist against Winnipeg. He has cleared this in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.9 assists. His last 3 games in the sample are 0, 1 and 2. Winnipeg's defense ranks 27th in goals allowed, 25th in shots allowed and 28th in points allowed over the last 10 games. The 31st rank in PP points allowed and 31st in assists allowed to forwards add to the setup. That hit rate still leaves misses in the sample, and an assist can hinge on a teammate finishing the chance. 2️⃣ Nikita Kucherov OVER 0.5 power play points (+170) Nikita Kucherov needs 1 power play point against Winnipeg. He has cleared this in 5 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.6 power play points. His last 3 games in the sample are 1, 0 and 2. Winnipeg's defense ranks 27th in goals allowed, 25th in shots allowed, 28th in points allowed, 31st in PP points allowed and 31st in PP points allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. Those ranks support the power play angle. That hit rate and the 0.6 average show the margin is thin, and he can be quiet if the power play does not click. 3️⃣ Aaron Ekblad OVER 1.5 shots on goal (+120) Aaron Ekblad needs 2 shots on goal against Boston. He has cleared this in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.6 shots on goal. His last 3 games in the sample are 3, 2 and 3. Anton Lundell is out today. In the 6 games Lundell missed, Ekblad averaged 2 shots on goal, against 1.7 across all games in that span (+0.3). Boston ranks 3rd in goals allowed, 12th in shots allowed, 3rd in points allowed, 17th in PP points allowed and 21st in shots allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games. The 21st rank in shots allowed to defensemen is the softer split. The hit rate and the 0 values in the sample mean this is a volume bet, not a clean trend. 3 overs with different profiles: Point needs 1 assist, Kucherov needs 1 power play point and Ekblad needs 2 shots on goal. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, as usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Lightning #Panthers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NFL Sunday Part #1 1️⃣ Dak Prescott OVER 6.5 rushing yards (-107) Dak Prescott needs 7 rushing yards against the Colts. He has hit in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 12.4 rushing yards. His most recent results are 0, 7, 8 and 20. The Colts rank 6th in total yards allowed, 5th in pass yards allowed, 23rd in rush yards allowed, 26th in points allowed, 7th in rush TDs allowed, and 28th in rush yards allowed to QBs in the last 5 games. The 6th and 5th ranks show a tough overall and pass defense, while the 23rd and 28th ranks leave room for the rushing angle. Justin Walley (CB) and Akeem Davis-Gaither (LB) are out. KaVontae Turpin is out. In the 4 games Turpin missed, Prescott averaged 13.8 rushing yards, against 11.1 across all games in that span (+2.7). The 8 of the last 10 games shown is strong, but the 0 and 7 in the sample show the floor can disappear. 2️⃣ Breece Hall OVER 10.5 rush attempts (-110) Breece Hall needs 11 rushing attempts against the Chiefs. He has hit in 10 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 15.6 rushing attempts. His most recent results are 22, 16 and 13. The Chiefs rank 17th in total yards allowed, 19th in pass yards allowed, 12th in rush yards allowed, 5th in points allowed, and 8th in rush TDs allowed in the last 5 games. The 5th in points allowed and 8th in rush TDs allowed are tough, while the 12th in rush yards allowed is less daunting. Mansoor Delane (CB) and Peter Woods (DT) are out. The 10 of 10 hit rate is clean, but this one relies on attempts, and the recent 13 shows the number can get tight. 3️⃣ Pat Bryant OVER 19.5 receiving yards (-111) Pat Bryant needs 20 receiving yards against the Panthers. He has hit in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 31.4 receiving yards. His most recent results are 0, 44 and 47. The Panthers rank 14th in total yards allowed, 10th in pass yards allowed, 16th in rush yards allowed, 24th in points allowed, 16th in pass TDs allowed, and 19th in receiving yards allowed to WRs in the last 5 games. The 10th in pass yards allowed is tough, while the 24th in points allowed and 19th in receiving yards allowed to WRs leave some room. Bobby Okereke (LB) and Jaelan Phillips (LB) are out. Tyler Badie is out (IR). In the 2 games Badie missed, Bryant averaged 32 receiving yards, against 26 across all games in that span (+6). The 8 of the last 10 games shown is solid, but the 0 and 2 in the sample show the volatility. The 3 profiles are different: Dak needs a short rush, Breece needs volume, and Pat needs a modest receiving day. