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Big Short investor Steve Eisman says the AI labs know they have no moats and are manufacturing a crisis to get regulation that hands them a duopoly
"I think this is all nonsense."
[ You think it's all nonsense? ]
"All nonsense. I think that there's something else completely going on here. ... What I think is happening is that token maxing is over. The open weight models are taking big market share. I think these companies are very nervous. They realize that there are no moats around their business whatsoever, and they're trying to manufacture a crisis that will create regulation, and that they think they can then manipulate to create the moats, to create the duopoly that they want."
[ Wow. ]
"That's what I think is going on."
"Honestly, I think this whole Terminator thing is garbage. That's for sure."
Dan Ives says there's an 80 to 90% chance SpaceX buys Tesla within a year, at about $500 a share
"...that price point would be about $500 in terms of where that deal would get done."
Demis Hassabis says Larry Page heard about DeepMind maybe through Elon Musk, and Jeff Dean saw all their secrets before the deal closed
"Well, looking back on it now, of course, it seems very undervalued, which is actually even at the time we thought that."
"It was actually Larry Page that reached out to me. I think he found out somehow, maybe through Elon Musk or having a conversation with one of our investors. Elon was an investor at the time."
"...we just had pretty much a blank screen as our website. That was it, you know, with our logo, which was, you know, intentional because we thought we were on to something really big."
"It was a bit of a Rubicon moment, because once you had some of their top researchers and programmers, I remember Jeff Dean at the time looking through our code, they've now seen all the secrets... So it would have been tough if it hadn't gone through at that point."
Ft @DivesTech on @BNNBloomberg
The full 8 min conversation, searchable quote by quote:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Chamath Palihapitiya says the most obvious thing to point AI at is Satoshi's wallet, drain it, go short, tell people, make the money twice
"And then the third is around AI... the most obvious thing to point it to would be to Satoshi's wallet and... just kind of drain the wallet and then go short and then tell people that you did it. So then you'd make the money twice."
[ Peter: So, do you think Bitcoin is cooked? ]
"I just think it's capped, and then I think eventually it gets hacked, and then it goes to zero."
Chamath Palihapitiya says the risk factor that shocked him in Anthropic's S1 is that the hyperscalers won't give it compute
"Look, I do think that we have achieved AGI. It cannot diffuse, and the reason it cannot diffuse has nothing to do with the technology."
"And if you look at, for example, the Anthropic S1 that just dropped today, it's shocking to me that the claim that they have to put as a risk factor, which I would never have thought would have happened for a company growing this fast and so powerful with all this money, the hyperscalers will not give them compute."
"I've never seen that before."
[ Peter: Elon was saying there's 15 gigawatts of chips just waiting for liquid cooled data centers to fall into. ]
"It's worse than that... There's a bunch of these guys that have these things sitting in inventory. Those aren't being used."
Ft @chamath on @PeterDiamandis Moonshots
Every word Chamath Palihapitiya said here, timestamped and searchable:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Blackstone's Jon Gray says neoclouds that can deliver compute get 50% more for it than a year ago, and old H100s lease near their original rates
[ CoreWeave, a company that you work with... is seeing its yields on some of its debt go to 15%. ]
"Well, it is creating a challenge. And it's interesting when you talk about CoreWeave and the neo clouds, there's a real contrast between delivering compute and demand for compute."
"And so if you're in a neo cloud and you can deliver compute, the price you can get today is up 50% from where it was a year ago. Your older chips, the H100s, are leasing today close to their original rates, where people thought three or four years ago they wouldn't have any value."
Demis Hassabis says Larry Page heard about DeepMind maybe through Elon Musk, and Jeff Dean saw all their secrets before the deal closed
"Well, looking back on it now, of course, it seems very undervalued, which is actually even at the time we thought that."
"It was actually Larry Page that reached out to me. I think he found out somehow, maybe through Elon Musk or having a conversation with one of our investors. Elon was an investor at the time."
"...we just had pretty much a blank screen as our website. That was it, you know, with our logo, which was, you know, intentional because we thought we were on to something really big."
"It was a bit of a Rubicon moment, because once you had some of their top researchers and programmers, I remember Jeff Dean at the time looking through our code, they've now seen all the secrets... So it would have been tough if it hadn't gone through at that point."
Ft Blackstone's Jon Gray on @BloombergTV
Link: ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Bill Gates says he worked with Claude on reserving 40% of jobs for humans and it kept telling him he was artificially restricting the AI
"So somebody who's young today and wanting to make a unique contribution, it is very intimidating that the AI is so powerful."
"We may need to develop the taste to actually not use technology to its maximum."
"When I was talking with Claude about human reserved job categories and trying to get that up to say 40% of the labor market, so you could use early retirement, restricted work weeks, and things like that to still get something like we have today, its question was always, 'Well, you're artificially restricting the AI from doing these things.'"
"And I couldn't get to a very high percentage without doing that."
Chamath Palihapitiya says the risk factor that shocked him in Anthropic's S1 is that the hyperscalers won't give it compute
"Look, I do think that we have achieved AGI. It cannot diffuse, and the reason it cannot diffuse has nothing to do with the technology."
"And if you look at, for example, the Anthropic S1 that just dropped today, it's shocking to me that the claim that they have to put as a risk factor, which I would never have thought would have happened for a company growing this fast and so powerful with all this money, the hyperscalers will not give them compute."
"I've never seen that before."
