EricBCards retweeted
I had one heck of a Saturday morning break with my friend @EricBCards. 🔥
Full case Prism PYT did not disappoint.
Happy ripping! ⚾️
@CardPurchaser
EricBCards retweeted
2026 Topps Finest MLB Analysis and Deep Dive
For some reason, it feels like there are more eyeballs on Finest than usual. And I’m guessing that has a lot to do with the new guy in the lineup- Mr. Mega Box.
Traditionally a fairly limited Hobby only release, the addition of technically 3 new SKUs (First Day Issue, Breaker's Delight, Megas) already has Finest purists up in arms. On the other side, an affordable retail format has some collectors thrilled they might be able to enjoy a premium-ish product without blowing the budget.
I get both sides. But my lane is not to take a side. My lane is to use numbers and data to punch that argument in the face.
Is Finest still Finest? Or did it go the way of Panini Select and sell its soul just to collect those sweet retail dollars?
The people have questions. After freediving into this odds sheet, I'm coming up for air. And I have answers.
Welcome to 2026 Finest Baseball.
Quick aside: If you get anything out of these deep dives at all, please consider following me on Substack. I have over 140 new product breakdowns in one easily searchable archive. And it's the best way to show your support.
substack.com/@slabsquatch
Part 1: The Basics
Finest baseball drops tomorrow, July 8th.
Hobby- $350/box
Mega- $70/box
First Day Issue boxes sold out at $800 via Dutch Auction, but since that ship has sailed, I won't be including it in any value metrics. It wouldn't earn any podium spots anyway.
Also very relevant, Breaker's Delight boxes are generally only available via secondary market, so I don't expect prices to be favorable when they pop up. But spoiler alert...this Delight SKU is definitely doing Delight SKU things.
Part 2: Production Numbers
Total cards in the product:
15,844,620
2025 Finest total cards:
3,843,400
YOY +312%
How about that for a introduction? AKA "The Mega Box Effect". Over 4× production vs 2025.
Total production by format:
Hobby- 64,953 boxes (8,119 cases) -----> YOY +1.4%
FDI- 1,016 boxes (127 cases)
Breaker's Delight- 10,296 boxes (1,716 cases)
Megas- 245,490 boxes (12,275 cases)
As you can see, Hobby production is almost exactly the same as 2025. All three other formats were just scabbed on top, resulting in the most robust Finest odds sheet in history.
Part 3: Heat Map
Hit Rates per box:
Hobby- 2 autos, 8.75 inserts, 11.6 parallels, 4.25 numbered cards
(Notably, 2025 Finest produced 20.15 parallels/box & 6.1 numbered cards. So those are down noticeably YOY.)
FDI- 2 autos (including one FDI exclusive /11), 8.8 inserts, 13.7 parallels, 6.4 numbered cards (including 2 FDI exclusive /11)
Breaker's Delight- 2 autos, 1.5 inserts, 7 parallels (including base Geometrics), 5.1 numbered cards
Megas- 1 auto per 2.87 boxes, 5.3 inserts/box, 6.5 parallels/box (including 5 Mini Diamond), 1.6 numbered cards/box
This is a good time to notice how solid Mega Box metrics appear. Now keep that in your back pocket. We'll get back to it.
Part 4: Value Map
Prices based on launch day pricing of $350/hobby & $70 Megas. I didn't want to leave out the fat kid, so I'm drawing a number out of thin air for Breaker's Delight. That number is $600/box. I will be very interested in seeing what they actually show up for, but this should give us a basis for comparison.
$/card:
1) Megas- $1.46
2) Hobby- $5.83
3) Breaker's- $60.00
$/parallel:
1) Mega- $10.74
2) Hobby- $30.15
3) Breaker's- $87.34 (Parallels include base Geometrics.)
$/auto:
1) Hobby- $166.67
2) Mega- $200.57
3) Breaker's- $300.00
$/# card:
1) Mega- $43.21
2) Hobby- $82.35
3) Breaker's- $117.88
$/numbered auto:
1) Hobby- $347.66
2) Breaker's- $390.22
3) Mega- $422.08
$/rare insert:
1) Mega- $766.50
2) Hobby- $2800.00
3) Breaker's- $4,602.00
$/Quality Hit (Parallels & Inserts /75 or less, Case Hit level or rarer inserts, Autos /100 or less):
1) Breaker's- $100.98
2) Hobby- $130.45
3) Mega- $132.14
Part 5: We Gotta Go Deeper
I understand the above value list is a walking contradiction. But let's go a little deeper...past all the surface nonsense.
