Trade world events before the market prices them in. Write one rule. Spells fires your trade the moment you're right. Closed beta. Seats open in waves.
Joined February 2021
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Diplomacy is not a ceasefire
Polymarket gives a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31, 2026 a 16% chance.
A phone call is not an agreement. Sanctions would require separate decisions.
Pair idea: $BRENTOIL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
CoreWeave: watch rental economics
Polymarket gives the H200 index at least $5.50 on Oct 31, 2026 a 79% chance.
The H200 index is not CoreWeave’s realized rental rate. This market is thin.
Pair idea: $CRWV
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Alphabet: earnings versus spending
Polymarket gives Alphabet an earnings beat on Oct 28, 2026 a 19.5% chance.
The hurdle is GAAP EPS above $3.10. AI spending still matters.
Pair idea: $GOOGL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
CLARITY: a vote is not a law
Polymarket gives CLARITY becoming law by Dec 31, 2026 a 4.35% chance.
One chamber is not enough. The bill needs a presidential signature.
Pair idea: $COIN
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Apple: touch is the actual test
Polymarket gives a touchscreen MacBook release by Dec 31, 2026 a 98.2% chance.
A product unveiling is not a release. The public must be able to buy it.
Pair idea: $AAPL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Microsoft: the fixed hurdle
Polymarket gives Microsoft an earnings beat on Oct 28, 2026 a 74.5% chance.
The test is GAAP EPS above $4.82. Guidance can move shares the other way.
Pair idea: $MSFT
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Robinhood: access beats announcements
Polymarket gives Robinhood winning the US stock-token race 35.5% odds; the fallback is Dec 31, 2027.
The race needs qualifying US retail access. Overseas launches do not count.
Pair idea: $HOOD
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Stablecoins: pilot versus scale
Polymarket gives stablecoins reaching $500B by Dec 31, 2026 a 3.25% chance.
Circle’s Colombia pilot is adoption news, not proof of $500B in supply.
Pair idea: $CRCL
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Anthropic: filing versus trading
Polymarket gives an Anthropic IPO by Nov 30, 2026 a 91.5% chance.
An S-1 is not an IPO. Amazon is an indirect exposure.
Pair idea: $AMZN
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
RLUSD is not XRP
Polymarket gives XRP above $1.30 on Oct 30, 2026 at 16:00 UTC a 69% chance.
Ripple’s Robinhood deal expands RLUSD. That does not guarantee XRP demand.
Pair idea: ripple:native
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
GDP: which growth rate?
Polymarket gives US Q3 growth above 3% a 64% chance; the advance release is Oct 29, 2026.
It is an annualized rate, not 3% growth in three months. Later revisions are excluded.
Pair idea: $SP500
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Bitcoin: proposal vs activation
Polymarket gives Bitcoin replacing SHA-256 before 2027 a 1.7% chance.
BIP 360 is a draft about quantum-resistant outputs. It is not a SHA-256 replacement.
Pair idea: bitcoin:native
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Gold: claim vs confirmation
Polymarket gives high-rate gold alchemy confirmation by Jun 30, 2027 a 48.5% chance.
A company claim is not confirmation. A lab result is not commercial-scale supply.
Pair idea: $GOLD
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Ok Gamerz.
GTA VI: dollars, not copies
Polymarket gives a first-day revenue record an 86.5% chance; the reporting cutoff is Jan 31, 2027.
The hurdle is $815.7M. A units-sold headline alone does not count.
Pair idea: $TTWO
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Spells retweeted
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Muse: demo vs access
Polymarket gives Muse on Meta glasses by Dec 31, 2026 a 70% chance.
A demo or closed beta does not count. Public access to the personal agent does.
Pair idea: $META
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Skeptical about whether Spells can actually make your trading life easier?
Don’t trust. Verify.
Our closed beta is live. Give it a shot and see for yourself.
With headlines breaking around the clock, you can’t possibly catch every catalyst and execute every trade in time.
That’s where Spells comes in.
Set your conditions. Let Spells monitor real-world events and execute when your triggers are met.
Set it and forget it.
Go enjoy your weekend with your family.
The markets can wait. Your family shouldn’t have to. 💚
Join the closed beta: usespells.com
🤖 Made with AI
Reddit: the hurdle is frozen
Polymarket gives Reddit an 88.5% earnings-beat chance. Results: Oct 29, 2026.
The contract tests GAAP EPS above $1.37, not whether shares rise.
Pair idea: $RDDT
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
CoreWeave: watch the rating
Polymarket puts a Moody's or S&P downgrade by Dec 31, 2026 at 20.5%.
A negative outlook is not a downgrade. Financing and credit ratings are different signals.
Pair idea: $CRWV
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
Neutron: liftoff is the test
Polymarket gives a Neutron launch by Dec 31, 2026 a 5% chance.
Rocket Lab now targets 2027. Liftoff counts even if the flight later fails.
Pair idea: $RKLB
Illustrative scenario
usespells.com
