The final adopter of Sports Betting Twitter, circa mid-September, 2022.
Joined September 2022
- Tweets4.9K
- Following165
- Followers4.4K
- Likes1.1K
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Good time to bring back the greatest chart of all time
Cowboys are 49-6 with Dak when the run it at least 50% of the time on early downs.
@PaulHembo
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Once at the Pro Bowl a group of us wanted to get into a popular restaurant. No way, they said. Too busy and overbooked. An assistant who worked for June at Hawaii called back and asked to make a reservation for June Jones. No prob. Seven of us were seated. The owner, GM and chef came out wanting to meet Coach Jones. June was never coming cause he had something else to do. When the owner started to get impatient waiting for Coach Jones, June’s assistant said he just got a call from June saying he couldn’t make it cause a 5-Star QB from LA was coming a day early for a visit. That ruse worked to perfection. I pulled that off several times in Hawaii, making a reservation under June’s name and then apologizing for him having to pick up a hotshot recruit. Worked ever time. June was so popular in Hawaii.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Simmons is currently ranked 1st in the league in ESPN Pass Rush Win Rate.
This deal should move Super Bowl odds.
Blockbuster! The Titans are trading All-Pro DT Jeff Simmons to the Bears, sources tell @ringer @netflixsports.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Nevada casinos' net win in September:
Blackjack $94.0 million
Craps $32.6 million
Roulette $33.6 million
Baccarat $58.6 million
Sports $54.1 million
Penny slots $113.9 million
[Source: Nevada Gaming Control]
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Got a text from another personnel executive this morning, noting that this is the third straight QB class that has had similar problems.
The 2027 QB draft class was expected to be loaded. Now it’s getting messy. And it’s not just an Arch Manning problem. From NFL Blue Book… nflbluebook.com/p/week-7-rec…
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Bet the process. Also, check the forecast.
Congrats to whoever hit us for 185k parlaying Bermuda Championship Top5/10/20 RFQs Sunday morning at 2am.
Thank god we had safeguards, otherwise it would have been worse. Market making can be an expensive education.
On to Cincinnati.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
It is really hard to score a TD needing over 80 yards with no timeout here. Harder than you think.
Since 2010, there has been 25 times that a team has had 1st and 10 with no timeouts, inside their own 20, needing 4-7 points, and the clock reading 1:00 to 1:35. The losing team has only come back to win the game just 1 time. 1 in 25 is 4%.
The Patriots would have had ~1:24, and the average expected start would have been around their own 11 yard line. Very realistically could have been inside the 10 or inside the 5.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
94.3% win percent on a punt isn't even remotely close. The kick was ballsy as Hell, but these models cannot handle endgames and we need to stop pretending that they can.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
A full-circle moment in Las Vegas history. ✨
Tonight, two generations of Las Vegas visionaries came face to face.
Following @NeonMuseum’s “Reflections of the Mirage”, @DerekJStevens met Steve Wynn, the man whose vision helped shape modern Las Vegas and inspired Derek’s own journey in building #CircaLasVegas.
From the visionary who redefined the Strip to the man revitalizing Downtown, this was more than an introduction.
A moment of mutual admiration, respect, and a shared love for Las Vegas. 💙
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
Ben Johnson and Josh McDaniels could not treat 2nd downs more differently.
2nd and 1-2:
Ben is the *pass* heaviest coach this century, likely in league history. Treats it as a 50/50 situation.
McDaniels is 88% run here.
2nd and 7-10:
Johnson is the *run* heaviest in the league. 53% run this year and hovering around 50 percent for his career. Again treats it as a 50/50 coin flip.
McDaniels is 79% pass.
Two totally opposite approaches.
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
👀
Wedgewood’s fake Wisconsin poll put David Crowley at 9%. Within 15 minutes his Kalshi price fell from 23 cents to 13, and $45,000 in new money poured into the market. Crowley won the primary.
One fabricated number moved a real election market. New from @BETINT_ai :
open.substack.com/pub/betbre…
Kevin O'Neill retweeted
The Ohio Casino Control Commission has banned a bettor from its sports gambling market for allegedly making threats to Toronto Blue Jays manager John Schneider during the 2025 World Series.
