@amlivemon

Political machinations, Geopolitics concerning Europe & transatlantic relations. Often political economics rants. Eurodollar and US foreign policy explainer.

 Immora
patreon.com/user?u=77906098
Joined September 2015
  • Tweets276K
  • Following464
  • Followers48.4K
7.6KMedia
In today's political scenes, there's eerie type of chaos that lurks just behind a facade of order - and yet, deep inside the chaos lurks an even eerier type of order waiting to establish itself.
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Your favela goons stuffed ballot boxes with 15,000 votes for you and ZERO for Flavio. The statistically probability of that is Zero. Literally zero.
Clash Report
@clashreport54m
Brazilian President Lula: I regret that Flávio left Brazil because he could have stayed here and proved that the accusations in the press are not true. I tried to get him to prove he is honest by submitting all my paperwork to the Electoral Court—mine, my wife’s, and my children’s. He did not submit his.
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This idiot is defending a know corrupt socialist who is now trying to jail the opposition in Brazil LOL Have you no shame whatsoever?
Christine Duhaime@cduhaimeOct 26
Thank god, but I suspect some in the West will move in to do their worst to undermine Lula and destroy Brazil going forward.
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There is no fintech in Canada. It's a country that requires its entire existence to rely on its proximity to the US and access to the dollar.
Christine Duhaime@cduhaime18 Apr 2016
Canada & @DFInstitute on #FinTech world stage w/ @UN discussing #tech necessary for #refugeecrisis. #letsgocanada
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Fake news. You can certainly wear one like Patek's stunner here:
Adam James Pollock
@AdamPollock6h
Watches should not be worn with black tie.
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Dems would need to get 55% turnout while the GOP would need to be sub 40%... just not going to happen. It's why I keep correcting these obvious liars on Florida who just put stuff out for clickbait.
Florida’s Voice
@FLVoiceNews5h
🚨 JUST NOW: Florida early voting is R+16.4 for Day 9, about 22,500 ballots, with Republicans at 47.8% and Democrats at 31.4%. Cumulative early is R+8.3 across roughly 1.8 million early votes cast statewide.
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lol… statistically impossible
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The only deception here is you saying republicans are not showing up when traditionally they wait until Election Day. Even with a 10% turnout advantage, Dems are losing and math isn’t on their side.
ThisThatOther2
@ThisThatOther25h
I’m seeing an enormous amount of lying about voting statistics in Florida. These are the real numbers as of about five minutes ago. Republicans have a small lead over Democrats, about 25,000. Less than 1% difference. Republicans still not showing up at the polls. Election Day one week away.
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Helping Le Pen there….
Polymarket
@Polymarket3h
JUST IN: France's Socialist Party proposes granting legal status to up to 400,000 undocumented immigrants, with a parliamentary vote scheduled for Nov. 19.
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Eurodollar explained Eurodollars are US dollar deposits held at banks outside the US, and they are not a separate currency or a parallel money supply. The dollars never leave the American banking system: a Eurodollar deposit is a change in the ownership of a claim on a US bank, not a new dollar created abroad. The corollary is that Eurobanking sits outside central bank control and outside US reserve and deposit insurance requirements, which is where both its economics and its fragility come from. gngresearch.com/articles/und…

Understanding the Eurodollar | GNG Research

Eurodollars are US dollar deposits held outside the US - dollars stay on deposit at US banks, so a $5m London deposit leaves Fed reserves unchanged

gngresearch.com
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Much of those states don’t register by party
Patrick Ruffini
@PatrickRuffini6h
🧵 I have been a skeptic of early voting analysis so I took this as a challenge to build something I would find useful. So that's what I did, for the entire country. Fun tidbit: in every state bordering Canada except one, Republicans are outpacing the 2026 turnout model.
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Live Monitor retweeted
Live Monitor
@amlivemon10h
The pupil overtakes der Professor - China absorbs foreign know-how then competes Germany's industrial model is being dismantled in China, and then rebuilt there with German parts Every Chinese bullet train has a German or Japanese ancestor. In the 2000s China bought trainsets from Kawasaki, Siemens, Alstom and Bombardier, on condition that the know-how came too. The CRH2 was a Shinkansen derivative. The CRH3 was Siemens's Velaro. Beijing then merged its two state rolling-stock makers into CRRC in 2015, and the new giant now bids against its own teachers. That same year it beat Japan for Indonesia's Jakarta-Bandung line, which opened in 2023. It has since supplied or built track and rolling stock in Laos, Kenya and Ethiopia, usually with Chinese state financing that Siemens and Kawasaki can't match. gngresearch.com/articles/the…

The pupil overtakes der Professor | GNG Research

China absorbs foreign know-how then competes - CRRC formed 2015, beat Japan for Jakarta-Bandung line opened 2023; CRH2/CRH3 traced to Shinkansen and Velaro

gngresearch.com
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Any gerrymandering list without Massachusetts or Maryland on it is void
Mitch Perry
@MitchPerry1810h
.@nytimes lists Florida as being the 3rd most aggressively gerrymandered state in the nation, behind Texas and California nytimes.com/interactive/2026…
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Raid it. Get a warrant to arrest Soros
Insider Wire
@InsiderWire7h
#BREAKING: Box of Maine absentee ballot envelopes was shipped to a Soros-funded group’s Maryland HQ.
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Fat white dude thinks he knows refugee thought process on dictatorships they fled from lol
Michael Worley
@michaelworley9h
Anyone who has Cuba as a top issue was never voting for a Democrat to begin with. The real issue is how Venezuelans and Columbians feel about what she said. I think they care more about $5 gas, but that's just me.
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Live Monitor retweeted
TT3
@TradingThomas38h
Both $AMD and $NVDA buying $META equity offering 😂, circular financing continues.
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Many will end up voting Paxton as Talarico trans and liberal politics just scares many off
Texas Oncologist
@TexasOncologist5h
I was warning about Paxton's vulnerability from the get go and thought this was a terrible approach by the GOP HOWEVER... 16% is an awful lot of undecided voters vs a 4% margin and I wonder how many are going to hold their nose and vote GOP even though they can't stand Paxton
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Day 9: Republican: 47.9% (R+16.5) Democrat: 31.4% R +1 currently and expanding
Live Monitor
@amlivemon3h
Lots of dem accounts starting to be a bit quiet about Florida
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Carles Puigdemont, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, Leopoldo López and Edmundo González Urrutia fled to Europe 🤡
Europe Defender 🇪🇺🇺🇦
@oroborous9h
Disgraced corrupt politicians used to flee to Russia or the UAE, nowadays they flee to the US.
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Live Monitor retweeted
Election Wizard
@ElectionWiz6h
OHIO POLL — Governor 🟥 Vivek Ramaswamy: 47% (+2) 🟦 Amy Acton: 45% 🟨 Don Kissick: 4% Echelon Insights | LV | 10/23
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More fake experts acting like political operatives for Dems. Day 9 Florida In Person Early Vote update 🔴 Republican: 40,881 (47.8%) 🔵 Democrat: 26,839 (31.3%) 🟡 Independents: 15,634 (18.3%)
G Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorris8h
Florida early voting update: Early in-person turnout among Republicans has fallen off a cliff. At R+0.4, the total early vote in the state is about as blue as 2018, 5 points higher than this point in 2022, and 10 points higher than in 2024. gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-ea…
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