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Replying to @ZeitgeistExplo1
1) We prove a general disaggregation theorem for stochastic processes with stationary increments in log time. It shows why Gaussian scale mixtures cannot Gaussianize with age. Bitcoin does.
doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23933…
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
Italy has recorded a remarkable decline in homicides over the past several decades, with its homicide rate now among the lowest in the European Union.
According to research by Eurispes using official Italian statistics, the country recorded 1,916 homicides in 1991, equivalent to 3.4 per 100,000 inhabitants.
By 2024, that figure had fallen to just 327 homicides, representing a decline of approximately 83% in the annual number of killings.
In 2023, Italy recorded a homicide rate of just 0.57 per 100,000 inhabitants, compared with the EU average of 0.91. When adjusted for age differences between populations, Italy ranked third-lowest in the EU.
The decline has been attributed partly to decades of sustained action against organized crime, declining conflicts between mafia organizations which have reduced their reliance on lethal violence.
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
Replying to @alexalexlexi02
Immigration in developed countries doesn't correlate with the political alignment of the government (in fact, it's even slightly negatively correlated with left wing govs in terms of sheer volume). It correlates strongly with the business and credit cycles.
Reality is that he'll never do essentially any of the points on the list, not even slightly. He's not even thinking about it.
In terms of signal, this platform suggests he's also not playing to win, especially when coupled with Le Pen's moderation, which signals the opposite.
JLM's platform is clearly built as a protest platform, designed to be leveraged when the next legislature is forced to implement public spending cuts, and never to be executed.
It must be said that the same strategy has been implemented by right-wing parties, eg on immigration, with a certain degree of success.
In terms of politics, it means that the French people don't have a single ally in parliament, only deceptive actors who attract voters like moths by projecting shadows on the back of the cave.
There isn't a candidate who is thinking about how to fix France's problems and improve people's lives; only hate, propaganda, and lies are on the menu. This means someone else will decide for the people when the time comes to make a decision.
These corrupt charlatans, at that point, will just blame some internal or external enemy.
🇫🇷 FLASH - LFI a dévoilé le programme de Jean-Luc Mélenchon pour la présidentielle de 2027. Parmi les propositions :
- Autoriser jusqu’à 3 jours d’arrêt maladie autodéclaré, sans consulter de médecin.
- Accorder 7 jours de congé après le décès d’un ami.
- Porter le SMIC à 1.700€ net par mois, soit une hausse de 220€.
- Ramener l’âge de départ à la retraite de 64 à 60 ans, avec une retraite à taux plein après 40 années de cotisation.
- Réduire progressivement la durée du travail à 32 heures par semaine.
- Instaurer un service écologique obligatoire de 9 mois pour les moins de 25 ans, rémunéré au SMIC.
- Faire rembourser les soins à 100% par la Sécurité sociale.
- Prendre en charge les séances de psychothérapie des moins de 26 ans.
- Fixer un plafond de 12 millions d’euros pour les héritages.
- Augmenter les APL de 10% pour aider à payer les loyers.
- Bloquer les prix de certains produits essentiels afin de limiter les hausses excessives.
- Revaloriser les salaires des fonctionnaires.
- Garantir un revenu minimum aux jeunes grâce à une allocation.
- Proposer aux étudiants des repas à 1€.
- Limiter à 1 pour 20 l’écart entre les rémunérations au sein d’une même entreprise.
- Soumettre les aides publiques aux entreprises à des engagements sociaux et écologiques.
- Rétablir l’ISF afin d’accroître l’imposition des grandes fortunes.
- Mettre en place la taxe Zucman pour taxer davantage les milliardaires.
- Répartir l’impôt sur le revenu en 14 tranches pour augmenter la contribution des plus riches.
- Engager une sortie progressive du nucléaire.
- Atteindre une production d’électricité issue à 100% des énergies renouvelables d’ici 2060.
- Interdire les vols entre 23h et 6h.
- Suspendre les zones à faibles émissions (ZFE), qui restreignent la circulation des véhicules les plus polluants dans certaines villes.
- Passer de la Ve à la VIe République en donnant davantage de pouvoir aux citoyens.
- Supprimer le 49.3, qui permet au gouvernement de faire adopter un texte sans vote.
- Intensifier la lutte contre les discriminations, notamment au sein de la police.
- Reconnaître comme crime d’État le massacre des Algériens du 17 octobre 1961.
- Renégocier les traités européens et refuser l’application de certaines règles européennes jugées incompatibles avec le programme.
- Quitter progressivement le commandement militaire intégré de l’OTAN.
- Soutenir la création d’un État palestinien aux côtés d’Israël.