During my research, there were a couple more stats that really stood out and gave me high hopes for Megas.
Percentage of numbered Autos in Megas (47.5%) is almost identical to Hobby boxes (47.9%). They both fall far behind Breaker's at 76.9% and FDI at 74%. But you wouldn't expect Megas to be on par with Hobby boxes in regard to autos.
The only problem is, despite what the numbers say, Megas are FAR behind Hobby in regard to autos.
You see, in a move that would make Panini proud, Topps slipped in a little Auto subset called "Finest Mega Autos" that are exclusive to Megas. Out of an atrocious 86-card checklist, the best names you can hope to pull are probably Ronald Acuna, Sal Stewart, Vladdy Jr, and a very borderline Roki Sasaki. This checklist is abysmal.
Oh, and guess what... 88% of the autos you pull from Megas will be from this barren wasteland of a checklist. Let that marinate.
Generally speaking, the other auto subsets aren't what you might call dense with superstars, but they're in there. The main auto checklist, Finest Autographs, has a blistering 159 subjects, and as you can imagine there are some true space fillers included.
I have to point out, there really are some loaded auto subsets- Finest Moments, Finest Ink, & Gustographs to name a few. But as hard as it is to pull a desirable auto from Hobby or Breaker's, I assure you it will be 10× harder from Megas.
Part 6: The Rare Insert Conundrum
Notice on the Value Map how it looks magnitudes more cost effective to pull a rare insert from Megas?
Yeah. About that.
First, keep in mind my definition of “Rare Inserts” is simply case-hit level or rarer. That does not always mean the print run is microscopic. And, as always, some are far more desirable than others.
In this release, rare inserts would be:
Aura
Gusto
Headliners
Nightmare Fuel
Smashing Through
The Man
This list is STACKED. These will be some of the most desirable pulls in the product. I'm a huge fan of Aura, Headliners, and The Man. Nightmare Fuel is new and dripping with potential, though it would be miles better if the players actually had appropriate poses and didn't just look goofy.
The numbers tell us Rare Inserts will combine to fall almost precisely 1 per 8 box hobby case. This does not mean you are guaranteed to pull a rare insert from a case. But law of averages says you will.
For Breaker's Delight, that is 1 per ~7.7 boxes, but those are 6-box cases. So I wouldn't expect to see a Rare Insert in every Delight case.
For Megas, astoundingly the math works out to 1 Rare Insert per 10.95 boxes, or almost 2 per case. When I saw this, I could barely contain my excitement. Do we have Bowman Blasters 2.0 on our hands?
Sadly, no. We got trolled again.
You see, Topps slipped in two rather tough inserts that are Mega Box exclusives. And I truly don't think anyone will be doing backflips over "Finest Forces" and "Finest Futures". I could be wrong. But probably not.
These two Inserts combine for 92.4% of the rare inserts you can expect to pull from Megas.
So, you remember that sweet list of potential rare inserts I noted? From Megas, those will actually combine to fall 1 per 144.5 boxes, or 1 in every 7.225 cases.
But on the bright side, you will find 1.7 Finest Forces or Finest Futures per case. So there's that.
Part 7: Can We End This Thing Yet?
We're all the way in the weeds now, but I thought it appropriate so my followers don't get fooled by the Mega Box conspiracy.
The numbers tell us Hobby boxes at $350 are the best way to pull almost everything- parallels, all the desirable inserts, and autos. Hobby will be less potent than last year as it's been somewhat de-parallelified.
Even though I may have bagged on Megas excessively, they are not disastrous. They shouldn't be something you go hard on expecting great things to happen. But they could be fun in small quantities, especially from a numbered card perspective. And with the Mini Diamonds exclusive to the format, there is definitely rare hit potential.
Honestly, the truncated tiered checklist helps Megas greatly. With their strong suit being 1.6 numbered cards/box, it's much easier to hit the best names in parallels. If not for that, we'd be looking at the same dynamics as Platinum Chrome Megas (similar hit rates, similar autos) except at $70 rather than $30.
Also, I expect Megas to be extremely popular. If you find yourself stopping by the Target shelf on a baby formula trip, what other retail option are you going to pick over Finest?
