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Flyover Country
Joined March 2012
Casey Mericle retweeted
How can a land for land deal happen? 107 acres of industrial land owner didn't want to sell. But he did want to activate the equity. Offered a note of $20k a month for 25 years with $6m balloon in exchange for high end lots in Santa Fe. The lots will absorb slowly because they are luxury lots for homes but few buyers due to price and speed to develop. They'll go to cash over 3-5 years at $9-10m. The owner of the lots doesn't want to wait. He would rather get income today. Now the industrial land guy owns both. He can potentially get up to $10m cash but it comes in over 5 years. What's his cost of funds? It's an uneven cashflow situation. $20k a month going out for 25 years and a $6m balloon. $10m coming in over 5 years.
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Seems like majority of dating advice comes from single people
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Casey Mericle retweeted
I got to chat with Lonnie and Hayley at TreppWire about apartments and OZ Check it out
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Casey Mericle retweeted
We just launched Rent IQ, a one-of-a-kind rent estimator that looks at both active and recently leased comps. Own a rental in Central Oregon? DM me for a free report like this. 🚀
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OKAY, I'm reloaded! First You Get the Money, Then You Get the Power - Article 3 in my real estate joint venture series, walking you through major decisions removal, guarantees, capital calls and dilution.
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Casey Mericle retweeted
PSA for Brokers -- Price your listings When you list a vacant building or piece of land and it doesn't have a listing price, I move on to something else. I am an active buyer of drive thru sites in the Western U.S. I don't have time to help the seller establish a price.
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🚨 1 slam-dunk use of Claude for CRE? Due diligence checklists that fill out themselves, and find conflicts across your deal docs. We built a Claude skill to tackle it. On the first run, it asks for YOUR checklist template. Excel, Word, PDF, or pasted in. Point it at the deal room folder and it reads every file. You get one workbook back. Every item in the checklist marked Received, Partial or Outstanding, and a conflicts tab outlining any disagreements across deal docs. The PSA lists three parcels but the title commitment only covers two? Flagged. Deal rooms grow overtime, so it offers to create a scheduled task calling the skill like clockwork. It checks the folder for new docs, updates the list, adds or resolves conflicts, and emails you with an update. You keep the judgment calls. It takes care of the hours of assembly. Grab the Due Diligence Checklist skill & our full skill library in CRE AI Studio: creaistudio.com
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Thought my site was 15 MW, turns out its 200 MW - who wants it
Any data center cowboys here?
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Casey Mericle retweeted
JOB ALERT: I'm hiring a new Chief of Staff. Can you help me spread the word? If you know anyone smart and capable who’s looking, send them my way! (I'd also love any help amplifying this, like liking/replying/etc. to this post!)
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Great job selling out to private equity @Whataburger.
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Weekend GrokBot project: A free nationwide database of publicly announced CRE lease & sale transactions 1 bot finds new transactions 1 pushes the new pages live 1 updates weekly summaries for each metro 1 analyzes the data & makes TikToks to get the word out with Claude/Higgsfield/HeyGen, & pulls engagement metrics to a data pipeline so they improve overtime. Haven’t touched my computer once in the process. Check it out here: dealrevue.com
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Casey Mericle retweeted
Hybrid 1031 Exchange Example #1 Forward + Reverse Bob has 10 Single Family Rentals worth $2.5M and wants to roll them all into a single tenant NNN lease property. He doesn't want to sell them as a portfolio at a discount, even though that would be a simpler 1031 for him. He wants maximum value. So Bob sells 1 SFR and starts the 1031 forward exchange with that. Over the next few weeks is able to sell 4 more SFRs and roll them into the same forward exchange. He also finds a $2.5M replacement NNN property during this time that he likes and moves forward with the purchase as his replacement. Problem : the rest of the houses haven't sold yet and he wants to put all of his houses into this 1 property free and clear and tax deferred. He is running out of time and he does not want to do another forward exchange into another property. Since Bob has a good exchange advisor, they decide to set up a hybrid exchange. Bob buys 50% of the replacement property as a TIC and his advisor buys the other 50% with an EAT entity. This closing ends Bob's forward exchange with his first 5 properties and starts a reverse exchange for him at the same time. This gives Bob another 180 days to sell his remaining 5 houses and place that equity into this property tax deferred. Everything goes well and Bob is able to sell his remaining 5 SFRs in a few months time. Those funds are transferred to the EAT and the EAT is transferred to Bob. Bob now owns zero single family rentals and 100% of a NNN lease property like he wanted, free and clear and tax deferred. Technically Bob could have had 360 calendar days to do this, 180 days for the forward half and 180 days for the reverse half. Two separate exchanges but just one exchanger. A hybrid 1031 is not 1 type of exchange, it's 2 together. It is scenario dependent, not property dependent. Nor can you just say I want to do a hybrid exchange to try and get 360 days for your 1031. Exchange accordingly.
