AP @BenGurionUni ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ #EconTheory, #Networks, #GameTheory ๐Ÿ•ธ Past: @Bar_ilan ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ , @amseaixmars ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท. PhD @TelAvivUni ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ. ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿƒโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿšดโ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ›ถ ๐Ÿ“ทyevgets

Israel
Joined June 2022
Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Department Chair: Hear me out, dean. It's a job search, but it ends in a faculty knife fight. Dean: Post it!
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ืคืฉื•ื˜ ืœื”ืชืจื’ืœ ืœื–ื” ืฉื›ื›ื” ื ืจืื™ืช ื›ืชื™ื‘ื” ืืงื“ืžื™ืช ืžืขื›ืฉื™ื•?
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A great question from @TheStalwart. The answer is that of course we have lots of open questions in economics, but none of them will get answered by a theorem. The question is not whether a statement is "true" but whether a model is useful to understand a given reality, and a model that may be useful to understand a reality may no longer be useful when the reality changes. That does not mean that usefulness is determined by fashion. Take AI. A pure task-exposure model says radiology can be done by machines, hence radiology is replaced. In fact demand went up as shown by the fact that both wages and quantities of radiologists increased in the meantime(notice: useful model here, both P and Q go up, the mark of a demand shift). If not the tasks, what? With Jin Li and Yanhui Wu we argue that markets price jobs, not tasks, and that the impact of AI depends on whether the job is a "strong bundle" (tasks are hard to separate) in which case AI helps the workers, or "weak bundles" in which case it splits the job, and makes it narrower. If both types of jobs react the same to AI, our model is useless and must be discarded. Another example. Last year in Silicon Continent I argued for the "r without g" impact of AI potentially causing a fiscal crisis in europe (Rstar goes up everywhere due to higher expected earnings and investment boom, g only where AI is adopted, i.e. not in Europe) on the basis of the Auclert et al calibration of AS and AD for assets in their cool Jackson Hole (2025) paper. You can quantify the argument, figure out the elasticities, and the implied increase in rstar due to the AI revolution and test whether that accounts for the fiscal window narrowing. Again, is this model "true"? Or just useful? Neither theory nor empirics settle the question by themselves (as Leamer argued). Economists argue about it, and the data offers the empirical discipline of the argument. No model comes out as "the truth". The models that survive are the ones that are able to keep explaining what happens.
Perhaps it speaks ill of your field that there aren't any equivalent open questions to be solved.
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ืฉืœื™ ื”ื™ื ืฉื”ื™ืชื” ื ืงื•ื“ื” ื‘ื”ื™ืกื˜ื•ืจื™ื” ืฉื‘ื” ืœืคืชื•ืจ ืžืฉื•ื•ืื•ืช ืžืžืขืœื” ืฉืœื™ืฉื™ืช ืžื”ืจ ื”ื™ืชื” ืžื“ื“ ืœืขื“ ื›ืžื” ืžืชืžื˜ื™ืงืื™ ื”ื•ื ืžื•ืฆืœื— ื‘ืขื‘ื•ื“ื” ืฉืœื•. ื•ื›ืœ ื–ื” ื›ื“ื™ ืœื•ืžืจ ืฉืื ื—ื ื• ืœื ื™ื•ื“ืขื™ื ืื™ืš ื™ืจืื” ืžืงืฆื•ืข ื”ืžืชืžื˜ื™ืงืื™ ืฉืœ ืžื—ืจ, ืื‘ืœ ื‘ื“ื•ืžื” ืœื˜ืขื ื” ืฉืœื™ ืœื’ื‘ื™ ืžืชื›ื ืชื™ื - ืื ื™ ืœื ื—ื•ืฉื‘ ืฉื”ืžืงืฆื•ืข ื”ื–ื” ื”ื•ืœืš ืœื”ื™ืขืœื. ื”ื•ื ืคืฉื•ื˜ ืžืฉืชื ื”.
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ื—ื‘ืจื” ืžืืจื”ืดื‘ ืฉืœื—ื” ืœื™ , ื•ื–ื” ืžืขื•ืœื” ๐Ÿคฉ
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Has FlyDubai considered a Two Cockpit solution?
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Replying to @OmerBialer
ื–ื›ืจ ืœืžื ื”ื’ ืจื•ืžื ืฉื”ื™ื• ืžื•ื ื™ื I II III IV, ื•ืœื ืžื•ื ื™ื ื›ื‘ื ื™ ื™ืฉืžืขืœ 1,2,3,4. ืจื‘ื™ ื‘ืจ ืžื ื™ื” ื”ื™ื” ื ื•ืชืŸ ื‘ื”ืŸ ืกื™ืžื ื™ ืื™, ืื™ ื™ืื™, ืื™ ื™ืื™ ื™ืื™, ืื•ื™ ื•ื•ื™
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Of course I reply right away โ€œare you available today to discuss the approach over a video call?โ€
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ืงื˜ืืจ ืฆืคื•ื™ื” ืœืกื™ื™ื ืืช ื”ืฉื ื” ื‘ืžื™ืชื•ืŸ ืฉืœ 8.6%, ื•ืœื ืจื•ืื” ืืช ืกื•ืฃ ืžืฉื‘ืจ ื”ื•ืจืžื•ื– ื‘ืื•ืคืง. ื”ืฉื‘ื•ืข ื”ื•ื“ื™ืขื• ืขืœ ืงื™ืฆื•ืฅ ืฉืœ 30% ืชืงืฆื™ื‘, ื•-85% ื‘ืชืžื™ื›ื” ื”ืžื™ืžื•ื ื™ืช ื”ื‘ื™ื ืœืื•ืžื™ืช. ืžืงื•ืจื•ืช ื‘ืื•ื ื™ื‘ืจืกื™ื˜ืื•ืช ื‘ืื™ืจื•ืคื” ื•ืืจื”"ื‘ ืžื•ืกืจื™ื ืœื™ ืฉืืงื“ืžืื™ื ืจื‘ื™ื ื‘ืžื“ืขื™ ื”ื“ืฉื ื™ืืœืฆื•, ื›ืžื• ื‘ื™ืžื™ ื”ื‘ื™ื ื™ื™ื, ืœืจื“ื•ืฃ ื™ื”ื•ื“ื™ื ื›ืชื—ื‘ื™ื‘ ื•ืœื ื›ืžืงืฆื•ืข.
