Pinned Tweet
NFL x NBA Sunday Night Parlay ๐งโ๐ณ
๐ฝ๏ธ Jaxon Smith-Njigba 80+ Receiving Yards
๐ฝ๏ธ Kenneth Walker Anytime TD
๐ฝ๏ธ Jalen Brunson o23.5 Points
๐ฝ๏ธ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o25.5 Points
๐ฝ๏ธ LeBron James 30+ PRA
Letโs end the night with a BANG ๐ช
PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
BACK THE BROW ๐
NBA Prop #1 ๐
Anthony Davis OVER 23.5 Pts + Asts
โค๏ธ IF BACKING AD
Collab With @KBProps & @PropKitchen ๐ค
KB โ๏ธ :
Looks like the books are still disrespecting AD here as weโre still somehow getting this low of lines for him against a pretty solid matchup. Let me explain why weโre backing the Brow tomorrow.
AD started off the season very hot as he dropped 34 points along with 4 assists in 34 minutes against the Milwaukee Bucks. Last game he barely missed this line with 23 PA against the Bulls.
Honestly hit rates arenโt even what Iโm looking at in both these games but itโs actually his FGA volume that caught my eye. In both games he took 20 and 21 shots which honestly just makes this line look so silly.
The #1 overall pick for the Wizards this year AJ Dybansta still remains to make his NBA debut and has already been ruled out for tomorrowโs game. AD should continue to see the usage and volume heโs been seeing.
With 20+ FGA heโs over this line in his last 26/30 games averaging 33 PA per game and the books are giving us around a 17.5 FGA line for him so theyโre definitely expecting good volume from him as well.
AD has absolutely DOMINATED the Hornets in his career as heโs over this line in his last 7 STRAIGHT games versus them and since 2014 has gone over this line in his last 13/14 games against them.
Weโve also already seen Forwards and big men like Julius Randle drop 33 points and 7 assists in his Nets debut and Bam Adebayo drop 20 points and 4 assists against the Hornets this season.
Besides the scoring side we also like the addition of assists here as AD needs just 2+ assists to make us have an edge with his PA line since his points line has been bumped up to 21.5. Heโs currently -400 odds on Fanduel to get 2 assists
Love this spot for AD tomorrow to continue to see a high amount of usage, volume and dominate this Hornets team once again like he has in the past. He might honestly clear this line just alone in points tomorrow.
PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
If this alone from ONE capper doesn't tell you that you should join the VIP, I'm not sure what does.
Code TOUCHDOWN gets you 3 days free!
winible.com/checkout/1512639โฆ
AD WILL FEAST โข๏ธ
๐ NBA Dish #1 (10/26)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ง๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ + ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ (โ๐๐๐)
Cooked w/ @KBProps ๐ค @PonderingPicks
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Looks like the books are still disrespecting AD here, as weโre somehow still getting this low of a line for him against a pretty solid matchup. Let me explain why weโre backing the Brow today.
- AD started off the season very hot, dropping 34 points along with 4 assists in 34 minutes against the Milwaukee Bucks. Last game, he barely missed this line with 23 PA against the Bulls.
- Honestly, hit rates arenโt even what Iโm looking at in both of these games. Itโs actually his FGA volume that caught my eye. He took 20 and 21 shots in those games, which honestly makes this line look so silly.
- The #1 overall pick for the Wizards this year, AJ Dybantsa, still remains to make his NBA debut and has already been ruled out for todayโs game. AD should continue to see the usage and volume heโs been seeing.
- With 20+ FGA, heโs over this line in 26 of his last 30 games while averaging 33 PA per game. The books are giving us around a 17.5 FGA line for him, so theyโre definitely expecting good volume from him as well.
- AD has absolutely DOMINATED the Hornets in his career, as heโs over this line in his last 7 STRAIGHT games against them. Dating back to 2014, he has gone over this line in 13 of his last 14 games against Charlotte.
- Weโve also already seen forwards and big men like Julius Randle drop 33 points and 7 assists in his Nets debut and Bam Adebayo drop 20 points and 4 assists against the Hornets this season.
- Besides the scoring side, we also like the addition of assists here. AD needs just 2+ assists to give us an edge with his PA line since his points line has been bumped up to 21.5. Heโs currently -400 on FanDuel to record 2 assists.
