Head of Policy & Public Affairs Research @OpiniumResearch. Have some public policy to develop and communicate? Get in touch.
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Joined September 2011
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James Crouch retweeted
Tories had 1st & 2nd Muslim cabinet ministers, along with 1st & 2nd ethnic minority leaders & PMs in Disraeli & Sunak. Now they have the first black woman leader who could be to their 4th female PM. This idea only the progressive left creates opportunity for every Briton is demonstrably bunkum.
Humza Yousaf, author of Under Fire, an important and painfully honest testament, could never have flourished in Keir Starmer’s Labour Party, still less the Conservatives. As a proud Muslim and supporter of the Palestinian cause, that would have been out of the question. In the Scottish National Party, which embraced multiculturalism as its southern counterparts drifted towards coercive liberalism, he rose to the top.
@OborneTweets: Humza Yousaf's private war
newstatesman.com/culture/boo…
James Crouch retweeted
🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨
For the first time, both Labour and Conservative leaders are on positive net approval.
🌹 Burnham +7 (+1)
🌳 Badenoch +2 (+3)
🔶 Davey -7 (n/c)
➡️ Farage -26 (+2)
🌍 Polanski -32 (n/c)
James Crouch retweeted
🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨
Public reaction to Burnham and Healey's Autumn Budget is mixed, with almost half unsure what to make of it, but Labour voters tend to like it.
👍 23% Good Budget
👎 29% Bad Budget
🤔 48% Not sure
James Crouch retweeted
🚨 Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨
2026 Autumn Budget is still the best received fiscal event in 3 years.
With a net rating of -6, it outperforms every fiscal event since the 2023 Autumn Statement (-4), and is very far from Reeves's 2025 Autumn Budget (-33).
🤖 Made with AI
James Crouch retweeted
Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll 🚨
Little movement in voting intention after the Budget, with Labour maintaining an 8-point lead over Reform.
🌹 LAB 30% (n/c)
➡️ REF 22% (n/c)
🌳 CON 20% (n/c)
🔶 LD 10% (+1)
🌍 GRN 8% (-2)
James Crouch retweeted
🚨 New Opinium @ObserverUK poll, 8pm 🚨
How has the public reacted to Andy Burnham and John Healey's first budget?
🔗 This link will go live at 8pm
opinium.com/resource-center/…
James Crouch retweeted
Here's the real story of this Budget, the can being kicked down the road. This Labour government is apparently planning spending cuts on most areas of public service spending of 2.6% per year between 2028-29 and 2031-32.
Pull the other one. It's got bells on.
I think this is so important.
Our fiscal situation is just really bad, and having a campaign where you actually have to cost your spending commitments means Burnham should think twice before thinking he can just do 6 weeks of highly optimistic but expensive conference speeches.
James Crouch retweeted
Mindblowing chart from OBR. In 2029 real household disposable income per person expected to be just 1% higher than in 2019. What an unbelievably awful decade. It used to grow by 2%+ every year, not 1% in 10 years.
James Crouch retweeted
🚨Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll🚨
Burnham remains the only political leader with a net positive approval rating.
🌹Burnham +6 (-2)
🌳Badenoch -1 (-1)
🔶Davey -7 (-1)
➡️ Farage -28 (-2)
🌍Polanski -32 (-3)
#Budget2026
James Crouch retweeted
🚨Latest Opinium @ObserverUK poll🚨
Labour continues to lead in the polls, 8 points ahead of Reform in second place.
🌹LAB 30% (+1)
➡️REF 22% (-2)
🌳CON 20% (n/c)
🌍GRN 10% (+1)
🔶LD 9% (n/c)
#Budget2026
The wales one is a reminder that MRPs from across the industry tell us Labour’s still doing badly against Plaid and SNP, and quite frankly they could lose most of their majority without a single seat lost in England (where they house still expect many losses as polling stands!)
Not an answer, but I remember trying to explain the Liberal Democrat’s penchant for amusing, disturbing and baroque scandals in the 2000s and 2010s to new joiners to our political team who will never have heard of them.
James Crouch retweeted
William Hague declares Trump the worst president of his lifetime, and struggles to see how anyone could have a different opinion.
“This mishandling of world affairs … is the most serious development and negative development in the world since the Second World War.“
@StigAbell | @WilliamJHague
This whole Alberta independence thing has really passed me by? How did it even get to this point?
Purely looking at it on a map it'd be about as mad as if we had a referendum on the East Midlands starting independence proceedings.
James Crouch retweeted
What do small businesses most want help with at the Budget? Energy bills. (Followed by business rates and employment costs.) New finding from @OpiniumResearch polling of 500 SME leaders for @CPSThinkTank