Platinum Chrome & Bowman are all but dried up. So what’s left? Signature Class? Year-old Stadium Club?
Trust me, these will sell. Not every Walmart buyer is in tune with the intricacies of Topps product dynamics like you degenerates are.
Part 8: What Would the Squatch Do?
The Squatch digs a little Finest and wouldn't mind ripping a couple boxes.
It's probably not stashworthy for me, but I don't fault someone for putting a few away. It's certainly not going down in price.
I think the Wild Card here is Delight boxes. They don't score super well on all the metrics. They never do. But the "$ per Quality Hit" is tasty. It's worth noting that I included Base Geometrics as a Quality Hit as their print runs are super low.
It really depends on what price they drop at. For <$600, they could be sneaky good if you're feeling saucy. More than that, I'm leaning Hobby. But only at or very near drop pricing. $500 and I'm out.
That's a wrap for the Squatch.
Part 9: Print Runs
Base card production:
Base Common- ~94,190 ea
Base Uncommon- ~13,780 ea
Base Rare- ~4,600 ea
Base Super Rare- ~145 ea
Unnumbered Parallels:
Common Refractors- ~3,555 ea
Common Oil Spill- ~30 ea
Common Xfractor- ~1,980 ea
Common Geometric- ~50 ea
Common Mini-Diamond- ~6,550 ea
Uncommon Refractors- ~690 ea
Uncommon Oil Spill- ~13 ea
Uncommon Xfractor- ~990 ea
Uncommon Geometric- ~35 ea
Uncommon Mini Diamond- ~2,180 ea
Rare Refractors- ~245 ea
Rare Oil Spill- 5 ea
Rare Xfractors- ~330 ea
Rare Geometric- ~26 ea
Rare Mini Diamond- ~730 ea
Unnumbered Inserts:
Arrivals (30 card CL)- ~13,750 ea
Arrivals Refractor- ~3,825 ea
Finest Timelines (10 card CL)- ~19,715 ea
Finest Timelines Refractor- ~4,265 ea
Topps Team Finest (25 card CL)- ~15,100 ea
Topps Team Finest Refractor- ~3,935 ea
Worlds Finest (35 card CL)- ~13,120 ea
Worlds Finest Refractor- ~3,590 ea
Finest Phenoms (Delight only, 25 card CL)- ~410 ea
Rare Inserts:
Aura (10 card CL)- ~50 ea
Gusto (20 card CL)- ~170 ea
Headliners (15 card CL)- ~50 ea
Nightmare Fuel (20 card CL)- ~50 ea
Smashing Through (20 card CL)- ~170 ea
The Man (10 card CL)- ~170 ea
Finest Forces (Mega only, 25 card CL)- ~330 ea
Finest Futures (Mega only, 25 card CL)- ~330 ea
Unnumbered Autos:
Finest Autos (159 card CL)- ~260 ea
Finest Autos Refractor- ~135 ea
Finest Ink (24 card CL)- ~170 ea
Finest Moments Autos (36 card CL)- ~160 ea
Finest Personality Autos (15 card CL)- ~215 ea
Gustographs (41 card CL)- ~25 ea
Topps Rookie Cup Anniversary Autos (13 card CL)- ~50 ea
Topps Rookie Cup Dual Autos (20 card CL)- ~15 ea
Finest Rookie Patch Autos (37 card CL)- ~105 ea
Finest Mystery Redemption (1 card CL)- ~90 ea
Finest Mega Autos (Mega only, 86 card CL)- ~340 ea
Finest Mega Autos Mini Diamond- ~120 ea
#thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #2026ToppsFinestMLB
EricBCards retweeted
3 of the top 5 non-debuted pitching prospects in baseball took the mound yesterday and the results did not disappoint.
EricBCards retweeted
I've been running breaks on whatnot for 2 years.
Here's my response to the whatnot arbitration complaints, including how I break ethically.