- Love this spot for AD today to continue seeing a high amount of usage and volume and dominate this Hornets team once again like he has in the past. He might honestly clear this line in points alone.
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
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Menu Recap 9/26
3-3 day, a nasty hook on Love & penalty on a 16 yard run by Bijan away from 5-1. Donโt hate the reads at all.
โ
Ashton Jeanty o24.5 Rec Yds
โ
Trey McBride o6.5 Receptions
โ
Kyren Williams o67.5 Rush Yds
๐ช Jordan Love o274.5 Pass Yds
โ Jalen Coker o65.5 Rec Yds
โ Bijan Robinson o16.5 Longest Rush
Back with NBA tomorrow!
NFL Week 7 Prop Menu ๐
$100 to a Random ๐๐๐๐ if we SWEEP โค๏ธโ๐ฅ
๐ฝ๏ธ Jordan Love o274.5 Pass Yds
๐ฝ๏ธ Kyren Williams o67.5 Rush Yds
๐ฝ๏ธ Jalen Coker o65.5 Rec Yds
๐ฝ๏ธ Ashton Jeanty o24.5 Rec Yds
๐ฝ๏ธ Trey McBride o6.5 Receptions
๐ฝ๏ธ Bijan Robinson o16.5 Longest Rush
LETS FEAST ๐งโ๐ณ
A week later:
Kyren Williams: 11 Rush Attempts
Blake Corum: 16 Rush Attempts
Make it make sense ๐ค
EASY MONEY ๐ฐ
โ
Kyren Williams o67.5 Rush Yards โ
The matchup was too good to ignore! Averaging 7 yards per carry today to cash the collab w/ @Picks_x_Stevie ๐ค
Down to Love for profit on the day ๐
โค๏ธ IF YOU TAILED!
TRUST THE MATCHUP ๐
๐ NFL Prop #5 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐๐ง ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @Picks_x_stevie ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Kyren has been one of the more efficient running backs in football this season, averaging 4.9 yards per carry with 393 rushing yards on 80 attempts. Now he gets another favorable matchup against one of the worst run defenses in football.
- Williams has earned an 82.2 PFF rushing grade, ranking 6th among 47 qualifying RBs, while forcing 23 missed tackles and averaging 3.4 yards after contact per attempt. Los Angeles has one of the best offensive lines in football, ranking 1st in adjusted line yards (4.94) and 2nd in RB yards before contact (2.48). Left tackle Alaric Jackson returns from his suspension, giving the Rams another important piece of their offensive line.
- Las Vegas has struggled badly defending the run this season, ranking 28th in rushing yards allowed (134.3 per game), 29th in yards per carry allowed, 29th in explosive runs allowed and 32nd in yards before contact per carry allowed. The Raiders rank 30th against RB rushing yards specifically, allowing opposing backs to consistently find running lanes and generate explosive gains.
Several RBs have already cleared their rushing-yard lines against Las Vegas ๐
โ
Kenneth Walker: 177 Rush Yds | Line: 86.5
โ
James Cook: 95 Rush Yds | Line: 93.5
โ
Omarion Hampton: 94 Rush Yds | Line: 62.5
โ
Rhamondre Stevenson: 64 Rush Yds | Line: 37.5
โ
Travis Etienne Jr: 57 Rush Yds | Line: 39.5
- The Rams will be without Davante Adams, while Puka Nacua is questionable with a calf injury. Los Angeles has already been incorporating heavier offensive formations with multiple tight ends, and the receiving injuries could give Sean McVay even more reason to establish the ground game. Kyren hasnโt exceeded 16 carries this season, but heโs already shown he can clear this number with that workload, and the Raidersโ struggles defending the run create an excellent opportunity for another efficient performance.
- The Rams have a major advantage in the trenches against a Raiders defense that has struggled to stop opposing RBs all season. With a strong offensive line, favorable matchup and additional reasons to lean on the rushing attack, we like Kyren to get back over 67.5 rushing yards.
