Trading ideas and forecasts on stocks. My posts aren't investment advice, do your own DD. 📈 Sharing: Stock picks 🏦 Market trends 🌍 Portfolio updates 🔄
Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Joined April 2014
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Ugly end to October.
Today: Nasdaq-100 -3.5%, chips -7.2%. Intel's weak outlook hit the group: $AMD -11%, Nvidia -4%.
October: chips -15%, Nasdaq-100 -6.7%. Energy +14%, staples +11%, utilities +10%.
Cash flow beat AI promises.
#StockMarket #Nasdaq #Semiconductors
Setup: $ABBV (AbbVie)
Chips -8%, Nasdaq-100 -3.5%. AbbVie: 52-week high, ~296.
Why: Q3 beat, outlook, dividend raised. New drugs Skyrizi +23%, Rinvoq +24% outweigh Humira's -31%.
Trigger: 291.40 (cleared)
Wrong if: below 271
Earnings: out today
#Stocks #StockMarket #Pharma
$INTC -29% today, to ~65. On pace for its worst day since 1974.
The quarter beat. The outlook didn't: Q4 sales ~9% under forecasts.
Why: AI servers grab memory chips, prices soared, PC makers cut orders. Intel's PC sales: -20%+ vs Q3.
#StockMarket #Semiconductors #AI
S&P 500: -0.3%. The average stock: +1.2%.
Why: Alphabet -12.6% on a sales miss dragged it. Health care +2.4%, small caps +1%.
After the close: $AMZN -7%. Cloud +39%, fastest in 5 years. But sales missed and it burned $42B of cash in 12 months.
#StockMarket #SP500 #Earnings
Breakout: $ECO (Okeanis, oil tankers)
Oil sails the long way around Hormuz. Longer trips need more ships: its fleet earned 3.6x more per day in Q2.
New high, ~101.5. +209% in 2026.
Trigger: 100.68 (cleared)
Wrong if: below 91.62
Earnings: 11 Nov
#Stocks #StockMarket #Shipping
$LLY +7% today, to a record high (~1,380).
Why: sales +39% to $24.4B, $1.8B above forecasts. Mounjaro +65%, Zepbound +49%. 2026 sales outlook raised by $5.5B.
Meanwhile the Nasdaq-100 is -1.6%.
Today's best growth story isn't a chip stock.
#StockMarket #Earnings #Pharma
Same AI boom. Opposite verdicts.
$MSFT +3.6% after hours: Azure +48%, and a lower 2026 spending forecast.
Alphabet -11%: cloud +103%, but it burned $9B of cash and sees "significant" more spending in 2027.
Investors pay for AI profits, not AI bills.
#StockMarket #Earnings #AI
$VRT +14% today, to ~237.
Vertiv makes the power and cooling gear inside AI data centers.
Q3 sales +61%. Orders more than doubled. Full-year outlook raised.
Still 37% under its May high.
Sales show today. Orders show next year.
#AI #StockMarket #Earnings
Setup to watch: $ZBRA (Zebra)
Its scanners, rugged phones and machine vision run warehouses, stores and hospitals. EPS guide +33%.
12-week base after a 26% earnings gap. Volume drying up.
Trigger: above 392.78
Wrong if: below 365
Earnings: Tue 3 Nov
#StockMarket #Stocks
Why it's on our radar:
· Q2 sales +20%, EPS beat by 45%, margin 20.6% vs 14.2%
· Free cash flow guide raised to $1B+
· ~18x this year's earnings
Why we wait: the last report moved it 26%, and memory chip costs are the swing risk. Let earnings confirm the breakout.
#Investing
Setup to watch: $OABI (OmniAb)
Drugmakers use its engineered animals to find antibodies, then pay milestones + royalties. Eli Lilly just signed on.
Up 160% in 3 months, now pressing 5.13.
Trigger: above 5.43
Wrong if: below 4.50
Earnings: Fri 30 Oct
#StockMarket #Biotech
Why it's on our radar:
· 110+ partners, 34 drugs in trials, ~19 trial readouts due through 2027
· Cash outlook raised to ~$51M
· Analysts: 7 Buy, 0 Hold
Why we wait: it still loses money, trades thin, and reports Friday. Let earnings pick the direction.
#Investing #Stocks
Wall Street's big night, in CET:
19:00 Fed decision. Odds of no change: ~91%.
19:30 Fed chief Warsh speaks. Watch for a December hike hint.
After 21:00: Microsoft + $GOOGL earnings, $7.9T of stock in one night. Watch AI spending.
Set alarms.
#StockMarket #Fed #Earnings
Same industry, opposite days.
S&P 500 +0.6%, Nasdaq-100 +1.3%, chips +3.6%.
But water stocks split:
$PNR +12.8%, the S&P's best: sales beat, pool slump ending.
Xylem -14.2%: cut its outlook as utilities delay orders.
The outlook moves the stock.
#StockMarket #Earnings #SP500
$BA -9.6% today, to ~170, an 18-month low.
Its Q3 loss shrank. Orders hit a record $745B.
So why? The 737 ramp slips to early 2027, and its 2027 cash outlook ($3B) is about half what Wall Street expected.
Orders don't pay bills. Deliveries do.
#Boeing #StockMarket #Earnings
$CLS (Celestica) +10% after the open, to ~272.
Why: AI data center demand. Sales +83%, and it sees 2027 sales of $40B (+90%). Clients' 2028 plans are higher still.
But it's 43% under its high, below its 50-day average.
Good news isn't a fixed chart.
#AI #StockMarket #Earnings
The AI trade woke up today.
Nasdaq-100 +1.1%, chips +2.8%, S&P 500 +0.7%.
Why: Anthropic, maker of the Claude AI models, filed to go public. $MU +3%, AMD +2.8%, Nvidia +2.4%.
One filing won't end the AI debate. Big Tech earnings this week will.
#StockMarket #AI #Nasdaq
Short setup: $COIN (Coinbase)
Stocks rose today. Coinbase fell 2.4% to ~160, below its 1-month low, 56% off its high.
Why: sales seen -36% y/y, Bitcoin ETFs lost $635M Friday.
Trigger: below 163.33 (hit)
Wrong if: above 182.93
Earnings: 29 Oct
#Stocks #StockMarket #Crypto
$TSLA +5.9% after the open, to ~394.
Why: Barclays upgraded it, target $450 (from $370). The bet: a SpaceX merger, and a battery business nearly sold out for 2027 on AI data center demand.
Worst Mag 7 stock this year. Best in October.
#Tesla #StockMarket #Investing
Midterms are 9 days away. History says:
S&P 500 one year after each midterm since 1950: up 19 of 19 times. Average +15%.
The worst: +1%, a year that included the 1987 crash.
Why: the uncertainty clears, whoever wins.
Not a guarantee. A tailwind.
#StockMarket #SP500 #Investing
