Politics. Hoyas. YMMV. Views expressed are mine alone, obviously. @TargetedVictory
VA
Joined June 2009
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Enjoyed discussing the midterm election state of play with the great @amyewalter on @ianbremmer's @gzeromedia show. Full episode here:
📺: youtu.be/tSjF30r6Ip8
🎧: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
I built a family meal planning utility in chatgpt and have been using claude to build my shopping carts for the past month or so. For the first time today I've had to click through half a dozen periodic "I am human" dialog boxes amazon has thrown up when it detects agents.
It's both--they're worried she'll win the nom and then fall flat on her face. The real question is whether she believes in her abilities.
Patrick Gaspard, Obama's political director, says pushback to another Harris run is like boxers that didn't want an Ali comeback:
"They were saying that not b/c they were worried Muhammad Ali would fall flat on his face—they were worried he would win.”
cnn.com/2026/10/26/politics/…
Liam Donovan retweeted
One of the fascinating questions in this election is whether 1974/1994/2006 really do belong to a different era.
Given the general uncertainty of the cycle and the specific saturation of a map that has been obvious for 18 months, throwing a few million at your tail risk is wise.
Just used muse to sign up for 7 different teacher conferences by giving one link and two screenshots. Just a really good utility tool for tedious tasks.
I actually think this is directionally true with only minor exaggeration.
Ye olde expectations game
NEW: Senior Democrats are tempering their expectations about how big of a House majority they might win, as both parties see a tightening map.
Comes after a barrage of GOP spending.
w/ @meredithllee
politico.com/news/2026/10/23…
Liam Donovan retweeted
Thought this was remarkable:
Energy developers like Williams demand a 3-4x greater return when building in states like New York compared to states like Oklahoma due to the unpredictable/burdensome state regulatory environment.
A very clear permitting x affordability story.
New Right of Way:
@SenArmstrong joins us for a deep dive on Clean Water Act Sec. 401 — plus some permitting horror stories and more!
Read/Listen here: greentape.pub/p/right-of-way…
Mix of expectations undertow and poll denial obscures the real debate here--whether a great night for Ds in the macro sense translates into big raw gains. Best thing going for Rs is that this map can absorb a lot of surf.
“Structurally, the Senate is built to be Republican, and the question is whether this wave can breach that levee,” @LPDonovan tells @llerer. “It is incredibly hard.” nytimes.com/2026/10/24/us/po…
The amount of money and energy that will go into retroactively ascribing an overdetermined wave to This One Issue in an effort to prime the narrative heading into 2028 is something to behold.
Prime example of what @adamkovac talks about of bandwagon groups running ads on the #10 ranked issue in the hopes of stealing credit for a victory that had nothing to do with them.
Literally the playbook The Groups™️ run every cycle.
Liam Donovan retweeted
Prime example of what @adamkovac talks about of bandwagon groups running ads on the #10 ranked issue in the hopes of stealing credit for a victory that had nothing to do with them.
Literally the playbook The Groups™️ run every cycle.
Liam Donovan retweeted
Take it from @LPDonovan: "'Structurally, the Senate is built to be Republican, and the question is whether this wave can breach that levee,' said Liam Donovan, a Republican strategist. 'It is incredibly hard.'" nytimes.com/2026/10/24/us/po…
Liam Donovan retweeted
Ceasefire:
Maine Secretary of State @shennabellows (D) and @GaSecofState Brad Raffensperger (R) discuss U.S. electoral system.
Plus, discussion w/ strategists Matt Bennett (@ThirdWayMattB) and Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan)
@DashaBurns hosts Ceasefire - 6pm ET on C-SPAN
Liam Donovan retweeted
Climate emissions don't respect state borders, and state-level lawsuits shouldn't dictate national energy policy.
At a @DailyCaller panel, our Executive Director @LPDonovan explained why he sees a major opportunity for the courts to push back on climate lawfare.
