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In 2024, the EU’s total fertility rate was 1.34 live births per woman. 👨👩👧
Across EU regions, highest fertility rate in:
🇫🇷Mayotte (3.51)
🇫🇷Guyane (3.10)
Lowest in:
🇪🇸 La Palma (0.76)
🇪🇸 Tenerife (0.78)
Read more 👉 link.europa.eu/kN46nK
#EurostatRYB
ALT Map showing total fertility rate, 2024 (average number of live births per woman, by NUTS 3 regions)
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TFRs by states in the US for 2026, based on birth counts in the first half of the year.
Each passing year, the pattern of red states having a higher TFR gets a little bit more pronounced.
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Here is the fertility rate of Canada's Indigenous groups from 2006 & 2021.
2021 numbers:
Inuit: 2.57
Status Indian: 1.82
Métis: 1.23
Non-status Indian: 1.13
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Iraq reported 1,026,242 births in 2025, around 1.3% more than in 2024. The TFR declined slightly to 2.74 (2.77 in 2024). The TFR tends to be higher in the south and lower in Baghdad and the central regions (no data for the Kurdish provinces).
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Fertility Rate map of Argentina by Province in 2025. Overall, the TFR was 1.04, ranging from a low of 0.74 in Jujuy to a high of 1.42 in Misiones. The TFR of the City of Buenos Aires was 0.79. No region had a TFR above replacement.
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Mexico's just-published Encuesta Intercensal (EIC) 2025 contains some interesting baseline data on aging and ethnicity. From 2020 to 2025, the median age of Mexicans rose from 29 to 32, with a rapid contraction of the under-10 population over those five years.
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Here's what fertility looks like around North America.
The list of regions with near-or-above replacement-rate fertility is:
Nunavut
Haiti
South Dakota
That's pretty much it.
A few hours ago, INEGI, the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography, a government agency, published its Encuesta Intercensal (EIC) 2025 (intercensal survey 2025).
Here is the press release:
inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprens…
Page 9 reports the total fertility rate (TFR). INEGI estimates Mexico’s TFR for 2024 at 1.2 (screenshot in Spanish below). Yes, 1.2, only slightly above Japan’s level in the same year (1.15). By 2026, Mexico’s TFR could fall below Japan’s.
I don’t find words to describe this.
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Mexican fertility in free fall!!!
According to the 2025 intercensal survey, Mexico had 130,393,389 inhabitants, 3.5% more than in 2020.
The survey found a TFR of 1.23 children per woman for 2024, down from 1.60 in the 2020-22 period.
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Québec 2025 Update: TFR, births, Fertility hotspots, Great Replacement? and more 🧵
Births(p): 78,200 (+1.0% YoY)
Deaths: 80,450 (+2.1% YoY)
Marriages: 22,711 (-1.5% YoY)
TFR 1.360
Par région administrative:
Bas-Saint-Laurent 1.394
Saguenay‒Lac-Saint-Jean 1.436
Capitale-Nationale 1.374
Mauricie 1.417
Estrie 1.429
Montréal 1.142
Outaouais 1.453
Abitibi-Témiscamingue 1.636
Côte-Nord 1.541
Nord-du-Québec 2.241
Gaspésie‒Îles-de-la-Madeleine 1.415
Chaudière-Appalaches 1.669
Laval 1.410
Lanaudière 1.453
Laurentides 1.476
Montérégie 1.471
Centre-du-Québec 1.705
I will be giving much more interesting data in this thread 🧵
🤖 Made with AI
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from this 2024 census-based TFR map:
largest cities:
Santa Cruz - 1.5
El Alto - 1.5
La Paz - 1.3
Cochabamba - 1.3
Oruro - 1.6
Sucre - 1.4
Tarija - 1.3
Potosi - 1.8
lowest: Tito Yupanqui (0.9), in the Western Altiplano near Titicaca
highest: Pailón (3.2)
Pailón is likely the most mennonite municipality, with roughly around 40% of the pop. Other mennonite heavy municipalities in the east are around 2.6-3.2. Rural Aymara, Quechua, Guarani, etc speaking municipalities remain high.
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I buried the lede. The white non-Hispanic TFR has passed the overall US TFR, for the first time in recorded history
12-months ending 2026 Q2:
White 1.58
All races 1.56
Hispanic 1.74
Black 1.45
ALT US total fertility rate by race with overall rate, 12-month ending quarterly, 2023 Q1 to 2026 Q2. NCHS Vital Statistics Rapid Release, Sep 17, 2026. @smirkley
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US TFR by race, 12 months ending Q2 2026:
Hispanic 1.74
White 1.58
Black 1.45
Note: Q2 uses the new Vintage 2025 pop base.
ALT US total fertility rate by race, 12-month ending quarterly, 2022 Q1 to 2026 Q2. NCHS Vital Statistics Rapid Release, Sep 17, 2026. @smirkley
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Austria reported a TFR of 1.30 in 2025 (1.31 in 2024), the lowest value ever recorded. Here are the TFRs by national origin (2024 in brackets):
Austrian origin 1.18 (1.21)
Foreign origin 1.55 (1.55), thereof
EU/EFTA/UK 1.32 (1.31)
Former Yugoslavia 1.87 (1.89)
Turkey 1.53 (1.64)
Elsewhere 1.81 (1.77)
Vienna 1.21 (1.22)
Austrian origin 0.98 (1.01)
Foreign origin 1.45 (1.45)
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Using @HEAVY_SLAYER's ingenious method for identifying births to Old Order (both Amish & Mennonite) parents on CDC Wonder yields the following for states with more than 100 Amish other than SD & MT:
2023 (final): 16,532 births
2024 (final): 16,762 births
2025: (prelim): 17,041
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My estimates for the fertility rates by province in Iran for 2025. While the TFR of Sistan and Balochestan is more than double the national rate, there are already three provinces with a sub-1.0 rate.
The TFR of the Tehran metropolitan area (Tehran and Alborz province) is 1.02.
