
AP @BenGurionUni ๐ฎ๐ฑ #EconTheory, #Networks, #GameTheory ๐ธ Past: @Bar_ilan ๐ฎ๐ฑ , @amseaixmars ๐ซ๐ท. PhD @TelAvivUni ๐ฎ๐ฑ. ๐งโโ๏ธ๐โโ๏ธ๐ดโโ๏ธ๐๐ถ ๐ทyevgets
Israel
Joined June 2022
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Department Chair: Hear me out, dean. It's a job search, but it ends in a faculty knife fight.
Dean: Post it!
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ืคืฉืื ืืืชืจืื ืืื ืฉืืื ื ืจืืืช ืืชืืื ืืงืืืืช ืืขืืฉืื?
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
A great question from @TheStalwart. The answer is that of course we have lots of open questions in economics, but none of them will get answered by a theorem. The question is not whether a statement is "true" but whether a model is useful to understand a given reality, and a model that may be useful to understand a reality may no longer be useful when the reality changes.
That does not mean that usefulness is determined by fashion. Take AI. A pure task-exposure model says radiology can be done by machines, hence radiology is replaced. In fact demand went up as shown by the fact that both wages and quantities of radiologists increased in the meantime(notice: useful model here, both P and Q go up, the mark of a demand shift).
If not the tasks, what? With Jin Li and Yanhui Wu we argue that markets price jobs, not tasks, and that the impact of AI depends on whether the job is a "strong bundle" (tasks are hard to separate) in which case AI helps the workers, or "weak bundles" in which case it splits the job, and makes it narrower. If both types of jobs react the same to AI, our model is useless and must be discarded.
Another example. Last year in Silicon Continent I argued for the "r without g" impact of AI potentially causing a fiscal crisis in europe (Rstar goes up everywhere due to higher expected earnings and investment boom, g only where AI is adopted, i.e. not in Europe) on the basis of the Auclert et al calibration of AS and AD for assets in their cool Jackson Hole (2025) paper. You can quantify the argument, figure out the elasticities, and the implied increase in rstar due to the AI revolution and test whether that accounts for the fiscal window narrowing. Again, is this model "true"? Or just useful?
Neither theory nor empirics settle the question by themselves (as Leamer argued). Economists argue about it, and the data offers the empirical discipline of the argument. No model comes out as "the truth". The models that survive are the ones that are able to keep explaining what happens.
Replying to @TheStalwart @alz_zyd_
Perhaps it speaks ill of your field that there aren't any equivalent open questions to be solved.
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ืฉืื ืืื ืฉืืืชื ื ืงืืื ืืืืกืืืจืื ืฉืื ืืคืชืืจ ืืฉืืืืืช ืืืขืื ืฉืืืฉืืช ืืืจ ืืืชื ืืื ืืขื ืืื ืืชืืืืงืื ืืื ืืืฆืื ืืขืืืื ืฉืื.
ืืื ืื ืืื ืืืืจ ืฉืื ืื ื ืื ืืืืขืื ืืื ืืจืื ืืงืฆืืข ืืืชืืืืงืื ืฉื ืืืจ, ืืื ืืืืื ืืืขื ื ืฉืื ืืืื ืืชืื ืชืื - ืื ื ืื ืืืฉื ืฉืืืงืฆืืข ืืื ืืืื ืืืืขืื. ืืื ืคืฉืื ืืฉืชื ื.
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Replying to @OmerBialer
ืืืจ ืืื ืื ืจืืื ืฉืืื ืืื ืื I II III IV, ืืื ืืื ืื ืืื ื ืืฉืืขื 1,2,3,4.
ืจืื ืืจ ืื ืื ืืื ื ืืชื ืืื ืกืืื ื ืื, ืื ืืื, ืื ืืื ืืื, ืืื ืืื
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Replying to @HamedHa26534517 @simplerand6775
Of course I reply right away โare you available today to discuss the approach over a video call?โ
ืงืืืจ ืฆืคืืื ืืกืืื ืืช ืืฉื ื ืืืืชืื ืฉื 8.6%, ืืื ืจืืื ืืช ืกืืฃ ืืฉืืจ ืืืจืืื ืืืืคืง. ืืฉืืืข ืืืืืขื ืขื ืงืืฆืืฅ ืฉื 30% ืชืงืฆืื, ื-85% ืืชืืืื ืืืืืื ืืช ืืืื ืืืืืืช.
