Trade world events before the market prices them in. Write one rule. Spells fires your trade the moment you're right. Closed beta. Seats open in waves.
Joined February 2021
- Tweets556
- Following16
- Followers14.7K
- Likes1.8K
Growth has two channels
Polymarket gives Q3 US GDP in the 3%+ bracket a 63.5% chance; release Oct 29, 2026.
Growth can help earnings or lift yields. The first estimate resolves this market.
Pair idea: $SP500
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
New devices, old quarter
Polymarket gives Amazon an earnings beat on Oct 29, 2026 a 69.5% chance.
New Alexa hardware is a future-demand story. The contract tests GAAP EPS above $2.00.
Pair idea: $AMZN
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Announced is not accessible
Polymarket gives Gemini Carbon public release by Nov 30, 2026 an 88.5% chance.
Google announced Carbon. Closed access does not meet this contract’s public-release test.
Pair idea: $GOOGL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Expiry is not a direction
Polymarket gives BTC above $80,000 on Oct 30, 2026 at 16:00 UTC a 57.5% chance.
A large options expiry can change hedging flows. It does not guarantee a rally.
Pair idea: bitcoin:native
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Diplomacy is not a ceasefire
Polymarket gives a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31, 2026 a 16% chance.
A phone call is not an agreement. Sanctions would require separate decisions.
Pair idea: $BRENTOIL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
CoreWeave: watch rental economics
Polymarket gives the H200 index at least $5.50 on Oct 31, 2026 a 79% chance.
The H200 index is not CoreWeave’s realized rental rate. This market is thin.
Pair idea: $CRWV
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Alphabet: earnings versus spending
Polymarket gives Alphabet an earnings beat on Oct 28, 2026 a 19.5% chance.
The hurdle is GAAP EPS above $3.10. AI spending still matters.
Pair idea: $GOOGL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
CLARITY: a vote is not a law
Polymarket gives CLARITY becoming law by Dec 31, 2026 a 4.35% chance.
One chamber is not enough. The bill needs a presidential signature.
Pair idea: $COIN
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Apple: touch is the actual test
Polymarket gives a touchscreen MacBook release by Dec 31, 2026 a 98.2% chance.
A product unveiling is not a release. The public must be able to buy it.
Pair idea: $AAPL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Microsoft: the fixed hurdle
Polymarket gives Microsoft an earnings beat on Oct 28, 2026 a 74.5% chance.
The test is GAAP EPS above $4.82. Guidance can move shares the other way.
Pair idea: $MSFT
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
