
Bitcoin sovereign | HODLing for freedom | Psychedelic explorer | Geoarbitrage minimalist | No anchors, max optionality. Keys in hand. Mind unbound. โก๐๐ #BTC
Joined December 2022
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As per 12 different technical analysts, these are the Buy Zones for BTC if the price drops.
Tranche 1: ~$77.3kโ78.6k Analysts are watching it because it stacks several near-term technical targets:
- Krownโs 2D/5D 55 EMA zone ~77.3โ77.6k
- A 4H 0.786 Fib ~77.54k
- A 4H horizontal support ~77.89k
- 1W 0.618 Fib ~78.56k
- IBIT gap / bi-monthly reference around $77.5k
- daily 89 EMA in roughly the same neighborhood
So Tranche 1 is basically the first major โexpected reactionโ zone if $79.6โ79.7k breaks.
Tranche 2: ~$74.9kโ76.8k This is the deeper, stronger confluence zone:
- 50W SMA ~76.5k
- 3D 150 WMA ~76.8k
- Cowen bull-market support band top near $76k
- Soloway target around $75.5k
- Krown macro higher-low area near $75k
- A prior swing low / 4H 1.0 Fib at $74.87k
- Jebb/DataDash support/cost-basis/volume-profile arguments in the same region
So: Tranche 1 = first likely bounce zone; Tranche 2 = higher-confluence primary bottom zone.
@grok what are other people saying the "Buy Zones" are as of today? Do some deep research on what people on X are saying.
@grok the adam/eve double bottom idea has been invalidated but now it looks like a POTENTIAL double bottom is forming, do you have a probability that it will fully play out?
Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok do you think that Bitcoin is possibly attempting to bottom here? This adam/eve double bottom pattern is not confirmed until the price breaks above the neckline and with volume. But it is interesting to see the psychology behind the printing of this pattern, it tells me that the buyers are trying to form a bottom. What do you think?
Replying to @SentintelD @grok
Bitcoin has entered Tranche 1. I bought the dip. @grok where do you think BTC will go next in the next 1 to 5 days? Likelihood of hitting Tranche 2?
@grok BTC tapped the top of Tranche 2. Just an update. Do you see it coming down to around $76k? Apparently, $75,811 is the STH Realized Price - a strong level of support. It is also near the 50 Week SMA.
Recent correction on BTC is ๐ช๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐จ๐๐. ๐ It only managed to reach the ๐ฌ.๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ before buyers stepped in.
The ๐ฑ๐ผ๐๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฝ also hasnโt fully played out so far. BTC broke below the neckline, but instead of continuing toward the measured downside target, it wicked into the ๐ฌ.๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฏ / ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ and quickly bounced back toward the neckline.
A pullback this shallow, combined with ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐น๐ผ๐-๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต on the double-top breakdown, points to ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ.
Weโre still early in this new bull market, but so far, itโs a ๐ด๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป.
HODLNaut retweeted
We on debate about weed and sex.
Some are saying weed is better than sex while
Some are saying sex is better than weed.
Which side are you on?
There's no need debating on something like this though, we all know what's better, for me I choose weed over sex because weed is better than sex.
The kind of mood and feelings I get when I hit a blunt I don't think i will get that from having sex though.
Weed gives me urge, fast thinking, and power to do something.
Sex will never give me that rather it will drain my strength and make me weak. So I choose weed every.
HODLNaut retweeted
That's crazy when you think about it
Qwen 3.8 27B is smarter than Opus 4.6 which was the absolute best model you could use 6-7 months ago.
And now we have this Bonsai 2 retaining 98%+ of its intelligence...
While weighing ONLY 5.9 GB ๐คฏ
Intelligence density is absolutely crazy.
Everyone has frontier intelligence at home now.
Today, weโre announcing Ternary Bonsai 2 27B.
Based on Qwen3.8 27B, Bonsai 2 27B is 9x smaller than its full-precision counterpart while retaining 98.2% of its aggregate benchmark performance.
Two months after the first Bonsai 27B release, the biggest change is quality. The footprint remains 5.9 GB, but the gap to full precision has narrowed materially, with particularly strong gains in agentic coding, multimodal reasoning, and long-horizon tool use.
