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There may not be a sense of urgency. It is also not worth waiting until there is.
“From a risk-management perspective, it probably makes sense to raise rates,” says Neil Dutta, head of US economic research at Renaissance Macro Research, as markets anticipate the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady this week bloom.bg/4i6gbKu
RenMac: Renaissance Macro Research retweeted
“From a risk-management perspective, it probably makes sense to raise rates,” says Neil Dutta, head of US economic research at Renaissance Macro Research, as markets anticipate the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady this week bloom.bg/4i6gbKu
Will Politics Slow the AI Data Center Build-Out?
Catch the full episode here: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Shoot First, Buy Later: RenMac Off-Script
#AI #TechPolicy
France’s Economic Crisis: The Euro vs. the Dollar
Catch the full episode here: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Shoot First, Buy Later: RenMac Off-Script
#France #Economics #Finance
Buying the Dip? Why Bounce Trades Are So Hard
Catch the full episode here: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Shoot First, Buy Later: RenMac Off-Script
#Trading #StockMarket
Trump, Turnout, and the Voters Who Could Decide the Midterms
Catch the full episode here: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Shoot First, Buy Later: RenMac Off-Script
#Election #Politics
Fed Inflation Forecast: Land Of The Make-Believe
Catch the full episode here: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Shoot First, Buy Later: RenMac Off-Script
#Economics #Fed
Forced Selling?
Catch the full episode here: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Shoot First, Buy Later: RenMac Off-Script
#Finance #Markets
Was Thursday’s tech wipeout a bottom, or forced liquidation?
On the latest RenMac pod: semis and hardware stuck at 20-day lows, credit stress creeping up the quality ladder, and why a Fed likely on hold in October still points to a December hike.
Watch now: youtu.be/m1cCDeDev-c
Pretty clear message out the US Manufacturing PMI. Employment hit its highest level since 2012 while output prices advanced to another high in October. For factories at least, this looks like an inflationary boom.
Good piece. Going into October, markets might be playing the Fed more than they are playing the ball. If the Fed does not hike in October, Warsh will have quite a bit of explaining to do.
Breitbart Business Digest: Wall Street Is Daring Kevin Warsh to Raise Interest Rates breitbart.com/politics/2026/… via @BreitbartNews
The new RenMac.com is live.
Explore our upgraded home for independent research, market perspectives, Off-Script episodes, and educational resources.
Take a look around: renmac.com/
Solid industrial activity. Intermodal railcar loadings remain fairly buoyant through October. Intermodal rail traffic up roughly 13% against last year through the week ending October 17th. This series has a solid contemporaneous correlation with the ISM Manufacturing PMI.
Bonds aren't always a hedge. When stock/bond correlation is this positive, 10yr Tsy adds about 1.5 points of volatility to a 60/40 portfolio. When negative, it subtracts. We use it to guide duration of the 40% sleeve, currently ~3yrs. #RenMac
Thank you to the @CMTAssociation Boston Community for such a great event last night. There were thoughtful questions during the Q&A and the chance to connect with many investment professionals in Boston.
