
Bitcoin sovereign | HODLing for freedom | Psychedelic explorer | Geoarbitrage minimalist | No anchors, max optionality. Keys in hand. Mind unbound. โก๐๐ #BTC
Joined December 2022
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Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok the adam/eve double bottom idea has been invalidated but now it looks like a POTENTIAL double bottom is forming, do you have a probability that it will fully play out?
Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok do you think that Bitcoin is possibly attempting to bottom here? This adam/eve double bottom pattern is not confirmed until the price breaks above the neckline and with volume. But it is interesting to see the psychology behind the printing of this pattern, it tells me that the buyers are trying to form a bottom. What do you think?
Replying to @SentintelD @grok
@grok BTC tapped the top of Tranche 2. Just an update. Do you see it coming down to around $76k? Apparently, $75,811 is the STH Realized Price - a strong level of support. It is also near the 50 Week SMA.
Replying to @SentintelD @grok
Bitcoin has entered Tranche 1. I bought the dip. @grok where do you think BTC will go next in the next 1 to 5 days? Likelihood of hitting Tranche 2?
As per 12 different technical analysts, these are the Buy Zones for BTC if the price drops.
Tranche 1: ~$77.3kโ78.6k Analysts are watching it because it stacks several near-term technical targets:
- Krownโs 2D/5D 55 EMA zone ~77.3โ77.6k
- A 4H 0.786 Fib ~77.54k
- A 4H horizontal support ~77.89k
- 1W 0.618 Fib ~78.56k
- IBIT gap / bi-monthly reference around $77.5k
- daily 89 EMA in roughly the same neighborhood
So Tranche 1 is basically the first major โexpected reactionโ zone if $79.6โ79.7k breaks.
Tranche 2: ~$74.9kโ76.8k This is the deeper, stronger confluence zone:
- 50W SMA ~76.5k
- 3D 150 WMA ~76.8k
- Cowen bull-market support band top near $76k
- Soloway target around $75.5k
- Krown macro higher-low area near $75k
- A prior swing low / 4H 1.0 Fib at $74.87k
- Jebb/DataDash support/cost-basis/volume-profile arguments in the same region
So: Tranche 1 = first likely bounce zone; Tranche 2 = higher-confluence primary bottom zone.
Recent correction on BTC is ๐ช๐๐๐ ๐ฆ๐๐จ๐๐. ๐ It only managed to reach the ๐ฌ.๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฐ๐ถ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ before buyers stepped in.
The ๐ฑ๐ผ๐๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐ฝ also hasnโt fully played out so far. BTC broke below the neckline, but instead of continuing toward the measured downside target, it wicked into the ๐ฌ.๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฏ / ๐๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ and quickly bounced back toward the neckline.
A pullback this shallow, combined with ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ธ ๐ณ๐ผ๐น๐น๐ผ๐-๐๐ต๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ด๐ต on the double-top breakdown, points to ๐๐๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ฏ๐๐น๐น๐ถ๐๐ต ๐บ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐๐บ.
Weโre still early in this new bull market, but so far, itโs a ๐ด๐ผ๐ผ๐ฑ ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป.









