Pip Moss (quincel.bsky.social)

New voting intention (3-4 Jun): this is our first poll carried out under our new methodology, which mirrors that which we use for our MRP Lab: 40% Con: 19% Reform UK: 17% Lib Dem: 10% Green: 7% SNP: 3% yougov.co.uk/politics/articl… To show what impact the new methodology has had on voting intention, we have run our previous poll on the new methodology to show what difference it makes, as well as running this most recent poll on the previous methodology Labour's vote share is lower under the new methodology. This is partly down to the method change, although their vote share would have decreased whichever method we used. Fieldwork was all conducted after Nigel Farage announced he was standing as a candidate; Reform UK's vote share rose 3pts regardless of which methodology was used, and so their increase in vote is not related to the methodology change The Conservative vote share has also fallen regardless of which methodology was used, so the decrease is again not related to the methodology change The Lib Dem vote is 2pts higher under the new methodology than the old one - but whichever methodology is used, the results are consistent with the previous survey. This means that our new higher figure for the Lib Dems is as a result of the methodology change You can read more about what changes we made to our methodology and why on our website here: yougov.co.uk/politics/articl…