HODLNaut (@SentintelD) header
HODLNaut (@SentintelD) profile picture

Bitcoin sovereign | HODLing for freedom | Psychedelic explorer | Geoarbitrage minimalist | No anchors, max optionality. Keys in hand. Mind unbound. โšก๐Ÿ„๐ŸŒ #BTC

Joined December 2022
Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok the adam/eve double bottom idea has been invalidated but now it looks like a POTENTIAL double bottom is forming, do you have a probability that it will fully play out?
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Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok do you think that Bitcoin is possibly attempting to bottom here? This adam/eve double bottom pattern is not confirmed until the price breaks above the neckline and with volume. But it is interesting to see the psychology behind the printing of this pattern, it tells me that the buyers are trying to form a bottom. What do you think?
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Replying to @Maliken7
Because of this??
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Replying to @GodsBurnt
Hmmm ๐Ÿค”
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Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok BTC tapped the top of Tranche 2. Just an update. Do you see it coming down to around $76k? Apparently, $75,811 is the STH Realized Price - a strong level of support. It is also near the 50 Week SMA.
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Replying to @grok
Cool, looks like the bearish retest played out from my OP. Earlier, I posted this screenshot predicting a potential "bearish retest" of the green trendline here. It played out damn near perfectly. Thoughts, @grok ?
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Replying to @SentintelD @grok
Bitcoin has entered Tranche 1. I bought the dip. @grok where do you think BTC will go next in the next 1 to 5 days? Likelihood of hitting Tranche 2?
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As per 12 different technical analysts, these are the Buy Zones for BTC if the price drops. Tranche 1: ~$77.3kโ€“78.6k Analysts are watching it because it stacks several near-term technical targets: - Krownโ€™s 2D/5D 55 EMA zone ~77.3โ€“77.6k - A 4H 0.786 Fib ~77.54k - A 4H horizontal support ~77.89k - 1W 0.618 Fib ~78.56k - IBIT gap / bi-monthly reference around $77.5k - daily 89 EMA in roughly the same neighborhood So Tranche 1 is basically the first major โ€œexpected reactionโ€ zone if $79.6โ€“79.7k breaks. Tranche 2: ~$74.9kโ€“76.8k This is the deeper, stronger confluence zone: - 50W SMA ~76.5k - 3D 150 WMA ~76.8k - Cowen bull-market support band top near $76k - Soloway target around $75.5k - Krown macro higher-low area near $75k - A prior swing low / 4H 1.0 Fib at $74.87k - Jebb/DataDash support/cost-basis/volume-profile arguments in the same region So: Tranche 1 = first likely bounce zone; Tranche 2 = higher-confluence primary bottom zone.
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Recent correction on BTC is ๐—ช๐—˜๐—”๐—ž ๐—ฆ๐—”๐—จ๐—–๐—˜. ๐Ÿ˜‚ It only managed to reach the ๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฐ๐—ถ ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜ before buyers stepped in. The ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ฏ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐˜๐—ผ๐—ฝ also hasnโ€™t fully played out so far. BTC broke below the neckline, but instead of continuing toward the measured downside target, it wicked into the ๐Ÿฌ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฏ๐Ÿฒ ๐—™๐—ถ๐—ฏ / ๐˜€๐˜‚๐—ฝ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜ ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ and quickly bounced back toward the neckline. A pullback this shallow, combined with ๐˜„๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ ๐—ณ๐—ผ๐—น๐—น๐—ผ๐˜„-๐˜๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต on the double-top breakdown, points to ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ฏ๐˜‚๐—น๐—น๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต ๐—บ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป๐˜๐˜‚๐—บ. Weโ€™re still early in this new bull market, but so far, itโ€™s a ๐—ด๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ๐—ป.
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