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NFL #Cowboys #Jets #Broncos #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Sunday Part #1 1️⃣ Brandon Duhaime OVER 1.5 hits (-127) Brandon Duhaime needs 2 hits against New Jersey. His hit rate is 9 of the last 10 games shown, and he is averaging 3 hits. His most recent results are 6, 2, 2 and 3, so the recent form is there. The hit rate is strong, but the sample also includes a 0, so the floor is not perfect. New Jersey ranks 19th in hits allowed and 20th in hits allowed to forwards over the last 10 games, according to the card. That is not a shutdown spot for hit volume, though the broader ranks are 8th in goals allowed and 5th in shots allowed over the last 10 games. 2️⃣ Charle-Edouard D'Astous OVER 0.5 assists (+150) Charle-Edouard D'Astous needs 1 assist against Winnipeg. His hit rate is 7 of the last 10 games shown, and he is averaging 0.8 assists. The recent entries are 1, 1, 0 and 2, giving him a little momentum. His ice time is 20.9 over the last 5 games and 19 over the last 10, so his role is up. Winnipeg ranks 16th in assists allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games, which is middle of the pack for this prop. The broader defense has been softer, ranking 27th in goals allowed, 25th in shots allowed, 28th in points allowed and 31st in PP points allowed over the last 10 games. The average is 0.8 and the sample includes zeros, so this one can be volatile. 3️⃣ Zach Benson OVER 0.5 assists (+120) Zach Benson needs 1 assist against Vegas. His hit rate is 8 of the last 10 games shown, and he is averaging 1.1 assists. His most recent results are 2, 2, 1 and 1. Konsta Helenius is out, and in the 5 games Helenius missed, Benson averaged 1.2 assists against 0.7 across all games in that span (+0.5). Vegas ranks 5th in assists allowed to forwards over the last 10 games, a tough number for this prop. The broader defense also ranks 11th in goals allowed, 9th in shots allowed and 6th in points allowed over the last 10 games, while the 20th rank in PP points allowed is the softer area. The matchup is tough, so this one leans on the Helenius-out split. 3 overs with different profiles: Duhaime brings a 2-hit requirement and a 9/10 hit rate, D'Astous brings a 1-assist requirement with an 0.8 average, and Benson brings a 1-assist requirement with Konsta Helenius out. Hit rates are context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #MapleLeafs #Lightning #Sabres #PlayerProps #GamblingX

Friday recap: 15-8 across 9 posters, 65% hit, +8.4u 📊 NCAAF 6-0 · NHL 6-3 · NBA 3-5 Best hits: ✅ Ja'Kobe Walter OVER 0.5 blocks (+190): finished with 1 ✅ Joel Farabee OVER 0.5 goals (+185): finished with 1 ✅ Morgan Frost OVER 0.5 assists (+175): finished with 2 ✅ Alex Caruso OVER 0.5 blocks (+150): finished with 1 ✅ Zach Benson OVER 0.5 assists (+115): finished with 1 Every pick we post gets graded in public, wins and misses. Which one did you ride? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NCAAF #NHL #NBA #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NCAAF Saturday Part #3 1️⃣ Daniel Bray OVER 2.5 receiving yards (-120) Daniel Bray needs 3 receiving yards against BYU. He has cleared 2.5 receiving yards in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 14.5 receiving yards. Recent values include 2, 15, 4 and 16, so the floor is low even with the strong hit rate. BYU's defense ranks 20th in total yards allowed, 42nd in pass yards allowed, 27th in rush yards allowed, 37th in points allowed, 30th in pass TDs allowed and 89th in Rec Yds Allowed to RBs out of 136 in the last 5 games on the card. The 89th rank in Rec Yds Allowed to RBs is the rank that cuts the other way, while the 20th, 42nd, 27th, 37th and 30th ranks point to a tough defense. The 9 of 10 hit rate is the headline, but he needs only 3 and a recent game in the sample was 2, so the margin is thin. 2️⃣ Cam Cook OVER 11.5 receiving yards (-114) Cam Cook needs 12 receiving yards against Texas Tech. He has cleared 11.5 receiving yards in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 21.5 receiving yards. Recent values include 5, 18, 41 and 13, so he cleared 18, 41 and 13, though the 5 and earlier misses at 11 and 5 show the volatility. Texas Tech's defense ranks 77th in total yards allowed, 131st in pass yards allowed, 12th in rush yards allowed, 47th in points allowed, 124th in pass TDs allowed and 128th in Rec Yds Allowed to RBs out of 136 in the last 5 games on the card. The 12th rank in rush yards allowed cuts the other way, but the 131st pass yards, 124th pass TDs allowed and 128th Rec Yds Allowed to RBs keep the receiving angle alive. The 7 of 10 hit rate is decent, not overwhelming, and the low games of 11, 5 and 5 mean this pick can swing on whether he gets early catches. 