@LPDonovan

Politics. Hoyas. YMMV. Views expressed are mine alone, obviously. @TargetedVictory

 VA
linktr.ee/lpdonovan
Joined June 2009
  • Tweets173K
  • Following4.1K
  • Followers51K
18.3KMedia
Liam Donovan retweeted
Sean T at RCP
@SeanTrendeOct 26
One of the fascinating questions in this election is whether 1974/1994/2006 really do belong to a different era.
Dave Wasserman
@RedistrictOct 26
Think back to 2006, last midterm w/ an unpopular war/GOP president. Where were the biggest House upsets? Places like IN, IA, KS, MN (Tim Walz!), NH, OH, WI, Upstate NY. That's why I think the Midwest & places w/ lots of secular white voters are especially ripe for surprises.
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Jonah Goldberg
@JonahDispatchOct 25
There’s a lot of this vibe in DC these days.
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Thomas Hochman
@ThomasHochmanOct 24
Thought this was remarkable: Energy developers like Williams demand a 3-4x greater return when building in states like New York compared to states like Oklahoma due to the unpredictable/burdensome state regulatory environment. A very clear permitting x affordability story.
Thomas Hochman
@ThomasHochmanOct 22
New Right of Way: @SenArmstrong joins us for a deep dive on Clean Water Act Sec. 401 — plus some permitting horror stories and more! Read/Listen here: greentape.pub/p/right-of-way…
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Prime example of what @adamkovac talks about of bandwagon groups running ads on the #10 ranked issue in the hopes of stealing credit for a victory that had nothing to do with them. Literally the playbook The Groups™️ run every cycle.
Matthew Yglesias
@mattyglesiasOct 23
First ad I've seen so explicitly targeting the obvious financial conflicts around the Trump administration's AI accelerationism
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Varad Mehta
@varadmehtaOct 24
Take it from @LPDonovan: "'Structurally, the Senate is built to be Republican, and the question is whether this wave can breach that levee,' said Liam Donovan, a Republican strategist. 'It is incredibly hard.'" nytimes.com/2026/10/24/us/po…

Why Democrats Could Find It Hard to Win the Senate Despite Their Strong Polls

Democrats are increasingly optimistic about the midterms. But they are being outspent by Republicans. And they are trying to compete in states that favored President Trump by large margins.

nytimes.com
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Liam Donovan retweeted
CSPAN
@cspanOct 23
Ceasefire: Maine Secretary of State @shennabellows (D) and @GaSecofState Brad Raffensperger (R) discuss U.S. electoral system. Plus, discussion w/ strategists Matt Bennett (@ThirdWayMattB) and Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan) @DashaBurns hosts Ceasefire - 6pm ET on C-SPAN
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Climate emissions don't respect state borders, and state-level lawsuits shouldn't dictate national energy policy. At a @DailyCaller panel, our Executive Director @LPDonovan explained why he sees a major opportunity for the courts to push back on climate lawfare.
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Sean T at RCP
@SeanTrendeOct 23
Part of the problem with EV analysis is, as this suggests, the proper baseline. But the bigger problem is what it means. Few think Rs are in for a *good* night. It's "bad" vs "historically bad." Would this mean "historically bad"? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ Just very hard to interpret.
Jeremy Hughes
@jeremybhughesOct 23
Anyone comparing this election to ‘24 and not ‘22 is in for a big surprise.
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Joshua Siegel@SiegelScribeOct 22
More on Trump's goodwill wind move in Midday: A Senate GOP aide called the action “encouraging" and stressed BAAJA would prevent wild swings in permitting decisions. "What we’re going to get back to is a normal and fair permitting process for everybody,” the aide told me
Punchbowl News
@PunchbowlNewsOct 22
The Trump administration is advancing two wind projects stalled by the Pentagon as part of an effort to win Democratic support for a bipartisan energy permitting bill the Senate will vote on after the election. More from @SiegelScribe: punchbowl.news/article/energ…
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Replying to @sciam
@sciam reports how public-private partnerships like ours with @NNSANews could help protect national security by supporting America’s nuclear deterrent. “There’s a first-place prize for deterrence: first place is freedom and prosperity." – @NNSAWilliams at our groundbreaking ceremony. Read more ⬇️
Scientific American
@sciamOct 20
Scientists who previously worked on fusion inside the U.S. nuclear labs and their colleagues built the private company Pacific Fusion. Now the government is turning to their new machines for help conducting research on its nuclear arsenal. sciam.com/article/how-a-fusi…

How a fusion start-up could help maintain the U.S. nuclear arsenal

The U.S. hasn’t detonated a nuclear weapon since 1992. Now a fusion start-up whose co-founders include former national lab scientists could help conduct experiments that make sure the stockpile works

scientificamerican.com
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Sean Cooksey
@SeanJCookseyOct 20
If three kids is an elite status symbol, then my parish is basically Davos.
Axios
@axiosOct 20
Is having 3 kids the ultimate status symbol? axios.com/2026/10/20/childre…

Is having 3 kids the ultimate status symbol?