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Casey Mericle retweeted
I wanna know what you need? Can’t help until we know? Challenge me?
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How to put zero dollars down using hard money lenders You found a great deal on a property. Let’s say the property is worth 800k and you have the property under contract for 600k. You go to the bank and they still want you to put down 20%, well that doesn’t make much sense. Go to your hard money lender and get a loan for a 6 month time period or shortest possible. After the 6 months is over, go back to the bank have them come out for a refinance instead of a purchase contract. The bank will base money they give you based on the appraisal NOT on the irrelevant purchase price of the property. Now you have the property for zero money down.
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I totally get why people are upset about all the drama on REtwit right now and are trying to avoid it. As with any pile of shit, though, it's worth figuring out what part of it is suitable fertilizer—that is, what part of it can be put to productive use. Here's what I'm doing with all this drama: I'm taking two valuable lessons from it. One is on the GP side of things, and the other on the LP side of things. (Both, though, apply only where GPs and LPs are acting honestly and in good faith. Everything is different where deception is involved.) For GPs: Don't blow sunshine up your investors' asses. You stopped distributions months ago. In the next twelve months, the terms will be up on the senior debt in the low 4% range on two of your deals, and NOI has not increased enough to keep DSCR above 1 refinancing at current rates. Your investors know things aren't going well. So when you send out updates or an annual letter that makes it sounds like everything is great, your investors think one of two things, and often both: (1) You are clearly not being honest. Everywhere I turn I see more bad news and warnings about CRE, and clearly the deals I'm in are not immune since distributions have dried up, and my financial adviser is telling me most or all of the common equity will be wiped out unless you do an enormous capital call for a cash-in refi. If you are not being honest about the current health of the deals I'm invested in, then I have to wonder what else you were not honest about. (2) I'm afraid I'm about to lose my entire investment, which is making me feel financially insecure, but you, the person who is actively losing my money, seem to be doing just fine!!!! If you're doing so great, and this deal is so great, you should buy me out of it. I cannot overstate how much trouble you are causing yourself sending out those rosy, optimistic updates. They are always included in the documents your investors send the attorney when they start trying to figure out if they can sue you, and they are always, ALWAYS, angry about how rosy those communications are. Let me be blunt: those communications make them want to sue you. It does not matter that every word in them is technically true. It does not matter that your intentions are good, and you are just trying to make them feel better. If you are acting like everything is okay when your investors do not feel at all okay, it does not make them feel better. To the contrary, it makes them feel like you are trying to deceive them, and they lose all trust in you. Once trust is lost, you are unlikely to get it back. And no one, anywhere, has ever wanted their money with someone they don't trust. They now very badly want their money back and are calling lawyers asking how to make that happen. Stop pretending like things are great. Next, to the extent you admit things are not great, DO NOT blame things outside your control. It does not matter how true it may be. Everyone respects you more and trusts you more when you shoulder sole responsibility for outcomes, no matter how unforeseeable or how out of your control they were. No one gets mad at other people for taking too much responsibility for bad outcomes. No one. Ever. But they very much do get angry if they feel like you are avoiding responsibility. You took responsibility for the good outcomes, even when they were due to luck and matters outside your control. You have to take responsibility when those things go against you, too. In sum, far better to overstate how bad it is and how responsible you are than to understate either of those things. Similarly, far better to set expectations for them to stay bad than to set expectations for things to get better that might not get better. Put simply: ❌ Everything is great! We're doing great right now, and the future looks even better. ❌Things are tough right now, but they're tough for reasons beyond our control, and everything is going to be great if you just stick with us and give us more money. ✅ Things are bad. We take responsibility for this. Here's where and how we messed up and what we will do differently in the future. Things could improve, but they could also stay bad or get worse. None of the options at this point are great, but here is the one we think is the most likely to lead to an acceptable outcome. I know it's hard. I know it feels safer to be optimistic and focus on the good, rather than the bad. But it's one of many things in life that feels safe but is actually more dangerous. Do the scary thing. Be blunt AF about the bad news. It will feel more dangerous, but is actually much safer. They will still be angry, but their anger will be tempered by respect for your honesty, and they will trust you more. Their anger will fade sooner, and they will be less likely to start looking for ways