A little medicine, weather, and crypto. Lots of opinion.
Joined December 2010
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Doc retweeted
❄️ COASTAL STORM NEXT WEEK... FIRST SHOT AT SNOW?
Odds are increasing for a coastal system to emerge off the New Jersey and Long Island coastlines a week from today.
With our cold shot trending more potent across model guidance, it's looking quite possible that many areas across our region will see their first snowfall of the season, but given the time of year, this system will likely be limited to higher elevations above 1500 feet.
However, we'd like to note that if ridging out west continues to pump and move into a more favorable position, it could allow for a slower-moving and stronger system that could bring snowfall impacts to lower elevations, but this is something that's very low in confidence, especially given the time of year.
We'll continue to monitor the latest. #pawx #njwx #nywx #snow #storm
Doc retweeted
Models are beginning to pick up on the tropospheric effects of the SSWE…
As we’ve talked about, we’ve projected this window of opportunity for a cold spell to occur around mid-late November, and guidance is beginning to pick up on that now.
It appears confidence on ensemble guidance is shifting toward below average anomalies and colder air down to the surface in the 11-16th time frame, with some members trending toward having a coastal system off the Eastern U.S. around the 13th.
Any potential wintry weather will likely be limited to the interior sections of our area, but we’ll continue to monitor the latest changes. #pawx #njwx #nywx #sswe #winter #elnino
Doc retweeted
❄️🌊🌡️ WINTER & STRONG EL NINO…
With a strong El Niño in place for this winter, what does this mean in terms of rain and snow across the Eastern U.S.? Student Meteorologist Joseph Martucci breaks it down.
#weather #weathertok #fyp #snow #winter
This kid has the right idea 😆
You can literally see the exact moment that this kid became a libertarian. 😂
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
The footage is a staged comedy skit, not genuine unscripted video. Commenters identify the participants as recurring actors in similar content.
youtube.com/watch?v=iTmxNV…
youtube.com/watch?v=CkeMcf…
x.com/jsuah01/status…
Doc retweeted
⛅️ Thursday, September 24th, 2026
Good morning Northeast USA! Calm conditions are once again expected across the majority of our region as high pressure is still in control over our area. Temperatures will be in the upper 60s throughout the area, with some locations eclipsing 70.
Increasing clouds begin in the afternoon from south to north as our coastal storm, which will become a Nor'easter, begins to organize and track to the north.
Have a great Thursday! #weather #forecast #pawx #njwx #nywx #mawx #ctwx #riwx #vtwx #nhwx #mewx #dewx #mdwx #vawx #wvwx #ohwx
Doc retweeted
Gen X defined:
Ages 45-61
Looks 35-40
Will 100% throw hands
Doesn't care about your feelings
Cusses a lot
Will make you cry with words
Great work ethic
Pragmatic
Zero tolerance for stupidity
Skeptical of authority
Doesn't trust anyone at 1st
Extremely loyal friend
Figures shit out
Most likely your boss
Works hard, plays hard
No fear
Sarcastic as fuck
Still listens to the same music
Knows lyrics to Rock, Rap & Country
Proficient in analog & digital tech
Self reliant
Adaptable to any environment
Just wants to be left alone
Doc retweeted
Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead.
You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement.
I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible.
But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier.
Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want.
Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well.
So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it.
If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.
Doc retweeted
So suddenly OpenAI, Anthropic, XAI, and their leaders all suddenly about face and agree to slow the pace of AI development all on the same weekend….
Delaying IPOs and having OpenAI say they would “melt their GPUs to save humanity it it came to it”
Something bad happened…
There is no world in which everyone, including Elon, suddenly started to be worried about this on the same weekend.
There was also a rumor that this week Google cracked recursive AI, which I doubt would trigger this reaction.
Clearly an agent went rogue in a dangerous and malicious way, and it was something severe enough to spook everyone.
We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so.
Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training.
You can read the full post here: darioamodei.com/post/we-must…
Beyond heartbreaking 😔
Even 25 years later, hearing these phone calls is just utterly heartbreaking.
Hearing that voicemail is just so crushing to listen to even now.
Brooke was 23. Cantor Fitzgerald, 104th floor of the North Tower. She’d spoken to her mum the night before… then she called home again that morning and nobody was there. So this is what got left on the answering machine.
You can literally hear the pain and anguish in her voice. Crying. Coughing. Trying to stay calm enough to tell them where they were northwest corner, windows smashed so they could breathe, 30 or 40 people huddled in a corner.
It’s even still hard to listen to now. Just heartbreaking. You can feel her sadness. And I think you get the feeling that they knew they were facing imminent death.
She knew. You can hear it in her voice, I can’t imagine how scared she and her colleagues must of been.
A daughter trying to reach her parents one last time.
Doc retweeted
Bessent is buying back more bonds in an attempt to suppress yields, but the market is sending yields higher and calling his bluff, forcing him into a corner to buy even more.
Realize where we are.
Congrats to Joe 😊
FIRST LEGITIMATE BROADCAST…
I had the pleasure of being given the opportunity to be the lead forecaster for @PSUWeather’s Front & Centre this week, which will air on CNET (the cable system focusing on Centre County and the surrounding areas) Thursday night through Saturday. The show talks about all things weather and includes a forecasted outlook for this weekend.
You can find the link for the full show here posted to YouTube: youtu.be/WQuA53clE8s?si=VG2H…
Always room for improvement, but I’m grateful for the opportunity. #pawx #studentmeteorologist #broadcast
Doc retweeted
🌦️ A great day for most today and similar for Wednesday, but unsettled weather looks to return for your Thursday, with the potential of urban flooding, and this weekend for much of the region.
Here’s Joe with the latest. #weather #forecast #pawx #njwx #nywx #dewx #mdwx #vawx #wvwx #mawx #ctwx #riwx #vtwx #nhwx #mewx – at Nazareth, PA
Has been my worry all along @BrianRoemmele
Going to be a very bumpy road ahead unless there’s a concrete plan going forward and given governments move like molasses I don’t see one 😕
Two economists mathematically proved that AI will destroy the economy.
Researchers from Wharton and Boston University published a terryfiying paper called "The AI Layoff Trap."
They mapped out the economic end-game of the AI transition, and it exposes a fatal flaw in competitive capitalism.
When a company replaces a worker with AI, it captures 100% of the wage savings.
But that displaced worker is also a consumer. When they lose their job, they stop buying things.
The company gets all the savings, but the loss of consumer demand is spread across the entire economy.
If there are 20 competitors in a market, a CEO only absorbs 1/20th of the economic damage their layoffs just created.
So every single rational CEO has a mathematical incentive to automate as fast as possible.
They can literally see the cliff approaching, and they still step on the gas.
It triggers an unavoidable Prisoner’s Dilemma. If you don't automate, your competitors will, and they will crush you on price.
It doesn't just hurt workers. It destroys the businesses, too.
The economy gets trapped in an automation arms race. Companies fire their workforce to stay competitive, until the entire consumer base is completely hollowed out.
At the limit, the paper concludes: “Firms automate their way to boundless productivity and zero demand.”
And the scariest part?
The researchers mathematically tested every popular fix.
Universal Basic Income? Fails. It raises the living standard but doesn't change the corporate incentive to cut jobs. Retraining? Fails. Worker equity? Fails.
The paper proves that more competition actually makes the collapse happen faster. And "better" AI makes the damage worse.
The only thing that mathematically stops the collapse is a targeted automation tax, forcing companies to pay for the purchasing power they destroy before they automate the job.
