WatchlistGuy

I’m documenting my journey as a swing trader - one setup, lesson and mistake at a time. Here you’ll find: • Stock charts and technical setups • Stocks on my watchlist • Trade entries, exits and risk management • Honest lessons from wins and losses Follow if you’re also learning and improving as a trader.

If we compare the current AI selloff to the dot com bubble, we could be approaching the final stages of a sharp correction before a potential recovery and one last blow off rally over the coming months Thursday's heavy selloff followed by friday's rebound suggests a possible bottoming process has begun. Monday will be important. If the market holds thursday's lows and closes strongly, it would strengthen the bullish case. Even a brief breakdown followed by a sharp reversal could signal selling exhaustion. we will need sustained buying over the following sessions to confirm a bottom. A final rally over the next 2 - 6 months is one possible scenario, but there's no guarantee history will repeat itself but it will certainly rhyme

$ESTC followed through nicely after breaking above the $102 area and closing above $106 Now trading right into the $105 - 110 resistance zone I was watching. Let's see how price reacts to the overhead supply here.

Watching $ESTC closely. Daily chart showing higher lows, tightening price action and declining volume. Price trading above rising key moving averages. Watching the $101 - 102 area for a possible breakout. Market Context: NASDAQ is still below its 10 and 20 DMA so longs aren't ideal but keeping a close watch in-case the market conditions improves There is overhead resistance $105 - $110 but is it too significant?

Sometimes, the BEST TRADE is NO TRADE. The market is sending a clear message right now. 1. Quality setups are few and far between. 2. Stocks are gapping up, only to give back their gains. 3. Chasing moves is becoming a dangerous game. This is NOT the time to force trades. Protect your capital. Let the market show its hand. The opportunities will come. Until then, PATIENCE IS A POSITION. #StockMarket #Trading #PriceAction #TradingPsychology

$IOVA follow-up. 77% gain One month ago I shared this while it was still sitting inside the base Since then: +77% in 27 trading days. The breakout came. Volume confirmed. Momentum did the rest. This is why I keep hunting for: strong move → tight base near highs → rising MAs → volume contraction → expansion. Not every setup works. But when they do, they can move FAST.

$GTLB 👀 Strong run from and then followed by a 3-week consolidation while the 20DMA keeps climbing . Volume drying up. Repeated pressure around $50–51. Now tightening near the breakout zone. Watching for a clean push through $51 on volume. #GTLB #stocks #swingtrading

I don't post many stock ideas, and I don't want this account to become one of those “look at my winners after they happened” accounts. So here's the actual scorecard of the setups I've shared publicly: IOVA → +27.7% BLLN → +25.1% PURR → +19.3% ALVO → +10.5% AUGO → shared yesterday at $89.20, hit $93 today. TEAM → hit $200 after I shared it at $191.20, then rejected and is now back below my level. Still watching it. NOK & HNGE → haven't made their moves yet. Some will work. Some won't. That's trading. I'm just trying to find strong setups before the move, share what I'm seeing, and keep a public record so there's no hindsight involved. If that's useful to you, follow along. We'll see what the next 100 ideas look like.

A message to every aspiring trader: If you are still able to scan, filter, and find good trades in this market environment, don’t get discouraged. Keep showing up and keep doing the work. The ability you have is rarer than you think, and if you stay disciplined and consistent, it can take you a long way. And honestly, I’m writing this for myself too. I deal with self doubt more often than I would like to admit.

$AUGO is getting interesting here. Big move off the lows, and now it’s just sitting near the highs instead of fading. The range is getting tighter and buyers keep stepping in higher. I’m watching the $90- 92 area. If it clears that cleanly with volume, this could move fast.

👀 $TEAM is getting VERY interesting here. Massive prior run. 10/20/50 EMA stacked and rising. Higher lows. Volume drying up. Price tightening right below the highs. This is exactly the kind of setup where I don’t want to predict the breakout. I want to be ready if it comes with volume.

$ALVO is setting up beautifully. Big move off the lows → tight multi-week consolidation near highs → rising 10/20/50D MAs → volatility contracting. Now sitting right under the key $5.50 breakout level. If that level goes with volume, this could turn into a clean momentum expansion. Definitely on watch.

$AMLX is getting interesting. Huge prior move from the low $20's into approx $40, and now it’s spent weeks tightening instead of giving the move back. Volume has dried up and the base is compressing. For me, the important area is $35 - 35.50. Reclaim that with volume and this could turn into a very clean continuation setup.

$HNGE is setting up beautifully. Big expansion move -- tight consolidation near highs --rising 10/20/50 MAs -- repeated pressure into the ~$96 resistance. This is exactly the kind of structure I want to see before a breakout. Watching $96 - 96.30 for confirmation. If volume comes in, this could get interesting fast.

This theory sounds insane at first. But think about the incentive: Big Tech pours hundreds of billions into AI. Returns don’t come close to the hype. You can’t suddenly admit the economics don’t work. So what’s the perfect narrative? “AI became TOO powerful. We have to slow down for humanity.” I’m not saying this is proven. But I absolutely believe there’s more to this story than we’re being told. @hilbertspaess @EvanHub #AI #AISafety

$IOVA - called the setup before the breakout. Tight consolidation near the highs, rising MAs, waiting for volume confirmation. 9% move today The base held. The volume came. The breakout followed. This is why I wait for the setup before chasing the move.

$BLLN update: the level got reclaimed. I said $99 - 100 was the line between a dead-cat bounce and a real reversal setup. We’re there now. Reclaim ✅ Hold = confirmation Lose it = fakeout This is the part that matters.

$ORCL did exactly what I was watching for. Quoted this setup on Sep 2nd while it was still building around the $140 - 145 base. My trigger was simple: Reclaim $150- 155 → reversal gets interesting. Today: $156+ and nearly +7%. That is why I post charts before the breakout, not after. The setup was there. The trigger was there. Now the move is confirming it.