Cornelius Vanderbilt (@BlueFishCap) header
Cornelius Vanderbilt (@BlueFishCap) profile picture

Trading ideas and forecasts on stocks. My posts aren't investment advice, do your own DD. 馃搱 Sharing: Stock picks 馃彟 Market trends 馃實 Portfolio updates 馃攧

Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Joined April 2014
Ugly end to October. Today: Nasdaq-100 -3.5%, chips -7.2%. Intel's weak outlook hit the group: $AMD -11%, Nvidia -4%. October: chips -15%, Nasdaq-100 -6.7%. Energy +14%, staples +11%, utilities +10%. Cash flow beat AI promises. #StockMarket #Nasdaq #Semiconductors
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S&P 500: -0.3%. The average stock: +1.2%. Why: Alphabet -12.6% on a sales miss dragged it. Health care +2.4%, small caps +1%. After the close: $AMZN -7%. Cloud +39%, fastest in 5 years. But sales missed and it burned $42B of cash in 12 months. #StockMarket #SP500 #Earnings
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Same AI boom. Opposite verdicts. $MSFT +3.6% after hours: Azure +48%, and a lower 2026 spending forecast. Alphabet -11%: cloud +103%, but it burned $9B of cash and sees "significant" more spending in 2027. Investors pay for AI profits, not AI bills. #StockMarket #Earnings #AI
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Same industry, opposite days. S&P 500 +0.6%, Nasdaq-100 +1.3%, chips +3.6%. But water stocks split: $PNR +12.8%, the S&P's best: sales beat, pool slump ending. Xylem -14.2%: cut its outlook as utilities delay orders. The outlook moves the stock. #StockMarket #Earnings #SP500
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The AI trade woke up today. Nasdaq-100 +1.1%, chips +2.8%, S&P 500 +0.7%. Why: Anthropic, maker of the Claude AI models, filed to go public. $MU +3%, AMD +2.8%, Nvidia +2.4%. One filing won't end the AI debate. Big Tech earnings this week will. #StockMarket #AI #Nasdaq
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Midterms are 9 days away. History says: S&P 500 one year after each midterm since 1950: up 19 of 19 times. Average +15%. The worst: +1%, a year that included the 1987 crash. Why: the uncertainty clears, whoever wins. Not a guarantee. A tailwind. #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing
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9 of 11 S&P 500 sectors rose this week. Yet the index fell 0.5%. Why: a few giants. Communication -4.4%, chips -3.2% on AI spending fears. The average stock (equal-weight S&P) rose 1.1%. Profits: +29.5% y/y (FactSet). Weak index, healthy market. #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing
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Oil up, Dow down. Brent +3% to ~$117, a 5-month high, on reports of new US-Israel strike plans on Iran. Dow -1.2%, S&P 500 -0.5%, Nasdaq-100 flat. Energy $XLE +2.6%, the day's top sector. Next up: Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon earnings + the Fed. #StockMarket #Oil #SP500
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Wall Street split in two today. Nasdaq-100 -2.9%, chips -6.7%: AI spending fears are back. But the Dow closed flat. $PG +5.6% as shoppers bought more, Lockheed +7% on a record backlog, staples +3.3%. Money didn't leave stocks. It changed seats. #StockMarket #Nasdaq #Investing
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AI fear took a day off. Nasdaq-100 +1.1%, chips +2.0%, S&P 500 +0.6%. Why: $SMCI raised its sales outlook on AI server orders and rose 9.5%. Dell +5.3%. Losers: AT&T -6.4% despite an earnings beat, Netflix -5.3%. One outlook can lift a whole sector. #StockMarket #Nasdaq #AI
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