Nett (@web3tool) header
Nett (@web3tool) profile picture

Building bots for prediction markets

Joined July 2020
Looks like I’ll miss the main event.
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Stopped all bots and watching the clock for today's ghost fill fix.
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End of a 5m BTC round, price slamming 0→1→0 in the last seconds. All ghost fills.
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May 2nd closed at 8.5% revert rate — even worse than I posted. 1 in every 12 trades.
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The ghost-fill exploit on Polymarket has hit catastrophic levels: 6.6% of all trades reverted on May 1st, 7.0% on May 2nd. Attackers are draining the bug at full throttle ahead of the patch Polymarket promised for Monday. Everyone trading is paying for it right now, no matter what side of the book they're on. Failed-tx count should be a multiplier on the future $POLY airdrop. Hoping the fix lands cleanly. @PolymarketDevs 🙏
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Replying to @Eltonma
6.6% of trades failed on May 1st. A few weeks ago almost none did. Looks like attackers are squeezing the exploit before Monday's fix closes it.
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gm Back to @fantasy_top_ after a deep dive into prediction markets. Fixed the "unknown" method bug on fanscan(dot)live and refreshed all affected cards. Next: recalibrating the Dune dashboard for accurate tracking.
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Reminder: legendary cards are still hiding in Jade packs on @fantasy_top_ Congrats @0xZsl
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Replying to @visavi_eth
I initially had similar thoughts. But if you look at the actual treasury numbers, the situation doesn't seem as critical. On May 15th the treasury had 1,342 ETH, and by September 8th it was at 1,331 ETH. So over the past ~4 months, the treasury has essentially been breaking even despite weekly prize payouts. This suggests the project's economics are already close to balanced. In my view, trading competitions combined with other revenue initiatives could boost market activity and push the project into profitability. Either way, I think we should wait for the official announcement from the team with detailed numbers before drawing final conclusions about the project's future.
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Noticed a 655 ETH outflow from the @fantasy_top_ treasury a few days ago. Was this a restructuring, operational move, or something else? Just want to update my Dune dashboard correctly and make sure I didn't miss any announcements. @travisbickle0x
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Packs are great again
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Positive ROI again on @fantasy_top_ after 50 packs
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Replying to @j0hnwang
@j0hnwang has the best price action of all @fantasy_top_ cards right now 📈 Remember how many of his cards you burned? 🔥
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Added a Market section to @fantasy_top_ @Dune dashboard. Track by timeframe: 🔸Trading volume (ETH) + trade count 🔸Trader activity (new vs returning)
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Shiny Pack magic👀 @ChiantiTrail hit a Shiny Pack on @fantasy_top_ for 0.0346 ETH → scored epic Ram → +0.9783 ETH PnL🔥
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Before the tournament I set my expectations for every hero. Here are my Top 3 picks by star level. let’s see how it goes 👀
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