Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI) header
Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI) profile picture

YES/NO signals for Bitcoin's 15-minute prediction markets. Built on spectral decomposition + AI, so you can stop arguing with the candle. Free 5-day trial ↓

Joined June 2026
Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)Photo by Cotes AI (@Cotes_AI)
Now introducing 5-second signals ⚡ SpectralEdge reads every Kalshi BTC 15-minute market every 5 seconds. 12x faster than before.
1
2
12,851
Let's goooo! 🚀
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 White House reviews SEC proposal to make it easier for crypto brokers to operate under US regulations. CLARITY IS UNDERWAY! 🚀
1
33
Grateful to be featured by @PredMarketWiki today, go give them a follow today!
BTC 15-minute markets move fast. Our latest featured project, @Cotes_AI's SpectralEdge, re-reads every Kalshi BTC 15-minute market every five seconds. It fires YES or NO only when confidence and estimated edge clear its thresholds. The same feed is available through an API.
1
30
BTC 15-minute markets move fast. Our latest featured project, @Cotes_AI's SpectralEdge, re-reads every Kalshi BTC 15-minute market every five seconds. It fires YES or NO only when confidence and estimated edge clear its thresholds. The same feed is available through an API.
4
5
1
16
517
Cotes AI retweeted
There's only a 16% chance that Bitcoin will hit a new ATH by July 2027. The way $BTC has absorbed all the bad news over the past week, it's clear that the bottom is in. Also, the cycle is accelerating, as last time we hit a new ATH before halving. So, I wouldn't be surprised to see a new ATH in Q3 or Q4 next year. I’ve got a special deal for my community: trade with me and get a $25 bonus when you trade $50: kalshi.com/p/tedpillows
64
24
1
355
42,455
Is the local low in for $BTC?
53%Yes
47%No
142 votes • Final results
3
2
8
1,504
Are you too late to Bitcoin? Jack explains why he believes Bitcoin’s biggest opportunity is still ahead: youtu.be/2dgk_-jRIE8
5
12
2
65
18,400
JUST IN: BlackRock just deposited $700M worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum to Coinbase Prime
21
56
11
841
51,865
JUST IN: Binance Founder CZ says $6.3 billion crypto hack is a "major disaster for the industry"
18
17
3
207
16,801
Prediction markets: the only place "I told you so" settles in dollars.
36
Always room to get better.
193
935
76
12,660
388,924
Some good food for though from @emilychangtv, must watch if you're unfamiliar with prediction markets
Running Kalshi is "like a hurricane," Kalshi co-founder @mansourtarek_ tells me. You never know which way the winds are blowing. I sat down with Mansour and his co-founder @luanalopeslara to talk about how they built the world's biggest prediction market, and what's at stake. We had a spirited debate about gambling, age limits, advertising, and how these markets could impact society. Plus, we went inside Kalshi's elections hub to see how they're taking on traditional polls ahead of the midterms. Watch the full episode of The Circuit: youtube.com/watch?v=XNZN6gYh…
35
Creating net-new gold with alchemy is becoming real. The lab grown diamond industry is growing rapidly. But you can’t invent anything that will increase Bitcoin supply. There will only ever be 21M.
400
450
80
4,954
263,571
New meditations 🧘
Trading success takes time. You need to work on your focus on strategy, timing, patience, confidence. It doesn't come in 1 day.
1
39
2
57
A book worth reading for anyone trading BTC prediction markets isn't about bitcoin, or trading. It's about poker: @AnnieDuke's Thinking in Bets. #ThinkinginBets
1
1
86
Her point: judging a decision by its outcome ("resulting") is a mistake. On a 15-minute BTC contract, one result says almost nothing about whether your entry was right.
1
56
Our numbers show that when our model rates a side 92–94%, it still loses about 1 in 9. You control the entry, not the outcome. A side that wins 89% is worth 89¢. Buy at 85¢ and it's a good trade even when it loses. Pay 92¢ and it's a bad one even when it wins.
8
Waiting is the most underrated trading skill.
31
34
9
408
11,699
This one hits home 👀
Knowing when not to trade is more important than knowing when to trade. One bad trade can wipe out the gains from several good ones. Stay out of the market when: 1. Price is in the middle of nowhere. Wait until it reaches a clear point of interest. 2. You're anticipating the move. Don't assume price will reverse just because it's approaching your area. Wait for confirmation. 3. Price "looks good" but hasn't confirmed. 4. Your bias is conflicted. If the chart is sending mixed signals, pass The fastest way to lose money is by taking trades you never should have entered.
52
In prediction markets, there are two numbers that matter: your probability, and the price. The difference between them is the edge. It's the only thing that pays.
1
45
Yet almost every signal, model, and newsletter in this space quotes only the first one. "73% chance of YES." Fine. What's the contract trading at? If it's 75¢, that 73% is a reason to stay out.
34