3️⃣ Malik Washington OVER 35.5 pass attempts (-110) Malik Washington needs 36 pass attempts against Purdue. He has cleared 35.5 pass attempts in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 38.9 pass attempts. Recent values include 44, 25, 38 and 29, so his most recent game fell short, and the 25 and 29 show the downside if the attempts do not pile up. Purdue's defense ranks 100th in total yards allowed, 98th in pass yards allowed, 80th in rush yards allowed, 94th in points allowed and 122nd in pass TDs allowed out of 136 in the last 5 games on the card. The 122nd rank in pass TDs allowed is the loudest number for a passing-volume angle, while the 98th in pass yards allowed and 80th in rush yards allowed are less clear. The 7 of 10 hit rate is solid, but this is a volume prop: he needs 36 attempts, and the 25 and 29 in the sample show how quickly the number can fall short. These 3 overs have very different profiles: Bray needs a short receiving requirement, Cook has the softer running-back receiving matchup, and Washington needs passing volume. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage and game script still decide the day. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NCAAF #Utah #WestVirginia #Maryland #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NCAAF Saturday Part #2 1️⃣ Cameron Dickey OVER 3.5 receiving yards (-130) Cameron Dickey needs 4 receiving yards against West Virginia. He has cleared this number in 10 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 15 receiving yards. His most recent results are 13, 24 and 15, and even the lower outputs like 7 and 4 still cleared this requirement. In the last 5 games, West Virginia ranks 135th in total yards allowed, 136th in pass yards allowed, 132nd in points allowed and 133rd in pass TDs allowed. The rank that cuts the other way is 79th in receiving yards allowed to RBs. The caveat is volume: the requirement is small, so his day can hinge on a modest result rather than steady involvement. 2️⃣ Isaiah Sategna III OVER 54.5 receiving yards (-115) Isaiah Sategna III needs 55 receiving yards at Florida. He has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 82.1 receiving yards. His recent results include 83, 164 and 13, with the 9 and 13 in the sample showing the volatility. In the last 5 games, Florida ranks 92nd in total yards allowed, 89th in pass yards allowed, 109th in points allowed and 115th in receiving yards allowed to WRs. The rank that cuts the other way is 80th in pass TDs allowed, which is less generous than the WR yardage mark. The caveat is volatility: he can clear this on volume, but the low outputs in the sample show how quickly this can fall short. 3️⃣ Nate Frazier OVER 51.5 rushing yards (-115) Nate Frazier needs 52 rushing yards at Ole Miss. He has cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 58.3 rushing yards. Recent results include 75, 9, 19 and 67, and his away average is 78.3 compared with 49.7 at home. In the last 5 games, Ole Miss ranks 86th in total yards allowed, 63rd in rush yards allowed, 63rd in points allowed, 113th in rush TDs allowed and 91st in rushing yards allowed to RBs. The 63rd in rush yards cuts the other way, since it is less generous than the TD and RB-yardage ranks. The caveat is volatility: the 9 and 19 in the sample show the floor can disappear, so this leans on the road-average version more than the home-average version. These overs contrast a tiny receiving requirement, a volatile receiving average, and a rushing split that depends on the road number. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NCAAF #TexasTech #Oklahoma #Georgia #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Saturday Part #3 1️⃣ Reed Sheppard OVER 1.5 steals + blocks (-110) Reed Sheppard needs 2 steals plus blocks against the Phoenix Suns for the OVER 1.5 STL+BLK. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.5 steals plus blocks. His most recent results in the sample are 2, 1, 0 and 3, so the recent run has some volatility around the number he needs. Phoenix is rank 26th in points allowed, rank 20th in rebounds allowed, rank 16th in assists allowed, rank 29th in 3PM allowed, rank 28th in opponent FG%, and rank 25th in STL+BLK allowed to shooting guards over the last 10 games. That is a soft profile for steals plus blocks, with the rank 16th in assists allowed standing out as less soft. The hit rate is strong, but the recent volatility means he needs to get to 2 events rather than rely on a quiet stretch. 