#thehobby #whatnot
ericbcards.com/blogs/ericb-b…
⏰ RELEASING THIS WEEK ⏰
2026 Topps Collector’s Kit - Pre-Order
Mon. 3/9 - 12 PM EST
Box: $39.99
7 packs per box
2026 Topps Disney Neon ✨
Tues. 3/10 - 12 PM EST
Hobby Box: $99.99
20 packs per box, 5 cards per pack
2 numbered parallels per box
2025 Bowman’s Best Baseball ⚾️
Wed. 3/11 - 12 PM EST
Hobby Box: $349.99
12 packs per box, 5 cards per pack
4 Chrome autographs per box
2025 Topps Chrome McDonald’s All American Basketball 🏀
Wed. 3/11 - 12 PM EST
Hobby Box: $199.99
4 packs per box
15 cards per pack
3 autographs per box
2026 Topps Chrome WWE (First Day Issue) - Pre-Order 🏟️
Fri. 3/13 - 12 PM EST - Dutch Auction
12 packs per box
8 cards per pack
2 autographs per box (1 FDI exclusive)
2 FDI exclusive parallels per box
2025 Topps Disneyland 70th Anniversary 🏰
Fri. 3/13 - 1 PM EST
Hobby Box: $109.99
12 packs per box
8 cards per pack
EricBCards retweeted
I know not everyone may have Spotify or Apple Podcasts so here is the full video episode from yesterday. It includes which non-debuted prospects had the best opening weekend in Spring Training + my conversation with Mariners prospect Ryan Sloan about his Bowman collection.
EricBCards retweeted
2026 Topps Series 1 Analysis & Deep Dive
If you enjoy this kind of content, please follow me on Substack, where I keep my entire archive of product breakdowns like this.
substack.com/@slabsquatch?ut…
As is a full-on tradition at this point, Topps was fashionably late with the odds sheet for one of the biggest releases of the year. In the meantime, anyone paying even mild attention has already watched a small army of content creators rip this stuff on camera, making sure to notate that we have fewer hits in some formats, fewer packs in others, but all arriving at the same conclusion: “Wow… they printed this to the moon!”
Now that I've taken one for the team and sacrificed too many hours of my life combing through every detail of this massive odds sheet, I'm happy to report...we have some surprises in store! Well, not about print runs. That will surprise precisely no one.
On my deep dives, it's not my intention to go over every basic detail of the product and its dynamics. There are plenty of content creators that do a fantastic job of that. My specialty is going deeper, letting the numbers weave the narrative, and pointing out the elements that are buried down in the crevasses of the odds sheets.
Feel free to strap in for this one...there might be some turbulence:
Total cards in product:
614,818,654
(This encompasses all 25 formats listed on the odds sheet, but not the factory sets that will undoubtedly release later in the year. It also appears there will be something similar to the Celebration box of 2025 that will likely share the base checklist, so this number is bound to rise.)
2025 Series 1 production:
437,853,600
YOY +40.4%
Base cards per player:
2026 Series 1- 1,560,544
2025 Series 1- 1,092,061
YOY +42.9%
I'd like to start by addressing the elephant in the room. Production went up a little. However, I'm not mad at it. It's Series 1. Getting upset about Series 1 being overproduced is like getting mad that McDonald's makes more cheeseburgers because customers keep buying up all the cheeseburgers. It's kinda the point.
Total production by format:
Hobby boxes- 200,200 (16,683 cases)
Jumbo boxes- 116,288 (14,536 cases)
Hanger boxes- 1,102,500 (17,226 cases)
Fanatics Value Boxes- 63,200 (1,580 cases)
Fat Packs- 1,313,064 (12,158 cases)
Floor Display (I have to assume this is similar to what is typically called the Retail Display Box)- 24,144 boxes (2,012 cases)
Mega Boxes- 296,980 (14,849 cases)
Super Boxes- 245,184 (20,432 cases)
Tins- 2,511,950 (69,776 cases)
Value Boxes- 1,239,520 (30,988 cases)
There are some other formats on the odds sheet that I figured production for, but will not play a part in my comparisons. Japan boxes will likely not be readily available in the US. Even if they were, I would not recommend them.
Also, there are 4 different SKUs called "Club Super Box Bulk Packs A,B,C, & D". These are separate from regular Super Boxes. I have to assume they will end up in some different formats of mixed Super Boxes as we've seen in the past.
Finally, there are 1.4m "Little League" packs produced that will presumably be given out to young ball players.
