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CFB Week 8 Player Prop ✈️ Noah Fifita “O” 260.5 Passing Yards 1.5 units ⭐️ I -114 Fanduel We’re backing Noah Fifita over 260.5 passing yards against Iowa State this Saturday. Fifita has been one of the most efficient quarterbacks in college football this season, and Arizona’s passing offense has been extremely productive heading into this matchup. Through six games, he’s thrown for 1,756 yards and 16 touchdowns while completing 73.3% of his passes. He’s averaging 292.7 passing yards per game, putting him more than 30 yards above the number we’re getting this week Looking at his game logs, Fifita has cleared 260.5 passing yards in 5 of 6 games this season, including each of his last four. Over that four-game stretch, he’s thrown for 325 yards against Northern Illinois, 297 against Washington State, 284 against Cincinnati, and 341 against West Virginia. That’s an average of 311.8 passing yards per game, showing just how consistently he’s been producing. His only game below our line came against BYU, where he finished with 230 passing yards One of the biggest reasons I like this play is Fifita’s combination of accuracy and passing efficiency. He’s completed 140 of his 191 attempts this season, averaging 9.2 yards per attempt. He’s also thrown 13 touchdowns over his last four games, showing how effectively Arizona has been moving the ball through the air. At his season average of 9.2 yards per attempt, Fifita would need approximately 29 attempts to reach our number, and he’s averaging nearly 32 attempts per game The matchup against Iowa State gives us another reason to be interested. The Cyclones have allowed approximately 195 passing yards per game this season, so this isn’t a defense that has been getting completely torched through the air. However, Fifita is producing nearly 100 more passing yards per game than Iowa State typically allows. Arizona’s offense has also been performing at a high level, scoring 34 or more points in each of its last four games, including 52 against West Virginia in its most recent outing Another factor that stands out is how Fifita has performed against Big 12 competition. Against Cincinnati, he completed 25 of 37 passes for 284 yards and two touchdowns. He followed that up against West Virginia with 341 yards and three touchdowns on just 23 attempts. That performance was especially impressive because he averaged 14.8 yards per attempt, showing that he doesn’t necessarily need 40 passing attempts to put up a big number. His ability to generate explosive plays gives him additional upside even when Arizona isn’t throwing at an extremely high rate Looking at the game script, Arizona enters as approximately a 9.5-point favorite at home. That creates some concern about Arizona leaning on its rushing attack if it builds an early lead. However, Fifita has already cleared this line in multiple comfortable victories this season, including a 34-7 win against Cincinnati and a 42-17 win against Northern Illinois. Arizona has shown that it can continue producing through the air even when controlling games, which makes me more comfortable backing his passing yardage despite the spread Overall, we’re backing a quarterback who has been consistently clearing this number and operating one of the more efficient passing offenses in the country. Fifita has gone over 260.5 passing yards in five of six games, averaging nearly 312 yards across his last four appearances. With his accuracy, explosive-play ability, and established passing volume, I believe this line gives us a reasonable opportunity to capitalize on his recent production. We’re not asking him to throw for 350 yards. We just need 261 from a quarterback averaging nearly 293 per game this season Like and Follow ❤️

CFB Week 8 Player Prop ✈️ Junior Sherrill “O” 5.5 Receptions 1.5 units ⭐️ I -122 FanDuel We’re going right back to Junior Sherrill after cashing his receptions over last week against Arkansas. Sherrill finished with 8 receptions on 11 targets for 99 yards and a touchdown, continuing to prove why he’s Vanderbilt’s most reliable receiving option. We’re getting the same 5.5 line this week against Kentucky, and with the volume he’s been seeing recently, I see no reason to shy away from backing him again Through seven games this season, Sherrill has recorded 41 receptions for 628 yards and 4 touchdowns. He’s cleared this 5.5 reception line in 5 of 7 games, including 4 of his last 5. Over his last three games, he’s totaled 20 receptions on 29 targets, averaging 6.7 catches and 9.7 targets per game. He’s also recorded at least 5 receptions in six straight games, giving us a consistent baseline heading into Saturday What really stands out is Sherrill’s