Best Odds: -113 FanDuel / Onyx
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
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PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
NFL x NBA Sunday Night Parlay ๐งโ๐ณ
๐ฝ๏ธ Jaxon Smith-Njigba 80+ Receiving Yards
๐ฝ๏ธ Kenneth Walker Anytime TD
๐ฝ๏ธ Jalen Brunson o23.5 Points
๐ฝ๏ธ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o25.5 Points
๐ฝ๏ธ LeBron James 30+ PRA
Letโs end the night with a BANG ๐ช
NATIONAL TE DAY CASH ๐ฐ
โ
Trey McBride over 6.5 Receptions โ
Heโs AUTOMATIC! Sweat free winner w/ @hotshotfantasy & @SGTPROPS8 ๐ค
โค๏ธ IF YOU TAILED!
HE WILL FEAST ON NATIONAL TE DAY ๐
๐ NFL Sunday Dish #3 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @SGTPROPS8 ๐ค @hotshotfantasy
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- McBride has established himself as one of the most reliable receiving options in football and continues to be the centerpiece of Arizonaโs passing attack. He has cleared this line in all 6 games this season, averaging 8.2 receptions per game while commanding a team-leading 65 targets and a 28.5% target share. He has recorded at least 7 receptions in every game, regardless of matchup or game script.
- His connection with Jacoby Brissett has been especially productive. McBride has cleared this line in 13/15 games with Brissett under center, and Arizona trading Marvin Harrison Jr. gives him an even clearer path to maintaining his massive target volume. McBride has gone over in 6/7 games without Harrison, averaging 8.4 receptions in that sample.
- McBride is averaging 38.3 routes per game, ranking in the 99th percentile among tight ends, while earning a target on 28.3% of his routes. His 5.5-yard aDOT and 70.8% short target rate make him an ideal player for a receptions prop. Arizona consistently gets him involved on underneath routes, quick throws and intermediate concepts, allowing him to accumulate catches without relying on explosive plays. His 75.4% catch rate gives him an excellent opportunity to convert that volume into another 7+ reception performance.
- Denver has a strong defense, but the Broncos will be without starting safety Talanoa Hufanga, removing an important defender from their secondary. McBrideโs ability to line up across the formation creates opportunities for Arizona to attack linebackers and safeties rather than relying on conventional outside receiving matchups. The Broncos rank 23rd against short target rate to TEs and 24th against their average target depth, making the underneath areas where McBride operates especially important.
- Arizona leads the NFL in tight end receptions and has increasingly utilized formations with multiple tight ends. McBride even mentioned wanting to see plenty of 13 personnel on National Tight Ends Day, and the Cardinals have already shown how heavily their offense revolves around the position. With Brissett consistently feeding him targets, Harrison no longer competing for opportunities and a receiving role built around high-percentage throws, we like McBride to record 7+ receptions for the seventh straight game!
Best Odds: -137 Kalshi | -145 BetMGM
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
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PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
Which NFL result today was more surprising? ๐ค
1. Bucs blowout the Panthers 43-13 with only 64 yards passing
2. Giants defeat the Texans on the road in JJ McCarthys first start with the team
56%Bucs/Panthers
44%Giants def Texans w/ JJ
125 votes โข 14 hoursCASHED IN B2B WEEKS ๐ฐ
โ
Ashton Jeanty o24.5 Receiving Yds โ
Heโs been very ineffective as a runner but heโs delivered as a receiver & check down option!
Cashed w/ @DDOGGSTACKS & @betsbybray ๐ค
โค๏ธ IF YOU TAILED!
RUN JEANTY BACK โช๏ธ
๐ NFL Sunday Prop #2 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ฌ๐ก๐ญ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐ง๐ญ๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @DDOGGSTACKS ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Jeanty has quickly established himself as one of the most productive receiving backs in football, and weโre going right back to him after cashing this same line against Buffalo last week. Through 6 games, Jeanty has 26 receptions for 251 yards on 36 targets, averaging 41.8 receiving yards per game while clearing this line in 5/6 games. All five overs have finished with at least 36 receiving yards.
- His involvement in the passing game has been extremely consistent, averaging 6 targets per game while receiving at least 6 targets in 5/6 games. Heโs been even more productive with Brock Bowers on the field, averaging 47.8 receiving yards in those games. Even with another elite receiving weapon demanding defensive attention, Jeanty has continued getting opportunities through checkdowns, screens and short routes out of the backfield.