2️⃣ Aaron Nesmith OVER 1.5 assists (+107) Aaron Nesmith needs 2 assists against the Denver Nuggets for the OVER 1.5 AST. He has hit this in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.8 assists. His most recent results in the sample are 1, 2, 4 and 2, so the assist total has been up and down around the 2 he needs. With Tyrese Haliburton out today, Nesmith averaged 2.3 assists in the 4 games Haliburton missed, against 1.9 across all games in that span (+0.4). Denver is rank 15th in points allowed, rank 16th in rebounds allowed, rank 23rd in assists allowed, rank 10th in 3PM allowed, rank 17th in opponent FG%, and rank 23rd in assists allowed to small forwards over the last 10 games. The rank 10th in 3PM allowed cuts the other way, but the assist ranks are the softer part of the profile. The hit rate sits at 6 of the last 10 games shown, and the 1.8 average means this needs the Haliburton-out assist bump to show up. 3️⃣ Anthony Davis OVER 16.5 field goal attempts (-120) Anthony Davis needs 17 field goal attempts against the Oklahoma City Thunder for the OVER 16.5 FGA. He has hit this in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 18.9 field goal attempts. His most recent results in the sample are 18, 17, 17 and 19, so he has been near or above the number he needs. Oklahoma City is rank 8th in points allowed, rank 12th in rebounds allowed, rank 8th in assists allowed, rank 28th in 3PM allowed, rank 2nd in opponent FG%, and rank 13th in FGA allowed to centers over the last 10 games. The rank 28th in 3PM allowed is soft, but the rank 2nd in opponent FG% is a tough mark, and the rank 13th in FGA allowed to centers is not a clear green light. The hit rate is strong, but the most recent 17 and 17 put him right at the line, so this needs his attempts to stay up against the tough defense. The 3 overs bring different profiles: Sheppard brings event creation, Nesmith brings assist context with Haliburton out, and Davis brings attempt volume. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Rockets #Pacers #Wizards #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NCAAF Saturday Part #1 1️⃣ Ricky Ahumaraeze OVER 5.5 receiving yards (-125) Needs 6 to clear 5.5 receiving yards, and Ahumaraeze has done it in 9 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 22.4. His last three results are 6, 6 and 5, so the recent margin is thinner than the hit rate suggests. Iowa's defense has a split profile in the last 5 games. The Hawkeyes rank 130th in receiving yards allowed to WRs and 101st in pass yards allowed, but they rank 8th in rush yards allowed and 16th in points allowed, which cuts the other way. The 9 of 10 hit rate is strong context, but the most recent result of 5 shows how quickly this can get tight, so this one still needs him to stay above the number. 2️⃣ Nik McMillan OVER 49.5 receiving yards (-110) Needs 50 to clear 49.5 receiving yards, and McMillan has hit in 8 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 85.7. His most recent results are 89, 55 and 66, all above the requirement, though the sample also includes 30 and 44. UCF's defense adds a clear receiving angle in the last 5 games. The Knights rank 129th in receiving yards allowed to WRs, 122nd in pass yards allowed, 104th in points allowed and 91st in total yards allowed. The 33rd rank in rush yards allowed is tougher, but it does not address the receiver matchup as directly. The 8 of 10 hit rate is solid, but the 30 and 44 in the sample show the volatility, so this one still needs the passing work to stay high. 3️⃣ JC French IV OVER 23.5 rushing yards (-109) Needs 24 to clear 23.5 rushing yards, and French has hit in 8 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 37.7. His most recent results are 46 and -2, a reminder that the range can swing fast. Houston's defense has a useful quarterback-rushing rank in the last 5 games. The Cougars rank 111th in rush yards allowed to QBs and 44th in rush TDs allowed, but they rank 36th in rush yards allowed and 52nd in points allowed, which cuts the other way. The 8 of 10 hit rate is good context, but the -2 most recently is the volatility warning, so this one needs him to stay involved enough to avoid another floor result. Ahumaraeze needs the smallest number, McMillan has the largest receiving target, and French brings the rushing profile. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NCAAF #Northwestern #Kansas #Cincinnati #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Saturday Part #3 1️⃣ Mikhail Sergachev OVER 0.5 power play points (+200) Mikhail Sergachev needs 1 power play point to clear his 0.5 line. He has hit in 5 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.6 power play points. His most recent results in the sample are 1, 2 and 1. Ottawa ranks 27th in PP points allowed and 29th in PP points allowed to defensemen over the last 10 games. The 15th rank in shots allowed is less generous than those PP marks. John Marino is out today on Injured Reserve. In the 8 games John Marino missed, Sergachev averaged 0.8 power play points, against 0.5 across all games in that span (+0.3). The 5 of 10 hit rate is not overpowering, so this one needs him to convert a PP look rather than just log minutes. 2️⃣ Logan Cooley OVER 0.5 goals (+175) Logan Cooley needs 1 goal to clear his 0.5 line. He has hit in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 1.1 goals. His most recent results in the sample are 3, 1, 0 and 3. Ottawa ranks 19th in goals allowed, 15th in shots allowed, 17th in points allowed and 24th in goals allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 15th and 17th ranks cut against the softer 24th mark against forwards. John Marino is out today on Injured Reserve. In the 8 games John Marino missed, Cooley averaged 1.3 goals, against 0.6 across all games in that span (+0.7). The 6 of 10 hit rate still comes with volatility, and this goal prop needs him to finish rather than just get chances. 3️⃣ Sammy Blais OVER 1.5 hits (-121) Sammy Blais needs 2 hits to clear his 1.5 line against the Ottawa Senators. He has hit in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 4 hits. His most recent results in the sample are 4, 3, 4 and 4. Ottawa ranks 30th in hits allowed and 29th in hits allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. The 9 of 10 hit rate is strong, but the 0 in the sample shows this still relies on him staying involved enough to collect 2 hits. Three overs with very different profiles: Sergachev brings power-play upside, Cooley brings goal upside, and Blais brings the hits volume. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Mammoth #Senators #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Saturday Part #2 1️⃣ Marcus Smart OVER 2.5 rebounds (+200) Marcus Smart needs 3 rebounds to clear OVER 2.5. He's cleared this number in 6 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 3 rebounds. The last 10 games include 5 and 4 near the recent end, but the most recent result is 1. Phoenix's defense over the last 10 games ranks 26th in points allowed, 20th in rebounds allowed and 18th in rebounds allowed to shooting guards. The overall points mark is soft, but the rebounding ranks are less of a clear edge for a guard prop. The 6 of 10 hit rate and the recent 1 make this one a thin margin. He needs the rebound volume to show up rather than just the defensive matchup. 2️⃣ Luke Kennard OVER 8.5 pts + reb + ast (-105) Luke Kennard needs 9 PTS+REB+AST to clear OVER 8.5. He's cleared this number in 9 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 12.3. The sample includes 22 and 18, but also a 1 near the end, so the range is real. Houston's defense over the last 10 games ranks 4th in points allowed, 5th in rebounds allowed, 2nd in assists allowed, 8th in 3PM allowed and 10th in opponent FG%. Those are tough overall ranks, but Houston ranks 23rd in PTS+REB+AST allowed to shooting guards, which is the opening for this combo. The 9 of 10 hit rate is strong, but the 1 near the end shows the volatility. This one leans on combined volume rather than a clean defensive green light. 3️⃣ Kelly Oubre Jr. OVER 9.5 points (-110) Kelly Oubre Jr. needs 10 points to clear OVER 9.5. He's cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 11.7 points. The most recent results in the sample are 9, 15, 10 and 11, so he's been close to the line even when he hasn't sailed over. Tyrese Haliburton is out. In the 3 games Haliburton missed, Oubre averaged 12 points, against 9.4 across all games in that span (+2.6). That's a usage note in his favor. Denver's defense over the last 10 games ranks 15th in points allowed and 25th in points allowed to small forwards. The small-forward rank is the softer part of the matchup, though the overall points rank is more neutral. The 7 of 10 hit rate leaves misses in the sample, and the recent 9 shows how close this can be. He needs the Haliburton-related bump to hold. These overs have different profiles: Smart needs a thin rebound margin, Kennard offers a high hit rate with combo volatility, and Oubre has a teammate-out boost against a small-forward-friendly rank. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Rockets #Suns #Pacers #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Saturday Part #2 1️⃣ Arttu Hyry OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-110) Arttu Hyry needs 2 shots on goal to clear 1.5 against the San Jose Sharks. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.7 shots on goal. His most recent results in the sample are 3, 4, 4 and 3, which keeps the shot volume story going. San Jose's defense adds to the case. Over the last 10 games, the Sharks rank 24th in goals allowed, 32nd in shots allowed, 23rd in points allowed, 22nd in PP points allowed and 32nd in shots allowed to forwards. That is a soft profile for shot volume. Oskar Bäck is out, and in the 9 games Bäck missed, Hyry averaged 2.8 shots on goal, against 1.8 across all games in that span (+1). The caveat is that this still relies on volume, and the 0 in the sample shows the volatility. 2️⃣ Brandon Montour OVER 0.5 points (+115) Brandon Montour needs 1 point to clear 0.5 against the New York Rangers. He has hit this in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 0.9 points. His most recent results in the sample are 1, 1, 0 and 1, so the point production has been steady without much cushion. The Rangers' defense is the interesting part. Over the last 10 games, they rank 23rd in goals allowed, 19th in shots allowed, 24th in points allowed, 4th in PP points allowed and 31st in points allowed to defensemen. The 4th in PP points allowed cuts the other way, but the 31st in points allowed to defensemen is the louder number for Montour. The 7 of 10 hit rate is decent but not overwhelming, and needing 1 point can turn on an assist or a quiet night. That makes this a point-upside play with real volatility. 3️⃣ Nick Robertson OVER 1.5 shots on goal (+105) Nick Robertson needs 2 shots on goal to clear 1.5 against the Los Angeles Kings. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.3 shots on goal. His most recent results in the sample are 5, 0, 3 and 2, so the volume is there but the 0 stands out. The Kings' defense is more mixed. Over the last 10 games, they rank 15th in goals allowed, 18th in shots allowed, 16th in points allowed, 29th in PP points allowed and 23rd in shots allowed to forwards. The 18th in shots allowed and 23rd in shots allowed to forwards are not especially tough, but this is not a bottom-tier shot matchup either. His away average is 1.8, below the overall 2.3, and the 0 in the sample adds volatility. The 8 of 10 hit rate is strong, but this one still relies on him getting to 2 shots rather than settling below the line. 3 overs with very different profiles: Hyry leans on shot volume and the Bäck absence, Montour leans on a point against a defense that has allowed points to defensemen, and Robertson leans on shots despite a lower away average. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which pick makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Stars #Kraken #Penguins #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NBA Saturday Part #1 1️⃣ Christian Braun OVER 1.5 steals + blocks (-110) 2 steals + blocks is the target for Christian Braun against the Indiana Pacers. He's cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 2.4 steals + blocks. His most recent results in the sample are 4, 3, 2 and 1. Indiana's defense over the last 10 games ranks 29th in STL+BLK allowed to shooting guards, 20th in points allowed and 27th in rebounds allowed. The 16th rank in opponent FG% cuts the other way. Julian Strawther is out, and in the 11 games he missed Braun averaged 2.1 steals + blocks, against 1.7 across all games in that span (+0.4). The 8 of the last 10 games shown is a strong hit rate, but this one still relies on defensive events and his most recent result was 1. 2️⃣ Peyton Watson OVER 6.5 reb + ast (-114) 7 rebounds + assists is the target for Peyton Watson against the New York Knicks. He's cleared this number in 8 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 7.6 rebounds + assists. His most recent results in the sample are 8, 7, 8 and 11. New York's defense over the last 10 games ranks 26th in REB+AST allowed to small forwards, 6th in rebounds allowed and 10th in assists allowed. The 2nd rank in points allowed and 4th in opponent FG% cut the other way. Jaylon Tyson is out, and in the 2 games he missed Watson averaged 9.5 rebounds + assists, against 7.6 across all games in that span (+1.9). Minutes are up to 27.4 over the last 5 games from 24.9 over the last 10. The 8 of the last 10 games shown is strong, but the sample has volatility, and the 7 requirement still needs him to stay involved on the glass. 