Hit frequencies per box:
Hobby- 0.34 autos (1 auto per 3 boxes), 3.4 parallels, 10 inserts, 1.4 # cards, 0.66 relics
Jumbo- 1 auto, 9.7 parallels, 19.8 inserts, 2.7 # cards. 1.3 relics
Hangers- 44 boxes/auto, 3.1 parallels, 6 inserts, 4.8 boxes/# card, 22.9 boxes/relic
Fanatics blasters- 44 boxes/auto, 10 parallels, 10.7 inserts, 4.1 boxes/# card, 16.3 boxes/relic
Fat packs- 96 packs/auto, 0.5 parallels, 2.5 inserts, 18.2 packs/# card, 45.2 packs/relic
Floor Display- 5.3 boxes/auto, 5.5 parallels, 26.7 inserts, 1.4 boxes/# card, 2.3 boxes/relic
Mega Boxes- 18.2 boxes/auto, 3.5 parallels, 22.5 inserts, 1.9 boxes/# card, 8 boxes/relic
Super Boxes- 25.2 boxes/auto, 5.9 parallels, 15.4 inserts, 2.8 boxes/# card, 12 boxes/relic
Tins- 480 boxes/auto!, 2.4 parallels, 2.1 inserts, 32 boxes/# card, 135 tins/relic
Value Boxes- 129.2 boxes/auto, 3.4 parallels, 8 inserts, 4.3 boxes/# card, 54.9 boxes/relic
Things to note:
• Autos in Hobby are roughly what you’d expect for Series 1, though noticeably less frequent than they were in ’25 Update.
• Topps didn't bless us with extra autos in jumbo like they did in '25 Update, but it appears about 30% of boxes will have an extra relic over the stated 1/box.
• Hangers now have less than the typical 2 autos/case that we've seen recently.
• Fanatics blasters have really gone downhill from an auto perspective and can no longer be blindly relied upon to provide decent value. Though they technically provide the best $ per parallel cost, it's almost entirely from the Topps Foil parallels as there's not much else going on in those boxes.
• If you're looking for any sliver of value, I would not even think about buying Tins. Unless it's for a kid. Even then, there are better options where your kid may still like you after.
• Value boxes for Flagship have never been good. Now they're not even trying.
Value landscape:
Pricing based on release day pricing for Hobby formats ($100/hobby, $210/jumbo) and MSRP for retail formats.
$/card:
1) Fat pack- 19¢
2) Hangers & Tins- 25¢
$/parallel
1) Fanatics box- $3.00
2) Super Box- $3.62
3) Hangers- $4.92
$/Auto
1) Jumbo- $210
2) Hobby- $294.12
3) Floor Display- $369.60
4) Hangers- $660
Had to go to a runner-up retail format in case "Floor Display" has different dynamics than "Retail Displays" of the past.
$/# card
1) Hangers- $72.30
2) Hobby- $72.46
3) Jumbo- $78.95
Best formats for value:
From an auto perspective, it won't surprise anyone that Jumbo & Hobby are very close with the slight edge going to Jumbo.
For inserts & parallels Hobby is still solid, but Hangers and surprisingly "Floor Display" boxes provide a similar value. If we find that Floor Display boxes are not the typical $70, 20-pack retail boxes, then they would fall off, leaving Hangers as the clear retail winner as they are solid all the way around. Keep in mind, in small sample sizes, Hangers can feel pretty awful. But it takes ~7 hangers to reach the equivalent of 1 Hobby box, even more once the prices of hobby spike as it inevitably will. At one auto per 44 Hangers, they can feel exceedingly dry, but they are actually a cheaper way to pull desirable Inserts like Golden Mirrors, Heavy Lumber, All Aces & All Kings than either Hobby or Jumbo.