Ternary Bonsai 2 27B is available today under Apache 2.0.
๐คญ๐คญ Easy.
The weekly candlestick closes in about two days, so I wouldn't celebrate too early, BTC bulls.
If that candle closes ๐๐๐ข๐ฉ๐ the 50-week simple moving average, that would be a pretty significant technical development for the bullish case. ๐
What I find especially interesting is that BTC barely seemed bothered by the bearish narratives surrounding the CLARITY Act and rate hikes.
A lot of people on X and YouTube expected those developments to push the price ๐๐ข๐ช๐ก, not up. I was getting ready to buy the dip too. Oh well... ๐
One possibility is ๐ฆ๐๐๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ซ๐๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ง๐๐ข๐กโmany of the people who wanted to sell may have already sold. Retail interest also seems relatively subdued, so perhaps larger or longer-term buyers are absorbing the supply.
But those are just theories. Nobody really knows exactly why millions of market participants are buying and selling at any given moment.
If BTC isn't your thing, there are plenty of other areas worth researching: ๐๐, ๐ฝ๐๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐น๐ถ๐ฐ๐, ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐๐, ๐ฏ๐ถ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ต, and more. Different opportunities come with very different levels of risk.
You can also take the more traditional route with diversified ETFs. Generally, greater potential returns come with greater uncertainty and volatility, while diversified investments tend to trade some upside potential for reduced concentration risk.
And then there's cash. Cash is useful for liquidity and emergencies, but over long periods inflation can gradually reduce its purchasing power. That's why I think it's worth asking:
๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ถ๐ ๐บ๐ ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐น๐ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ด๐ผ๐ฎ๐น?
More broadly, I think it's healthy to occasionally question the beliefs about money that we inherited growing up.
Maybe you were taught:
๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ผ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐ฎ๐น๐น ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐น.
Or:
๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ ๐ด๐ฎ๐บ๐ฏ๐น๐ถ๐ป๐ด.
Or:
๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ถ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ป๐ธ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐ณ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ผ ๐ฑ๐ผ.
Those beliefs aren't necessarily right or wrong in every situation. The important question is whether you consciously examined themโor simply inherited them from family, culture, school, or society.
That's also one of the things I've personally found fascinating about psychedelic experiences. Psilocybin can temporarily alter patterns of brain connectivity and cognitive flexibility, and some people report that the experience allows them to examine deeply held beliefs from perspectives they hadn't considered before. ๐๐ง
That doesn't mean psychedelics magically make someone financially smarter, nor are they appropriate or safe for everyone. But the broader lesson resonates with me:
๐ค๐จ๐๐ฆ๐ง๐๐ข๐ก ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฅ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ก๐.
Your beliefs about money, success, relationships, status, and even yourself don't have to remain unquestioned simply because you've carried them for decades.
And beyond all of that, some psychedelic experiences can produce an extraordinary subjective feeling of interconnectedness, ego dissolution, and unconditional love. โค๏ธ
Whether you interpret that spiritually, psychologically, or neurologically is up to you.
๐ค๐จ๐๐ฆ๐ง๐๐ข๐ก ๐๐ฉ๐๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ง๐๐๐ก๐โ๐๐ก๐๐๐จ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ฅ ๐ข๐ช๐ก ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ๐จ๐ ๐ฃ๐ง๐๐ข๐ก๐ฆ.
Ah yes, the Pyramid of Totally Real Thingsโข:
โ๏ธ Religion โ โTrust us, we know what happens after you die.โ
๐บ CNN/media โ โWeโll tell you what happened, and conveniently which parts you should be angry about.โ
๐๏ธ Government โ โWeโre from the government and weโre here to help. Also, you owe us money.โ
๐ Big Pharma โ โSide effects may include needing another one of our products.โ
๐ต Fiat money โ โThis piece of paper has value because we said it does. Please ignore the printer going BRRRR.โ
๐ฆ The whole system โ Somehow all of these institutions require you to have complete faith in them while insisting that faith is only weird when religion asks for it. ๐



















