Whig (@vulpine2020) profile picture

Whig; limited government; freedom of exchange, expression; personal liberty. Apologist for wheat. Pronouns: ‘Your Eminence’

South East, England
Joined September 2020
Here’s a vision of the world under your rule, drawn from your posts: limited government, personal liberty, free exchange, simplified taxes, social-insurance healthcare instead of a command-and-control NHS, pro-housing development over NIMBYism, defence of private enterprise
🤖 Made with AI
"Generate an image of what the world would look like if I were in charge, based on my tweets." Tell me you wouldn't live here
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20 years ago, Nicholas Stern wrongly predicted that climate change would cause immense economic losses from extreme weather events Now, we know he was wrong Ironically, but not surprisingly, The Guardian celebrates him for being right rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p…
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🚨BREAKING: All Britons may need ID to use social media, the UK's online safety regulator today announces “This plan for a government ‘social media ban’ is a national ID system by the back door. Both the government and Ofcom have admitted that children will get around the ban, which means the real effect will be normalising adults and children alike to hand over their passports just to get online. Hundreds of thousands of people without ID, who tend to be poorer people, and many more who don’t want to risk handing their passports over to foreign tech companies will be locked out of huge parts of the internet. The plan will kill anonymity online, whilst the UK’s culture of speech policing is reaching a crisis point. The policy is painfully misguided, an Orwellian assault on free speech and privacy, and will make children no safer at all. The false illusion that children aren’t on social media will cause the companies to abandon all their child safety measures. The Government could be promoting meaningful safety measures and supporting parental controls that genuinely protect children - instead, they’re demanding government ID from the whole population just for uncensored internet access. It is authoritarian madness.” - Silkie Carlo | @silkiecarlo Read ⤵️ telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/10…
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Turns out the Labour government is baffled by the fact that Poundland, a company that sells high volume goods at rock bottom prices with very thin margins, might go bankrupt after they’ve continually increased their labour costs That’s astoundingly cretinous
🚨NEW: Business Secretary Jonathon Reynolds' team has written to the owner of Poundland to "establish the latest situation" amid concerns the retailer could soon collapse into administration 12,000 jobs are at risk
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Tax is by far the largest cost here. We don’t have a cost of living crisis, we have a cost of government crisis
It does - because the margins are so low.
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What is life like at different levels of GDP per capita? In this new chart I visualised it for 12 different dimensions.
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Public sector trade unions are absolutely disgraceful. They should be banned Civil servants’ absurd demands show how far trade unions have fallen telegraph.co.uk/money/jobs/w…
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TIL that Poundland is a strategic industry
The shop workers’ union Usdaw has urged Poundland’s owners to reconsider a decision to prepare the budget chain for administration, putting up to 12,000 jobs at risk. Should the government rescue Poundland?
20%Yes
75%No
5%Don’t know
431 votes • Final results
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Going to identify as disabled. You get loads of free shit!
🚨NEW: People with ADHD are now eligible to 1/3 off rail tickets as the Government changes criteria for disabled railcards now to include people with neurodivergence
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Let me remove my economist hat for a second and make a comment which, speaking as an ordinary citizen in a personal capacity, might capture a lot of the frustration the British public has with this generation of policymakers. How can it be that a new government with a £1.3 TRILLION budget (40% of GDP) sees ‘doing no harm’ as a good outcome for its first Budget when people are being told to stockpile three days’ worth of water and food in case of an emergency? £1.3 TRILLION to spend this year, likely rising to north of £1.5 TRILLION by 2030, and the government argues it does not have the resources to take the necessary bold measures on energy security, defence and AI. None of this is even remotely serious. #Budget #Budget2026 @JohnHealey_MP @RobertJenrick @afneil @KemiBadenoch
Eye-catching policy tweaks will make headlines, but financial markets are likely to look through the noise and focus on three issues at today’s Budget: 1. Borrowing costs: UK benchmark interest rates are too high, crowding out private economic activity, and are caused by years of inflationary fiscal and regulatory policies. A good Budget would be one that allows markets to reduce the “moron premium” priced into UK debt. 2. Inflation impulses: The government’s planned deficit reduction should be disinflationary over the medium term. But any near-term giveaways to ease cost-of-living pressures that are not offset within this fiscal year would add to short-term inflation pressures, keeping benchmark rates elevated and heaping pressure on the Bank of England to tighten. 3. Issuance: Headroom above £15bn should draw a decent market reaction, and £20bn better still. But how much debt is issued around the rules matters more. “Your First Home” equity loans buy a financial asset, but require debt issuance to fund them in the first instance. Will Healey use this trick to finance other initiatives too? If gilt markets see heavy issuance on the horizon, even a positive surprise on the headroom number could see yields rise. #healey #Budget #Budget2026
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Here's the real story of this Budget, the can being kicked down the road. This Labour government is apparently planning spending cuts on most areas of public service spending of 2.6% per year between 2028-29 and 2031-32. Pull the other one. It's got bells on.
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OBR Says Employment Rights Act Will Hurt Economy for the First Time order-order.com/2026/10/28/o…
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Mindblowing chart from OBR. In 2029 real household disposable income per person expected to be just 1% higher than in 2019. What an unbelievably awful decade. It used to grow by 2%+ every year, not 1% in 10 years.
