Replying to @SONARROW_OSINT @nexus_osint @KaptainLOMA @UAControlMap @matteomaillard @InsiderGeo @DefenceGeek
If the *Stoiky* is in the Baltic, which ship is with *Ascalon*, *Anastasiia*, and *Yelnya*?
Russia Maritime Watch retweeted
Russian Vessels - Locations 07-11-26 10:20 utc
Cargo Ships:
Lady Mariia
IMO: 9220641
Sparta
IMO: 9268710
Lady R
IMO: 9161003
Lady D
IMO: 9349289
A potential naval concentration may be underway in the Kattegat. The Russian merchant vessel Lady D, subject to heavy sanctions, appears to be holding position after transiting the Danish Straits under the monitoring of the corvette Stoiky. While adverse weather conditions or technical delays cannot be ruled out, several OSINT indicators point to a potentially more complex scenario.
Open-source intelligence suggests the possibility of a heavily protected naval convoy. In recent days, the Gorshkov-class frigate Admiral Golovko departed Severomorsk for an extended deployment, accompanied by the Admiral Grigorovich (494), which has reportedly been observed transiting strategic northern routes.
A potential rendezvous with Lady R and Maia-1, approaching from the south, could indicate the formation of a naval escort arrangement intended to protect a cargo of potential military significance. @SONARROW_OSINT @key2med @TiaFarris10 @seawaves_mag @KaptainLOMA @Rockhoppas @UKForcesTracker @te3ej @The_Lookout_N @charly0153 @CeciliaSykala
Danish warship P523 is following three Russian cargo vessels in the Baltic Sea:
LADY R · IMO 9161003
MAIA-1 · IMO 9358010
LADY D · IMO 9349289
GUR links LADY R and MAIA-1 to North Korean arms shipments to Russia and lists LADY D as a military cargo carrier.
Replying to @DonnetJules
🤔 Excellent OSINT news; let’s hope someone carries out some checks.
Replying to @pegge49
Most likely, it will follow them for a while within the channel, but its task is different. I believe they carried out a RAS operation a few days ago; I noticed slow movements, in the direction of the wind.
The Russian vessel MAIA-1 has departed the port of Baltiysk, where other cargo ships have previously loaded military equipment and materiel.
The vessel has a documented history of transporting cargo for the Russian government. On a previous voyage, it travelled from the Pacific via the NSR.
Its current destination remains unknown. The next key development will be its passage through the Danish Straits. Particular attention should be paid to whether the vessel is accompanied by a naval escort and whether its route continues towards the Mediterranean. @SONARROW_OSINT @auonsson @key2med @UKForcesTracker @Richard_AHolmes @KaptainLOMA @te3ej @The_Lookout_N @seawaves_mag
🇷🇺🇱🇾🇸🇾OSINT UPDATE: RUSSIAN CONVOY IN THE ENGLISH CHANNEL
New tracking and radio data confirm the Russian naval convoy continues its transit heading southwest.
•Positions: The Altay-class tanker Yelnya (50.7°N 00.8°E, 6-10 knots), alongside cargo ships Ascalon and Anastasiia, are currently in the English Channel.
•Escort: The Steregushchiy-class corvette Stoiky's presence remains unconfirmed.
•Destination: Unknown, though current analysis indicates a 60% chance for Tobruk and 40% for Syria,with a dual stopover possible. @KaptainLOMA @key2med @TiaFarris10 @SONARROW_OSINT @MrFrantarelli @te3ej @Gibdan1 @NavyLookout @UKForcesTracker @seawaves_mag @charly0153 @Capt_Navy @supbrow @CeciliaSykala @jr_amon_ceuta @DonnetJules
Replying to @KaptainLOMA
It seems his position is a bit lower than the usual RAS point, but anything is possible. In any case, I expect the *Yelnya* to continue alongside until the MED phase.
👇
Russian Navy Morse code weather from Altay Class tanker Yelnya, 12464 kilohertz CW, 1209 UTC
RMX DE UCTA5 03121 99555 10061 41598 80904 10075 40332 53030 70100 88100 22252 00020 21002 03013 BT AR UCTA5 K
55.5N 06.1E Heading South West at 6-10 Knots
maps.app.goo.gl/SRXyLmV7JscZ…
Possible Replenishment-at-Sea (RAS) Activity in the North Sea
The Russian convoy, comprising the merchant vessels Ascalon and Anastasiia, the Russian auxiliary tanker Yelnya (a modified Altay-class vessel), and the Russian Navy corvette Stoikiy (Steregushchiy-class), continues its transit through the North Sea.
AIS data indicate that the Ascalon has altered course and reduced speed to approximately 3–4 knots, while maintaining a generally southerly heading.
Considering the favorable meteorological conditions and the presence of the auxiliary tanker Yelnya within the convoy, these manoeuvring patterns may be consistent with preparations for, or the conduct of, a potential replenishment-at-sea (RAS) operation. However, the available AIS data alone are insufficient to confirm that a transfer of supplies is taking place. @UKForcesTracker @pegge49 @SONARROW_OSINT @TiaFarris10 @Rockhoppas @key2med @charly0153 @CeciliaSykala
Replying to @DonnetJules
Definitely among the top ten ships of the Shadow Fleet, though keeping track of all of them is, unfortunately, quite complicated. Thanks for sharing!
TWO CARGO SHIPS, ONE NETWORK: THE HAV CONNECTION
HAV GERMANICA and HAV DOLPHIN share more than a name: both belong to the HAV Shipping network and operate under its Norwegian maritime management structure.
HAV DOLPHIN previously attracted scrutiny over suspected links to Russian drone surveillance activities. Now HAV GERMANICA has drawn attention following a Swedish police operation near Gotland.
Shared management, corporate links and maritime routes raise legitimate OSINT questions.
Coincidence, commercial shipping, or a wider pattern?
No proven evidence of espionage has been publicly established.
Replying to @navyofrussia
A POSSIBLE AFRICA CORPS CONNECTION?
The Russian general cargo vessels ASCALON and ANASTASIIA, recently spotted at Baltiysk naval base, raise intriguing questions.
Their apparently light loading condition suggests a possible scenario: Tobruk, Libya, as a destination, with logistical or military supplies potentially intended for Russia's Africa Corps.
While neither destination nor cargo is confirmed, this remains an interesting hypothesis worth investigating.
Could Tobruk be their next port of call?
OSINT assessment | Unconfirmed hypothesis.
Replying to @navyofrussia @pegge49
They don't make ships likethey used to — old-fashioned,analogue and still better than allthat modern digital nonsense.
t.me/operline_ru/47267 According to this Telegram post, the shipment is supposedly headed to the Africa Corps via African ports. Libya? Speculation or the truth?
🚨 OSINT UPDATE: Russian Convoy Out of Baltiysk Escalates Escort Profile
Following up on our initial report, updated tracking confirms a multi-ship Russian naval group transiting west from Baltiysk toward an unconfirmed destination.
Key Observations:
•Corvette Stoiky (545): Equipped with visible PEROED-M C-UAS anti-drone EW systems on the superstructure, confirming high-alert defensive posture against aerial/surface drone threats.
•Cargo Operations: The general cargo vessel ANASTASIIA (IMO 9349291) shows a shallow draft indicating a light/minimal load. Also identified in the group is the cargo ship Ascalon.
•Logistical Support: Escort and replenishment capabilities are further bolstered by the Russian Altay-class oiler Yelnya, providing extended operational range for the task group.



























