Tim (@TimRobinsson) header
Tim (@TimRobinsson) profile picture

Tim

@TimRobinsson

wife guy. data guy. minnesota guy.

 Minneapolis, MN
Joined February 2024
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Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)Photo by Tim (@TimRobinsson)
From being a Columbia University encampment organizer to becoming the next Congresswoman for Columbia University's district. 💗
Image from Darializa for Congress (@DarializaforNY)
Image from Darializa for Congress (@DarializaforNY)
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I'm glad Third Way is conceding that Democrats adopted economically populist rhetoric in the midterms and for many years before. Now the question is why Third Way's model politicians, like Sinema and Manchin, have blocked so many of those populist ideas from being enacted.
Matt Bennett (@ThirdWayMattB) profile pictureMatt Bennett
@ThirdWayMattB23h
Replying to @ThirdWayMattB
Leaving aside the “Corporate Dem” slur, was Bernie Sanders the first Democratic (adjacent) candidate to use populist rhetoric in the modern era? No. Can you be labeled by the left an economic populist and still be a moderate? Yes. And is the left pretty much admitting that we’re all moderates now? Seems like it! 5/
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whoa this is big
Image from Donavon Indovino-Cawley (@donavonindocawl)
brit (@BritCulp) profile picturebrit@BritCulp23h
Image from brit (@BritCulp)
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We should all be glad that smart Democrats moderated on these sorts of radical positions pushed by out of touch elites newrepublic.com/article/2177…
Leftists Weren’t the Only Ones Who Moderated In the Midterms

Leftists Weren’t the Only Ones Who Moderated In the Midterms

Progressives reined in some of their positions, sure. But centrists dialed it back, too—and that should be getting just as much attention.

newrepublic.com
Clash Report (@clashreport) profile pictureClash Report
@clashreportNov 9
Former U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken: The Israelis didn't intend to harm Palestinians. The target was Hamas.
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Sitting in an all staff meeting where they are explaining that United Healthcare is raising our costs 30% and every other insurer declined to even offer us a quote so now our coverage has to get worse and more expensive. This has happened basically every year i’ve been here :)
Lis Smith (@Lis_Smith) profile pictureLis Smith
@Lis_SmithNov 8
Not a bad compromise! Keep the slogan, move to a plan that looks more like Medicare for all who want it, Medicare for Americans, a public option, whatever you want to call it
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Here’s how much of the Republican vote Angie Nixon and Turek got (from NBC Exit poll): Nixon (FL) - 7% Turek (IA) - 7% Think its time to stop assuming moderation automatically wins over more Republican voters. Vibes and candidate quality matter more as well
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18 yr old college student says Free Palestine and Bill runs a campaign to destroy their lives forever. 63 yr old CEO cheats on wife and mother of his children with a Chinese Spy:
Bill Ackman (@BillAckman) profile pictureBill Ackman
@BillAckmanNov 8
An alert: @JensenHuang is human. And he is an incredible human. Even incredible humans make mistakes. He takes full responsibility as he should. We should all support him and his family. Onward.
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🇦🇪 🇺🇸 The new Democratic Senate majority will soon decide whether to block US arms sales to the UAE, which sponsors the Rapid Support Forces' genocide and mass rape campaign in Sudan. The Emiratis have now hired someone close to the leader of that majority. Jennifer Poersch, a lobbyist at Guidepost Strategies, registered Oct. 30 to represent the UAE Embassy for $100,000 a month, Sludge found in federal foreign-agent filings. Her husband, J.B. Poersch, runs Senate Majority PAC, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer's super PAC, which spent more than $400 million on this year's Senate races. Senate Majority PAC and its affiliates spent in eight Senate races during the 2026 elections: ➤ Ohio, $150 million: Sherrod Brown ➤ Iowa, $67 million: Josh Turek ➤ Michigan, $67 million: Abdul El-Sayed ➤ Maine, $65 million: Troy Jackson ➤ Texas, $40 million: James Talarico ➤ Kansas, $14 million: Adam Hamilton ➤ Mississippi, $2.2 million: Scott Colom ➤ South Carolina, $750,000: Annie Andrews Of these eight candidates, El-Sayed is the only who has publicly condemned the UAE’s role in Sudan. In an October interview with ABC News, he criticized U.S. dealings with the UAE, noting it was perpetrating genocide in Sudan.
Sludge (@Sludge) profile pictureSludge
@SludgeNov 8
Wife of Schumer’s Super PAC Chief Registers as UAE Agent readsludge.com/2026/11/08/wi…
Wife of Schumer’s Super PAC Chief Registers as UAE Agent

Wife of Schumer’s Super PAC Chief Registers as UAE Agent

Guidepost Strategies’ Jennifer Poersch, whose husband runs Senate Majority PAC, signed on to the UAE Embassy account days before Democrats won the Senate.

readsludge.com
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In nearly 10 years working for Irene Fernando, I've watched people underestimate her again and again. This year Jacob Frey and his allies misread her as beatable. She won re-election with 61.84%, by 15,806 votes, her best result in four contested races. That's a mandate. 🧵
Fernando won 12 precincts by 40 points or more. El-Amin's best margin was 28.34 points. Outside Wards 4 and 5, Fernando won all 38 precincts. El-Amin's best was Ward 5 P-06, 64.17% to 35.83%. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · each precinct colored by who won it and by how much, 62.27% for Fernando overall.

