Predictable with Stu is a smarter, more useful way to get the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and what's next.

Joined January 2026
PredictableShow retweeted
The Debates Got Heated. Then the Markets Made Some Strange Moves xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1XxygwdEP…
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It’s hard to believe you can beat someone with similar beliefs in an election when these are your underlying metrics.
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Three new polls in the TX Gov race in the last 24 hours have Abbott +4, +5 and +5, and he’s dropped by 10 points on Kalshi to 64%.
TEXAS STATEWIDE ELECTION ODDS: Senate: 🟦 James Talarico: 68% 🟥 Ken Paxton: 32% Governor: 🟥 Greg Abbott: 64% 🟦 Gina Hinojosa: 36%
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PredictableShow retweeted
.@PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica airs tonight at 9pm ET on The First. Watch on DIRECTV channel 347, Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, fuboTV, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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Could a Polling Error Save Republicans? Stu Ran the Numbers xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1jGXgBrkB…
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PredictableShow retweeted
9pm ET: @StuDoesAmerica hosts @PredictableShow on The First TV. Watch for free on Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, The First TV app and TheFirstTV.com/watch... or check it out on DIRECTV channel 347 and fuboTV.
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PredictableShow retweeted
Texas Is the GOP’s Biggest Warning Sign and the Markets Show Why xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1RJjpbwzk…
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PredictableShow retweeted
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker2024Oct 20
So it turns out Wedgewood polls is just a bogus polling firm.
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PredictableShow retweeted
Tonight at 9pm ET: It's @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica. Watch on DIRECTV, Samsung TV Plus, Pluto TV, fuboTV, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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People kept asking me whether it was time to panic about the elections. I said no. Not until Panic Day, October 19th. Well, that's today! We will go through how much panic is required, and what to do about it, on @PredictableShow today
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There's still time to get in on the Senate Fantasy League ahead of the midterms. Make your Senate picks, see how they hold up on Election Day, and compete for cash prizes. Free to play! SenateFantasy.com
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PredictableShow retweeted
Think you can call the Senate races better than I can? Put together your Senate Fantasy team and compete for cash prizes. Completely free to play. Link: SenateFantasy.com
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PredictableShow retweeted
I have a position on NO for the Press Secretary to be fired before the mid-terms, because you could just easily hide her for a couple of weeks so why embarrass yourself any further in the middle of an election when its so easily avoidab…..Annnnnnnnnnnnd it’s gone.
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PredictableShow retweeted
Check out the latest episode of Predictable w/ Stu, where @StuDoesAmerica breaks down the PMC, including the latest Senate projections and key races to watch. Plus, @PredMTrader joins to discuss trading strategies, mention markets, and Kalshi’s newly introduced election market combos. youtube.com/watch?v=M3tI7J9P…
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A new edition of Stu's Picks is out! With the 2026 midterms just weeks away, @StuDoesAmerica shares his latest prediction-market positions and the races he's watching closely as Election Day approaches. Check it out at: predictable.substack.com/p/s…
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Watch @PredictableShow with @StuDoesAmerica at 9pm ET on The First. DIRECTV channel 347, Samsung TV Plus, fuboTV, Pluto TV, The First TV app or TheFirstTV.com/watch
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PredictableShow retweeted
Stu Crunched the Latest Data. Here's What It Says About the GOP Path xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1RJjpbZrQ…
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PredictableShow retweeted
NEW: President Trump says if Ken Paxton loses the Texas Senate race to James Talarico, it will be because of “WEAK and INEFFECTIVE” Republicans like John Cornyn and Karl Rove, accusing them of undermining Paxton’s campaign.
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PredictableShow retweeted
TONIGHT on Predictable w/ Stu: Could falling gas prices help Republicans ahead of the midterms? @StuDoesAmerica breaks down inflation, gas prices, and what prediction markets suggest about the GOP's chances. youtube.com/watch?v=2-iypS6s…
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