A little medicine, weather, and crypto. Lots of opinion.
Joined December 2010
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Doc retweeted
❄️ COASTAL STORM NEXT WEEK... FIRST SHOT AT SNOW?
Odds are increasing for a coastal system to emerge off the New Jersey and Long Island coastlines a week from today.
With our cold shot trending more potent across model guidance, it's looking quite possible that many areas across our region will see their first snowfall of the season, but given the time of year, this system will likely be limited to higher elevations above 1500 feet.
However, we'd like to note that if ridging out west continues to pump and move into a more favorable position, it could allow for a slower-moving and stronger system that could bring snowfall impacts to lower elevations, but this is something that's very low in confidence, especially given the time of year.
We'll continue to monitor the latest. #pawx #njwx #nywx #snow #storm
Doc retweeted
Models are beginning to pick up on the tropospheric effects of the SSWE…
As we’ve talked about, we’ve projected this window of opportunity for a cold spell to occur around mid-late November, and guidance is beginning to pick up on that now.
It appears confidence on ensemble guidance is shifting toward below average anomalies and colder air down to the surface in the 11-16th time frame, with some members trending toward having a coastal system off the Eastern U.S. around the 13th.
Any potential wintry weather will likely be limited to the interior sections of our area, but we’ll continue to monitor the latest changes. #pawx #njwx #nywx #sswe #winter #elnino
Doc retweeted
❄️🌊🌡️ WINTER & STRONG EL NINO…
With a strong El Niño in place for this winter, what does this mean in terms of rain and snow across the Eastern U.S.? Student Meteorologist Joseph Martucci breaks it down.
#weather #weathertok #fyp #snow #winter
Doc retweeted
⛅️ Thursday, September 24th, 2026
Good morning Northeast USA! Calm conditions are once again expected across the majority of our region as high pressure is still in control over our area. Temperatures will be in the upper 60s throughout the area, with some locations eclipsing 70.
Increasing clouds begin in the afternoon from south to north as our coastal storm, which will become a Nor'easter, begins to organize and track to the north.
Have a great Thursday! #weather #forecast #pawx #njwx #nywx #mawx #ctwx #riwx #vtwx #nhwx #mewx #dewx #mdwx #vawx #wvwx #ohwx
Doc retweeted
Gen X defined:
Ages 45-61
Looks 35-40
Will 100% throw hands
Doesn't care about your feelings
Cusses a lot
Will make you cry with words
Great work ethic
Pragmatic
Zero tolerance for stupidity
Skeptical of authority
Doesn't trust anyone at 1st
Extremely loyal friend
Figures shit out
Most likely your boss
Works hard, plays hard
No fear
Sarcastic as fuck
Still listens to the same music
Knows lyrics to Rock, Rap & Country
Proficient in analog & digital tech
Self reliant
Adaptable to any environment
Just wants to be left alone
Doc retweeted
Dario has written that we need to “pace the frontier,” and Sam has agreed. People may be surprised by my response: go ahead.
You guys are the frontier. By any reasonable metric — market share, revenue growth, model capability — the two of you have a duopoly on frontier intelligence. You’ve also claimed the lead is widening because of recursive self-improvement.
I don’t see what you see in the lab. If the unreleased models are scary enough that you think you should slow down, I support your decision to be responsible.
But stop pretending you need anyone else’s permission. Stop pretending antitrust law has to be suspended so you can form a cartel. Stop pretending you need a regulatory approval process that supersedes product liability. Stop pretending METR is independent when it is intertwined with Anthropic’s investors and staff. Stop pretending you need those same evaluators to police competitors who aren’t even at the frontier.
Most of all, stop pretending the motivation to slow down is purely altruistic. You face massive product-liability exposure if your products enable a truly damaging cyberattack. The market already punishes models that behave in unpredictable or unauthorized ways. After the Hugging Face episode, it is simply good business for OpenAI and Anthropic to trade some raw power for reliability and predictability. Call it alignment if you want. It is also just giving customers what they want.
Pacing the frontier would also create breathing room for a more intelligent conversation about regulation than Bernie Sanders’ “shut it all down.” China is very unlikely to join a global agreement, as you know, and that has to be taken into account as well.
So go ahead and pace the frontier. You are the ones setting it. The easiest way not to build superintelligence is for you to agree not to build it. Demanding your preferred regulatory framework as the price of that will look like blackmail of the public and the political system. So just do it.
