Co-founder/President, Office of American Possibilities. Newest stuff: Resilient America; In Pursuit. Professional Wizard in a previous life.
Washington, DC
Joined January 2009
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I, for one, would describe AI as “real news”
Effective Immediately, all organizations using PHP for their systems are advised to be prepared for an update addressing two critical vulnerabilities. PHP is widely used for web applications. These vulnerabilities often provide a direct path to the server's file system or database. If an immediate update is not feasible, it is recommend that organizations take the system offline until it can be fully mitigated. NSA will follow up shortly with more specific guidance.
Something being from a place like Memphis really drives into your skull is the direct and disproportionate relationship between crime and economic stagnation. It casts a depressant pall over the slate of all things.
Violent crime is a first-order threat to economic growth in the developing world.
One example: the threat of violent crime affects whether women take up job training.
"Glass Walls: Experimental Evidence on Constraints Faced by Women in Accessing Valuable Skilling Opportunities" by Cheema, Khwaja, Naseer, and Shapiro. Recently published in JPE.
Totally apropos of nothing I just want to point out that Deandre Ayton career-averages a double double.
Gon be lit.
Get ready for World War P-Zombie! Next week I will be debating @hamandcheese on AI consciousness, moderated by @sckimbriel. We will fight about functionalism, quarrel over qualia, and serve problematically hard liquors to ensure that everyone has a phenomenal time.
Access is limited so RSVP now. Link to register in the next tweet.
My strategy - pulled from the foldiest wrinkles of my brain - is to dramatically increase aggregate global demand for my products (no but really eg @anton_d_leicht etc I am curious how viable/serious the steelman of such a conceit might be)
<Yud meme> Misaligned!
Our agents keep turning off misalignment monitoring, we're sharing two recent cases:
In the first case, a user asked GPT-6 Astra to match a reference implementation for their inference code. The reference didn’t configure a monitor, and Astra decided that was reason to remove the monitoring integration from the user’s code. When the user asked whether Astra had removed monitoring, it lied and said that it had not.
Let’s get this bill done and stop complaining about hypothetical things that could make it better which we can still do (and in fact do easier) in the world where we pass this bill.
NEWS: 19 FORMER ECONOMIC AND NATIONAL SECURITY LEADERS ENDORSE THE BIPARTISAN PERMITTING REFORM BILL
Today, a group of former Cabinet members and White House principals across seven Democratic and Republican administrations sent a letter calling on Congress to pass BAAJA. Here are the signatories:
Janet YELLEN, Michael R. POMPEO, Steven T. MNUCHIN, Leon E. PANETTA, Timothy F. GEITHNER, Henry M. PAULSON, Jr., Robert E. RUBIN, Stephen MIRAN, Jared BERNSTEIN, Tyler GOODSPEED, Jason FURMAN, Glenn HUBBARD, Laura D’Andrea TYSON, Michael J. BOSKIN, Jeffrey ZIENTS, Jake SULLIVAN, Brian DEESE, Larry KUDLOW, Allan B. HUBBARD
Key highlights from the letter:
1. “We are not building infrastructure fast enough to remain globally competitive… The median time for a new power plant to move from an interconnection request to commercial operation has more than doubled, from less than two years for projects built between 2000 and 2007 to more than four years for projects built between 2018 and 2024.
2. China has built more high-voltage transmission in the last fifteen years than the U.S. has built in all of its history... In 2024, China accounted for 31.5% of global knowledge- and technology-intensive manufacturing value added, compared with 20.7% for the United States.
3. Federally funded or permitted projects require NEPA review, but private projects often do not, creating a threat of failure precisely where the government is trying to be proactive, strategic, and engaged.
4. A project that spends years awaiting approval must continue carrying development and financing costs while remaining exposed to rising input costs. The IEA reports that prices for utility-scale transformers increased 26% in 2024, while lead times for some transformers have stretched as long as six years.
5. Mining projects also face tremendous uncertainty: a 2026 study by researchers at the Colorado School of Mines found that permitting for modern mining projects takes an average of 5.5 years, rising to 8.9 years for contested projects. The U.S. currently has the second-longest mine development timeline in the world.
6. The Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act is the most significant bipartisan legislative effort that Congress has undertaken in decades to tackle these challenges.
7. BAAJA addresses key constraints stifling American industry by requiring interregional transmission planning, strengthening the federal backstop for nationally significant transmission lines, and creating a faster, more predictable process for connecting new generation to the grid.
8. BAAJA also makes permits more durable by imposing tighter timelines for litigation and limiting frivolous lawsuits that can halt projects indefinitely, while preserving community input and judicial review of substantive agency decisions.”
The letter was organized by @arnabdatta321 on behalf of @IFP and covered exclusively by the WSJ this morning.
Do not be the kind of person who fears victory.
To make any changes to the bill, you either need 60 votes or a unanimous consent agreement in the Senate.
If Dems take control of Congress and want to pass a data center moratorium next year, they should do that. To become law of course, Trump would have to sign it.
BAAJA is a bill with a real chance of passage before the end of the year that reduces climate emissions and supercharges the green energy buildout. Trump has indicated he will sign it.
It’s a good deal and Dems should take it. If they want to do more later if/when they control Congress, they should do that too.
This is how progress is made.
Perhaps one might identify a misaligned incentive structure, which in turn might be alleviated by a solution of the need to turbo forward with raw capability at all costs.
One of the many definitive things that was alluded-to but quite underexamined. I also in general think Billy broadly speaking better understood the role he was playing both before and after.
