President, Mitchell Research & Communications, National #Pollster, Political and PR #Consultant, and commentator on #Politics
Michigan
Joined February 2009
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We are delighted to be ranked as the 13th most accurate pollster in the USA in 2024 polling by ActiVote of 136 who were ranked!
2024 Most Valuable Pollster (MVP) Rankings – ActiVote - Mitchell #13 activote.net/2024-most-valua…
Exit Poll data seems to indicate @AbdulElSayed will defeat @MikeRogersForMI 51%-46% {5%} and @JocelynBenson will defeat @JohnJamesMI 52%-45% {6.5%}.
Some of the historically, most accurate polling companies in America with completely opposite results. This should be interesting tonight.
Steve Mitchell retweeted
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “Sir, I’m sorry, but we’ll need you to move to seat 28C. A family needs your seat so they can sit together.”
PASSENGER: “I’m sitting in 3A.”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “Yes, sir. I’m aware.”
PASSENGER: “I paid extra to reserve 3A.”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “I understand, but the family would really appreciate being seated together.”
PASSENGER: “And how does that become my responsibility?”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “We’re simply asking you to be understanding and help us out.”
PASSENGER: “So I paid extra, arrived on time, followed every instruction, and now I’m expected to surrender the seat I purchased because someone else didn’t plan ahead?”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “We can refund your seat-selection fee after the flight.”
PASSENGER: “So I lose the seat, spend the entire journey in 28C, and get my money back afterward? What about the inconvenience?”
FLIGHT ATTENDANT: “I’m sorry, sir. There’s nothing else I can offer.”
On Qatari Television discussing ongoing negotiations between @realDonaldTrump and @IRIMFA_EN taking place in Doha. My take: Post Nov 3rd The US will resume war with no constraints once mid-terms are over!
Mitchell Poll MI Benson 49%- James 44% mitchellresearch.net Press Releases @PollTracker2024 @IAPolls2022 @PpollingNumbers @pol
N=515 MMS-Web, N=121 online panels and we will find out if it is right or wrong. The same exact methodology used by almost all POLLSTERS. I guess being ranked 13th most accurate in the country by ActiVote in 2024 isn’t good enough for you. I was pretty proud of it. Perhaps you’ve been in the top 15 in something as well. Please let me know. Thanks for the kind words @AdrianHemond
Mitchell MI Poll El-Sayed +7% Press Releases @ Mitchellresearch.net. @PpollingNumbers @politico @IAPolls2022 @wjrradio @PollTracker2024 @DecisionDeskHQ
I was at El-Sayed +4.2% (45.6%-41.4%) They rounded to 5%.
Michigan Senate polling is showing an interesting pattern. As I did with Texas, I ran eight polls through several LOESS models, and all point to a stable El-Sayed lead of roughly 2 points.
Even removing the earlier Marist +7 and Mitchell +5 polls barely changes the estimate. Allowing the models to account for those larger margins produces essentially the same result. A race well within the margin of error of individual surveys. Of course, none of this accounts for potential polling error in either direction.
Steve Mitchell retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Ken Paxton takes the lead in the Texas Senate race.
🔴 Ken Paxton: 49%
🔵 James Talarico: 48%
“While the overall numbers have not moved much, this shift is significant because it marks the first time Paxton has led the Senate race since August.”
— John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling
Steve Mitchell retweeted
BREAKING NEWS: Rick Jackson maintains a lead over Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms in the Peach State.
🔴 Rick Jackson: 49%
🔵 Keisha Lance Bottoms: 47%
— John Garst, Senior Pollster, @InsiderPolling
Mitchell Poll Mi Benson 46%-James 39%. @IAPolls2022 @detroitnews @freep @politico @FoxNews @foxnewspolitics @RCPolitics Go to Press Releases Mitchellresearch.net
Mitchell MI Poll - El-Sayed 45.6%-Rogers 41.4% Mitchellresearch.net @wjrradio @ErmanniMedia @PaulWJR @NBCNews @ABC @PpollingNumbers @JackPosobiec
Mitchell MI Poll El-Sayed 45.6% - Rogers 41.4%
MitchellResearch.net
@FOX2News @CBSDetroit @RCPolitics @nypost @politico @IAPolls2022 @DecisionDeskHQ @seanhannity @JesseBWatters @FoxNews @foxnewspolitics
In 2024, ActiVote ranked Quantus 14th, higher than the NY TIMES, WAPO, CNN, ABC, Quinnipiac, and others! It’s a top flight polling organization.
On Qatar TV this afternoon discussing @realDonaldTrump ‘s sanctions on 60 entities in Iran with an Iranian. 3:00 PM EDT and 10 PM Qatar time.
This information is completely false. There are 527,000 registered voters in the City Of Detroit about 120,000 voters actually CAST a ballot on August 4, 2026 And that includes all candidates, including a EL Sayed, and Haley Stevens both.
This poll is 41% Democrat 35% Republican a + 6% Democratic poll. The Fox poll was about +1% D. Split the difference and if the party affiliation is +3% Democrat, then the race is fundamentally tied or ROGERS has a slight lead.
MICHIGAN POLL By TIPP (A)
SENATE
🟦 Abdul El-Sayed: 45%
🟥 Mike Rogers: 42%
—
GOVERNOR
🟦 Jocelyn Benson: 53%
🟥 John James: 37%
@LeagueOfWorkers (R) | 8/6-10 | LV
tippinsights.com/league-of-a…
tippinsights.com/league-of-a…