- Las Vegas has recently reduced Jeantyโs traditional rushing workload while getting Mike Washington more involved, but his receiving role hasnโt suffered. Against Buffalo, Jeanty caught 4 passes for 36 yards on 6 targets while playing 10 of 11 two-minute snaps and 6 of 10 third-down snaps. Heโs remained the Raidersโ preferred back in passing situations, which is exactly what we want for this prop.
- The Rams have been one of the better matchups for RB receiving production this season, allowing the 4th-most receiving yards, 2nd-most targets and 4th-most yards after the catch to opposing running backs. Los Angeles ranks 29th against RB receiving yards and 31st against RB target rate, providing an excellent matchup for a player who has been consistently involved through the air.
Several RBs have already cleared their receiving-yard lines against Los Angeles ๐
โ
Ty Johnson: 72 Rec Yds | Line: 15.5
โ
RJ Harvey: 41 Rec Yds | Line: 16.5
โ
Cam Skattebo: 19 Rec Yds | Line: 14.5
- The Rams will be without starting linebacker Nate Landman, who has been ruled out with a concussion. His absence removes an important piece of their defense in the middle of the field, potentially creating more opportunities for Jeanty to work underneath. Mike Washington is questionable after missing consecutive practices, while Jeanty and Brock Bowers both enter without injury designations.
- The projected game script should favor Jeantyโs receiving role as well. Los Angeles enters as roughly a 3.5-point road favorite in a game with a 48.5 total. If the Raiders are forced to play from behind, Jeanty should remain heavily involved as a receiving option for Kirk Cousins, especially on third downs and in obvious passing situations.
- Jeanty has continued producing through the air regardless of his rushing workload, and the Rams have consistently struggled to contain receiving backs. With his established target volume, favorable matchup and potential for a pass-heavy game script, we like Jeanty to clear this line once again here.
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
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๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
Which NFL result today was more surprising? ๐ค
1. Bucs blowout the Panthers 43-13 with only 64 yards passing
2. Giants defeat the Texans on the road in JJ McCarthys first start with the team
56%Bucs/Panthers
44%Giants def Texans w/ JJ
125 votes โข 14 hoursChalkboard NBA Combo ๐
๐ฐTy Jerome o23.5 Points
๐ฝ๏ธ Kawhi Leonard o21.5 PR
Moneyball turns every made 3 into 4 points ๐ฏ
New users get a FREE pick + up to $500 in bonus funds with code PROPKITCHEN๐
streaks.chalkboard.io/cUPZ/kโฆ
PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
๐จ NFL FREE PLAY ๐จ
Collab w/@PropKitchen
Kyren Williams O67.5 RY
-113 || Onyx
๐: @propsmadness
Use Code โPXSโ for 25%
๐จ NFL FREE PLAY ๐จ
Collab w/@ChronicBets & @KashyLocks
๐Jordan Watkins O19.5 RECY
๐Jordan Watkins 2+ Receptions
2 FOR 1 Special ๐ฅ
๐: @propsmadness
Use Code โPXSโ for 25%
PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
$25 to a follower who LIKES+RT โค๏ธโ๐ฅ
5-0 NBA SWEEP ๐งน ๏ฟผ๐งน
โ
Dylan Harper o20.5 Pts+Reb
โ
Jarrett Allen o12.5 Points
โ
Jaime Jaquez Jr. o22.5 PRA
โ
Jalen Green u8.5 Reb+Ast
โ
MPJ o21.5 Points / Maluach 7+ Reb
+7.93u on NBA already, letโs keep cooking! ๐งโ๐ณ
PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
BIJAN BREAKS LOOSE ๐จ
๐ NFL Dish #4 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ข๐ฃ๐๐ง ๐๐จ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก
Cooked w/ @AltLineDemon ๐ค @SC_FFB
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Robinson has been one of the most explosive running backs in football this season, leading the NFL in rushing grade (90.9) while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Heโs cleared this line in 5/6 games this season, including 4 straight, with an average longest rush of 34.3 yards per game. He only needs one run of 17+ yards, something heโs consistently been able to produce regardless of his overall rushing workload.
- Robinsonโs advanced rushing numbers have been outstanding. He ranks 4th among RBs with 15 runs of 10+ yards, has forced 24 missed tackles and is averaging 4.7 yards after contact per attempt. His 13.5% explosive run rate ranks in the 84th percentile, while his 2.9 yards before contact per carry ranks in the 88th percentile. Heโs already recorded seven runs of 20+ yards this season, tied for the most in the NFL.