Print runs:
Unnumbered parallels:
Silver Crackle- ~2,335 ea
Diamante- ~6,300 ea
Pink Diamante- ~300 ea
Holo Foil- ~8,750 ea
Rainbow Foil- ~12,170 ea
Aqua Rainbow Foil- ~580 ea
Aqua Holo Foil- ~240 ea
Pink Holo Foil- ~1,070 ea
Spring Training- ~7,080 ea
Sandglitter- ~1,110 ea
Topps Logo- ~1,445ea
Golden Mirror Image Variation- ~80 ea
Golden Mirror Legend Variation- ~22 ea
Team Color Border Variation- ~1,360 ea
True Photo Variation- ~90 ea
Base Holiday Variations- ~7,180 ea
Base Holiday Polka Dots Green/Pink- ~3,590 ea
Base Holiday Polda Dots Purple/Blue- ~720 ea
Base Holiday Chicks- ~720 ea
Base Holiday Eggs- ~340 ea
Base Holiday Rabbits- ~130 ea
Unnumbered Inserts:
Cover Athlete Cards (10 card CL)- ~70 ea
2025 All Topps Team (12 card CL)- ~92,550 ea
2025 All Topps Team Pink- ~900 ea
Topps Profiles (25 card CL)- ~95,290 ea
Topps Profiles Pink- ~900 ea
Big Ticket Players (26 card CL)- ~91, 980 ea
Big Ticket Players Pink- ~900 ea
2025's Greatest Hits (28 card CL)- ~89,360 ea
2025's Greatest Hits Pink- ~900 ea
First Pitch (9 card CL)- ~92,940 ea
First Pitch Pink- ~910 ea
1991 Topps (100 card CL)- ~114,500 ea
1991 Topps Pink- ~910 ea
1991 Topps Crackle Foil- ~10,400 ea
1991 Topps Pink Crackle Foil- ~460 ea
Stars of MLB (30 card CL)- ~473,430 ea
Stars of MLB Crackle Foil- ~480 ea
Titans of the Game (20 card CL)- ~499,240 ea
Titans of the Game Crackle Foil- ~480 ea
Home Field Advantage (20 card CL)- ~435 ea
Heavy Lumber (20 card CL)- ~450 ea
All Aces (10 card CL)- ~260 ea
All Kings (15 card CL)- ~250 ea
Funko Base Cards (5 card CL)- ~490 ea
Oversized Base Cards (Super Box, 16 card CL)- ~15,325 ea
Companion Card (16 card CL)- ~15,325 ea
1952 Variation (25 card CL)- ~90 ea
1991 Topps Koi Fish (100 card CL)- ~3,000 ea
Unnumbered Autos:
Funko Base Autos (2 card CL)- ~10 ea
Major League Material Autos (86 card CL)- ~80 ea
Heavy Lumber Auto Relic (60 card CL)- ~25 ea
Baseball Stars Autos (83 card CL)- ~925 ea
1991 Topps Autos (185 card CL)- ~460 ea
75 Yrs of Topps Die Cut Autos (77 card CL)- ~75 ea
Flagship Real One Autos (48 card CL)- ~165 ea
Unnumbered Relics:
Major League Material (87 card CL)- ~2,470 ea
City Connect Swatch Relic (50 card CL)- ~420 ea
1991 Topps Relics (91 card CL)- ~2,150 ea
Real One Relics (80 card CL)- ~230 ea
#thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #2026ToppsSeries1
EricBCards retweeted
🚨Leaked Documents‼️
Internal documents from Topps & Fanatics have leaked, revealing the "Confidential" data behind their hierarchy of breakers & distributors.
These documents expose exactly who is moving the needle for Fanatics, including a 12-month rolling spend for their top partners.
Top spenders include:
Blowout Cards: $49.7M 💰
DA Card World: $42.3M 💰
Blez Sports Cards: $17.1M 💰
WeTheHobby: $13.6M 💰
FilthBomb: $12.9M 💰
Backyard Breaks: $9.9M 💰
Besides the money, the most interesting takeaway?
The documents explicitly state that certain breaking operations are being identified for "stronger allocation support" specifically in exchange for breaking product on the Fanatics Live platform.
If you wondered why your favorite breaker suddenly switched apps, the answer is in the paperwork.
The leak also highlights special treatment for high-profile partners like Card Vault.
While the store’s 12-month spend is lower than the giants at $3.4M, the company enjoys significant executive attention, and a special pricing structure.
**link to article in comments**
EricBCards retweeted
Last night in my Discord someone noticed that the reference to Chrome in Stadium Club had been removed from images of the Mega Boxes
EricBCards retweeted
Did you win the Sapphire Basketball EQL drop?
2%Yes
63%No
35%I did not participate
772 votes • Final results EricBCards retweeted
How would you rank the final ten players on the #Top100RightNow? 👀
Find out how we line them up TONIGHT at 8pm ET!
EricBCards retweeted
Will you bid on Probstein listings on eBay now that snype has shut down?
8%Yes
78%No
15%I don't know
1,154 votes • Final results EricBCards retweeted
ANOTHER INSANE GIVEAWAY 🤯
Big Aaron Judge secured his third American League MVP last night and we have a HUGE Topps PSA 10 rookie autograph for you!