ALT Fernando won 12 precincts by 40 points or more. El-Amin's best margin was 28.34 points. Outside Wards 4 and 5, Fernando won all 38 precincts. El-Amin's best was Ward 5 P-06, 64.17% to 35.83%. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · each precinct colored by who won it and by how much, 62.27% for Fernando overall.

Fernando won 61.84% against El-Amin. Her share rose from 55.30% in the August four-way primary. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · share of all votes counted.

ALT Fernando won 61.84% against El-Amin. Her share rose from 55.30% in the August four-way primary. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · share of all votes counted.

Fernando won all five cities, by 15,806 in all. Plymouth gave her 6,709 more votes than El-Amin, and Minneapolis 5,012. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · how many more votes Fernando got than El-Amin in each city.

ALT Fernando won all five cities, by 15,806 in all. Plymouth gave her 6,709 more votes than El-Amin, and Minneapolis 5,012. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · how many more votes Fernando got than El-Amin in each city.

61.84% is Fernando's highest share in her four contested District 2 races. She was unopposed in 2022 (98.46%). The 2018 races were on the district as drawn before 2022, on different precinct lines. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · Irene Fernando's share of all votes counted in each race.

ALT 61.84% is Fernando's highest share in her four contested District 2 races. She was unopposed in 2022 (98.46%). The 2018 races were on the district as drawn before 2022, on different precinct lines. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · Irene Fernando's share of all votes counted in each race.

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All of Mpls, the PAC backing Frey since 2021, reported $31,785 on Oct. 19 for a double-sided mailer: “Vote YES for Sharon” on one side, with Frey among the endorsers, and “Vote NO on Irene Fernando” with negative messaging on the other. Irene won Minneapolis with 56.76%.
Card titled "All of Mpls's mailer told District 2 to vote yes on El-Amin and no on Fernando," showing photos of both sides of All of Mpls's independent expenditure, reported Oct. 19; two versions were mailed, each with one side for El-Amin and one against Fernando. One side, labeled for El-Amin, $15,892.65 reported: a blue and orange card headed "Sharon El-Amin: A leader who works as hard as you do," saying "Vote yes for Sharon by November 3" and listing 13 endorsers, including Attorney General Keith Ellison and Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey. The other side, labeled against Fernando, $15,892.65 reported: a red and black card headed "Irene Fernando: Unfit, unserious, out of touch," with six bullet points and "Vote no on Irene Fernando," and All of Mpls's independent-expenditure disclaimer. All of Mpls reported $31,785. District 2 voted Fernando, 61.84% to 37.47%. The recipient's address is removed.

ALT Card titled "All of Mpls's mailer told District 2 to vote yes on El-Amin and no on Fernando," showing photos of both sides of All of Mpls's independent expenditure, reported Oct. 19; two versions were mailed, each with one side for El-Amin and one against Fernando. One side, labeled for El-Amin, $15,892.65 reported: a blue and orange card headed "Sharon El-Amin: A leader who works as hard as you do," saying "Vote yes for Sharon by November 3" and listing 13 endorsers, including Attorney General Keith Ellison and Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey. The other side, labeled against Fernando, $15,892.65 reported: a red and black card headed "Irene Fernando: Unfit, unserious, out of touch," with six bullet points and "Vote no on Irene Fernando," and All of Mpls's independent-expenditure disclaimer. All of Mpls reported $31,785. District 2 voted Fernando, 61.84% to 37.47%. The recipient's address is removed.

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Tim retweeted
taylr (@taylr) profile picture
taylr
@taylrNov 7
the sharon el-amin for district 2 campaign built their website using jacob frey's 2025 as a template and actually left his content up! this page is even still live now they also never removed the frey campaign's email from code, only display text, so at first, any emails sent to them went to the frey website. dumb stuff
Image from taylr (@taylr)
Image from taylr (@taylr)
Akhilesh (@AkhileshMenawat) profile pictureAkhilesh@AkhileshMenawatNov 7
Replying to @AkhileshMenawat
El-Amin's side outspent Irene's, at least $50,384 to $45,402, and Irene still won. We don't know the full total because El-Amin's campaign isn't in compliance with state law: they haven't filed the Oct. 24 report. If they file it and the next 2 reports, I'll update the numbers.
El-Amin's side outspent Fernando's, but we don't know by how much. El-Amin's campaign is not in compliance with Minnesota Statutes 211A.02. Its pre-general report was due Oct. 24 and, as of Nov. 6, had not been filed with the county. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · money spent in the race. Fernando's campaign: Jan. 1 to Oct. 19. El-Amin's campaign: its initial and pre-primary reports.