target share and how much Vanderbilt’s passing offense revolves around him. He’s commanded approximately 28% of the team’s targets this season, ranking among the highest volume receivers in college football. Over his last three games, he’s accounted for roughly 37% of Vanderbilt’s completed passes, compared to 27% earlier in the season. That increase shows just how important he’s become to this offense, especially against SEC competition His recent performances against stronger defenses make this play even more appealing. Against Georgia, Sherrill finished with 7 receptions on 12 targets for 107 yards. He followed that stretch with 5 catches against Ole Miss before bouncing back with 8 against Arkansas. He’s also recorded 6 receptions against Auburn and NC State. We’re seeing consistent production regardless of the opponent, and he’s shown he can clear this line even when Vanderbilt’s offense struggles Looking at Kentucky, this isn’t necessarily an easy matchup, as their pass defense has been above average this season. However, Vanderbilt enters as a 10.5 point underdog, which could create a favorable game script for receiving volume. If Vanderbilt falls behind early, they’ll likely need to throw more frequently to stay competitive. With Sherrill commanding such a large percentage of the team’s passing opportunities, increased attempts could translate directly into more targets for him Another important factor is that Sherrill doesn’t need a massive performance to cash this line. He’s averaging nearly 10 targets over his last three games, meaning he only needs to convert around 60% of that recent volume into receptions to reach six catches. He’s caught approximately 68% of his targets this season, and his connection with quarterback Jared Curtis has remained productive. Even if Kentucky limits explosive plays, Sherrill can still get there through shorter completions and consistent involvement We’re backing Vanderbilt’s clear WR1, who has cleared this line in five of seven games and continues to command one of the largest shares of his team’s passing offense. After cashing this same line last week, I’m comfortable going right back to Sherrill at 5.5 receptions. Give me six catches from a receiver averaging nearly 10 targets over his last three games Like and Follow 💛

CFB Week 8 Saturday Player Prop ✈️ LaNorris Sellers “U” 231.5 Passing Yards 1 Unit | -114 FanDuel (South Carolina) We’re taking LaNorris Sellers under 231.5 passing yards against Tennessee this Saturday. This play is primarily about the defensive matchup, as Sellers will be facing one of the strongest pass rushes in college football. Tennessee has been extremely effective at getting after opposing quarterbacks and limiting production through the air. With Sellers averaging 222.2 passing yards per game this season, we’re getting a line slightly above his season average against a defense that has consistently made life difficult for opposing passing attacks Through six games, Sellers has thrown for 1,338 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions while completing 61.5% of his passes. He’s finished under 231.5 passing yards in 3 of 6 games, including performances of 185 yards against Alabama, 226 against Kentucky, and 96 against Towson. His production has been inconsistent, and while he’s capable of putting together big passing performances, he hasn’t consistently produced enough yardage to make this number comfortable The biggest reason we’re backing this under is Tennessee’s ability to pressure the quarterback. The Volunteers have recorded 30 sacks through seven games, averaging an incredible 4.29 sacks per game, which leads the country. They’re also generating approximately 8 tackles for loss per game. That constant pressure can disrupt passing rhythm, force quicker decisions, and limit opportunities for longer-developing routes. Against a quarterback like Sellers, getting consistent pressure without allowing him to escape the pocket will be extremely important Tennessee’s secondary has been just as impressive when looking at its overall production. The Volunteers are allowing only 159.3 passing yards per game, nearly 73 yards below the number Sellers needs to reach. Their defense has also allowed just 14.7 points per game this season. Those numbers show how difficult it has been for opposing offenses to consistently move the ball against Tennessee, and Sellers will need to outperform what this defense typically allows by a significant margin to beat our line Looking at Sellers against stronger competition, his performance against Alabama stands out. Despite attempting 30 passes, he finished with only 185 passing yards, averaging 6.2 yards per attempt. He also completed just 18 of those 30 attempts. Against