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Joined October 2025
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$MRNA 30%+ in 12 days.
$IOVA 50%+ in 17 days.
And yes, I own both.
I shared both positions publicly before these moves, along with the rest of my portfolio.
I’m going to keep doing this:
Every stock I buy, I share.
Every stock I sell, I share.
No hindsight. No cherry-picking winners after they run.
The setups get posted when I actually take the position.
I don’t buy AI themes. I buy supply choke points.
Two rules:
1. Structural choke points = what to own
2. Volume contraction patterns = when to own
Here’s how my current book is layered:
1. AI INFRASTRUCTURE
$NVDA - Accelerated compute
$MU - High-bandwidth memory
$SNDK - Enterprise flash & storage
$ARM - Architecture & power efficiency
$AMAT - Tooling monopolies
$GNRC - Data center power resiliency
2. AI COMMERCIALIZATION
$PLTR - Enterprise ontology & workflows
$RBRK - Cyber resilience & data recovery
$TEM - Clinical AI + proprietary genomics
3. BIOTECH PLATFORMS
$MRNA - Programmable synthetic biology
$OABI - Antibody discovery engine (HTF breakout entry)
$IOVA - Commercialized TIL cell therapy
4. FRONTIER INFRASTRUCTURE
$SPCX - Orbital launch & satellite infrastructure
Most of these were not bought because I wanted exposure to a theme.
Fundamentals put them on the watchlist. Proper price and volume structure gave me the entry. I’ve posted many of those setups publicly here as they developed.
The playbook:
Own the bottlenecks first. Then own the platforms that turn them into cash flow.
Fundamentals give you the watchlist.
The tape gives you the trigger.
$TWST
$30 to $219.
Dec 3, 2025.
A 10% pullback on 0.62x volume.
Worst dip after entry: 1.5%.
Then the same pullback.
The same reclaim.
All the way up.
+631%.
Now it's $120.
The buy is half the trade.
The sell is the other half.
full breakdown in the article:
$ELF
Doubled its EPS estimate.
$1.21 vs $0.60.
Spiked to $123.
Closed $109.85. Under the $110.21 pivot.
Next day it undercut to $105.36.
Closed $116.14 on 1.6x volume.
Weak hands sold the beat.
Buyers took it all back in one session.
Base breakout still holding.
Added $PCTY today.
-4% at the open.
+5.8% now.
Earnings beat last night.
EPS $2.09 vs $1.93 est.
Weak hands sold the gap anyway.
Low: $160.
Undercut the 21 EMA.
Reclaimed it in hours.
Flat base breakout in October.
Flag breakout into the print.
Fresh highs today.
In a Defensive tape.
This morning $XERS
Now $PCTY
$XERS
+27% since the scanner flagged it.
Oct 19. $10.95.
Flag breakout on 1.8x volume.
Buyers showed up early.
Nov 5 earnings:
EPS $0.06 vs $0.03 est.
+25% in a day.
$13.90 now.
The chart moved first.
The news came 13 sessions later.
$XERS
+27% since the scanner flagged it.
Oct 19. $10.95.
Flag breakout on 1.8x volume.
Buyers showed up early.
Nov 5 earnings:
EPS $0.06 vs $0.03 est.
+25% in a day.
$13.90 now.
The chart moved first.
The news came 13 sessions later.
Jobs crush every estimate.
Rate hike odds hit 80%.
Most traders will spend today arguing about the Fed.
I'm watching which leaders hold their bases while yields spike.
Those are next month's breakouts.
$MCK beat, raised, and got sold after hours.
Today it broke out anyway.
While the Nasdaq bleeds.
The print:
EPS $11.68 vs $10.72 expected. +18%.
FY27 guide raised to $45.60–$46.40.
GLP-1 revenue $16B. +26%.
After hours: −1.9%.
Weak hands sold the beat.
The open:
Gapped over the $1,073.95 pivot.
Low $1,073.43. Pivot held.
Volume 1.4x. RS 83.
Chips get dumped.
Money rotates into what prints.
Healthcare leadership isn't done.
Added $ELV yesterday.
+4.9% on the day.
While chips bled.
Dipped under the 21 EMA.
Closed near the high.
Monster candle.
Supply's almost gone.
Last print: $6.99 vs $4.71 est.
$450.69 pivot.
3.7% away.
Money is rotating into healthcare.
Insurers are leading it.