For your chance to win, like, repost and follow @Topps!
EricBCards retweeted
2025 Topps Update:
On the heels of 2024 Update, one of the best flagship releases in quite some time, 2025 Update has some big shoes to fill. Here are what the odds sheets tell us:
Total production:
2025 Update- 228.25m cards
2024 Update- 163.3m cards
YOY +39.8%
Base production:
2025- 197.16m cards (563,300 copies ea)
2024- 137.9m cards (394,000 copies ea)
YOY +43%
As is the trend, we have a considerable jump over last year's production. However, as usual, Update is still more limited than 2025 Series 1 (469.2m) & Series 2 (306.9m).
Total sealed product (2025 vs 2024):
Hobby
2025- 69,992 boxes (5,833 cases)
2024- 69,550 (5,796 cases)
YOY +0.6%
Jumbo
2025- 39,214 boxes (4,902 cases)
2024- 35,368 boxes (4,421 cases)
YOY +10.9%
Value Boxes
2025- 625,050 boxes (15,626 cases)
2024- 485,190 boxes (12,130 cases)
YOY +28.8%
Hanger Boxes
2025- 689,500 (10,773 cases)
2024- 647,500 (10,117 cases)
YOY +6.5%
Retail Display boxes
2025- 33,514
2024- 21,692
YOY +54.5%
Fat Packs
2025- 1,300,353 (12,040 cases)
2024- 445,414 (4,124 cases)
YOY +191.9%
Fanatics Value Boxes
2025- 50,050 (1,251 cases)
2024- 50,048 (1,251 cases)
YOY +0%
Super Box
2025- 120,858 (10,072 cases)
2024- 137,812 (11,484 cases)
YOY -12.3%
One interesting format note is that Japan Edition odds are listed alongside all the American SKUs. I thought Japan was a sneaky good play last year because it had a shortened checklist, stacked rookie class, and production was only about 1% that of 2024 Series 1. However, this year it looks to be based off the same checklist and has some of the same parallels and inserts as the American Update, along with some Japanese exclusive stuff. And I apologize to our Japanese brethren, but it's now absolutely the worst value across the board aside from some shorter printed inserts.
On a high note, we have about 50% more autos throughout the entire 2025 product than we did in 2024, so hit frequencies, though they may seem sparse in most retail SKUs, are actually better than last year.
Hit frequencies:
Hobby- 0.57 autos/box, 4.5 parallels/box, 15.65 inserts/box, 2.74 numbered cards/box
Jumbo- 1.5 autos/box, 15.15 parallels/box, 30.9 inserts/box, 5.3 numbered cards/box
Retail display box- 1 auto per 15.3 boxes, 6 parallels/box, 37 inserts/box, 1.26 numbered/box
Hangers- 1 auto per 49 hangers (down from 1:60 last year), 2.6 parallels/box, 2.8 inserts/box, 1 numbered per 3.2 hangers
Fat packs- 1 auto per 295 packs, 0.45 parallels/pack, 2.2 inserts/pack, 1 numbered per 6.1 packs
Value boxes- 1 auto per 48.2 boxes, 4.8 parallels/box, 12.4 inserts/box, 1 numbered per 1.8 boxes
Fanatics blasters- 1 auto per 15.2 boxes, 11.9 parallels/box, 16.7 inserts/box, 1 numbered per 1.8 boxes
Super Box- 1 auto per 24.8 boxes, 6.5 parallels/box, 18.6 inserts/box, 1 numbered per 1.6 boxes
Japan Edition- 1 auto per 4 boxes, 6.6 parallels/box, 26.9 inserts/box, 2.5 numbered cards/box
Value landscape:
Retail- We finally have an instance where Fanatics blasters don't blow all the other SKUs away. The cheapest $ per most parallels and inserts is actually Fat Packs, although they are atrocious for autos. Hangers & Super Boxes lag behind Fat Packs for parallels/inserts, but are not as abysmal for autos.
As usual, Hobby/Jumbo will be the best overall value options at release pricing. But I don't suspect they'll stay that price for long. Hobby has autos in a little more than half the boxes and like last year, Jumbos look like they'll consistently provide more than the stated 1 auto/box as the avg is 1.5 autos/box.