Kentucky, he threw the ball 36 times but managed only 226 yards, averaging 6.3 yards per attempt. Those performances are important because they show that increased passing volume doesn’t automatically translate into enough yardage to clear this number Another factor I like is Sellers’ ability to contribute with his legs. South Carolina has averaged 232.3 rushing yards per game this season, and Sellers has been a major part of that production. He’s already accumulated 411 rushing yards through six games, averaging 68.5 per contest. When passing opportunities break down, Sellers has the athleticism to escape pressure and create yards on the ground rather than forcing throws downfield. That gives South Carolina another way to move the football without Sellers needing to accumulate significant passing yardage Overall, we’re backing an under built around Tennessee’s elite pass rush, strong secondary, and Sellers’ inconsistent passing production. Tennessee is allowing just 159.3 passing yards per game while recording more than four sacks per contest. Sellers has already stayed below this number against Alabama and Kentucky despite attempting at least 30 passes in both games. His 279-yard performance against Florida shows the upside we’re betting against, but this is a considerably tougher defensive matchup. With Tennessee’s ability to generate pressure and Sellers’ involvement in the rushing attack, I like his chances of finishing below 232 passing yards Saturday Like and Follow ❤️

CFB Week 8 Player Prop ✈️ Dakorien Moore “O” 5.5 Receptions 1 Unit | +116 FanDuel (Oregon) We’re backing Dakorien Moore over 5.5 receptions against Illinois this Saturday, and the biggest reason is the opportunity opening up in Oregon’s receiving room. With Evan Stewart and Jeremiah McClellan both ruled out, Moore should be one of the primary options in the passing attack. We’re getting plus money on a receiver coming off his highest-volume game of the season, with a realistic opportunity to see another double-digit target workload Through six games this season, Moore has recorded 25 receptions for 347 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 4.2 receptions per game. He’s cleared this line twice, finishing with six catches against Boise State and seven against Nebraska. His other four games have ended with two, three, three, and four receptions. Those numbers don’t make this an automatic over, but they also reflect a receiving room that previously had more competition for targets than it will Saturday The most encouraging development came last week against Nebraska, when Moore finished with seven receptions on 14 targets for 36 yards. That was his highest reception total of the season, and the 14 targets are even more important. With Stewart unavailable, Oregon made a clear effort to get Moore involved throughout the game. He converted half of those opportunities into catches, which would be enough to clear this line again if he receives similar volume against Illinois Looking at his recent production, Moore has recorded 14 receptions over his last three games, averaging 4.7 catches per contest. However, the trend becomes more interesting when we separate last week’s performance from the earlier games. He had three catches against USC and four against UCLA before jumping to seven against Nebraska. The change coincided with Stewart’s absence, giving us a reason to expect his role to remain elevated rather than treating the seven-catch performance as a random spike The matchup also gives Oregon opportunities to move the football through the air. Illinois is allowing approximately 248 passing yards per game on an opponent-adjusted basis, with opposing offenses averaging 8.1 yards per pass attempt. This isn’t a defense that completely shuts down passing production, and Moore should have opportunities to operate as one of Oregon’s featured receivers. For this particular prop, we’re more interested in consistent targets and shorter completions than explosive plays downfield The quarterback situation is the main variable in this matchup. Dante Moore has been ruled out with a concussion, leaving Oregon to rely on Dylan Raiola or Brock Thomas. That uncertainty could limit the offense’s overall passing efficiency, but it also makes the reception market more appealing than Moore’s receiving-yardage line. Against Nebraska, Moore caught seven passes despite finishing with only 36 yards. He doesn’t need explosive gains to cash this ticket. He simply needs Oregon to keep looking his way and complete six passes Overall, this play comes down to increased opportunity, a depleted receiving room, and a favorable price. Moore saw 14 targets and caught seven passes in his first game without Stewart, and both Stewart and McClellan remain unavailable against Illinois. While he’s only cleared 5.5 receptions twice this season, his role entering Saturday looks different from what it was earlier in the year. At +116, we’re backing the increased target volume to translate into at least six receptions Like and Follow 💛

