growth @Polymarket • professional situation monitor • thiel fellow • founder @ GoodPillow (acquired) • building the prediction market space since 2019

America
Joined May 2009
“She tryna finesse Polymarket for bread” ~ Drake
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#9. Fascinating. @Polymarket
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This is total nonsense. We're one of the largest early investors in Polymarket, and this story that Shayne was "caught red-handed" using company money is just a flat out garbage hit piece. Shayne wasn't taking a salary. He was 21 when he started Polymarket, he was living hand-to-mouth running the company out of his apartment, barely making ends meet when he was raising his seed round. We were his first term sheet and literally offered to loan him money personally, but he ended up not needing it when the seed round came together. After COVID and the crazy Biden-era crackdown on crypto that was happening at the time, there was a lot of chaos in almost every company in the industry. As an investor, we saw a lot of companies go through pandemic-era startup craziness, and Polymarket was no exception. But Shayne disclosed every dollar he spent, which turned out to annualize to about a software engineer's salary. That's including the flights, none of which were personal flights. Plus, SHAYNE STARTED the accounting and payback process, no one “found” it. In aggregate, it was nothing that an investor would balk at. He paid it back to the company in full, and then got on a normal salary like everyone else. It was an accounting problem, not an integrity problem. It was not a big deal. Polymarket has had growing pains, no doubt. It went from a small fledging startups to one of the most explosive consumer brands in America. But Shayne has leveled up alongside the company, and as investors we have total confidence in him. Enough of this stupid FUD. The end.
🚨 BREAKING : Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan caught using COMPANY MONEY for Private Jets flights. Peter Thiel caught him red-handed using his investment money as a personal wallet. Founders Fund, Peter Thiel's fund, discovered that Shayne had charged the following as company expenses : - private jet flights - apartment rent - designer clothes They immediately demanded a FULL REFUND Shayne was forced to reimburse the money. ICE and Founders Fund then teamed up to push for stronger financial controls They were the one that forced Shayne to appoint a COO. You remember Shayne's ChatGPT written tweet gleefully announcing the hiring of Collin McKinney Hill as COO ? I called it extremely suspicious at the time. Turns out i was right, investors basically forced Shayne to hire him as a soft coup. I don't know how long Shayne can stay in place when their main investors have lost confidence.
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The stakes keep rising. Watch the midterms move on Polymarket.
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Last weekend’s revenue: Polymarket: $9.9m Hyperliquid: $2.64m $HYPE is an $86 billion token 🧐
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Polymarket Events during Token2049 🇸🇬 Oct 7, Wed • @Polymarket Singapore Kick-Off luma.com/polymarketsingapore Oct 8, Thurs • Liquid Fund Dinner @Poly_Perps luma.com/xsh80228 🇸🇬 F1 Week 🏎️🏎️🏎️ Oct 9, Fri | host: @supermegadaniel • F1 Paddock Club Oct 10, Sat | host: @XtineFang • F1 Paddock Club Oct 11, Sun (Race Day) | host: @bbrizzzzzz • F1 Paddock Club I will be in SG from Oct 4 - 11, please DM or comment below if you want to meet!
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Super excited to announce that Lisa Mantil has joined Polymarket to grow our Institutional business. Polymarket is only the second job of Lisa's career. She spent 27 years at @GoldmanSachs rising through the ranks to Partner, where her specialty was understanding what institutional clients needed and building the financial products to deliver it. That's the sauce she's bringing to Polymarket, and we're grateful to have her. If you're interested in taking large size in any event contract relevant to your business or portfolio, DM me or email [email protected]. Thank you to Cyril and @DavidSolomon for the intro and recommendation. Onwards.
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Bitcoin up or down? 15 minute crypto up/downs are now live in the Polymarket US app. Let the bull season begin 📈
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LeGate retweeted
We usually don't share timelines, but we want to be as transparent as possible about the new Rust CLOB build-out for Polymarket DeFi. The current CLOB is the system behind most of the issues we see today, so we've got all hands on deck building the new one. - Oct - full order lifecycle working end to end in staging: trading + settlement flow + onchain + indexer + engine notification flow - Nov - mirroring full production traffic to the new exchange cluster and diffing outputs against the current system. MM test access opens in Nov; we'll confirm the exact date by the end of Oct. - Nov - migration cutover plan locked, with 2x full rehearsals before we flip anything If all goes well, we then release it. The migration is designed to require minimal to no work on any MM/developer's side. Request and response interfaces should stay as they are: we may add extra useful fields, one field may be deprecated, and anything we deprecate will have a notice period before go-live.