$ per card:
1) Fat pack- 19 cents
2) Hanger- 22 cents
3) Super box/Display box/Bulk packs- 25 cents
Best $ per parallel
1) Fanatics Value box- $2.52
2) Hangers- $4.96
3) Value Boxes- $5.20
Worst $ per parallel
1) Hobby- $20.04
Best $ per Auto
1) Jumbo- $131.76
2) Hobby- $157.89
3) Fanatics blaster- $457.20
Worst $ per Auto
1) Fat Packs- $2,069.27
2) Value boxes- $1,205.50
Best $ per numbered card:
1) Hobby- $32.85
2) Jumbo- $36.72
3) Hangers- $41.21
4) Fat Packs- $42.98
Print runs
Parallels:
Silver Crackle Foilboard- ~3,120
Holofoil- ~3,280
Pink Diamante- ~985
Rainbow Foil- ~4,540
Aqua Rainbow Foil- ~110
Aqua Holo- ~90
Pink Holofoil- ~1,220
Topps Logo Foil- ~1,290
Sandglitter- ~560
Holiday Base (Values)- ~4,170
Holiday Jack O'Lantern- ~570
Golden Mirror SP- ~70
True Photo Variations- 100
Inserts:
Bleacher Reachers- ~27,500
Bleacher Reachers Pink- ~1000
Most Valuable- ~27,100
Most Valuable Pink- ~1,000
First Pitch- ~27,700
First Pitch Pink- ~1,000
2025 All Star Game- ~82,050
2025 ASG Pink- ~1,000
Black Gold- ~27,500
Black Gold Pink- ~1,000
Mystical- ~27,500
Mystical Pink- ~1,000
Heavy Lumber- ~465
Home Field Advantage- ~5,380
Legendary HFA- ~100
1990 Topps- ~72,900
1990 Topps Pink- ~1,000
Stars of MLB- ~409,500
Stars of MLB Pink- ~1,030
Keegan Hall Art Cards- ~630
Oversized Base Cards (Super Box)- ~7,550
Companion Cards- ~7,550
Enamel Pins- ~12,090
Tokyo Series Highlight (Japan)- ~610
Strike Zone Heroes- ~620
Stars of Japan- ~620
1990 Topps Japan- ~620
Base Unnumbered Autos:
Baseball Stars (46 card checklist)- ~500ea
1990 Topps Autos (106 card checklist)- ~700ea
Flagship Real One Autos (45 card checklist)- ~200ea
Relics:
Major League Materials (40 cards checklist)- ~1,800
1990 Topps Relics (60 card checklist)- ~1,330
Rising Rookie Relics (39 card checklist)- ~1,000
All-Star Stitches (61 card checklist)- ~850
@CardPurchaser
#thehobby #2025ToppsUpdate
EricBCards retweeted
2025 Topps Holiday:
Received confirmation of elusive "Stocking Stuffer" packs in Topps Holiday Baseball. These appear to be something very similar to the Snack Packs in Bowman with potential Metallic Candy Cane, Santa Bag, Ornament, Stocking & Holly parallels. Though we don't have odds yet for Holiday Baseball, the Stocking Stuffer packs are listed on the odds sheet for Holiday Basketball at 1:3002 packs, or 1:15 Mega cases. I would expect them to be seeded similarly in Holiday Baseball. Print run of the basketball version is 10 copies each (may or may not be numbered), and again likely similar for Baseball. Not sure if there are potential autos yet in these packs.
@CardPurchaser
#2025ToppsHoliday
EricBCards retweeted
2025 Topps Pro Debut Baseball pre-orders available TODAY at 11am central! #ad
Details: thetoppscompany.sjv.io/raxee…
RT @CardPurchaser: These are the releases I can find listed on the Topps website right now. The dates can change pretty often so check the…
EricBCards retweeted
A tragic act of violence occurred today at a chapel of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in Grand Blanc, Michigan. During Sunday worship services a gunman opened fire, and early reports indicate that multiple individuals were injured. We ask for cooperation with local authorities as details become available.
The Church is in communication with local law enforcement as the investigation continues and as we receive updates on the condition of those affected. We offer thanks to the emergency responders who are assisting victims and families.
We are deeply grateful for the outpouring of prayers and concern from so many people around the world. In moments of sorrow and uncertainty, we find strength and comfort through our faith in Jesus Christ. Places of worship are meant to be sanctuaries of peacemaking, prayer and connection. We pray for peace and healing for all involved.
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