Added $OSCR yesterday.
Minutes before the close.
+8.6% breakout day.
Gapped over the $34.28 pivot.
Got flushed under it twice in the first hour.
Low $33.24.
Buyers reclaimed it by 10:41.
Never gave it back.
Closed $35.19.
Heaviest volume since August.
That's not retail.
4-month base.
Higher lows all the way up.
RS 94.
Earnings before the open today.
Last two prints crushed estimates.
I took it into the number.
Added $OSCR yesterday.
Minutes before the close.
+8.6% breakout day.
Gapped over the $34.28 pivot.
Got flushed under it twice in the first hour.
Low $33.24.
Buyers reclaimed it by 10:41.
Never gave it back.
Closed $35.19.
Heaviest volume since August.
That's not retail.
4-month base.
Higher lows all the way up.
RS 94.
Earnings before the open today.
Last two prints crushed estimates.
I took it into the number.
$APP
$622 in June.
$228 on Friday.
Then:
+7.3%.
+10.7% into the print on 2.2x volume.
+18% after hours.
$228 → $320. +40% in 3 days.
Someone was positioned before the numbers.
Revenue beat. EPS beat.
Q4 guide: $2.37B-$2.40B vs $2.25B est.
Buyback raised to $3.6B.
Best print of the night.
Still no base on my scanner.
Until it builds one, it's a bounce.
APPLOVIN $APP JUST REPORTED Q3 EARNINGS
- Revenue: $2.18B, beating expectations of $2.08B 🟢
- EPS: $4.30, beating expectations of $4.04 🟢
- Adj EBITDA: $1.84B (+59% YoY)
- Net Income: $1.44B (+72% YoY)
- Free Cash Flow: $1.42B
Q4 Guidance:
- Revenue: $2.37B-$2.40B, above expectations of $2.25B 🟢
- Adjusted EBITDA: $2.00B-$2.03B
- Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 84%-85%
Key Updates:
- Buybacks: 4.1M shares for $1.4B
- Repurchase Authorization: Increased by $3.2B to $3.6B
$QCOM
Beat by a penny.
$2.17 vs $2.16.
Handsets: -26% YoY.
Auto: +89%.
Chip revenue still -8%.
The Amazon AI deal is the headline.
Handsets are the business.
Chart agrees.
$259 in June. $173 today.
Under the 21 EMA.
No setup on my scanner.
Ran +5% into the print.
Gave almost all of it back after hours.
Not catching this one.
Wake me up when it builds a base.
QUALCOMM $QCOM JUST REPORTED EARNINGS
EPS of $2.17 beating expectations of $2.16 🟢
Revenue of $10.32B beating expectations of $10.11B 🟢
ALT Photo Credit: Ariana Drehsler/Bloomberg
$TSLA
Low: $375.50.
$1.82 under $377.32.
Someone was waiting there.
Now: $386.
Back above the line.
Someone sold the gap.
Someone bigger bought it.
Nearly a full day's volume.
Before the bell.
$TSLA gapped -5% on election night.
Everyone's arguing about Elon.
I'm watching one number.
$377.32.
Low of the day: $375.50.
The close decides.
$AMN
+32% since the scanner flagged it.
Sep 30. $35.87.
Livermore pivot cleared on 1.6x volume.
Oct 8 it closed under the pivot.
Most traders got shaken out.
It reclaimed it the next day.
Then a flag.
Then $49.
Zero earnings in between.
The chart moved first.
Reports tomorrow.
New flat base forming. Pivot $49.62.
Yesterday $HAS
Today $AMN
$HAS
+27% since the scanner flagged it.
Oct 9. $93.32.
Livermore pivot cleared on 0.7x volume.
Most traders skip that.
It never traded back under the pivot.
Sellers were gone.
Oct 20: EPS $2.90 vs $1.86 est.
+11% in a day.
$118.42 now.
The chart moved first.
The news came 7 sessions later.
Yesterday $HNGE
Today $HAS
$MRNA +19% since one candle.
Oct 22 my stop took me out.
+58% booked.
3 sessions later the chart printed this:
Bullish key reversal.
At the 50-day.
Undercut the panic low.
Closed +4.6%.
Pattern tells you where.
Candle tells you when.
Most traders read one.
$MRNA down 24% today.
Auto stop-loss triggered.
58% profit booked.
No hoping it would bounce.
The stop did its job.