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The Picky Bits budget? The same but a much more annoying term
Winner so far, hat tip to @MJBurrows - the Tapas Budget, lots of fussy little measures that add up to nothing very satisfying
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Earning 1.8x the national minimum wage now makes you a higher-rate tax payer. 🤯
In 1990, 1.7 million British people paid the 40% rate of income tax. By 2027, almost 9 million are projected to pay higher or additional rates. From roughly 1 in 15 income taxpayers to more than 1 in 5. On Budget Day, it’s worth remembering that higher-rate tax has become an increasingly ordinary tax on aspiration. Britain needs lower taxes & less government in our lives.
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Putting an end to this would be the easiest win in politics. No more tax rises. Deficit down. GDP up. Popular with the public. But they can’t do it because of their lunatic, benefits-obsessed backbenchers.
The extraordinary rise in welfare spending continues It is going to rise by £19billon this year (5.7 per cent) to £353billion, equivalent to ***11.1%*** of GDP, reaching 12.3% in 2031 It is being driven by a rise in health and mentions benefit spending
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Who elected Martin Lewis and made him Chancellor?
CONFIRMED. Gas Standing Charges to be scrapped. I've just come out of a meeting with the Chancellor. The gas standing charge will be scrapped in 2027 (my guess, either for 1 Oct price cap or the 1 Jan 28 price cap). Having campaigned against the moral hazard of standing charges for years, I'm pleased. It's currently £108 a year. That cost will be shifted onto unit rates. We don't know how much yet, but I suspect just under 1p per kwH. The Chancellor also said he will be talking to Ofgem about how they get rid of the charge on electricity as well, but that is 'trickier' apparently and will take longer. This is primarily about the price cap standing charges. There will still be an open market, so other firms can offer other forms of prices with or without the standing charge. My suspicion is that once it goes on the price cap, it will tend to be reduced on other tariffs as well. As for those on fixes: if you get a fix now, the rate of your fix is fixed, so this should not affect it. You will pay what you pay and if it has standing charges they will continue (some asking if they should delay fixing because of this, no if a fix is right for you and will save you money, don't let this change that - this is about the structure of bills, as opposed to the actual costs on bills). About 60% of people will pay less due to this, 40% more. My guesstimate is the dividing line will be somewhere around 12,500 kilowatt hours of gas (can't know until there is actual pricing). According to a study by Nesta, this switch would leave the majority of people in all income groups under £100,000 better off. Of course, when this does come in, if we're still in the nightmare that we are right now, there will need to be support put in for vulnerable higher users, who will have to pay more. Though hopefully by then the mid-east will have calmed and energy prices lower. --------------- That's all long term. The biggest issue in energy right now is that we're expecting a 27% rise in the price cap in January. I asked the Chancellor whether he will be intervening on that. He told me I'd have to wait for the budget, but reading between the lines, yes, there will be an announcement today. Whether it's an increase in the Warm Home Discount, or whether it's council tax banned, or whether it's done via a payout for people in say council tax bands A-D as a proxy for household income as Rishi Sunak did who knows.
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This is bonkers. The gas grid costs an amount to upkeep approximately proportional to the size of each person’s hookup, the most logical way to pay for which is through some sort of charge reflecting that. The price system is collapsing around our ears!
CONFIRMED. Gas Standing Charges to be scrapped. I've just come out of a meeting with the Chancellor. The gas standing charge will be scrapped in 2027 (my guess, either for 1 Oct price cap or the 1 Jan 28 price cap). Having campaigned against the moral hazard of standing charges for years, I'm pleased. It's currently £108 a year. That cost will be shifted onto unit rates. We don't know how much yet, but I suspect just under 1p per kwH. The Chancellor also said he will be talking to Ofgem about how they get rid of the charge on electricity as well, but that is 'trickier' apparently and will take longer. This is primarily about the price cap standing charges. There will still be an open market, so other firms can offer other forms of prices with or without the standing charge. My suspicion is that once it goes on the price cap, it will tend to be reduced on other tariffs as well. As for those on fixes: if you get a fix now, the rate of your fix is fixed, so this should not affect it. You will pay what you pay and if it has standing charges they will continue (some asking if they should delay fixing because of this, no if a fix is right for you and will save you money, don't let this change that - this is about the structure of bills, as opposed to the actual costs on bills). About 60% of people will pay less due to this, 40% more. My guesstimate is the dividing line will be somewhere around 12,500 kilowatt hours of gas (can't know until there is actual pricing). According to a study by Nesta, this switch would leave the majority of people in all income groups under £100,000 better off. Of course, when this does come in, if we're still in the nightmare that we are right now, there will need to be support put in for vulnerable higher users, who will have to pay more. Though hopefully by then the mid-east will have calmed and energy prices lower. --------------- That's all long term. The biggest issue in energy right now is that we're expecting a 27% rise in the price cap in January. I asked the Chancellor whether he will be intervening on that. He told me I'd have to wait for the budget, but reading between the lines, yes, there will be an announcement today. Whether it's an increase in the Warm Home Discount, or whether it's council tax banned, or whether it's done via a payout for people in say council tax bands A-D as a proxy for household income as Rishi Sunak did who knows.
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Whig retweeted
This picture should be shared far & wide to explain wage compression You have people with years experience earning a tiny amount more than minimum wage It’ll push decline further as people will continue not to care about the country There is no reward for improving ones self
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Min wage will probably accelerate the decline of every region outside London Can an SME in Newcastle drop £36k to hire a 21 year old? Isn’t this the opposite of Andy’s plan for devo maxx?
We have a Californian minimum wage for an economy which, outside of London, is roughly at the level of Bulgaria.
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So gas bill standing charges going. Medium and larger homeowners will pay far more under this policy. Far, far more.
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