@TipsWatch

Talking about Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, plus I Bonds and Treasurys in general, on the https://xitter.cf/t.co/eKll4hxO6k site, since March 2011.

tipswatch.com
Joined October 2013
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Thursday's 10-year Treasury yield decline of 0.193 percentage point (to 4.952%) is the largest single day yield decline since March 10, 2023, which is the day Silicon Valley Bank failed.
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Replying to @KathyJones
About time. But one day too early for buyers at today’s TIPS auction
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Today's 5-year TIPS auction got a real yield of 2.367%, good but not awe-inspiring. Auction investors got caught in a down-draft of Treasury yields ... tipswatch.com/2026/10/22/5-y…
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Treasury's auction of a new 5-year TIPS got a real yield of 2.367%, caught in today's down-drift in yields. When-issued prediction was 2.36%, so demand was not stellar. Confusing day for the Treasury market.
LiveSquawk
@LiveSquawkOct 22
US 5-Year TIPS Sale: - High Yield Rate: 2.367% (prev 1.955%) - Bid-Cover Ratio: 2.41 (prev 2.61) - Direct Accepted: 32.4% (prev 28.0%) - Indirect Accepted: 62.0% (prev 68.6%) - WI: 2.36%
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Today's T-bill auction results: 4-week, investment rate of 4.012%, down from 4.068% last week. 8-week, investment rate of 4.096%, down from 4.132% last week.
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Replying to @paulrubillo
I had a friend with a Toyota Avalon, a car you rarely see. Probably around a 2015. "Hey, this is really nice, what is this?" was my reaction.
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It appears the U.S. Treasury market is now back to being the safe haven for turmoil in Europe.
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Real yields are dropping fast this morning. Ahead of today's 5-year TIPS auction, the most recent 5-year is now yielding 2.45%, down about 7 basis points from yesterday. Lots of volatility pre-auction.
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Replying to @MikeZaccardi
Thanks for the shout-out. I will be posting a preview of the rate change on Sunday. The composite rate will end up being 5.4% to 5.5%, very attractive.
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Replying to @SlithyToveGyre
This TIPS auction is really hard to predict, but the result will end up being attractive.
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Also today, reopening auction of 20-year Treasury bond: High yield of 5.469%, up from 5.420% last month. When issued prediction was 5.460.
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Today's T-bill auction result: 17-week, investment rate of 4.271%, down from 4.313% last week.
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Replying to @paulrubillo
But let's not forget the unique quality of TIPS: tipswatch.com/2026/10/18/thi…
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Replying to @MikeZaccardi @StockCharts
Becoming a “value” stock?
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Replying to @JMcClaflinEA
I have benefited from this, BUT IT IS WRONG
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Today's T-bill auction result: 6-week, investment rate of 4.049%, down from 4.055% last week.
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Am I reading this right? Yikes!
LiveSquawk
@LiveSquawkOct 20
US Pending Home Sales (M/M) Sep: -7.3% (est -0.5%; prev 0.3%) - Pending Home Sales NSA (Y/Y): -12.6% (est -3.9%; prev -4.9%; prev R -4.7%)
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Replying to @Claudia_Sahm
Using credit card debt is highly positive!
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Replying to @KenTumin
I was working in a newsroom that day. A wild time. Compares only to the Challenger explosion.
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Replying to @TKopelman
I understand your view, but I do think paying a dividend enforces some financial responsibility on a company and a commitment to shareholders.
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