to sue you. Let me put this as simply as possible: I don't get calls from LPs who got updates bluntly telling them that the sponsor messed up and the deal isn't going well. I get calls from LPs who got updates that are full of sunshine and roses but who haven't seen a distribution in nearly twelve months. For LPs: You wanted greater rewards. The price for greater rewards is greater risk (and lower liquidity). Much of what is happening right now is exactly what is supposed to happen. If risks never get realized, then they are not risks. You get more upside with higher risk investments because you are accepting more downside exposure. If you did not understand that simplest of investment mechanics—that risk and reward are inversely correlated—then you had no business investing in anything. You were happy to cash the checks from those fat exits in 2018–2021. You enjoyed the upside, now you have to make peace as best you can with the downside. It sucks, and it is painful, but it is the price that will inevitably have to be paid if you invest in enough things that have high upside. You keep rolling the dice, you're gonna get snake eyes on some of those rolls. There is a material difference between a sponsor who deceived you and a sponsor who wasn't positioned to preserve capital in changing market conditions. If they exaggerated their credentials, failed to disclose material deal terms, or misappropriated funds, then you should 💯 sue TF out of them. But if the sponsor was honest about their credentials and the deal terms, then you got what you paid for. Unless and until you discover that you were materially deceived about what you were investing in or whom you were investing with, then the problem isn't the sponsor. Yes, I know they turned out not to be as smart as they seemed. It's an expensive lesson, but a really important one: you have to distinguish between those who are good at marketing themselves, and those who are good at business/investing. Super helpful to ask the question: "Do I want to invest with this person because they're good at creating value, or because they're good at making people want to invest with them?" If you aren't absolutely certain about the answer to that question, there are professionals you can hire to help you figure it out (most notably, Aleksey). And no, you can't get your money out now that you've lost confidence in the sponsor. In addition to the extra risk, the higher potential upside you bought comes with lower liquidity. One of the many things in life that seems acceptable in theory, but can turn out to be unbearable in practice. Again, an expensive lesson but a valuable one. You simply cannot develop a good sense of risk without suffering some harm. Such lessons are painful, but this is how we learn. You will be a better investor if you can put your hurt feelings aside and figure out the value in the experience. Figure out how much of the shit you're experiencing can be used as fertilizer. The overarching lesson for both GPs and LPs here is: You can't have all upside and no downside. Own both. You took the accolades and the money when things went well. Now that they're going badly, you have to take the responsibility and the loss.
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Casey Mericle retweeted
Every due diligence extension should (must) come with a list.
Not "we need more time."
"Here's what we'll have done in 30 days."
Time without commitments is just a slower no. No exceptions
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Casey Mericle retweeted
After quarterbacking the acquisition of 100+ apartment buildings in LA, here are some of the questions we force ourselves to answer, in writing, before we irrevocably commit to buying another one: 1. Was the building ever actually permitted? 2. Is there a real foundation, or is the structure sitting on slowly sinking fill? 3. Could there be leaking underground tanks from an old gas station on this lot (or the one next door)? 4. Are there really as many units as the listing claims, and are they all legal? 5. Is the seller already in litigation with a rent-controlled tenant who intends to stay permanently? 6. Have local gang members started treating the property like a clubhouse? 7. Will a neighbor’s future development kill the views that make the units desirable? 8. Are any of the surrounding properties half-way houses for ex-convicts? 9. Is the structure legally connected to the city sewer system? 10. Is that roof deck permitted, or did someone bootleg it in and leave a new owner potentially liable if someone falls off it? Because I want to grow my mailing list, you can download the entire list, the most important single document in our business, for free, at moseskagan.com/dd
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Capital markets and deal flow. It’s what makes our business world spin! I’m speaking at Bisnow on these topics tomorrow at 8:50am.
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Casey Mericle retweeted
Stop making offers. Start asking questions. Find out what the seller needs: Cash now? Lower taxes? Monthly income? Out from under a loan? Then pick the tool that fits: Need a payoff? Pay off their loan at closing and give them a note secured by real estate you already own. Need to avoid a big tax bill? Trade them real estate w/ lease back and buy back. Need income? Give them a note that pays monthly. Same property. Same price. Different structure. The seller often says yes to a question that solves their problem.
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Casey Mericle retweeted
anybody have someone at Preferred Bank?
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