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ALT Bar chart titled "Live Voter Turnout (70.1% as of 18:00)", showing estimated turnout by ethnic group in the 2026 Melaka state election (SE-16, black) compared with the 2022 general election (GE-15, red). - Malay (62.6% of voters): 78.1% in SE-16, vs 80.6% in GE-15 - Chinese (28.4% of voters): 58.8% in SE-16, vs 72.2% in GE-15 - Indian (6.5% of voters): 58.0% in SE-16, vs 77.5% in GE-15 The Indian bars are hatched to show these are the least certain estimates. Turnout fell for every group compared with GE-15. Malay turnout barely moved (down 2.5 points), while Chinese turnout fell sharply (down 13.4 points). Footnote: Estimated using ecological inference at polling district (DM) level, exploiting the differing geographic distribution of each ethnic group. 'Indian' is a smaller, more dispersed group, so its estimates are least certain.
ALT A 2×2 panel of maps of Melaka, headed "Melaka's ethnic mix varies widely among DMs". Each map shades Melaka's 211 polling districts (DMs) by one ethnic group's share of registered voters, on a shared blue scale from 0% (lightest) to 100% (darkest), with DUN boundaries outlined. Malay (63% of voters statewide, majority in 148 DMs) is dark across most of the state, especially the north-west and the south-east coast. Chinese (28%, majority in 49 DMs) is concentrated in and around Melaka town on the central coast, with a few dark pockets inland. Indian (6%, majority in 2 DMs) is light in most places, with a few darker DMs in the north and east. Other (3%, majority in no DM) is near-white almost everywhere. Source: electiondata.my voter roll for Melaka SE-16.
ALT A 2×2 panel of scatter plots headed "Turnout rises with the Malay share of each DM", showing projected turnout as of 15:30 on polling day. In each panel, each dot is one of Melaka's 211 DMs, sized by number of voters. The x-axis is one ethnic group's share of the DM's voters (0–100%) and the y-axis is the DM's projected turnout. A fitted line runs through the dots and is extended as a dotted line to 100%, where a blue dot marks the group's estimated turnout. Malay: turnout rises from about 58% in DMs with no Malay voters to about 75% in all-Malay DMs; estimate 76.0%. Chinese: turnout falls as the Chinese share rises, from about 74% to 58%; estimate 59.4%. Indian: the dots cluster below 30% Indian share and the line slopes gently down; estimate 60.2%, slightly above the line's end. Other: the dots cluster below 15% and the line slopes steeply down; estimate 35.1%. Methodology: Goodman ecological regression, raked to observed turnout in each DM. Source: api.electiondata.my
ALT Bar chart titled "Live Voter Turnout (24.8% as of 10:35)", showing estimated turnout by ethnic group in the 2026 Melaka state election. Each group has two bars: turnout now (10:35) and projected final turnout at 18:00. Malay: 26.9% now, projected 71.9% Chinese: 20.6% now, projected 65.6% Indian: 23.3% now, projected 68.9% Other: 21.5% now, projected 58.4% Malay turnout is highest so far and Chinese the lowest. A footnote says the figures are estimated using ecological inference at polling-district level, and that "Other" is a small, dispersed group, so its estimates are the least certain.