ืืงืืจืืช ืืืื ืืืจืกืืืืืช ืืืืจืืคื ืืืจื"ื ืืืกืจืื ืื ืฉืืงืืืืื ืจืืื ืืืืขื ืืืฉื ืืืืฆื, ืืื ืืืื ืืืื ืืื, ืืจืืืฃ ืืืืืื ืืชืืืื ืืื ืืืงืฆืืข.
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
message from Hervรฉ Moulin, GEB editor
gametheorysociety.org/messagโฆ
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
(1) ืืฉ ืกืืคืืจ ืขื ืืื ืืืืื ืฉืื ืืฆืืื ืืืืืืื ืืืฉืืื ืืืืจืื ืืื ืืืื ืืืืืืื. ืืื ืืื ืืืจ ืฉื ืืืฉืคืื ืืืืืฅ ืืฉืืื ืืช ืืืื ืืืืดืก ืงืชืืื, ืืืืจืื ื ืื ืขื ืืืืื ื ืจืฉื ืืืืืืืื.
ืืืื ืืจืืฉืื ืืืื ืืืจ ืขื ืคื ืื ืจืฆืื ืืืช ืืืื ืืืืจื ืืืืื ืขื ืฉืขืช ืืฉืื ื, ืืื ืื ืืื ืขื ืืื ืืืืงืช ืืชืขืืืืช.
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Had a very optimistic discussion with a math professor friend about the role of AI in research. His take:
1) Having a fast way to disprove conjectures is already very useful and will save mathematicians lots of time.
2) Humans are very good at moving to higher levels of abstraction and will likely integrate AI proofs as a new abstract level that they operate over.
3) Out of necessity, math has operated on claims that can be explained by/to humans but surely there is an even bigger swath of math that cannot be explained to humans but is useful for other human goals. Having AI that can understand and verify those components and turn them into tools for human use could be revolutionary.
The less optimistic discussion was over whether the games that humans set up for ourselves to stay motivated (challenge problems, medals/awards, etc) will be maxxed out by AI in a way that is ultimately detrimental.
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Replying to @FrancescaFolia1 @_ToFeWe
For what it's worth, Refine's long-term business vision doesn't involve making any profits from academics.
We're fundraising and plan to expand and subsidize offerings for scholars, including but not exclusively those w/o research budgets.
AI for verification is a very valuable project economically, but the most valuable commercial applications are outside of academic research, and we want to serve academic researchers as a public good asap (and are raising money for this purpose).
Happy to chat more here or offline!
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ืืฉ ืืื ืืืืช ื ืขืจ ืื ื ืขืจื ืฉืื ืืคืกืืงืื ืืฉืืื, ืื ืชื ืืืืฉืื ืืื ืฆืขืืื ืงืืืื?
ืืืืข ืืืื ืืชืช ืืืื ืืกืงืจื ืฉืืื ืืชืืจ ืืจืื ืฉื ืืืื ืืืจืกืืื.
ืืฆืืจืคื ืืืื ื ืืืจืื ืืืงืจ ืืจืฆืืื ืืืืช ืืงืืจืก ืืชืืจืช ืืืฉืืงืื, ืืืืข ืฉืืืืืจื ืงืืืช ืืืืืืช.
ืืงืืจืก ืืืืขื ืืชืืืืื ืืืชืืช ื-ืื, ืืืกืืช ืืืื ืืืจืกืืื ืืขืืจืืช ืื ืืขืจ.
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Replying to @lilhasaa
ืขืืฆืืช ืืจืฆืฃ ื ืฉืืข ืืื ืืคืืื ืฉื ืื ืคืืื ืฉื ืงืจืืื




























