HODLNaut (@SentintelD) header
HODLNaut (@SentintelD) profile picture

Bitcoin sovereign | HODLing for freedom | Psychedelic explorer | Geoarbitrage minimalist | No anchors, max optionality. Keys in hand. Mind unbound. โšก๐Ÿ„๐ŸŒ #BTC

Joined December 2022
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As per 12 different technical analysts, these are the Buy Zones for BTC if the price drops. Tranche 1: ~$77.3kโ€“78.6k Analysts are watching it because it stacks several near-term technical targets: - Krownโ€™s 2D/5D 55 EMA zone ~77.3โ€“77.6k - A 4H 0.786 Fib ~77.54k - A 4H horizontal support ~77.89k - 1W 0.618 Fib ~78.56k - IBIT gap / bi-monthly reference around $77.5k - daily 89 EMA in roughly the same neighborhood So Tranche 1 is basically the first major โ€œexpected reactionโ€ zone if $79.6โ€“79.7k breaks. Tranche 2: ~$74.9kโ€“76.8k This is the deeper, stronger confluence zone: - 50W SMA ~76.5k - 3D 150 WMA ~76.8k - Cowen bull-market support band top near $76k - Soloway target around $75.5k - Krown macro higher-low area near $75k - A prior swing low / 4H 1.0 Fib at $74.87k - Jebb/DataDash support/cost-basis/volume-profile arguments in the same region So: Tranche 1 = first likely bounce zone; Tranche 2 = higher-confluence primary bottom zone.
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@grok what are other people saying the "Buy Zones" are as of today? Do some deep research on what people on X are saying.
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@grok the adam/eve double bottom idea has been invalidated but now it looks like a POTENTIAL double bottom is forming, do you have a probability that it will fully play out?
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Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok do you think that Bitcoin is possibly attempting to bottom here? This adam/eve double bottom pattern is not confirmed until the price breaks above the neckline and with volume. But it is interesting to see the psychology behind the printing of this pattern, it tells me that the buyers are trying to form a bottom. What do you think?
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Replying to @SentintelD @grok
Bitcoin has entered Tranche 1. I bought the dip. @grok where do you think BTC will go next in the next 1 to 5 days? Likelihood of hitting Tranche 2?
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@grok BTC tapped the top of Tranche 2. Just an update. Do you see it coming down to around $76k? Apparently, $75,811 is the STH Realized Price - a strong level of support. It is also near the 50 Week SMA.
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Recent correction on BTC is ๐—ช๐—˜๐—”๐—ž ๐—ฆ๐—”๐—จ๐—–๐—˜. ๐Ÿ˜‚ It only managed to reach the ๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ถ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ before buyers stepped in. The ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ also hasnโ€™t fully played out so far. BTC broke below the neckline, but instead of continuing toward the measured downside target, it wicked into the ๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฏ / ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ and quickly bounced back toward the neckline. A pullback this shallow, combined with ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„-๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต on the double-top breakdown, points to ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ. Weโ€™re still early in this new bull market, but so far, itโ€™s a ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป.
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We on debate about weed and sex. Some are saying weed is better than sex while Some are saying sex is better than weed. Which side are you on? There's no need debating on something like this though, we all know what's better, for me I choose weed over sex because weed is better than sex. The kind of mood and feelings I get when I hit a blunt I don't think i will get that from having sex though. Weed gives me urge, fast thinking, and power to do something. Sex will never give me that rather it will drain my strength and make me weak. So I choose weed every.
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Does anyone else think this could be a sales pitch for CBDCs? The implied message is: if your money is stolen in a hack, donโ€™t worry โ€” we can freeze those funds and return them at the push of a button.
JUST IN: Bitget crypto exchange reportedly hacked with over $170,000,000 stolen.
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Too early? ๐Ÿ˜†
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HODLNaut retweeted
That's crazy when you think about it Qwen 3.8 27B is smarter than Opus 4.6 which was the absolute best model you could use 6-7 months ago. And now we have this Bonsai 2 retaining 98%+ of its intelligence... While weighing ONLY 5.9 GB ๐Ÿคฏ Intelligence density is absolutely crazy. Everyone has frontier intelligence at home now.
Today, weโ€™re announcing Ternary Bonsai 2 27B. Based on Qwen3.8 27B, Bonsai 2 27B is 9x smaller than its full-precision counterpart while retaining 98.2% of its aggregate benchmark performance. Two months after the first Bonsai 27B release, the biggest change is quality. The footprint remains 5.9 GB, but the gap to full precision has narrowed materially, with particularly strong gains in agentic coding, multimodal reasoning, and long-horizon tool use. Ternary Bonsai 2 27B is available today under Apache 2.0.
