@ComteWasRight
Joined November 2020
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ACS released the 2024 5-yr microdata sets. Here is updated TFR by language spoken at home in the US, ranked from highest to lowest. Anything with 'languages' in the name is a mess, but the trimmed average should give a rough idea of what the TFR is for smaller languages.
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In 2024, the EU’s total fertility rate was 1.34 live births per woman. 👨‍👩‍👧 Across EU regions, highest fertility rate in: 🇫🇷Mayotte (3.51) 🇫🇷Guyane (3.10) Lowest in: 🇪🇸 La Palma (0.76) 🇪🇸 Tenerife (0.78) Read more 👉 link.europa.eu/kN46nK #EurostatRYB
Map showing total fertility rate, 2024 (average number of live births per woman, by NUTS 3 regions)

ALT Map showing total fertility rate, 2024 (average number of live births per woman, by NUTS 3 regions)

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Max retweeted
sas@smy1924Oct 26
México's TFR, 2014 and 2024.
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TFRs by states in the US for 2026, based on birth counts in the first half of the year. Each passing year, the pattern of red states having a higher TFR gets a little bit more pronounced.
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Mapa de la Tasa Global de Fecundidad en Perú en el año 2025.
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Montenegro MICS7 (2025–26) is out. The overall TFR comes in at 1.58 (U: 1.56; R: 1.64). Among Roma, it’s 4.27 overall (U: 3.83; R: drumroll, please… 6.05). Yes, rural Roma in Montenegro have a TFR rivaling that of the Haredim—and higher than that of almost any country in SSA
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Overall TFR by regions. North has a replacement level TFR.
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TFR breakdown for Roma. Unlike in Albania, where the richest 40% are around replacement-level fertility, Montenegro shows high fertility even at the top of the wealth distribution: the richest 20% have a TFR of 3.7, compared with 5.2 among the poorest 20%.
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The full MICS reports are out. Interestingly, the TFR among Roma is slightly higher in urban areas (3.4600) than in rural areas (3.3950). Urban Roma also have a higher TFR than several countries in SSA. Their adolescent birth rate (ages 15–19) is also higher than Afghanistan’s.
Max@ComteWasRightSep 16
MICS TFR: 2013–14: Albanian 2.3 | Roma 3.7 2019–20: Albanian 2.3 | Roma 3.6 2025: Albanian 2.1 | Roma 3.4 Roma fertility remains substantially higher, with just a 0.3 drop over 11–12 years. Albanian TFR has also held up relatively well, all things considered.
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The richest 40% are at roughly replacement-level fertility (TFR of 2.2), while the poorest 60% have a higher TFR than Senegal or Ghana. Both groups have high adolescent birth rate.
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andyd@andyd10Sep 24
Replying to @andyd10
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Here is the fertility rate of Canada's Indigenous groups from 2006 & 2021. 2021 numbers: Inuit: 2.57 Status Indian: 1.82 Métis: 1.23 Non-status Indian: 1.13
Hua Xia@PanEastAsianSep 24
Replying to @onegreenacre @magyarskinhead @Smirkley @andyd10
Don’t First Nations and Inuit also have large families too with Nunavut consistently reporting the highest fertility rates in Canada? What about the Metis communities (half-European, half-Amerindian)?
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Iraq reported 1,026,242 births in 2025, around 1.3% more than in 2024. The TFR declined slightly to 2.74 (2.77 in 2024). The TFR tends to be higher in the south and lower in Baghdad and the central regions (no data for the Kurdish provinces).
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Canada TFR by province. No real changes.
Smirkley
@SmirkleySep 23
StatCan said Canada shrank by 234,597 from July 2025 to April 2026. This wasn’t true. Today it revised those quarters to growth of 109,082 (plus 80k in Q2). The swing: 343,679 people for those 3. Voted for it award.
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Fertility Rate map of Argentina by Province in 2025. Overall, the TFR was 1.04, ranging from a low of 0.74 in Jujuy to a high of 1.42 in Misiones. The TFR of the City of Buenos Aires was 0.79. No region had a TFR above replacement.
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Mexico's just-published Encuesta Intercensal (EIC) 2025 contains some interesting baseline data on aging and ethnicity. From 2020 to 2025, the median age of Mexicans rose from 29 to 32, with a rapid contraction of the under-10 population over those five years.
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Fertility Rate of Mexico in 2024. Overall, the TFR was 1.2.
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Here's what fertility looks like around North America. The list of regions with near-or-above replacement-rate fertility is: Nunavut Haiti South Dakota That's pretty much it.
Jesús Fernández-Villaverde
@JesusFerna7026Sep 22
A few hours ago, INEGI, the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography, a government agency, published its Encuesta Intercensal (EIC) 2025 (intercensal survey 2025). Here is the press release: inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprens… Page 9 reports the total fertility rate (TFR). INEGI estimates Mexico’s TFR for 2024 at 1.2 (screenshot in Spanish below). Yes, 1.2, only slightly above Japan’s level in the same year (1.15). By 2026, Mexico’s TFR could fall below Japan’s. I don’t find words to describe this.
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Mexican fertility in free fall!!! According to the 2025 intercensal survey, Mexico had 130,393,389 inhabitants, 3.5% more than in 2020. The survey found a TFR of 1.23 children per woman for 2024, down from 1.60 in the 2020-22 period.
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Québec 2025 Update: TFR, births, Fertility hotspots, Great Replacement? and more 🧵 Births(p): 78,200 (+1.0% YoY) Deaths: 80,450 (+2.1% YoY) Marriages: 22,711 (-1.5% YoY) TFR 1.360 Par région administrative: Bas-Saint-Laurent 1.394 Saguenay‒Lac-Saint-Jean 1.436 Capitale-Nationale 1.374 Mauricie 1.417 Estrie 1.429 Montréal 1.142 Outaouais 1.453 Abitibi-Témiscamingue 1.636 Côte-Nord 1.541 Nord-du-Québec 2.241 Gaspésie‒Îles-de-la-Madeleine 1.415 Chaudière-Appalaches 1.669 Laval 1.410 Lanaudière 1.453 Laurentides 1.476 Montérégie 1.471 Centre-du-Québec 1.705 I will be giving much more interesting data in this thread 🧵
🤖 Made with AI
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+ @smy1924 's population pyramid for German speakers in Bolivia, for comparison. Note that some children in the youngest cohorts are not reported as speaking any language, which explains the narrow base.
sas@smy1924Sep 19
Aymaras and Quechuas have seen an big drop in births in recent years, but I also think a lot of their children are not identifying with those ethnicities anymore; it talks more abt a cultural change
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