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
Italian Companies To Help Restore Nine Historic Buildings In Libya’s Benghazi
#Libya #Italy
libyareview.com/69537/italia…
One year later, routine check at CLO / leveraged loans / private credit.
Spent the entire night reading fucking spreadsheets maxxed out by turbonormie bankers on Excel to figure out the state of the collateralized loan obligations market. Looked at mezzanine CLO spreads, CLO issuance growth, covenant-lite loans, investor concentration, private credit capital raising, loan defaults, and loan composition (spoiler: this time is mostly bad corporate debt repackaged and releveraged into bags of shit traded in opaque secondary markets among a tiny number of players).
Results are concerning, and there are worrying signs of stress, especially on covenant-lite loans. Literally nothing changed from a regulatory POV after 2008, they’re doing the exact same leveraged retarded shit with the help of the public and corrupt rating agencies, crystallizing theft profits into disgusting bonuses for lobotomized executives who will never pay a fucking dime and will have bought 10 penthouses in Manhattan.
But don’t worry, you’ve been hardcoded to think a leveraged credit crunch is your problem, it’s not, it’s theirs. Your problem is that they found the solution: step by step eroding fundamental rights. We’re deep in banking-state capitalism leveraged to the tits, and a systemic failure wouldn’t yield 2008 results since the God bank can rob you immediately to cover balance losses, and it wouldn’t even make the news, they’re actually already doing that.
What a disgusting actual fuck.
Good morning Europe🙃
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
🇨🇳🇰🇷🇺🇸
Can South Korea reduce its economic dependence on China?
For years, China was South Korea’s biggest source of trade surplus. That has now reversed.
South Korea’s trade balance with China collapsed after 2021 and turned into a clear deficit. At the same time, its surplus with the United States has risen sharply and is now larger than the old China surplus ever was.
Exports to the US are growing strongly, while trade with China has become more balanced, or even disadvantageous for South Korea.
The data shows a real shift is underway. Whether this is enough to meaningfully reduce long-term economic dependence on China is still an open question.
Source: @theatlasinst by Christopher Fakhourie
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
Italian Taxi driver told us that the only way to survive in Italy as a normal person was tax evasion
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
🇮🇹⚓️Leonardo presenta SADOC 5, el sistema de combate de los nuevos destructores italianos DDX.
La compañía introduce en Euronaval 2026 una nueva generación de sistemas de gestión de combate, con inteligencia artificial y arquitectura modular, y amplía su oferta con ATHENA L para unidades navales de menor complejidad. defensayseguridad.es/leonard…
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
emergent super-permeable cell walls are so OP, anyone know if God is nerfing them next patch?
such a stale meta these last ~4 billion years 🥱
👀
EU-China truce under strain as both sides brace for potential trade war
Beijing warns of swift counterstrikes while Brussels readies fast-track kill switch just weeks after striking deal - my report
scmp.com/news/china/article/…
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
A very good piece of reporting on China's new economic statecraft/ expanding efforts to turn "manufacturing dominance" into political leverage; I missed it for obvious reasons (the U.S. election)
nytimes.com/2026/11/02/world…
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
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Who will WIN and who will LOSE from the energy transition
This chart from IRENA compares two scenarios to 2050:
- PES: Planned Energy Scenario (current policies)
- DES: Decarbonising Energy Scenario (faster transition)
It shows the cumulative difference in fuel trade gains/losses and the change in oil, gas and manufactured fuels output.
Countries and regions
Japan: Clear winner, big import savings, limited local production loss
India: Winner, strong import savings
Brazil: Mild positive
Southeast Asia: Positive on trade
EU27: Near neutral / slight negative- Europe is a major importer, but it also has significant refining and petrochemical capacity. The contraction in these sectors offsets some of the import savings.
Canada: Slight negative
Middle East: Negative, export revenue loss + production decline
Africa: Negative, similar double exposure
China: Negative, import savings not enough to offset production losses
United States: Strongly negative
Net oil exporters: Biggest losers, heavy losses on both export revenues and domestic production
Bottom line: Net fossil fuel importers tend to benefit. Major exporters face a double hit, lower export income and shrinking domestic fossil fuel industries.
"They left us without money, without anything, and now they want to kill us too. What is their problem?"
The problem is that your money in the bank isn't yours, isn't money, and isn't in the bank.
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
The German government has struck a deal with the family owners of KNDS to buy a 50% stake in the Franco-German tank maker, according to a government document, as Berlin moves to strengthen its influence over critical defence technology.
reuters.com/business/aerospa…
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
🚨🎙️🇮🇹🇪🇺🇺🇦🇷🇺 Lettera di Giorgia Meloni al Presidente del Consiglio Europeo, Antonio Costa:
“Caro Antonio,
Alla luce dei più recenti sviluppi, sono costretta a tornare su un tema che ho più volte sollevato in Consiglio Europeo.