Go blow this up final play for Saturday 👀

CFB Week 8 Player Prop ✈️ Jordan Dwyer “O” 84.5 Receiving Yards 1 unit I -114 Fanduel We’re backing Jordan Dwyer over 84.5 receiving yards against West Virginia this Saturday. Dwyer has been extremely productive when given a significant role in TCU’s passing offense, recording 100+ receiving yards in both games where he’s seen substantial involvement. He’s coming off his best performance of the season against Baylor, where he finished with 6 receptions for 150 yards. Now he gets one of the most favorable matchups for wide receivers in college football Looking at his production, Dwyer recorded 5 receptions for 100 yards against UCF before exploding for 150 yards on 6 catches against Baylor last week. Across those two games, he’s totaled 250 receiving yards on just 11 receptions, averaging an impressive 22.7 yards per catch and 125 yards per game. He’s cleared our 84.5 line in both performances, showing that he doesn’t need double digit receptions to put up significant yardage What makes Dwyer especially interesting is his ability to generate explosive plays. Of his 11 receptions in those two games, 4 have gone for at least 25 yards. Against Baylor, he recorded a 67-yard reception, while his longest catch against UCF went for 43 yards. His ability to stretch the field gives him multiple ways to clear this number, especially against a secondary that has consistently struggled to prevent big passing plays The matchup against West Virginia is arguably the strongest part of this play. The Mountaineers have allowed 2,171 receiving yards through seven games, averaging 310.1 yards per game. They’ve also surrendered 17 passing touchdowns while allowing opposing receivers to average 15.1 yards per reception. West Virginia has given up at least 300 passing yards in five of its seven games, including 389 against Cincinnati last week West Virginia’s recent defensive performances make this matchup even more appealing. Over their last four games, they’ve surrendered 389 passing yards to Oklahoma State, 312 to Iowa State, 341 to Arizona, and another 389 to Cincinnati. That’s an average of 357.8 passing yards allowed over that stretch. Dwyer has already demonstrated his ability to produce explosive receptions, and he’s now facing a defense that has consistently allowed opposing passing attacks to move the ball downfield. Another factor working in our favor is TCU’s passing offense and quarterback Jaden Craig. TCU enters this matchup as approximately a 10.5-point favorite, with West Virginia struggling to contain opposing passing attacks. Dwyer accounted for roughly 29% of TCU’s receptions against Baylor and 20% against UCF, showing how involved he can be when featured. The biggest concern is his inconsistent playing time this season, but if he maintains the role he had last week, the matchup gives him an excellent opportunity to produce another big performance. Overall, we’re targeting a receiver with explosive play ability against one of the weakest passing defenses in the country. Dwyer has averaged 125 receiving yards in his two major appearances, while West Virginia has allowed nearly 358 passing yards per game over its last four contests. We don’t need him to repeat last week’s 150-yard performance. With his 22.7 yards-per-catch average, four receptions at that efficiency would be enough to clear 84.5. As long as his involvement remains consistent, I like his chances of getting over this number Saturday Like and Follow 💜

Kevin Jennings u6.5 rush attempts (-130 Fliff) #SMU Collab w/ @HiJackProps Jennings is under this line in 15/19 games over his last two seasons with SMU. Not really any good reason that I see that deviating here against a Cal team that is fairly average at generating pressure, and has a 6.9% sack rate, which ranks 56th nationally. One of the overs this season was against a Louisville team that ranks top-25 nationally in sack rate, and the other over was against a Boston College team that has actually been carved by QBs in the run game this season. SMU is also an 18.5 point favorite and should be able to build a nice lead and avoid the dropbacks that would more likely turn into rush attempts (Jennings doesn’t get designed runs often). Jennings is under in 10/10 games over the past 2 years that SMU has won by double digits. Make sure to give my guy @HiJackProps the follow. Been crushing CFB all year. LIKE IF TAILING 💙❤️