
co-founder @theformsfund. long tail asset enjoyer working on something new. ex dev @revolut, https://nitter.gq/t.co/w9eVK1cCw5 ex partner @0G_labs. $LTC part-time DJ. NFA.
Hong Kong 🇭🇰
Joined October 2022
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The average man today has chronically low testosterone.
Low T makes you weak, unmotivated, and docile.
My 30,15,7,5,3 method fixes this.
Let me break it down:
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
Midterm elections generally make for a boring year in the markets - but the end of the year tends to bring fireworks.
A good year to DCA the S&P - and $BTC too.
Eyes on Q4. Should be fun.
Progress
xAI's Grok Imagine just took #1 on the Video Arena leaderboard (DesignArena by Arcada Labs)
→ Elo: 1336 - 33 points clear of #2
→ Win rate: 69.7% - highest on the entire board
→ Battles: 15,590 - statistically rock solid
Beats Veo 3 Fast, Veo 3.1 Fast, and Veo 3.1 - all at once
And it does it in 21.3 seconds, while Google's models take over 40 seconds
xAI went from nowhere to #1 in AI video. The pace of Grok Imagine improvement is unmatched
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
$BTC In between these important high timeframe weekly levels.
Currently, the Weekly 200MA/EMA are holding as support for the past few weeks. But Bitcoin has been unable to bounce properly just yet.
Above, the bull market support band, which was lost in November, is acting as resistance and is moving down fast.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
Bitfinex whales have started buying $BTC again.
They bought heavily around the $63,000 level and then started selling Bitcoin once the price broke above $70,000.
Now, they are accumulating again, and maybe another rally could follow next.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
Replying to @suaisadamysh
Let’s talk, I have a proposal ⚡️ nitter.gq/messages/compose?text=…
$BTC / Bitcoin
Still looking like it wants to sweep the $74K zone from April 2025 before bouncing. Zero divergences in the multi-oscillator so far. Price is matching the backend sentiment.
RSI Matrix still trending down, but once it starts forming a lower high, we should see some rallies back into overhead resistance.
Key levels to watch: ~$81K and ~$85K.
Flipping $85K would shift short-term structure to neutral and slow the bleeding, but most likely just sets the lower high before continuation down.
This assumes we don't break below $74K and take out more structure first.
For people asking where to long, there's exponential risk trading counter-trend. The trend is your friend, and right now it's heading down. If anything, you should be shorting rallies into overhead resistance.
$BTC / Bitcoin
$75K swept, very close to our $74K prediction, which will still eventually be tagged.
But expecting a relief bounce first. Every time my RSI-matrix indicator has tagged this zone over the last 4 years, it's been followed by a strong counter-trend rally.
Also a huge CME gap at $84K from the weekend. Real probability it gets mostly filled given how aggressive the gap is. Though the idea that all gaps fill quickly is misconstrued, evident by $93K gap which is still sitting there.
The reaction at $74K will tell us a lot about the coming months. Gut says we're still heading down, but this is a strong liquidity support zone.
Expecting ~$82K–$84K before continuation lower.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
$ETH
30 min - developing an interesting LTF range here.
We swept the lows a few times, and price has now given a LTF MSB. First since the drop down a few days ago.
So purely from a range perspective, it makes sense to attempt a long, trying to enter on the local demand, as close as possible to the range low and on those Fibonacci levels. I have left two separate orders.
Invalidation below the latest lows.
Caveat: we have just below an HTF unswept swing low, so potentially a liquidity target. It might be taken sooner or later, ideally for this trade later as possible.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
"Bitcoin must hold $74k". This is what a majority of bullish Bitcoin holders are saying must hold or they will finally turn bearish.
I agree. Breaking $74k would put in a lower low. I marked similar areas in green, from the past cycles.
Once the lower low is created, the 200W MA comes quickly. It currently sits at $57k.
332 days ago, I posted the chart below, showing a Bitcoin peak the week of Oct 6, 2025.
So far, it's been spot on.
Whether that holds as the ATH, we’ll find out.
If BTC starts closing weekly below the 50W MA, odds of the top being in go up.
