Feedglade forecast 2,159 views on day one. The video had 1,616 at hour 21, so about 1,800 at 24.
A small miss, roughly 17% under. Two days in it's past 4,000.
One video proves nothing. I'll post every result, hits and misses.
Our first creator used Feedglade today.
2 minutes before uploading, he typed two titles.
One was forecast 2,159 views on day one. The other, 1,527.
He shipped a version of the first.
Then he typed "the best italian carbonara" to check we weren't making numbers up. 24.
18 hours in, his video is at 1,460. I'll post the day-one number tomorrow.
Our first creator used Feedglade today.
2 minutes before uploading, he typed two titles.
One was forecast 2,159 views on day one. The other, 1,527.
He shipped a version of the first.
Then he typed "the best italian carbonara" to check we weren't making numbers up. 24.
18 hours in, his video is at 1,460. I'll post the day-one number tomorrow.
Introducing Feedglade.
Paste your YouTube channel and it:
Reads your recent videos.
Forecasts the views of your next one, at 24 hours.
Writes video ideas, each with its forecast.
If you make YouTube videos, I think you'll like this. Looking for 10 creators to try it.
Demo:
Viktor Cihal retweeted
Introducing shortform-analyzer: it cuts a TikTok into scenes, labels each one (hook, setup, payoff...) and scores how hard it is to scroll past.
I thought video analysis needed a fix, so @viktorci and I made one request label every scene. Under a cent a video, open source.
Built Viral Oracle with @trevbuilds and @valmsmith39a at the @omnaraai hackathon. It uses a prediction market of AI forecasters to predict which posts will go viral.
Our demo broke halfway through on stage. Still placed 4th.
Viktor Cihal retweeted
AI models now match superforecasters on ForecastBench, our LLM forecasting benchmark. (Although not by a statistically significant margin).
This October, we're running the rematch: superforecasters return to the benchmark, and the top AI forecasters can take them on.
🧵 In this thread:
• What this result means
• Why we're bringing superforecasters back
• How to compete
Viktor Cihal retweeted
Can prediction markets beat the snake?
Let's find out.
telarchy.com/snake
Viktor Cihal retweeted
made post about my thoughts on telarchy.com/telarchy, because I'm excited about futarchy; telarchy dev proposed that I made the writing of this a contract on telarchy, which sounded fun. tetraspace.substack.com/p/an…
🤝 Paid partnership
You can now get paid by my company without ever talking to me. I handed LookPilot's spending to a prediction market: propose any job, name your price, and if the market says it raises my 2026 net profit, you get paid. telarchy.com/lookpilot