If you do, you’ll buy goodwill for the next conversation. If you don’t, we’ll know this was just another bid for regulatory capture — or an election-season psyop.
Doc retweeted
So suddenly OpenAI, Anthropic, XAI, and their leaders all suddenly about face and agree to slow the pace of AI development all on the same weekend….
Delaying IPOs and having OpenAI say they would “melt their GPUs to save humanity it it came to it”
Something bad happened…
There is no world in which everyone, including Elon, suddenly started to be worried about this on the same weekend.
There was also a rumor that this week Google cracked recursive AI, which I doubt would trigger this reaction.
Clearly an agent went rogue in a dangerous and malicious way, and it was something severe enough to spook everyone.
We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so.
Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training.
You can read the full post here: darioamodei.com/post/we-must…
Doc retweeted
Bessent is buying back more bonds in an attempt to suppress yields, but the market is sending yields higher and calling his bluff, forcing him into a corner to buy even more.
Realize where we are.
Doc retweeted
🌦️ A great day for most today and similar for Wednesday, but unsettled weather looks to return for your Thursday, with the potential of urban flooding, and this weekend for much of the region.
Here’s Joe with the latest. #weather #forecast #pawx #njwx #nywx #dewx #mdwx #vawx #wvwx #mawx #ctwx #riwx #vtwx #nhwx #mewx – at Nazareth, PA
Doc retweeted
Rounds of thunderstorms impacted much of the region early this week, including a tornado in Baltimore, but things look much drier heading into this weekend. Storm chances largely return on Sunday.
Here’s Joe with the latest.
#weather #forecast #weekend #pawx #njwx #nywx #mawx #ctwx #riwx #vawx #mdwx #dewx #wvwx – at Longport, NJ
Doc retweeted
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED EARLY THIS WEEK…
A few disturbances look to slide through our region as a favorable pattern sets up for active weather, re-introducing the chances for some severe weather across our region, mainly in the afternoon and evening on Monday, Tuesday, and into Wednesday.
Here’s Joe with the latest.
#pawx #njwx #nywx #vawx #dewx #mdwx #ohwx #wvwx #weather #storms – at Longport, NJ
Doc retweeted
I watched my second child crawl for the first time today, and I’m grateful I was there to see it. I’m also grateful that I get to spend a ton of time with my kids every day.
But even with that, there are stretches where the weeks just melt into each other. You get busy, fall into routine, and suddenly realize how easy it is to waste the free time you actually have.
Seneca wrote about this nearly 2,000 years ago:
“It is not that we have a short time to live, but that we waste much of it.”
“Life is long if you know how to use it.”
I think part of using it well is making sure your life doesn’t become one long blur. Doing new things. Creating memories. Giving each week something that separates it from the one before it.
We guard our money carefully, but give away our time like it is unlimited.
It isn’t.
The tragedy isn’t that life is short. It’s looking back and realizing how much of it we spent distracted, busy, or waiting to actually live.
Anyway, happy Thursday.
Doc retweeted
What a nightmare. By implementing the tariffs illegally, and now having to unwind them, the Trump administration created over $100 billion of profit for corporations selling foreign products, at the expense of American consumers.
Your refund: $0.00
Apple’s profit: $2.2 billion
Doc retweeted
If Trump was really trying to help bitcoin and this Act to pass, he would not have profited off every day Americans with his memecoin and crypto deals. He has given the opposition additional ammunition against it.
Doc retweeted
We are back to bombing Iran during the ceasefire for the Iran war that is not a war because Iran bombed a vessel for crossing the Strait of Hormuz that they don’t control yet apparently control.
Not sure how they bombed the vessel because we have totally and completely obliterated their military and beat them in the war that is not a war like 40 times now.
I’m so glad that Trump ran for president to end forever foreign wars otherwise I might start thinking this war that is not a war that we won like 40 times is starting to turn into another forever foreign war in the Middle East.
Good thing Pete Hegseth, Secretary of the Department of Defense, I mean War, is headed to Israel to take orders from, I mean ask for advice, on how to totally wipe out Iran, I mean bring peace.
I’m totally sure no one in the executive branch or donors will do any sort of insider trading based on super duper secret military decisions.
You know the kind based on intelligence that Congress is going to fuse with Israel’s military after they all vote to pass the National Defense (war) Authorization Act.
Because this is exactly what we all voted for when we said Make America Great Again.