- San Francisco has struggled in several areas that directly benefit Bijanโs running style. The 49ers have allowed the 5th-most yards before contact per carry to opposing RBs (1.5), rank 5th-worst in stuff rate (16.9%) and 25th in run-game missed tackle rate. Those weaknesses give Bijan opportunities to reach the second level, where his speed, vision and ability to break tackles make him especially dangerous. Even 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan acknowledged the threat this week, saying that if Bijan gets a lane, โheโs gone.โ
- Brian Robinson has officially been ruled out with a hamstring injury, removing Atlantaโs primary backup RB and creating an opportunity for Bijan to handle additional carries. The Falcons have been one of the most committed rushing offenses in football, running on 49.2% of their offensive plays, the 4th-highest rate in the NFL. In games with 55%+ of offensive snaps, Bijan is over this line in 5/5 games this season. With Brian out, he should see north of 75% of the snaps regardless of the score.
- Atlanta enters as roughly a 2.5-point underdog, giving them a realistic path to maintaining their rushing attack throughout the game rather than being forced to abandon it.
- Bijan has already shown he can break explosive runs against quality defenses, and San Franciscoโs issues with missed tackles and allowing runners into the second level fit his strengths perfectly. With how explosive heโs been this season and Brian Robinson out, we like Bijan to break another 17+ yard run against the 49ers.
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
HE WILL FEAST ON NATIONAL TE DAY ๐
๐ NFL Sunday Dish #3 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ซ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐.๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฉ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @SGTPROPS8 ๐ค @hotshotfantasy
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- McBride has established himself as one of the most reliable receiving options in football and continues to be the centerpiece of Arizonaโs passing attack. He has cleared this line in all 6 games this season, averaging 8.2 receptions per game while commanding a team-leading 65 targets and a 28.5% target share. He has recorded at least 7 receptions in every game, regardless of matchup or game script.
- His connection with Jacoby Brissett has been especially productive. McBride has cleared this line in 13/15 games with Brissett under center, and Arizona trading Marvin Harrison Jr. gives him an even clearer path to maintaining his massive target volume. McBride has gone over in 6/7 games without Harrison, averaging 8.4 receptions in that sample.
- McBride is averaging 38.3 routes per game, ranking in the 99th percentile among tight ends, while earning a target on 28.3% of his routes. His 5.5-yard aDOT and 70.8% short target rate make him an ideal player for a receptions prop. Arizona consistently gets him involved on underneath routes, quick throws and intermediate concepts, allowing him to accumulate catches without relying on explosive plays. His 75.4% catch rate gives him an excellent opportunity to convert that volume into another 7+ reception performance.
- Denver has a strong defense, but the Broncos will be without starting safety Talanoa Hufanga, removing an important defender from their secondary. McBrideโs ability to line up across the formation creates opportunities for Arizona to attack linebackers and safeties rather than relying on conventional outside receiving matchups. The Broncos rank 23rd against short target rate to TEs and 24th against their average target depth, making the underneath areas where McBride operates especially important.
- Arizona leads the NFL in tight end receptions and has increasingly utilized formations with multiple tight ends. McBride even mentioned wanting to see plenty of 13 personnel on National Tight Ends Day, and the Cardinals have already shown how heavily their offense revolves around the position. With Brissett consistently feeding him targets, Harrison no longer competing for opportunities and a receiving role built around high-percentage throws, we like McBride to record 7+ receptions for the seventh straight game!
Best Odds: -137 Kalshi | -145 BetMGM
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
PropKitchen ๐งโ๐ณ retweeted
TRUST THE MATCHUP ๐
๐ NFL Prop #5 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ฒ๐ซ๐๐ง ๐๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก ๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฌ
Cooked w/ @Picks_x_stevie ๐ค
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Kyren has been one of the more efficient running backs in football this season, averaging 4.9 yards per carry with 393 rushing yards on 80 attempts. Now he gets another favorable matchup against one of the worst run defenses in football.
