The final adopter of Sports Betting Twitter, circa mid-September, 2022.
Joined September 2022
- Tweets4.9K
- Following164
- Followers4.4K
- Likes1.1K
Pinned Tweet
The regulation of Prediction Markets by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission is opposed by 44 states' attorney generals.
Why?
The answer may may be found in how much state governments have in common with offshore & street bookies, detailed in our latest whiteboard video.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Simmons is currently ranked 1st in the league in ESPN Pass Rush Win Rate.
This deal should move Super Bowl odds.
Blockbuster! The Titans are trading All-Pro DT Jeff Simmons to the Bears, sources tell @ringer @netflixsports.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Nevada casinos' net win in September:
Blackjack $94.0 million
Craps $32.6 million
Roulette $33.6 million
Baccarat $58.6 million
Sports $54.1 million
Penny slots $113.9 million
[Source: Nevada Gaming Control]
That’s a lot of deadlines hit.
Congrats on being so prolific, Jeff.
As We Break the 2,500 Article Threshold (!), What’s NFL Home Field Advantage Worth? figureitoutsportsbetting.sub… After 7 Full Weeks, Median Result is ZERO, Hosts Just 48-44-8 Straight up in Regulation (free article, just click, read, and accept my thanks for reading!)
If history is any guide The Jockey Club will name this girl Jockey of the Week, which they awarded Luan Machado in October, 2024 when he lost a race after misjudging the Keeneland finish line.
It is the most tangible way they can publicly display their disdain for bettors.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Got a text from another personnel executive this morning, noting that this is the third straight QB class that has had similar problems.
The 2027 QB draft class was expected to be loaded. Now it’s getting messy. And it’s not just an Arch Manning problem. From NFL Blue Book… nflbluebook.com/p/week-7-rec…
Donnie Iris, R.I.P.
I’ve never heard this fantastic promotional live EP from early in his solo career.
Pre-teen me would be shocked he’s not a classic rock radio staple. If Love is Like a Rock or Ah, Leah! comes on who turns the channel?
youtu.be/P61-fRdWSOQ?si=hvbQ… @potatokmish
Cool.
I am 100% interested in serving as President of the United States, which is equally likely.
NEW: Robert Griffin III says he is “100%” interested in the open Baylor head coaching job:
"If Baylor wants to get back to winning and have a university that isn’t just respectable on the football field, but the fans can be proud of, they need people who know what it looks like to win at Baylor."
(via @dpshow)
on3.com/news/robert-griffin-…
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Bet the process. Also, check the forecast.
Congrats to whoever hit us for 185k parlaying Bermuda Championship Top5/10/20 RFQs Sunday morning at 2am.
Thank god we had safeguards, otherwise it would have been worse. Market making can be an expensive education.
On to Cincinnati.
Probably the best public “if/then” playoff % tool since 538 went away?
Nobody:
Me: I got annoyed with searching around for playoff scenarios so I built a free NFL Playoff Simulator rbsdm.com/#playoffs?team=BUF…
Joining the Pats as losers that won yards per play by 0.5 or more.
Jets 7.1-5.6 Dolphins
-1 turnovers
Niners 6.2-4.7 Falcons
-4 turnovers
Yards Per Play Edge of 0.5 or more but lost:
Missouri St 7.4-6.4 Delaware
JMU 5.6-4.9 App St
Tulsa 6.8-6.0 Army
TCU 5.9-4.6 WVU
Rice 10.5-5.7 FAU
Baylor 5.4-4.9 Kansas
Clem 4.6-3.3 VA Tech
Iowa 4.3-3.4 Minny
San Diego St 8.1-7.5 Colo St
In their 7 games Syracuse has had 4 different QBs throw TD passes longer than 40 yards.
That can’t be something that has happened much in the history of college football.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
It is really hard to score a TD needing over 80 yards with no timeout here. Harder than you think.
Since 2010, there has been 25 times that a team has had 1st and 10 with no timeouts, inside their own 20, needing 4-7 points, and the clock reading 1:00 to 1:35. The losing team has only come back to win the game just 1 time. 1 in 25 is 4%.
The Patriots would have had ~1:24, and the average expected start would have been around their own 11 yard line. Very realistically could have been inside the 10 or inside the 5.