[ Peter: Elon was saying there's 15 gigawatts of chips just waiting for liquid cooled data centers to fall into. ]
"It's worse than that... There's a bunch of these guys that have these things sitting in inventory. Those aren't being used."
Ft @BillGates on Decoder with @reckless
The whole Bill Gates conversation, every quote on the record:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Yann LeCun says Llama 4 was a disappointment that made Zuckerberg reboot Meta's AI effort, and people online blame him for a model he never worked on
"The company was pretty ahead of the pack in 2023 with Llama 1, Llama 2, Llama 3, and then Llama 4 was a disappointment, and Mark Zuckerberg decided to kind of reboot the entire effort."
"I was, by the way, not involved in Llama at all. I was not working on Llama."
"So some people on social networks blame me for the failure. I had zero involvement in it, other than pushing for the open sourcing of it."
"Because I was not director of FAIR at the time. I was chief scientist, but not actually having any management duty."
Chamath Palihapitiya says the risk factor that shocked him in Anthropic's S1 is that the hyperscalers won't give it compute
"Look, I do think that we have achieved AGI. It cannot diffuse, and the reason it cannot diffuse has nothing to do with the technology."
"And if you look at, for example, the Anthropic S1 that just dropped today, it's shocking to me that the claim that they have to put as a risk factor, which I would never have thought would have happened for a company growing this fast and so powerful with all this money, the hyperscalers will not give them compute."
"I've never seen that before."
[ Peter: Elon was saying there's 15 gigawatts of chips just waiting for liquid cooled data centers to fall into. ]
"It's worse than that... There's a bunch of these guys that have these things sitting in inventory. Those aren't being used."
Ft @ylecun at the @radicalvcfund AI Founders Masterclass
Complete interview and transcript, searchable:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Ft @bchesky on @semafor's The CEO Signal
Full interview, every quote searchable:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Brian Chesky says he asks AI leaders if they talk to normal people, and one famous one named his nanny, then his chef
"I'm like, 'We need to talk to regular people that we don't pay.'"
Chamath Palihapitiya says the risk factor that shocked him in Anthropic's S1 is that the hyperscalers won't give it compute
"Look, I do think that we have achieved AGI. It cannot diffuse, and the reason it cannot diffuse has nothing to do with the technology."
"And if you look at, for example, the Anthropic S1 that just dropped today, it's shocking to me that the claim that they have to put as a risk factor, which I would never have thought would have happened for a company growing this fast and so powerful with all this money, the hyperscalers will not give them compute."
"I've never seen that before."
[ Peter: Elon was saying there's 15 gigawatts of chips just waiting for liquid cooled data centers to fall into. ]
"It's worse than that... There's a bunch of these guys that have these things sitting in inventory. Those aren't being used."
Gene Munster says Meta's Muse probably has about 10 million daily users out of 3.6 billion, so few that Meta wouldn't give the number
"...they didn't give the number, but my guess is we're probably about 10 million daily users of Muse, which is just remarkably low."
[ Why wouldn't they give the number, do you think, Gene? ]
"It's so small. And when you put it in that context of their overall daily users of 3.6 billion, it's a little bit of almost an embarrassing number."
"But they gave... Zuck kicked off the call talking about how much faster this is, their fastest growing product ever, and the engagement goes up as people use it more, which is something that they typically don't see."
Ft @munster_gene on @CNBC
Every word Gene Munster said here, timestamped and searchable:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
Demis Hassabis says Larry Page heard about DeepMind maybe through Elon Musk, and Jeff Dean saw all their secrets before the deal closed
"Well, looking back on it now, of course, it seems very undervalued, which is actually even at the time we thought that."
"It was actually Larry Page that reached out to me. I think he found out somehow, maybe through Elon Musk or having a conversation with one of our investors. Elon was an investor at the time."
"...we just had pretty much a blank screen as our website. That was it, you know, with our logo, which was, you know, intentional because we thought we were on to something really big."
"It was a bit of a Rubicon moment, because once you had some of their top researchers and programmers, I remember Jeff Dean at the time looking through our code, they've now seen all the secrets... So it would have been tough if it hadn't gone through at that point."
Ft @demishassabis with WSJ. Magazine
The full 10 min conversation, searchable quote by quote:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
United CEO Scott Kirby, told by Louisiana's governor to cut a check, says even trillionaire Elon Musk doing it isn't enough to make a difference
[ This came from the governor of Louisiana, who said, 'How audacious from a guy who didn't even build United and makes $32 million a year. If he feels that strongly, he should simply cut a check.' ]
"Of course not. And it's also... it's not even what I said."
"I mean, Elon Musk decided to do it. He is a trillionaire. It's not enough to make a difference."
"I'm not going to run for governor of Louisiana, so he can relax."
Brad Gerstner says the people who called a GPU glut missed Nvidia going up 18x in three years
[ The margins at NVIDIA, 75% last quarter. You look at Micron, you're talking about 86% margins... that siren has been going off since 2023 and we're still here. ]
"So the people who have called the glut over the last two years, they've all been wrong, all been wrong. And they've all missed the opportunity, the upside."
"Remember NVIDIA over the course of the last three years is up 18x. You missed all of that because you were panicked two and a half years ago that there was going to be a glut."
"There's only so fast in terms of production of wafers in this country. It's only so fast that we can bring power on."
Ft @BloombergTV
Every word Scott Kirby said here, timestamped and searchable:
ceointerviews.ai/interview/3…