If the 4-year cycle continues to play out, the buy zone between $55K–$75K will be glorious, just a 40–55% drawdown from the highs. I don't think we see as deep of a bear market, thanks to diminishing returns.
Could we go lower? Sure.
But I’ll be plenty happy filling orders there.
Long-term: Bullish.
Short-term: Respecting the cycle.
$ZEC / Zcash
Short target met at $270. Relief bouncing as expected.
Price reclaimed the 61.8% zone at $310, which was crucial in preventing a flush to the 78.6% mark at $200. But unless $330 gets reclaimed short-term, high probability it retests $270 again.
Key metric here is the 200 SMA on the daily. Consecutive closes below and I think it slowly grinds toward $200.
For the chart to flip neutral, it needs a rally to $450. That would trigger a two-level breakout of the descending trendline + horizontal resistance.
Huge corrections like this are exactly why marrying narratives in crypto is dangerous. Much easier to play the chart in front of you.
By the time you understand the incoming move, you'll understand what the narrative is about to be anyway.
$ZEC / Zcash
Still on track to land in our $300 short target area. Should move into there once local support is lost.
If no bounce forms at the $290–$300 liquidity pocket, the 200SMA around ~$270 becomes the likely area of support.
The 61.8% Fibonacci level of the move from $40 to the local highs sits at $310; crucial that price forms a relatively quick bounce in this range.
Otherwise, the 78.6% level at $200 becomes a statistical probability.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
Slightly tricky that $ETH couldn't hold support.
It broke support against #Bitcoin.
What's next?
Two scenarios:
- Continuation of the correction to 0.026 and finding a bottom there (that's another 10-15% down).
- Fast recovery and reclaim of 0.03250.
I don't think the latter is the most likely, and the first still implies that we're in an $ETH market where a higher low signals that a new uptrend is on the horizon later in the year.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
Historically, this is the area where the bear market of $BTC is about to end or ends.
Why?
RSI <30 vs. Gold is a trigger that has been hit during the bear market low in 2015, 2018 and 2022.
It's hitting again.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
$BTC [macro update V3]
And the date ended up being the second of Feb.
The day where our macro market maker manipulation playbook gets completed.
Techically speaking we haven't officially swept the range low yet but I always frontrun my TP limit orders and from here I am shifting my primary focus to looking for reactions of demand and new range creations rather than bearish continuations.
It has been an absolute incredible ride and I hope I was able to contiously make sure everyone following me was on the right side of the market, either protecting capital or profiting immensly on the move down.
Mastery.
$BTC [macro update V2]
Our macro market manipulation playbook is almost completed and our third and final TP will get hit at 74K.
This will be one of my personal proudest moments in my trading career.
Pre-planned on the 8th of March 2025:
nitter.gq/larskooistra_/status/1…
Executed on the 28th of October 2025 live on stream:
nitter.gq/larskooistra_/status/1…
Completed on ..... 2026....
It has been an incredible ride.
There's another few billion dollars in liquidations incoming if $BTC breaks below this macro support and sweeps $70K.
A ton of liquidity stacked below $74K.
Just a matter of time IMO.
Casper Andersson | Co-founder The Forms 🐲 retweeted
$ETH tries to bottom at ~$2,156.
Same as BTC, Ethereum saw a sharp drop and is now trying to hold the current ~$2,156 weekly low.
The HTF trend remains bearish, but shorting locally makes no sense since we've seen a huge drop and are trading at support.
So for todays trades, I'm looking for long-triggers. This doesn't mean shorting isn't allowed, but it needs to test higher levels for decent RR trades.
A nice long scenario I'm eyeing is that we break market structure by reclaiming the ~$2,473 high/liquidity. When we do that, I'll look for longs towards the next liquidity pool/resistance at ~$2,761.
This automatically means that a fail to gain of ~$2,473 after the sweep triggers scalp-shorts to the weekly low.
So we sweep and grab liqudity above ~$2,473, reject aggressively + break market structure, and then short.
If we sweep the weekly low from here, it's simply waiting on the next high-probability reversal for longs.
Let's see what this week brings.












