3️⃣ Nickeil Alexander-Walker OVER 3.5 3-pointers made (-110) 4 3-pointers made is the target for Nickeil Alexander-Walker against the Brooklyn Nets. He's cleared this number in 7 of the last 10 games shown, averaging 4.1 3-pointers made. His most recent results in the sample are 0, 9, 6 and 4. Brooklyn's defense over the last 10 games ranks 29th in 3PM allowed to shooting guards, 26th in 3PM allowed, 23rd in points allowed, 27th in assists allowed and 24th in opponent FG%. The 7th rank in rebounds allowed cuts the other way. Jalen Johnson is out, and in the 3 games he missed Alexander-Walker averaged 6.3 3-pointers made, against 3.9 across all games in that span (+2.4). The 7 of the last 10 games shown helps, but the 0 in the sample shows the volatility, so this one relies on volume from 3. These overs have different profiles: Braun brings defensive events, Watson brings rebound and assist volume, and Alexander-Walker brings 3-point volume. Hit rates give us context, not a guarantee, and usage, injuries and game script still decide the night. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #Nuggets #Cavaliers #Hawks #PlayerProps #GamblingX

NHL Saturday Part #1 1️⃣ Clayton Keller OVER 0.5 power play points (+165) Needs 1 power play point, and Clayton Keller has hit this in 7 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 0.9. The most recent results in the sample are 2, 2 and 1, and his away average sits at 1.2 against a home average of 0.5. Ottawa's defense adds some interest. The Senators rank 27th in PP points allowed and 24th in PP points allowed to forwards over the last 10 games, which points to the power-play lane. Their rank 15th in shots allowed over the last 10 games cuts the other way a bit and is less inviting for the matchup. The 7 of the last 10 games shown is solid, but Keller needs a power-play point specifically, so this leans on that game state rather than pure volume. 2️⃣ Mark Jankowski OVER 1.5 shots on goal (+100) Needs 2 shots on goal, and Mark Jankowski has cleared this in 8 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 2.3. His most recent results are 3, 4 and 1, so the volume is there but the last entry is a miss. His home average is 1.8, though, below the 2 he needs. With Jordan Staal out on Injured Reserve, Jankowski averaged 2.3 shots on goal in the 8 games Staal missed, against 1.4 across all games in that span. Chicago's defense adds some interest. The Blackhawks rank 30th in shots allowed and 30th in shots allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. Their rank 25th in goals allowed and 25th in points allowed over the last 10 games are less generous than the shot ranks, and 17th in PP points allowed over the last 10 games does not tilt a SOG prop. The 8 of the last 10 games shown is strong, but his home average of 1.8 means he needs more volume than usual at home. 3️⃣ Logan Stankoven OVER 2.5 shots on goal (-105) Needs 3 shots on goal, and Logan Stankoven has hit this in 9 of the last 10 games shown while averaging 3.6. The most recent results are 3, 3, 3 and 3, so he has been living right at the number. His home average is 2.3, though, well below his 4.1 away average. The same Chicago defense ranks 30th in shots allowed and 30th in shots allowed to forwards over the last 10 games. Their rank 25th in goals allowed and 25th in points allowed over the last 10 games are less generous than the shot ranks, and 17th in PP points allowed over the last 10 games does not tilt a SOG prop. The 9 of the last 10 games shown is excellent, but the home average of 2.3 is the honest caveat here. He needs 3 shots, so this is more about sustaining volume at home than riding a huge recent cushion. Three overs with very different profiles: Keller needs a power-play point, Jankowski needs 2 shots on goal, and Stankoven needs 3 shots on goal. Historical hit rates give us context, not a guarantee. Which one makes your card? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NHL #Mammoth #Hurricanes #PlayerProps #GamblingX

Thursday recap: 8-10 across 8 posters, 44% hit, -1.4u 📊 NBA 4-2 · NHL 4-5 · NFL 0-3 Best hits: ✅ Nick Suzuki OVER 0.5 goals (+200): finished with 1 ✅ Juraj Slafkovský OVER 0.5 assists (+155): finished with 1 ✅ Connor McDavid OVER 0.5 power play points (+100): finished with 2 ✅ Collin Gillespie OVER 1.5 steals + blocks (-101): finished with 3 ✅ Miles Bridges OVER 1.5 steals + blocks (-114): finished with 2 Every pick we post gets graded in public, wins and misses. Which one did you ride? 👇 📊 Stats and analytics: StatsBench statsbench.com #NBA #NHL #NFL #PlayerProps #GamblingX