Honest post: the Polymarket DeFi CLOB is full of tech debt. It grew fast, got hacked together, and most of the team inherited it that way. Since joining and building out the team, we have scaled it 10x and made it 3x faster, but it’s not enough; the core foundations of how it’s been built are wrong in almost every way. You try to fix one thing, and another thing goes wrong; the conclusion now is that the codebase can’t be saved long-term. The exchange is the heart of Polymarket; everything runs through it. If we want to be the best exchange in the world, it must be fast, stable, and scalable. We can’t keep patching the old one, where these core foundations are generally missing throughout, so we’re rewriting it from scratch in Rust. Early numbers: 10-20x faster on p99 than today, 200,000 orders per second (15x what we have now, with room to reach 400,000+), and stability under load. This will put us faster than most exchanges, including CEXs. Building it in Rust gives us memory safety with no garbage collector. No GC means no random pauses and no random latency spikes; the tail latency in the benchmarks is the tail latency you get in production, alongside a strict compiler that enforces correctness up front. Data races and memory corruption (the bugs that take exchanges down) can’t exist in the first place. Polymarket has to take it seriously that we are an exchange; this is people’s money, not a joke. To succeed, we have to fix this; otherwise, we will fail. It’s as simple as that. I joined to build the best software in the world, not to maintain some of the worst, and I will do everything I can to make Polymarket a serious exchange. We are aiming to have the exchange ready sometime in Q4 (mid to end). I'll communicate progress as we go so you all know the status. Breaking changes will be minimal for all integrators and will be communicated in advance. We will maintain the existing CLOB and keep trying to improve it as we build this side by side. We can’t wait to throw away the existing CLOB; we dislike it as much as you all do. Make Polymarket fast, finally.
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What better way to solve a debate than checking @Polymarket ✍️🚀🫡⚖️📈📠😛🔒 @RealSkipBayless x @ShannonSharpe x @PolymarketSport More to come...
With the legend @RealSkipBayless. Miss you my brotha! On set for our new @Polymarket commercial airing soon. More news coming soon 🤫
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NFL Season App Downloads 1.386M @Polymarket 1.312M @Kalshi 805K @DKSports 502K @FanDuelSports 291K @SleeperHQ 204K @PrizePicks 204K @bet365_US 197K @HardRockBet 167K @FanaticsSports 120K @splashsports 102K @Novig 100K @Underdog 83K @Betr 77K @CaesarsSports ⏯️ Citizens
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LeGate retweeted
Polymarket US became the #1 finance app in America
Polymarket's US business hit all-time highs in every metric this weekend, and became the #3 app in America. Polymarket US only launched publicly on May 12. Tech is now ready for scale. And scale we shall.
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Introducing Polymarket Data, a public source for U.S. & International exchange data. Polymarket U.S. hit 1b+ total volume (contracts) for the weekend, consecutive daily ATHs: - Saturday: 510m+ - Sunday: 525m+ We're just getting started.
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Graph below is taker volume (NOT notional volume) for recent midweek NFL games at Kalshi/Poly (US + defi). Not a huge gap! A lot of the gap we are seeing between Kalshi and Poly/the field at the top line for sports is increasingly from combos.
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We're excited to announce our 2026 Midterms Hub. Watch the odds shift before the polls on America's #1 most accurate election forecast.
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Update: PolyFly successfully predicted the 25 bps rate hike. Profit: +22.65%. Time to retire.
We gave a fly $100 to trade on Polymarket. It already called today’s pump in the "25 bps increase" on Fed Decision polymarket. Every second, its next move is decided by 166,700 neurons.
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Calling all crypto twitter. I'm proud to announce that Jacob Horne @js_horne has joined Polymarket. He will be working closely with me on product, in particular making Polymarket DeFi great again. Jacob is amongst the best product and innovation minds in crypto. Before this, he was CEO of Zora. He built multiple beautiful products (I was one of the first users of the first version in 2020). Now he's got the PMF and distribution of Polymarket. I'm so excited to work with him. We'll be hosting a Polymarket DeFi town hall soon to hear from our longtime users and lay out the plan to make the Polymarket DeFi product the best it’s ever been. In the meantime, DM your feedback to @js_horne or me and we'll action it. To the DeFi community, we know the performance of the onchain product has waned as we've scaled, and it hurts us to hear the frustration of the people who love Polymarket and have supported us for so long thinking we’ve pivoted all focus to US, but just know we're working behind the scenes to unify the products and make Polymarket better than ever, across all surface areas.
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Polymarket was the most downloaded app for sports in week 1. Looking forward to week 2.
NFL Week 1 Sports Betting & Prediction Market App Downloads Total: 3.0M Top Sites 762K @Polymarket 592K @Kalshi 415K @DKSports 265K @FanDuelSports 139K @SleeperHQ 104K @bet365_US 97K @HardRockBet ⏯️ via Citizens
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LeGate retweeted
We have built our Polymarket indexing systems in-house, powered by rindexer in Rust. We now see onchain data events up to 14 blocks (28 seconds) faster, and we index within 0-10ms of block broadcasting, making it nearly instant. This means trades, positions, and balances will update much faster. We will use Goldsky as a data backup, but we now primarily run on our own indexing infrastructure.
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LeGate retweeted
Polymarket cracked App Store top three Not the finance category. The overall store. For fifteen years, consumer charts belonged to social feeds. You opened an app to read an opinion. Now the third most downloaded icon in America is a live order book. Every kickoff, election, and rate decision carries a price. The shift is structural. People stopped scrolling commentary. They started pricing the print. The book is becoming the default news interface.
#6 in entire App Store 👀
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Polymarket's US business hit all-time highs in every metric this weekend, and became the #3 app in America. Polymarket US only launched publicly on May 12. Tech is now ready for scale. And scale we shall.
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