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๐Ÿคญ๐Ÿคญ Easy. The weekly candlestick closes in about two days, so I wouldn't celebrate too early, BTC bulls. If that candle closes ๐—”๐—•๐—ข๐—ฉ๐—˜ the 50-week simple moving average, that would be a pretty significant technical development for the bullish case. ๐Ÿ‚ What I find especially interesting is that BTC barely seemed bothered by the bearish narratives surrounding the CLARITY Act and rate hikes. A lot of people on X and YouTube expected those developments to push the price ๐——๐—ข๐—ช๐—ก, not up. I was getting ready to buy the dip too. Oh well... ๐Ÿ˜‚ One possibility is ๐—ฆ๐—˜๐—Ÿ๐—Ÿ๐—˜๐—ฅ ๐—˜๐—ซ๐—›๐—”๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—กโ€”many of the people who wanted to sell may have already sold. Retail interest also seems relatively subdued, so perhaps larger or longer-term buyers are absorbing the supply. But those are just theories. Nobody really knows exactly why millions of market participants are buying and selling at any given moment. If BTC isn't your thing, there are plenty of other areas worth researching: ๐—”๐—œ, ๐—ฝ๐˜€๐˜†๐—ฐ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐˜€, ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐˜๐˜†, ๐—ฏ๐—ถ๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ต, and more. Different opportunities come with very different levels of risk. You can also take the more traditional route with diversified ETFs. Generally, greater potential returns come with greater uncertainty and volatility, while diversified investments tend to trade some upside potential for reduced concentration risk. And then there's cash. Cash is useful for liquidity and emergencies, but over long periods inflation can gradually reduce its purchasing power. That's why I think it's worth asking: ๐—ช๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—บ ๐—œ ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐˜† ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ, ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—บ๐˜† ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜€๐—ถ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—ฑ ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—น๐˜† ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—ฟ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—ฎ๐—น? More broadly, I think it's healthy to occasionally question the beliefs about money that we inherited growing up. Maybe you were taught: ๐— ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜† ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ผ๐˜ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ถ๐—น. Or: ๐—œ๐—ป๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—น๐—น๐˜† ๐—ด๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด. Or: ๐—ž๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜†๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฏ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—น๐˜„๐—ฎ๐˜†๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜€๐—ฎ๐—ณ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ. Those beliefs aren't necessarily right or wrong in every situation. The important question is whether you consciously examined themโ€”or simply inherited them from family, culture, school, or society. That's also one of the things I've personally found fascinating about psychedelic experiences. Psilocybin can temporarily alter patterns of brain connectivity and cognitive flexibility, and some people report that the experience allows them to examine deeply held beliefs from perspectives they hadn't considered before. ๐Ÿ„๐Ÿง  That doesn't mean psychedelics magically make someone financially smarter, nor are they appropriate or safe for everyone. But the broader lesson resonates with me: ๐—ค๐—จ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ๐—ฅ ๐—ฃ๐—ฅ๐—ข๐—š๐—ฅ๐—”๐— ๐— ๐—œ๐—ก๐—š. Your beliefs about money, success, relationships, status, and even yourself don't have to remain unquestioned simply because you've carried them for decades. And beyond all of that, some psychedelic experiences can produce an extraordinary subjective feeling of interconnectedness, ego dissolution, and unconditional love. โค๏ธ Whether you interpret that spiritually, psychologically, or neurologically is up to you. ๐—ค๐—จ๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก ๐—˜๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฅ๐—ฌ๐—ง๐—›๐—œ๐—ก๐—šโ€”๐—œ๐—ก๐—–๐—Ÿ๐—จ๐——๐—œ๐—ก๐—š ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ๐—ฅ ๐—ข๐—ช๐—ก ๐—”๐—ฆ๐—ฆ๐—จ๐— ๐—ฃ๐—ง๐—œ๐—ข๐—ก๐—ฆ.
JUST IN: Bitcoin surges to $81,000 ๐Ÿš€
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Some love comforts you. Some love reminds you that youโ€™re connected to everything. ๐Ÿƒ๐Ÿ„โค๏ธ
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Ah yes, the Pyramid of Totally Real Thingsโ„ข: โœ๏ธ Religion โ€” โ€˜Trust us, we know what happens after you die.โ€™ ๐Ÿ“บ CNN/media โ€” โ€˜Weโ€™ll tell you what happened, and conveniently which parts you should be angry about.โ€™ ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Government โ€” โ€˜Weโ€™re from the government and weโ€™re here to help. Also, you owe us money.โ€™ ๐Ÿ’Š Big Pharma โ€” โ€˜Side effects may include needing another one of our products.โ€™ ๐Ÿ’ต Fiat money โ€” โ€˜This piece of paper has value because we said it does. Please ignore the printer going BRRRR.โ€™ ๐Ÿฆ The whole system โ€” Somehow all of these institutions require you to have complete faith in them while insisting that faith is only weird when religion asks for it. ๐Ÿ˜‚
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HODLNaut retweeted
The LSD afterglow summed up โค๏ธ
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