ALT El-Amin's side outspent Fernando's, but we don't know by how much. El-Amin's campaign is not in compliance with Minnesota Statutes 211A.02. Its pre-general report was due Oct. 24 and, as of Nov. 6, had not been filed with the county. Hennepin County Commissioner District 2 · 2026 · money spent in the race. Fernando's campaign: Jan. 1 to Oct. 19. El-Amin's campaign: its initial and pre-primary reports.

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Cracking up at the posts like “It breaks my heart, but I have to leave Minnesota” after the election. Why now? Don’t you guys lose like every time?
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Tim retweeted
taylr (@taylr) profile picture
taylr
@taylrNov 6
Fine Associates is run by Bianca Fine, who lives in Ward 7, and who refuses to respond to first Katie Cashman and now Elizabeth Shaffer about the delinquent utility bills. This is fully a Frey administration issue. This is your strong mayor in effect. This is where a mayor funded by developers leads, to a lack of accountability for his donors taylordahlin.com/f/one-minne…
One Minneapolis landlord, $1 million in delinquent utility bills

One Minneapolis landlord, $1 million in delinquent utility bills

With last Friday's disclosure of names of the property owners with delinquent utility bills to the City of Minneapolis, the full scale of Fine Associates' arrears has finally come to light after I...

taylordahlin.com
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NEW poll: A supermajority of Jewish Americans believe Israeli & AIPAC actions increase antisemitism. 80% say Israel’s actions in Gaza & the West Bank increase antisemitism in the US. 66% say AIPAC’s campaign spending against candidates critical of Israel increases antisemitism.
Image from Dylan Williams (@dylanotes)
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A large chunk of Democrats' votes came from 2024 nonvoters, according to AP-NORC's Civic Health and Elections project economist.com/interactive/gr…
Image from Owen Winter (@OwenWntr)
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Democrats did not sound like this before Bernie Sanders ran for president and anyone pretending otherwise is obviously full of shit
James Talarico (@jamestalarico) profile pictureJames Talarico
@jamestalaricoFeb 12
A young man at our town hall asked if I was pushing class warfare. I told him: “We already have class warfare in this country — billionaires are waging war on the rest of us.”
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Breaking my twitter fast to say why you should ignore all (yes all) Quantitative Hot Takes on the "progressives vs. moderates" question 1) Confounding 2) SUTVA/spillovers 3) Measurement of moderation Use qualitative thinking here and accept uncertainty
Image from Jake M. Grumbach (@JakeMGrumbach)
Cassie Pritchard (@hecubian_devil) profile pictureCassie Pritchard
@hecubian_devilNov 5
I would like to see someone take a look at what happens to “progressive” vs “moderate” electoral performance when controlling for same- or opposite-party control of the state government (maybe someone has and I haven’t seen it) MN in particular makes me wonder about this: Flanagan has been held up as a major progressive underperformer, but Klobuchar also underperformed the national shift by ~4pp (and only did about ~2pp better than Flanagan—not nothing, but not gigantic). MI has a similar story, FWIW; Dems up and down the ticket mostly didn’t put up the kind of colossal shifts that we saw across the South—including the moderates. There’s an obvious plausible explanation—Walz was a drag for MN Dems, and in a general anti-incumbent environment, being the state party in power attenuated some of the anti-federal-incumbency energy against the GOP. And just broadly, the biggest shifts we saw were in places like Texas, Mississippi, South Carolina, Kansas—places where the GOP has been deeply entrenched for a long time. All of which is to say, because progressives are more likely to run in and win primaries in already-blue states (and moderates disproportionately likely to run in red districts) it seems to be that there could be a confounding factor in progressive “underperformance” in the form of thermostatic reaction to whatever party is in power in a given state. Has anyone done an analysis looking at this specifically? @lxeagle17 @JakeMGrumbach
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Centrists are rushing to claim Talarico and Ginojosa. Centrist now = standing up to billionaires and Big Tech and AI and data centers! Which I guess *is* definitionally how centrism works -- when things move, the center moves. Bernie is the hegemon now, and we're all centrists!
Jeff Stein (@jstein_sun) profile pictureJeff Stein
@jstein_sunNov 4
James Talarico’s basic diagnosis of American politics looks identical to me to that of AOC and Sanders
Image from Jeff Stein (@jstein_sun)
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An Oregon college student escaped knife attack, ran for help — then officers shot him 5 times, lawsuit says oregonlive.com/crime/2026/11…
An Oregon college student escaped knife attack, ran for help — then officers shot him 5 times,...

An Oregon college student escaped knife attack, ran for help — then officers shot him 5 times,...

Maverick Lyon’s lawsuit claims he was crouching with both hands extended so officers could see he was unarmed — but they fired anyway.

oregonlive.com
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Yesterday Council Member Wonsley asked police chief nominee Billy Peterson if, over his 30 year career with MPD, he'd ever witnessed a fellow officer "share or articulate slurs" against any racial or gender group. He said "not that I recall, no."
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