Having a third child may be a luxury that even well-off Americans struggle to afford, an economist's analysis of Federal Reserve data suggests.

axios.com
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Fred Bauer@fredbauerblogOct 19
MBD makes a case for a political party as a *political* party--not an ideological one.
Michael Brendan Dougherty
@michaelbdOct 19
Everybody wants a read on whether Donald Trump is dragging the GOP to simple disaster or utter doom in the midterms. But in @nytopinion, I argue that by smashing the grip of any one faction on the GOP, Trump has put the party in position to grow as a baggier, more ideologically-incoherent coalition. nytimes.com/2026/10/19/opini…

Opinion | The Midterms Look Dark for Republicans. Their Future Looks Brighter. (Gift Article)

The G.O.P. will not always be focused around the strong personality and charisma of Trump.

nytimes.com
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Dan Primack
@danprimackOct 19
In light of @elonmusk pledge, thinking back to this story from nearly three years ago. Group pushes for gov-funded investment accounts for U.S. kids axios.com/2024/01/05/investm…

Group pushes for gov-funded investment accounts for U.S. kids

Matt Lira, a longtime GOP operative, will take the nonpartisan effort's reins.

axios.com
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Pavan Venkatakrishnan
@ppavnrOct 19
I’m skeptical that disparate treatment will be effective outside of wind under this administration, but appreciate the admission here that these guys’ highest priority is unlawfully targeting oil and gas projects and project certainty generally will constrain them.
Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she / they)@DoctorViveOct 19
Here's the thing: if we're actually going to phase out fossil fuels and halt global heating, we will NEED executive agencies to display a pattern of "disparate treatment" against fossil fuels. BAAJA literally outlaws this.
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Liam Donovan retweeted
GZERO Media
@gzeromediaOct 19
With Trump's popularity sinking ahead of the midterms, should Republican candidates distance themselves from the president or stick by his side? @amyewalter and Liam Donovan join Ian Bremmer to discuss the difficult choices facing Republicans, and how Democrats are hoping to capitalize on voter frustration over the economy, the Iran war, and corruption. #gzeroworld
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Liam Donovan retweeted
GZERO Media
@gzeromediaOct 17
Will Democrats take back both the House and Senate in November? The polls suggest a blue wave could be coming, but the Senate map gives Republicans a fighting chance. On the latest GZERO World podcast, Ian Bremmer speaks with Amy Walter and Liam Donovan about the races that could decide control of Congress. Listen to the full conversation where ever you get your podcasts. #gzeroworld
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Kirk A. Bado@kirk_badoOct 17
I think we all need a reset on what a wave/tsunami looks like in 2026. If Dems net 20 seats, that’s half as many as they flipped in the 2018 blue wave, but would still tie their final margin from 8 years ago. Dems start this midterm with a much higher floor.
Patrick Ruffini
@PatrickRuffiniOct 17
Neither party is spending in a way that would indicate a tsunami.
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Mark Halperin
@MarkHalperinOct 16
Think we’re talking about 2028 too early? The race is already on.  @amieparnes, @jonallendc, Doug Sosnik, and @LPDonovan joined me on “2WAY Tonight” to dig into what reporters are hearing, what strategists are thinking, and what my October “8 for ’28” rankings tell us about the race that’s already underway. Put this one in your queue, and follow the midterms with us @2WAYTVAPP. These races will tell us a lot about what comes next. youtube.com/watch?v=CwV2rITd…

2028 Presidential Sweepstakes: Who's Up, Who's Down?

2WAY TONIGHT with Mark Halperin. Every weekday evening Mark and our...

youtube.com
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A big question on whether Democrats flip Texas is if the undecided Republican vote finally flips or sits out this election. On my podcast, I had the brilliant @ZacharyDonnini on discuss which way the state is moving. Listen here: omny.fm/shows/a-numbers-game…
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Liam Donovan retweeted
Kyle Tharp
@kylewilsontharpOct 16
👀 Lots of under the radar Kamala news in @JesseLehrich's 2028 newsletter today... nobodyslistening.org/p/kamal…
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