- Williams has earned an 82.2 PFF rushing grade, ranking 6th among 47 qualifying RBs, while forcing 23 missed tackles and averaging 3.4 yards after contact per attempt. Los Angeles has one of the best offensive lines in football, ranking 1st in adjusted line yards (4.94) and 2nd in RB yards before contact (2.48). Left tackle Alaric Jackson returns from his suspension, giving the Rams another important piece of their offensive line.
- Las Vegas has struggled badly defending the run this season, ranking 28th in rushing yards allowed (134.3 per game), 29th in yards per carry allowed, 29th in explosive runs allowed and 32nd in yards before contact per carry allowed. The Raiders rank 30th against RB rushing yards specifically, allowing opposing backs to consistently find running lanes and generate explosive gains.
Several RBs have already cleared their rushing-yard lines against Las Vegas ๐
โ
Kenneth Walker: 177 Rush Yds | Line: 86.5
โ
James Cook: 95 Rush Yds | Line: 93.5
โ
Omarion Hampton: 94 Rush Yds | Line: 62.5
โ
Rhamondre Stevenson: 64 Rush Yds | Line: 37.5
โ
Travis Etienne Jr: 57 Rush Yds | Line: 39.5
- The Rams will be without Davante Adams, while Puka Nacua is questionable with a calf injury. Los Angeles has already been incorporating heavier offensive formations with multiple tight ends, and the receiving injuries could give Sean McVay even more reason to establish the ground game. Kyren hasnโt exceeded 16 carries this season, but heโs already shown he can clear this number with that workload, and the Raidersโ struggles defending the run create an excellent opportunity for another efficient performance.
- The Rams have a major advantage in the trenches against a Raiders defense that has struggled to stop opposing RBs all season. With a strong offensive line, favorable matchup and additional reasons to lean on the rushing attack, we like Kyren to get back over 67.5 rushing yards.
Best Odds: -113 FanDuel / Onyx
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!
๐ฃ Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!
#NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX
BIJAN BREAKS LOOSE ๐จ
๐ NFL Dish #4 (10/25)
๐ฝ๏ธ ๐๐ข๐ฃ๐๐ง ๐๐จ๐๐ข๐ง๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐.๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ ๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ก
Cooked w/ @AltLineDemon ๐ค @SC_FFB
LIKE IF TAILING โค๏ธ
- Robinson has been one of the most explosive running backs in football this season, leading the NFL in rushing grade (90.9) while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Heโs cleared this line in 5/6 games this season, including 4 straight, with an average longest rush of 34.3 yards per game. He only needs one run of 17+ yards, something heโs consistently been able to produce regardless of his overall rushing workload.
- Robinsonโs advanced rushing numbers have been outstanding. He ranks 4th among RBs with 15 runs of 10+ yards, has forced 24 missed tackles and is averaging 4.7 yards after contact per attempt. His 13.5% explosive run rate ranks in the 84th percentile, while his 2.9 yards before contact per carry ranks in the 88th percentile. Heโs already recorded seven runs of 20+ yards this season, tied for the most in the NFL.
- San Francisco has struggled in several areas that directly benefit Bijanโs running style. The 49ers have allowed the 5th-most yards before contact per carry to opposing RBs (1.5), rank 5th-worst in stuff rate (16.9%) and 25th in run-game missed tackle rate. Those weaknesses give Bijan opportunities to reach the second level, where his speed, vision and ability to break tackles make him especially dangerous. Even 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan acknowledged the threat this week, saying that if Bijan gets a lane, โheโs gone.โ
- Brian Robinson has officially been ruled out with a hamstring injury, removing Atlantaโs primary backup RB and creating an opportunity for Bijan to handle additional carries. The Falcons have been one of the most committed rushing offenses in football, running on 49.2% of their offensive plays, the 4th-highest rate in the NFL. In games with 55%+ of offensive snaps, Bijan is over this line in 5/5 games this season. With Brian out, he should see north of 75% of the snaps regardless of the score.
- Atlanta enters as roughly a 2.5-point underdog, giving them a realistic path to maintaining their rushing attack throughout the game rather than being forced to abandon it.
- Bijan has already shown he can break explosive runs against quality defenses, and San Franciscoโs issues with missed tackles and allowing runners into the second level fit his strengths perfectly. With how explosive heโs been this season and Brian Robinson out, we like Bijan to break another 17+ yard run against the 49ers.
๐ Data via @PropsMadness
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