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
message from Hervรฉ Moulin, GEB editor gametheorysociety.org/messagโ€ฆ
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Do you suffer from Israel Derangement Syndrome??
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(1) ื™ืฉ ืกื™ืคื•ืจ ืขืœ ื™ืœื“ ื™ื”ื•ื“ื™ ืฉืœื ื”ืฆืœื™ื— ื‘ืœื™ืžื•ื“ื™ ื”ื—ืฉื‘ื•ืŸ ื•ื”ื•ืจื™ื• ื”ื™ื• ืžืื•ื“ ืžื•ื“ืื’ื™ื. ื™ื•ื ืื—ื“ ื—ื‘ืจ ืฉืœ ื”ืžืฉืคื—ื” ื”ืžืœื™ืฅ ืœืฉืœื•ื— ืืช ื”ื™ืœื“ ืœื‘ื™ืดืก ืงืชื•ืœื™, ื”ื”ื•ืจื™ื ื ื›ื ืขื• ื•ื”ื™ืœื“ ื ืจืฉื ืœืœื™ืžื•ื“ื™ื. ื‘ื™ื•ื ื”ืจืืฉื•ืŸ ื”ื™ืœื“ ื—ื–ืจ ืขื ืคื ื™ื ืจืฆื™ื ื™ื•ืช ื•ื”ืœืš ืœื—ื“ืจื• ืœืœืžื•ื“ ืขื“ ืฉืขืช ื”ืฉื™ื ื”, ื•ื›ืš ื›ืœ ื™ื•ื ืขื“ ื™ื•ื ื—ืœื•ืงืช ื”ืชืขื•ื“ื•ืช.
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Had a very optimistic discussion with a math professor friend about the role of AI in research. His take: 1) Having a fast way to disprove conjectures is already very useful and will save mathematicians lots of time. 2) Humans are very good at moving to higher levels of abstraction and will likely integrate AI proofs as a new abstract level that they operate over. 3) Out of necessity, math has operated on claims that can be explained by/to humans but surely there is an even bigger swath of math that cannot be explained to humans but is useful for other human goals. Having AI that can understand and verify those components and turn them into tools for human use could be revolutionary. The less optimistic discussion was over whether the games that humans set up for ourselves to stay motivated (challenge problems, medals/awards, etc) will be maxxed out by AI in a way that is ultimately detrimental.
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For what it's worth, Refine's long-term business vision doesn't involve making any profits from academics. We're fundraising and plan to expand and subsidize offerings for scholars, including but not exclusively those w/o research budgets. AI for verification is a very valuable project economically, but the most valuable commercial applications are outside of academic research, and we want to serve academic researchers as a public good asap (and are raising money for this purpose). Happy to chat more here or offline!
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
ื™ืฉ ืœื›ื ื‘ื‘ื™ืช ื ืขืจ ืื• ื ืขืจื” ืฉืœื ืžืคืกื™ืงื™ื ืœืฉืื•ืœ, ืœื ืชื— ื•ืœื—ืฉื•ื‘ ื›ืžื” ืฆืขื“ื™ื ืงื“ื™ืžื”? ื”ื’ื™ืข ื”ื–ืžืŸ ืœืชืช ืœืžื•ื— ื”ืกืงืจืŸ ืฉืœื”ื ืืชื’ืจ ื‘ืจืžื” ืฉืœ ื”ืื•ื ื™ื‘ืจืกื™ื˜ื”. ื”ืฆื˜ืจืคื• ืืœื™ื ื• ื‘ืžืจื›ื– ืœื—ืงืจ ื”ืจืฆื™ื•ื ืœื™ื•ืช ืœืงื•ืจืก ื‘ืชื•ืจืช ื”ืžืฉื—ืงื™ื, ื”ืžื“ืข ืฉืžืื—ื•ืจื™ ืงื‘ืœืช ื”ื—ืœื˜ื•ืช. ื”ืงื•ืจืก ืžื™ื•ืขื“ ืœืชืœืžื™ื“ื™ ื›ื™ืชื•ืช ื™-ื™ื‘, ื‘ื—ืกื•ืช ื”ืื•ื ื™ื‘ืจืกื™ื˜ื” ื”ืขื‘ืจื™ืช ืœื ื•ืขืจ.
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Sounds about right
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Yevgeny Tsodikovich retweeted
Replying to @lilhasaa
ืขื•ืฆืžืช ื”ืจืฆืฃ ื ืฉืžืข ื›ืžื• ืžืคืœื’ื” ืฉืœ ื›ื ืคื™ื™ื ืฉืœ ืงืจืžื‘ื•
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