Mi riferisco alla necessità, per l'Europa, di parlare con una sola voce sulla questione ucraina. Necessità ormai improcrastinabile.
Consentimi, al riguardo, di ripercorrere solo quanto accaduto nell'ultimo mese.
A Miami un incontro "informale" tra i Consiglieri per la sicurezza nazionale di alcuni Stati europei, Ucraina, e rappresentanti NATO e UE è stato confermato solo successivamente, da fonti statunitensi. Poi ci siamo riuniti a Oslo. Pochi giorni dopo, a Helsinki, durante la sessione del Consiglio Nordico, il Presidente
Stubb e il Primo Ministro Støre hanno sospeso i lavori per una telefonata "a titolo nazionale" con il Presidente russo Putin. Immediatamente dopo è stata convocata per il 19 novembre, a Berlino, una riunione della Coalizione dei Volenterosi, che riunisce 37 Stati. Ma, una settimana prima, cioè il 12 novembre - a margine della riunione della Comunità Politica Europea - siamo stati convocati a una riunione del cosiddetto “formato Berlino", che ha una composizione ancora diversa da tutte le altre che ho citato. Come se non bastasse, apprendo che in questi giorni hanno luogo riunioni di livello tecnico a Bruxelles, e che è prevista una non meglio precisata presenza europea ai colloqui previsti ad Abu Dhabi tra ucraini e russi con la mediazione americana. E, nel frattempo, ci saremo visti al Consiglio Europeo informale di Dublino.
Ho rimesso in fila gli esempi solo dell'ultimo mese perché penso che spieghino più di qualsiasi parola quanto tutto questo ci stia rendendo poco credibili nella gestione di uno dei dossier più complicati con i quali le nostre Nazioni si confrontano. E sono convinta che tutti ci rendiamo conto di come, dando l'immagine di un'Europa che va in ordine sparso, non facciamo altro che l'interesse di chi vuole che questa guerra continui. E penso che sia inaccettabile, atteso che in gioco ci sono vite umane e il futuro della nostra sicurezza.
Metto nero su bianco queste parole, Antonio, perché voglio che rimanga agli atti che non mi presto a questa dinamica, né intendo restare a guardare mentre si consuma.
Allo stesso tempo, voglio sgombrare il campo da qualsiasi equivoco: non sto chiedendo un posto per l'Italia in questo o in quel formato.
Tutt'altro: se può rendere la mia richiesta più credibile, sono pronta a dire che non chiedo questo ruolo né per me né per l'Italia. Quando abbiamo potuto, non abbiamo mai fatto mancare il nostro contributo, e non lo faremo domani. Ma non siamo disposti ad accettare che si negozino, in assenza di un mandato, impegni che anche la nostra Nazione sarà poi chiamata ad assumere. Inoltre, il risultato ci sta molto più a cuore del formato, e perché l'Europa possa ambire a determinarlo deve parlare con una voce sola, e autorevole.
Quello che continuo a chiedere è che si decida una volta per tutte chi siede al tavolo negoziale in rappresentanza dell'Unione Europea, e con quale mandato. Perché procedere in ordine sparso, con iniziative che si rincorrono e si accavallano non ci aiuterà, né con i nostri partner, né con chi dobbiamo convincere a fermare un'aggressione insensata.
Pertanto, Antonio, chiedo formalmente che nel prossimo Consiglio Europeo informale di Dublino la questione venga discussa, affinché il Consiglio Europeo di dicembre sia in grado di formalizzare una decisione sul punto, anche dopo un raccordo con Regno Unito, Norvegia e gli altri partner europei interessati. In caso contrario, temo che rischiamo di condannare l'Europa all'irrilevanza nel processo negoziale.
Confido che metterai la questione tra le tue priorità e sai che potrai sempre contare sul mio sostegno. Giorgia Meloni”.
Zeitgeist Explorer⚡ retweeted
Energy prices are a top concern for our citizens and for our businesses.
Last week, @EU_Commission held a strategic dialogue with refineries to help boost production at this critical moment.
Today, together with @IEA Executive Director @fbirol, we are coordinating our actions on the oil stock releases agreed by the G7.
The future for the EU lies in electrification powered by homegrown clean energy, both renewables and nuclear.
We will work to accelerate electrification together with our partners at COP31 in Antalya.






















