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Joined September 2012
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Current IPEV (In-Person Early Voting) Map of Florida #Florida #FLSen #FLGov #Midterms2022 #Midterms #MidtermElections
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It is now the witching hour (HA!) for Republicans in Florida. Let's see how these next 2.5 hours go, the major slowdown usually happens and Dems gain some back. Likely looking at another 40K plus win today for Rs. Lake county should be between 1.5-2K gain once it reports.
Midday update with Florida IPEV. Republicans are at their top margin for the day. They are gaining with total votes as the volume today is larger. They are running ahead of yesterday but this is the time of day when they start to slow down a bit. What will be interesting to watch is how the end of the day goes with more counties closing early and it being Halloween.
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The final players reveal their true identities 🔥 #TheCelebrityTraitors
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Blexas isn't a thing, ok? Talarico is DOA.
This Thursday was 3.8% redder than 2024. This is the largest over performance by the GOP of any day this cycle compared to 2024.
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Senate is a little tougher to pick: Alaska- Mary is toast. This little stunt will cost her a few points. Kansas/Iowa- Red states where Democrats have fallen into wishcasting spells. It's almost comical. Texas- Paxton will win by a 3-5 points. Ohio- Rightward shift continues. Michigan- Too many Democrats are against Abdul. NH- This is a possible flip for the GOP, but my gut is leaning no. I could be wrong about this one. Maine- Jackson is a nutcase. NC- Cooper has name cred. SC- Like Kansas and Iowa- Wishcasting Florida- LMAO Georgia- The SHOCKER. The cheating machine has been disabled..2022 went to a run off..this one will go to one as well. Trump will come out in support of Collins and win it in December.
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Doesn’t this terrify you when you see this, Democrats? Another dude who called the Senate correct in 2024 is calling the 54 for Republicans this year. Terrifying, is it not?
Senate is a little tougher to pick: Alaska- Mary is toast. This little stunt will cost her a few points. Kansas/Iowa- Red states where Democrats have fallen into wishcasting spells. It's almost comical. Texas- Paxton will win by a 3-5 points. Ohio- Rightward shift continues. Michigan- Too many Democrats are against Abdul. NH- This is a possible flip for the GOP, but my gut is leaning no. I could be wrong about this one. Maine- Jackson is a nutcase. NC- Cooper has name cred. SC- Like Kansas and Iowa- Wishcasting Florida- LMAO Georgia- The SHOCKER. The cheating machine has been disabled..2022 went to a run off..this one will go to one as well. Trump will come out in support of Collins and win it in December.
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It has happened! In KS, the mail/IPEV is now R+1 (yesterday it was tied, Thursday it was D+2, Wednesday it was D+4 and Monday it was D+7). Democrats front loaded on the first day and are now out of voters while republicans still have MANY voters left for ED. Blue KS is gone.
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🚨 LMFAO! BYRON DONALDS: "You see, my opponent said the other day that my agenda is 'anti-black.'" 💀 "Ladies and gentlemen — I don't know if you know this." "Breaking news." "Your next governor has been BLACK his ENTIRE LIFE!" 😂😂 "The color of my skin is NOT what qualifies me to be your governor." "The VISION for a great Florida, a free Florida...THAT is what qualifies me to be your next governor!" BOOM 🫳🏻🎤 David Jolly is a total fraud and joke. He's about to lose!
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Throwback to #TheCelebrityTraitors Series 1 finale, which saw Traitor Alan Carr walk away victorious!
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Lots of “there’s no way Selzer is off by more than like 4 guys. You could see 4 but like no way it’s more” energy going on today
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We are at 46 Million votes nationally. Kalshi projects 118M. That means over 61% of projected voters have not voted yet. We do our part, we shock the world. We stay home, and we get a reverse 1994. This is why it's important to vote, and take everyone you know to vote.
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I understand something Tina Kotek clearly doesn’t: Governor isn’t a title; it’s a responsibility. Oregon, I am listening, and I’m asking for your vote. Vote Christine Drazan by November 3rd.
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If a man as fundamentally flawed and twisted as Talarico wins a Senate seat in red Texas, it means much more than one senate seat - it means that America has crossed the Rubicon into madness. This is one of the MOST LIBERAL MEMBERS of the State House! Paxton wins by 5 to 8.
NEW ALL-TIME HIGH: James Talarico’s odds to win the Texas Senate race hit 71%
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How can you have a poll like this, and say it remotely suggesting a blue wave? Simply, you can't.
Congressional Generic Ballot Among Hispanics 2018: 🔵 D+40 2020: 🔵 D+27 2022: 🔵 D+21 2024: 🔵 D+9 *2026: 🔵 D+8 *(ActiVote poll | 10/22-10/30)
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This doesn't look good for Ford. It shows that democrats have front-loaded quite a bit so ED will be heavy republicans in NV.
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You heard the man... Come on Polk, stop lagging!
Republicans have improved in Polk today. Need to sustain it.
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Beyond KS, democrats continue to collapse in IA. People don't realize the massive political machine from Chuck Grassley. The man will turn out rural voters for both Hinson/Lahn hence why the republican numbers continue to increase each day and into ED (which will be ruby red).
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AHHHH hahahaha ah ah haahahahah ha. Democrats drop 3 points on margin with Ipsos, now at just D+6 over Republicans. Ipsos was Harris +2 in their final 2024 poll, so basically just a 4-point shift to Democrats. Suggests a Reverse 2022.
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BREAKING: Former Democrat Senator Joe Manchin has endorsed Mike Rogers for US Senate.
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Looks like Democrat's dream of a blue SC has evaporated. The current mail/IPEV is now R+1. Democrats have exhausted all of their high propensity voters while republicans still have many voters left for ED (which will be deep red).
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I voted today 🗳️🇺🇸
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